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Kayvan Sadeghi

Publications and source records attributed to Kayvan Sadeghi.

At least 19 recordsLinked to original sources

Characterizing and Identifying Separable Graphical Models

We study a broad class of graphical models whose independencies correspond to vertex separation in mixed graphs with directed, undirected, and bidirected edges, that are capable of encoding independence structures arising from feedback, latent and selection mechanisms. In particular, we introduce separable graphs, in which each missing edge implies the existence of a separating set for its endpoints, and essentially separable graphs, those graphs separation equivalent to a separable graph. We show that these models include many existing graph families used to define graphical models an provide several characterizations of separable graphs and essentially separable graphs. We also provide multiple characterizations of separation equivalence for separable graphs. One is a graphical characterization in terms of ordinary graph properties, extending earlier results for specific subfamilies Another is a separational characterization depending only on graph separation properties. Finally, we provide a canonical representation for the equivalence classes of essentially separable graphs and develop an algorithm that, under suitable assumptions, identifies the equivalence class of any essentially separable graph.

stat.ML

Interpretable Causal Graphical Models for Equilibrium Systems with Confounding

In applications, quantities of interest are often modelled in equilibrium or an equilibrium solution is sought. The presence of confounding makes causal inference in this setting challenging. We provide interpretable graphical models for equilibrium systems with confounding using anterial graphs (Lauritzen and Sadeghi, 2018), a class of graphs containing directed acyclic graphs, ancestral graphs, and chain graphs. In this setting, we provide valid graphical representations of both counterfactual variables and observational variables, which we relate to counterfactual graphs (Shpitser and Pearl, 2007) and single-world intervention graphs (Richardson and Robins,2013). As an application of this graphical representation, we provide an element-wise procedure of selecting adjustment sets that flexibly include and exclude given covariates.

stat.ME

On Exponential Random Graph Models with Dyadic Independence

We show that the only exponential random graph model with n nodal parameters, dyads being independent, and the natural assumption of permutation-equivariant nodal parametrization is the \b{eta} model. In addition, we show that an exponential random graph model with similar assumptions but with fewer than n block parameters is the additive stochastic block model. We also provide similar results for directed networks

math.ST

Towards Robust Causal Effect Identification Beyond Markov Equivalence

Causal effect identification typically requires a fully specified causal graph, which can be difficult to obtain in practice. We provide a sufficient criterion for identifying causal effects from a candidate set of Markov equivalence classes with added background knowledge, which represents cases where determining the causal graph up to a single Markov equivalence class is challenging. Such cases can happen, for example, when the untestable assumptions (e.g. faithfulness) that underlie causal discovery algorithms do not hold.

stat.ME

Causal Models for Growing Networks

Real-world networks grow over time; statistical models based on node exchangeability are not appropriate. Instead of constraining the structure of the \textit{distribution} of edges, we propose that the relevant symmetries refer to the \textit{causal structure} between them. We first enumerate the 96 causal directed acyclic graph (DAG) models over pairs of nodes (dyad variables) in a growing network with finite ancestral sets that are invariant to node deletion. We then partition them into 21 classes with ancestral sets that are closed under node marginalization. Several of these classes are remarkably amenable to distributed and asynchronous evaluation. As an example, we highlight a simple model that exhibits flexible power-law degree distributions and emergent phase transitions in sparsity, which we characterize analytically. With few parameters and much conditional independence, our proposed framework provides natural baseline models for causal inference in relational data.

cs.SI

A General Framework on Conditions for Constraint-based Causal Learning

Most constraint-based causal learning algorithms provably return the correct causal graph under certain correctness conditions, such as faithfulness. By representing any constraint-based causal learning algorithm using the notion of a property, we provide a general framework to obtain and study correctness conditions for these algorithms. From the framework, we provide exact correctness conditions for the PC algorithm, which are then related to the correctness conditions of some other existing causal discovery algorithms. The framework also suggests a paradigm for designing causal learning algorithms which allows for the correctness conditions of algorithms to be controlled for before designing the actual algorithm, and has the following implications. We show that the sparsest Markov representation condition is the weakest correctness condition for algorithms that output ancestral graphs or directed acyclic graphs satisfying any existing notions of minimality. We also reason that Pearl-minimality is necessary for meaningful causal learning but not sufficient to relax the faithfulness condition and, as such, has to be strengthened, such as by including background knowledge, for causal learning beyond faithfulness.

