arXiv subjects

Kazutoshi Yamazaki

Publications and source records attributed to Kazutoshi Yamazaki.

54 records · Page 3Linked to original sources

arXiv2016

Inventory Control for Spectrally Positive Levy Demand Processes

A new approach to solve the continuous-time stochastic inventory problem using the fluctuation theory of Levy processes is developed. This approach involves the recent developments of the scale function that is capable of expressing many fluctuation identities of spectrally one-sided Levy processes. For the case with a fixed cost and a general spectrally positive Levy demand process, we show the optimality of an (s,S)-policy. The optimal policy and the value function are concisely expressed via the scale function. Numerical examples under a Levy process in the beta-family with jumps of infinite activity are provided to confirm the analytical results. Furthermore, the case with no fixed ordering costs is studied.

math.OC↗

arXiv2015

Cash Management and Control Band Policies for Spectrally One-sided Levy Processes

We study the control band policy arising in the context of cash balance management. A policy is specified by four parameters (d,D,U,u). The controller pushes the process up to D as soon as it goes below d and pushes down to U as soon as it goes above u, while he does not intervene whenever it is within the set (d, u). We focus on the case when the underlying process is a spectrally one-sided Levy process and obtain the expected fixed and proportional controlling costs as well as the holding costs under the band policy.

math.OC↗

arXiv2015

An analytic recursive method for optimal multiple stopping: Canadization and phase-type fitting

We study an optimal multiple stopping problem for call-type payoff driven by a spectrally negative Levy process. The stopping times are separated by constant refraction times, and the discount rate can be positive or negative. The computation involves a distribution of the Levy process at a constant horizon and hence the solutions in general cannot be attained analytically. Motivated by the maturity randomization (Canadization) technique by Carr (1998), we approximate the refraction times by independent, identically distributed Erlang random variables. In addition, fitting random jumps to phase-type distributions, our method involves repeated integrations with respect to the resolvent measure written in terms of the scale function of the underlying Levy process. We derive a recursive algorithm to compute the value function in closed form, and sequentially determine the optimal exercise thresholds. A series of numerical examples are provided to compare our analytic formula to results from Monte Carlo simulation.

q-fin.MF↗

arXiv2015

Optimal Multiple Stopping with Negative Discount Rate and Random Refraction Times under Levy Models

This paper studies a class of optimal multiple stopping problems driven by Lévy processes. Our model allows for a negative effective discount rate, which arises in a number of financial applications, including stock loans and real options, where the strike price can potentially grow at a higher rate than the original discount factor. Moreover, successive exercise opportunities are separated by i.i.d. random refraction times. Under a wide class of two-sided Lévy models with a general random refraction time, we rigorously show that the optimal strategy to exercise successive call options is uniquely characterized by a sequence of up-crossing times. The corresponding optimal thresholds are determined explicitly in the single stopping case and recursively in the multiple stopping case.

q-fin.MF↗

arXiv2015

Optimality of doubly reflected Levy processes in singular control

We consider a class of two-sided singular control problems. A controller either increases or decreases a given spectrally negative Levy process so as to minimize the total costs comprising of the running and control costs where the latter is proportional to the size of control. We provide a sufficient condition for the optimality of a double barrier strategy, and in particular show that it holds when the running cost function is convex. Using the fluctuation theory of doubly reflected Levy processes, we express concisely the optimal strategy as well as the value function using the scale function. Numerical examples are provided to confirm the analytical results.

math.OC↗

arXiv2014

Optimal double stopping of a Brownian bridge

We study optimal double stopping problems driven by a Brownian bridge. The objective is to maximize the expected spread between the payoffs achieved at the two stopping times. We study several cases where the solutions can be solved explicitly by strategies of threshold type.

math.OC↗

arXiv2014

Contraction options and optimal multiple-stopping in spectrally negative Levy models

This paper studies the optimal multiple-stopping problem arising in the context of the timing option to withdraw from a project in stages. The profits are driven by a general spectrally negative Levy process. This allows the model to incorporate sudden declines of the project values, generalizing greatly the classical geometric Brownian motion model. We solve the one-stage case as well as the extension to the multiple-stage case. The optimal stopping times are of threshold-type and the value function admits an expression in terms of the scale function. A series of numerical experiments are conducted to verify the optimality and to evaluate the efficiency of the algorithm.

math.OC↗

arXiv2014

Games of singular control and stopping driven by spectrally one-sided Levy processes

We study a zero-sum game where the evolution of a spectrally one-sided Levy process is modified by a singular controller and is terminated by the stopper. The singular controller minimizes the expected values of running, controlling and terminal costs while the stopper maximizes them. Using fluctuation theory and scale functions, we derive a saddle point and the value function of the game. Numerical examples under phase-type Levy processes are also given.

math.OC↗

arXiv2014

Phase-type fitting of scale functions for spectrally negative Levy processes

We study the scale function of the spectrally negative phase-type Levy process. Its scale function admits an analytical expression and so do a number of its fluctuation identities. Motivated by the fact that the class of phase-type distributions is dense in the class of all positive-valued distributions, we propose a new approach to approximating the scale function and the associated fluctuation identities for a general spectrally negative Levy process. Numerical examples are provided to illustrate the effectiveness of the approximation method.

math.PR↗

arXiv2013

Asymptotic theory of sequential detection and identification in the hidden Markov models

We consider a unified framework of sequential change-point detection and hypothesis testing modeled by means of hidden Markov chains. One observes a sequence of random variables whose distributions are functionals of a hidden Markov chain. The objective is to detect quickly the event that the hidden Markov chain leaves a certain set of states, and to identify accurately the class of states into which it is absorbed. We propose computationally tractable sequential detection and identification strategies and obtain sufficient conditions for the asymptotic optimality in two Bayesian formulations. Numerical examples are provided to confirm the asymptotic optimality and to examine the rate of convergence.

