arXiv subjects

Keith Worden

Publications and source records attributed to Keith Worden.

At least 37 records · Page 2Linked to original sources

arXiv2023

Towards risk-informed PBSHM: Populations as hierarchical systems

The prospect of informed and optimal decision-making regarding the operation and maintenance (O&M) of structures provides impetus to the development of structural health monitoring (SHM) systems. A probabilistic risk-based framework for decision-making has already been proposed. However, in order to learn the statistical models necessary for decision-making, measured data from the structure of interest are required. Unfortunately, these data are seldom available across the range of environmental and operational conditions necessary to ensure good generalisation of the model. Recently, technologies have been developed that overcome this challenge, by extending SHM to populations of structures, such that valuable knowledge may be transferred between instances of structures that are sufficiently similar. This new approach is termed population-based structural heath monitoring (PBSHM). The current paper presents a formal representation of populations of structures, such that risk-based decision processes may be specified within them. The population-based representation is an extension to the hierarchical representation of a structure used within the probabilistic risk-based decision framework to define fault trees. The result is a series, consisting of systems of systems ranging from the individual component level up to an inventory of heterogeneous populations. The current paper considers an inventory of wind farms as a motivating example and highlights the inferences and decisions that can be made within the hierarchical representation.

cs.AI↗

arXiv2022

A Bayesian Method for Material Identification of Composite Plates via Dispersion Curves

Ultrasonic guided waves offer a convenient and practical approach to structural health monitoring and non-destructive evaluation. A key property of guided waves is the fully-defined relationship between central frequency and propagation characteristics (phase velocity, group velocity and wavenumber) -- which is described using dispersion curves. For many guided wave-based strategies, accurate dispersion curve information is invaluable, such as group velocity for localisation. From experimental observations of dispersion curves, a system identification procedure can be used to determine the governing material properties. As well as returning an estimated value, it is useful to determine the distribution of these properties based on measured data. A method of simulating samples from these distributions is to use the iterative Markov-Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) procedure, which allows for freedom in the shape of the posterior. In this work, a scanning-laser doppler vibrometer is used to record the propagation of Lamb waves in a unidirectional-glass-fibre composite plate, and dispersion curve data for various propagation angles are extracted. Using these measured dispersion curve data, the MCMC sampling procedure is performed to provide a Bayesian approach to determining the dispersion curve information for an arbitrary plate.

stat.AP↗

arXiv2022

On topological data analysis for structural dynamics: an introduction to persistent homology

Topological methods can provide a way of proposing new metrics and methods of scrutinising data, that otherwise may be overlooked. In this work, a method of quantifying the shape of data, via a topic called topological data analysis will be introduced. The main tool within topological data analysis (TDA) is persistent homology. Persistent homology is a method of quantifying the shape of data over a range of length scales. The required background and a method of computing persistent homology is briefly discussed in this work. Ideas from topological data analysis are then used for nonlinear dynamics to analyse some common attractors, by calculating their embedding dimension, and then to assess their general topologies. A method will also be proposed, that uses topological data analysis to determine the optimal delay for a time-delay embedding. TDA will also be applied to a Z24 Bridge case study in structural health monitoring, where it will be used to scrutinise different data partitions, classified by the conditions at which the data were collected. A metric, from topological data analysis, is used to compare data between the partitions. The results presented demonstrate that the presence of damage alters the manifold shape more significantly than the effects present from temperature.

stat.ML↗

arXiv2022

On the application of the generating series for nonlinear systems with polynomial stiffness

Analytical solutions to nonlinear differential equations -- where they exist at all -- can often be very difficult to find. For example, Duffing's equation for a system with cubic stiffness requires the use of elliptic functions in the exact solution. A system with general polynomial stiffness would be even more difficult to solve analytically, if such a solution was even to exist. Perturbation and series solutions are possible, but become increasingly demanding as the order of solution increases. This paper aims to revisit, present and discuss a geometric/algebraic method of determining system response which lends itself to automation. The method, originally due to Fliess and co-workers, makes use of the generating series and shuffle product, mathematical ideas founded in differential geometry and abstract algebra. A family of nonlinear differential equations with polynomial stiffness is considered; the process of manipulating a series expansion into the generating series follows and is shown to provide a recursive schematic, which is amenable to computer algebra. The inverse Laplace-Borel transform is then applied to derive a time-domain response. New solutions are presented for systems with general polynomial stiffness, both for deterministic and Gaussian white-noise excitation

math.DS↗

arXiv2022

On the application of topological data analysis: a Z24 Bridge case study

Topological methods are very rarely used in structural health monitoring (SHM), or indeed in structural dynamics generally, especially when considering the structure and topology of observed data. Topological methods can provide a way of proposing new metrics and methods of scrutinising data, that otherwise may be overlooked. In this work, a method of quantifying the shape of data, via a topic called topological data analysis will be introduced. The main tool within topological data analysis is persistent homology. Persistent homology is a method of quantifying the shape of data over a range of length scales. The required background and a method of computing persistent homology is briefly introduced here. Ideas from topological data analysis are applied to a Z24 Bridge case study, to scrutinise different data partitions, classified by the conditions at which the data were collected. A metric, from topological data analysis, is used to compare between the partitions. The results presented demonstrate that the presence of damage alters the manifold shape more significantly than the effects present from temperature.