cs.AI

Localised Natural Causal Learning Algorithms for Weak Consistency Conditions

By relaxing conditions for natural structure learning algorithms, a family of constraint-based algorithms containing all exact structure learning algorithms under the faithfulness assumption, we define localised natural structure learning algorithms (LoNS). We also provide a set of necessary and sufficient assumptions for consistency of LoNS, which can be thought of as a strict relaxation of the restricted faithfulness assumption. We provide a practical LoNS algorithm that runs in exponential time, which is then compared with related existing structure learning algorithms, namely PC/SGS and the relatively recent sparsest permutation algorithm. Simulation studies are also provided.

stat.ME

Axiomatization of Interventional Probability Distributions

Causal intervention is an essential tool in causal inference. It is axiomatized under the rules of do-calculus in the case of structure causal models. We provide simple axiomatizations for families of probability distributions to be different types of interventional distributions. Our axiomatizations neatly lead to a simple and clear theory of causality that has several advantages: it does not need to make use of any modeling assumptions such as those imposed by structural causal models; it only relies on interventions on single variables; it includes most cases with latent variables and causal cycles; and more importantly, it does not assume the existence of an underlying true causal graph as we do not take it as the primitive object--in fact, a causal graph is derived as a by-product of our theory. We show that, under our axiomatizations, the intervened distributions are Markovian to the defined intervened causal graphs, and an observed joint probability distribution is Markovian to the obtained causal graph; these results are consistent with the case of structural causal models, and as a result, the existing theory of causal inference applies. We also show that a large class of natural structural causal models satisfy the theory presented here. We note that the aim of this paper is axiomatization of interventional families, which is subtly different from "causal modeling."

math.ST

Conditions and Assumptions for Constraint-based Causal Structure Learning

We formalize constraint-based structure learning of the "true" causal graph from observed data when unobserved variables are also existent. We provide conditions for a "natural" family of constraint-based structure-learning algorithms that output graphs that are Markov equivalent to the causal graph. Under the faithfulness assumption, this natural family contains all exact structure-learning algorithms. We also provide a set of assumptions, under which any natural structure-learning algorithm outputs Markov equivalent graphs to the causal graph. These assumptions can be thought of as a relaxation of faithfulness, and most of them can be directly tested from (the underlying distribution) of the data, particularly when one focuses on structural causal models. We specialize the definitions and results for structural causal models.

math.ST

On Finite Exchangeability and Conditional Independence

We study the independence structure of finitely exchangeable distributions over random vectors and random networks. In particular, we provide necessary and sufficient conditions for an exchangeable vector so that its elements are completely independent or completely dependent. We also provide a sufficient condition for an exchangeable vector so that its elements are marginally independent. We then generalize these results and conditions for exchangeable random networks. In this case, it is demonstrated that the situation is more complex. We show that the independence structure of exchangeable random networks lies in one of six regimes that are two-fold dual to one another, represented by undirected and bidirected independence graphs in graphical model sense with graphs that are complement of each other. In addition, under certain additional assumptions, we provide necessary and sufficient conditions for the exchangeable network distributions to be faithful to each of these graphs.

math.ST

Hierarchical Models for Independence Structures of Networks

We introduce a new family of network models, called hierarchical network models, that allow us to represent in an explicit manner the stochastic dependence among the dyads (random ties) of the network. In particular, each member of this family can be associated with a graphical model defining conditional independence clauses among the dyads of the network, called the dependency graph. Every network model with dyadic independence assumption can be generalized to construct members of this new family. Using this new framework, we generalize the Erdös-Rényi and beta-models to create hierarchical Erdös-Rényi and beta-models. We describe various methods for parameter estimation as well as simulation studies for models with sparse dependency graphs.

stat.ME

Markov Properties of Discrete Determinantal Point Processes

Determinantal point processes (DPPs) are probabilistic models for repulsion. When used to represent the occurrence of random subsets of a finite base set, DPPs allow to model global negative associations in a mathematically elegant and direct way. Discrete DPPs have become popular and computationally tractable models for solving several machine learning tasks that require the selection of diverse objects, and have been successfully applied in numerous real-life problems. Despite their popularity, the statistical properties of such models have not been adequately explored. In this note, we derive the Markov properties of discrete DPPs and show how they can be expressed using graphical models.