math.OC↗

arXiv2013

Optimal Capital Structure with Scale Effects under Spectrally Negative Levy Models

The optimal capital structure model with endogenous bankruptcy was first studied by Leland (1994) and Leland and Toft (1996), and was later extended to the spectrally negative Levy model by Hilberink and Rogers (2002) and Kyprianou and Surya (2007). This paper incorporates the scale effects by allowing the values of bankruptcy costs and tax benefits to be dependent on the firm's asset value. By using the fluctuation identities for the spectrally negative Levy process, we obtain a candidate bankruptcy level as well as a sufficient condition for optimality. The optimality holds in particular when, monotonically in the asset value, the value of tax benefits is increasing, the loss amount at bankruptcy is increasing, and its proportion relative to the asset value is decreasing. The solution admits a semi-explicit form in terms of the scale function. A series of numerical studies are given to analyze the impacts of scale effects on the default strategy and the optimal capital structure.

q-fin.GN↗

arXiv2013

Optimal dividends in the dual model under transaction costs

We analyze the optimal dividend payment problem in the dual model under constant transaction costs. We show, for a general spectrally positive Lévy process, an optimal strategy is given by a $(c_1,c_2)$-policy that brings the surplus process down to $c_1$ whenever it reaches or exceeds $c_2$ for some $0 \leq c_1 < c_2$. The value function is succinctly expressed in terms of the scale function. A series of numerical examples are provided to confirm the analytical results and to demonstrate the convergence to the no-transaction cost case, which was recently solved by Bayraktar et al. (2013).

math.PR↗

arXiv2013

On optimal dividends in the dual model

We revisit the dividend payment problem in the dual model of Avanzi et al. ([2], [1], and [3]). Using the fluctuation theory of spectrally positive Lévy processes, we give a short exposition in which we show the optimality of barrier strategies for all such Lévy processes. Moreover, we characterize the optimal barrier using the functional inverse of a scale function. We also consider the capital injection problem of [3] and show that its value function has a very similar form to the one in which the horizon is the time of ruin.

math.PR↗

arXiv2013

On the continuous and smooth fit principle for optimal stopping problems in spectrally negative Levy models

We consider a class of infinite-time horizon optimal stopping problems for spectrally negative Levy processes. Focusing on strategies of threshold type, we write explicit expressions for the corresponding expected payoff via the scale function, and further pursue optimal candidate threshold levels. We obtain and show the equivalence of the continuous/smooth fit condition and the first-order condition for maximization over threshold levels. As examples of its applications, we give a short proof of the McKean optimal stopping problem (perpetual American put option) and solve an extension to Egami and Yamazaki (2013).

math.OC↗

arXiv2012

Default Swap Games Driven by Spectrally Negative Levy Processes

This paper studies game-type credit default swaps that allow the protection buyer and seller to raise or reduce their respective positions once prior to default. This leads to the study of an optimal stopping game subject to early default termination. Under a structural credit risk model based on spectrally negative Levy processes, we apply the principles of smooth and continuous fit to identify the equilibrium exercise strategies for the buyer and the seller. We then rigorously prove the existence of the Nash equilibrium and compute the contract value at equilibrium. Numerical examples are provided to illustrate the impacts of default risk and other contractual features on the players' exercise timing at equilibrium.

q-fin.PR↗

arXiv2012

American Step-Up and Step-Down Default Swaps under Levy Models

This paper studies the valuation of a class of default swaps with the embedded option to switch to a different premium and notional principal anytime prior to a credit event. These are early exercisable contracts that give the protection buyer or seller the right to step-up, step-down, or cancel the swap position. The pricing problem is formulated under a structural credit risk model based on Levy processes. This leads to the analytic and numerical studies of several optimal stopping problems subject to early termination due to default. In a general spectrally negative Levy model, we rigorously derive the optimal exercise strategy. This allows for instant computation of the credit spread under various specifications. Numerical examples are provided to examine the impacts of default risk and contractual features on the credit spread and exercise strategy.

q-fin.PR↗

arXiv2011

Precautionary Measures for Credit Risk Management in Jump Models

Sustaining efficiency and stability by properly controlling the equity to asset ratio is one of the most important and difficult challenges in bank management. Due to unexpected and abrupt decline of asset values, a bank must closely monitor its net worth as well as market conditions, and one of its important concerns is when to raise more capital so as not to violate capital adequacy requirements. In this paper, we model the tradeoff between avoiding costs of delay and premature capital raising, and solve the corresponding optimal stopping problem. In order to model defaults in a bank's loan/credit business portfolios, we represent its net worth by Levy processes, and solve explicitly for the double exponential jump diffusion process and for a general spectrally negative Levy process.

q-fin.RM↗

arXiv2010

Solving Optimal Dividend Problems via Phase-type Fitting Approximation of Scale Functions

The optimal dividend problem by De Finetti (1957) has been recently generalized to the spectrally negative Lévy model where the implementation of optimal strategies draws upon the computation of scale functions and their derivatives. This paper proposes a phase-type fitting approximation of the optimal strategy. We consider spectrally negative Lévy processes with phase-type jumps as well as meromorphic Lévy processes (Kuznetsov et al., 2010a), and use their scale functions to approximate the scale function for a general spectrally negative Lévy process. We obtain analytically the convergence results and illustrate numerically the effectiveness of the approximation methods using examples with the spectrally negative Lévy process with i.i.d. Weibull-distributed jumps, the β-family and CGMY process.

q-fin.CP↗