arXiv subjects

Kei Kobayashi

Publications and source records attributed to Kei Kobayashi.

27 records · Page 2Linked to original sources

arXiv2015

A strong and weak approximation scheme for stochastic differential equations driven by a time-changed Brownian motion

This paper establishes a discretization scheme for a large class of stochastic differential equations driven by a time-changed Brownian motion with drift, where the time change is given by a general inverse subordinator. The scheme involves two types of errors: one generated by application of the Euler-Maruyama scheme and the other ascribed to simulation of the inverse subordinator. With the two errors carefully examined, the orders of strong and weak convergence are derived. Numerical examples are attached to support the convergence results.

math.PR↗

arXiv2015

Small ball probabilities for a class of time-changed self-similar processes

This paper establishes small ball probabilities for a class of time-changed processes $X\circ E$, where $X$ is a self-similar process and $E$ is an independent continuous process, each with a certain small ball probability. In particular, examples of the outer process $X$ and the time change $E$ include an iterated fractional Brownian motion and the inverse of a general subordinator with infinite Lévy measure, respectively. The small ball probabilities of such time-changed processes show power law decay, and the rate of decay does not depend on the small deviation order of the outer process $X$, but on the self-similarity index of $X$.

math.PR↗

arXiv2014

Permutation test for dendrograms and its application to the analysis of mental lexicons

A novel type of permutation tests for dendrogram data is studied with respect to two types of metrics for measuring the difference between dendrograms. First, the Frobenius norm is used, and we prove the consistency and efficiency of the permutation tests. Next, the geodesic distance on a dendrogram space is used. The uniqueness of the geodesics on every dendrogram space is proved and some existing algorithms for computing geodesics are applied. Mental lexicons of English words are analyzed as an application example of the proposed permutation tests. The difference of mental lexicons between native and non-native English speakers is examined by analyzing sorting task data that used English words taken from various word classes.

math.ST↗

arXiv2014

Computational algebraic methods in efficient estimation

A strong link between information geometry and algebraic statistics is made by investigating statistical manifolds which are algebraic varieties. In particular it it shown how first and second order efficient estimators can be constructed, such as bias corrected Maximum Likelihood and more general estimators, and for which the estimating equations are purely algebraic. In addition it is shown how Gröbner basis technology, which is at the heart of algebraic statistics, can be used to reduce the degrees of the terms in the estimating equations. This points the way to the feasible use, to find the estimators, of special methods for solving polynomial equations, such as homotopy continuation methods. Simple examples are given showing both equations and computations. *** The proof of Theorem 2 was corrected by the latest version. Some minor errors were also corrected.

math.ST↗

arXiv2010

On time-changed Gaussian processes and their associated Fokker-Planck-Kolmogorov equations

This paper establishes Fokker-Planck-Kolmogorov type equations for time-changed Gaussian processes. Examples include those equations for a time-changed fractional Brownian motion with time-dependent Hurst parameter and for a time-changed Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process. The time-change process considered is the inverse of either a stable subordinator or a mixture of independent stable subordinators.

math.PR↗

arXiv2010

Stochastic Calculus for a Time-changed Semimartingale and the Associated Stochastic Differential Equations

It is shown that under a certain condition on a semimartingale and a time-change, any stochastic integral driven by the time-changed semimartingale is a time-changed stochastic integral driven by the original semimartingale. As a direct consequence, a specialized form of the Ito formula is derived. When a standard Brownian motion is the original semimartingale, classical Ito stochastic differential equations driven by the Brownian motion with drift extend to a larger class of stochastic differential equations involving a time-change with continuous paths. A form of the general solution of linear equations in this new class is established, followed by consideration of some examples analogous to the classical equations. Through these examples, each coefficient of the stochastic differential equations in the new class is given meaning. The new feature is the coexistence of a usual drift term along with a term related to the time-change.

math.PR↗

arXiv2010

SDEs driven by a time-changed Lévy process and their associated time-fractional order pseudo-differential equations

It is known that the transition probabilities of a solution to a classical Itô stochastic differential equation (SDE) satisfy in the weak sense the associated Kolmogorov equation. The Kolmogorov equation is a partial differential equation with coeffcients determined by the corresponding SDE. Time-fractional Kolmogorov type equations are used to model complex processes in many fields. However, the class of SDEs that is associated with these equations is unknown except in a few special cases. The present paper shows that in the cases of either time-fractional order or more general time-distributed order differential equations, the associated class of SDEs can be described within the framework of SDEs driven by semimartingales. These semimartingales are time-changed Lévy processes where the independent time-change is given respectively by the inverse of a single or mixture of independent stable subordinators. Examples are provided, including a fractional analogue of the Feynman-Kac formula.

math.PR↗

arXiv2010

Fokker-Planck-Kolmogorov equations associated with SDEs driven by time-changed fractional Brownian motion

In this paper Fokker-Planck-Kolmogorov type equations associated with stochastic differential equations driven by a time-changed fractional Brownian motion are derived. Two equivalent forms are suggested. The time-change process considered is either the first hitting time process for a stable subordinator or a mixture of stable subordinators. A family of operators arising in the representation of the Fokker-Plank-Kolmogorov equations is shown to have the semigroup property.

math-ph↗

arXiv2007

Bayesian shrinkage prediction for the regression problem

We consider Bayesian shrinkage predictions for the Normal regression problem under the frequentist Kullback-Leibler risk function. Firstly, we consider the multivariate Normal model with an unknown mean and a known covariance. While the unknown mean is fixed, the covariance of future samples can be different from training samples. We show that the Bayesian predictive distribution based on the uniform prior is dominated by that based on a class of priors if the prior distributions for the covariance and future covariance matrices are rotation invariant. Then, we consider a class of priors for the mean parameters depending on the future covariance matrix. With such a prior, we can construct a Bayesian predictive distribution dominating that based on the uniform prior. Lastly, applying this result to the prediction of response variables in the Normal linear regression model, we show that there exists a Bayesian predictive distribution dominating that based on the uniform prior. Minimaxity of these Bayesian predictions follows from these results.

math.ST↗