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Keiko Kircher

Publications and source records attributed to Keiko Kircher.

2 recordsLinked to original sources

Single-point statistical moments of the nonhomogeneous stochastic advection equation in the small correlation length limit

This paper presents the derivation of closed-form expressions of the single-point statistical moments of a solution to a nonhomogeneous stochastic advection equation with a linear relaxation. While analytical solutions exist for homogeneous systems, nonhomogeneous cases have traditionally relied on intensive numerical simulations. Here, we provide an analytical framework for calculating single-point statistical moments by first obtaining the solution to the stochastic advection equation via the method of characteristics, from which the moments are derived. Explicit, closed-form expressions for the first four moments are derived as functions of the characteristic length scale of the stochastic velocity field and the spatial derivatives of time-mean profile of the field. The analytical results are validated against numerical simulations, demonstrating excellent agreement across a range of physical parameters. The resulting theory acts as a generalized ``equation-of-state" style approach for predicting variability and non-Gaussian statistical behavior directly from the macroscopic mean state, providing applicability across transport systems with a wide range of time and length scales, including geology, hydrology, and atmospheric sciences.

physics.flu-dyn

Analytical Model for the Higher Order Moments of Midlatitude Atmospheric Temperature Distributions

Observed distributions of atmospheric temperature are non-Gaussian. Therefore, moments beyond variance are necessary in determining the frequency of extreme temperature events. Here we propose a simple kinematic model for atmospheric mid-latitude temperature variability based on symmetric advection from a non-symmetric background temperature profile. We then use this model to derive analytical expressions for the higher order moments of temperature distributions. Our results show that nonzero skewness and kurtosis arise due to the nonlinearity of the time-mean meridional temperature profile. The analytical model matches an idealized Held-suarez atmospheric model, indicating nonlinearity of time-mean temperature in latitude is the dominant contribution to nonzero skewness and kurtosis in synoptic temperature variations. Model analysis further shows decrease in higher order moments due to climate change come roughly equally from changes in mixing length and changes in the background temperature profiles.

physics.ao-ph