math.ST

On Exchangeability in Network Models

We derive representation theorems for exchangeable distributions on finite and infinite graphs using elementary arguments based on geometric and graph-theoretic concepts. Our results elucidate some of the key differences, and their implications, between statistical network models that are finitely exchangeable and models that define a consistent sequence of probability distributions on graphs of increasing size.

math.ST

Random Networks, Graphical Models, and Exchangeability

We study conditional independence relationships for random networks and their interplay with exchangeability. We show that, for finitely exchangeable network models, the empirical subgraph densities are maximum likelihood estimates of their theoretical counterparts. We then characterize all possible Markov structures for finitely exchangeable random graphs, thereby identifying a new class of Markov network models corresponding to bidirected Kneser graphs. In particular, we demonstrate that the fundamental property of dissociatedness corresponds to a Markov property for exchangeable networks described by bidirected line graphs. Finally we study those exchangeable models that are also summarized in the sense that the probability of a network only depends onthe degree distribution, and identify a class of models that is dual to the Markov graphs of Frank and Strauss (1986). Particular emphasis is placed on studying consistency properties of network models under the process of forming subnetworks and we show that the only consistent systems of Markov properties correspond to the empty graph, the bidirected line graph of the complete graph, and the complete graph.

math.ST

Faithfulness of Probability Distributions and Graphs

A main question in graphical models and causal inference is whether, given a probability distribution $P$ (which is usually an underlying distribution of data), there is a graph (or graphs) to which $P$ is faithful. The main goal of this paper is to provide a theoretical answer to this problem. We work with general independence models, which contain probabilistic independence models as a special case. We exploit a generalization of ordering, called preordering, of the nodes of (mixed) graphs. This allows us to provide sufficient conditions for a given independence model to be Markov to a graph with the minimum possible number of edges, and more importantly, necessary and sufficient conditions for a given probability distribution to be faithful to a graph. We present our results for the general case of mixed graphs, but specialize the definitions and results to the better-known subclasses of undirected (concentration) and bidirected (covariance) graphs as well as directed acyclic graphs.

math.ST

Unifying Markov Properties for Graphical Models

Several types of graphs with different conditional independence interpretations --- also known as Markov properties --- have been proposed and used in graphical models. In this paper we unify these Markov properties by introducing a class of graphs with four types of edges --- lines, arrows, arcs, and dotted lines --- and a single separation criterion. We show that independence structures defined by this class specialize to each of the previously defined cases, when suitable subclasses of graphs are considered. In addition, we define a pairwise Markov property for the subclass of chain mixed graphs which includes chain graphs with the LWF interpretation, as well as summary graphs (and consequently ancestral graphs). We prove the equivalence of this pairwise Markov property to the global Markov property for compositional graphoid independence models.

math.ST

On the Number of Non-zero Elements of Joint Degree Vectors

Joint degree vectors give the number of edges between vertices of degree $i$ and degree $j$ for $1\le i\le j\le n-1$ in an $n$-vertex graph. We find lower and upper bounds for the maximum number of nonzero elements in a joint degree vector as a function of $n$. This provides an upper bound on the number of estimable parameters in the exponential random graph model with bidegree-distribution as its sufficient statistics.

math.CO

Pairwise Markov properties for regression graphs

With a sequence of regressions, one may generate joint probability distributions. One starts with a joint, marginal distribution of context variables having possibly a concentration graph structure and continues with an ordered sequence of conditional distributions, named regressions in joint responses. The involved random variables may be discrete, continuous or of both types. Such a generating process specifies for each response a conditioning set which contains just its regressor variables and it leads to at least one valid ordering of all nodes in the corresponding regression graph which has three types of edge; one for undirected dependences among context variables, another for undirected dependences among joint responses and one for any directed dependence of a response on a regressor variable. For this regression graph, there are several definitions of pairwise Markov properties, where each interprets the conditional independence associated with a missing edge in the graph in a different way. We explain how these properties arise, prove their equivalence for compositional graphoids and point at the equivalence of each one of them to the global Markov property.

math.ST