cs.HC↗

arXiv2022

On topological data analysis for SHM; an introduction to persistent homology

This paper aims to discuss a method of quantifying the 'shape' of data, via a methodology called topological data analysis. The main tool within topological data analysis is persistent homology; this is a means of measuring the shape of data, from the homology of a simplicial complex, calculated over a range of values. The required background theory and a method of computing persistent homology is presented here, with applications specific to structural health monitoring. These results allow for topological inference and the ability to deduce features in higher-dimensional data, that might otherwise be overlooked. A simplicial complex is constructed for data for a given distance parameter. This complex encodes information about the local proximity of data points. A singular homology value can be calculated from this simplicial complex. Extending this idea, the distance parameter is given for a range of values, and the homology is calculated over this range. The persistent homology is a representation of how the homological features of the data persist over this interval. The result is characteristic to the data. A method that allows for the comparison of the persistent homology for different data sets is also discussed.

math.AT↗

arXiv2022

A topological analysis of cointegrated data: a Z24 Bridge case study

The paper studies the topological changes from before and after cointegration, for the natural frequencies of the Z24 Bridge. The second natural frequency is known to be nonlinear in temperature, and this will serve as the main focal point of this work. Cointegration is a method of normalising time series data with respect to one another - often strongly-correlated time series. Cointegration is used in this paper to remove effects from Environmental and Operational Variations, by cointegrating the first four natural frequencies for the Z24 Bridge data. The temperature effects on the natural frequency data are clearly visible within the data, and it is desirable, for the purposes of structural health monitoring, that these effects are removed. The univariate time series are embedded in higher-dimensional space, such that interesting topologies are formed. Topological data analysis is used to analyse the raw time series, and the cointegrated equivalents. A standard topological data analysis pipeline is enacted, where simplicial complexes are constructed from the embedded point clouds. Topological properties are then calculated from the simplicial complexes; such as the persistent homology. The persistent homology is then analysed, to determine the topological structure of all the time series.

math.AT↗

arXiv2022

Modelling variability in vibration-based PBSHM via a generalised population form

Structural health monitoring (SHM) has been an active research area for the last three decades, and has accumulated a number of critical advances over that period, as can be seen in the literature. However, SHM is still facing challenges because of the paucity of damage-state data, operational and environmental fluctuations, repeatability issues, and changes in boundary conditions. These issues present as inconsistencies in the captured features and can have a huge impact on the practical implementation, but more critically, on the generalisation of the technology. Population-based SHM has been designed to address some of these concerns by modelling and transferring missing information using data collected from groups of similar structures. In this work, vibration data were collected from four healthy, nominally-identical, full-scale composite helicopter blades. Manufacturing differences (e.g., slight differences in geometry and/or material properties), among the blades presented as variability in their structural dynamics, which can be very problematic for SHM based on machine learning from vibration data. This work aims to address this variability by defining a general model for the frequency response functions of the blades, called a form, using mixtures of Gaussian processes.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2022

On robust risk-based active-learning algorithms for enhanced decision support

Classification models are a fundamental component of physical-asset management technologies such as structural health monitoring (SHM) systems and digital twins. Previous work introduced risk-based active learning, an online approach for the development of statistical classifiers that takes into account the decision-support context in which they are applied. Decision-making is considered by preferentially querying data labels according to expected value of perfect information (EVPI). Although several benefits are gained by adopting a risk-based active learning approach, including improved decision-making performance, the algorithms suffer from issues relating to sampling bias as a result of the guided querying process. This sampling bias ultimately manifests as a decline in decision-making performance during the later stages of active learning, which in turn corresponds to lost resource/utility. The current paper proposes two novel approaches to counteract the effects of sampling bias: semi-supervised learning, and discriminative classification models. These approaches are first visualised using a synthetic dataset, then subsequently applied to an experimental case study, specifically, the Z24 Bridge dataset. The semi-supervised learning approach is shown to have variable performance; with robustness to sampling bias dependent on the suitability of the generative distributions selected for the model with respect to each dataset. In contrast, the discriminative classifiers are shown to have excellent robustness to the effects of sampling bias. Moreover, it was found that the number of inspections made during a monitoring campaign, and therefore resource expenditure, could be reduced with the careful selection of the statistical classifiers used within a decision-supporting monitoring system.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2022

Mitigating sampling bias in risk-based active learning via an EM algorithm

Risk-based active learning is an approach to developing statistical classifiers for online decision-support. In this approach, data-label querying is guided according to the expected value of perfect information for incipient data points. For SHM applications, the value of information is evaluated with respect to a maintenance decision process, and the data-label querying corresponds to the inspection of a structure to determine its health state. Sampling bias is a known issue within active-learning paradigms; this occurs when an active learning process over- or undersamples specific regions of a feature-space, thereby resulting in a training set that is not representative of the underlying distribution. This bias ultimately degrades decision-making performance, and as a consequence, results in unnecessary costs incurred. The current paper outlines a risk-based approach to active learning that utilises a semi-supervised Gaussian mixture model. The semi-supervised approach counteracts sampling bias by incorporating pseudo-labels for unlabelled data via an EM algorithm. The approach is demonstrated on a numerical example representative of the decision processes found in SHM.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2022

Improving decision-making via risk-based active learning: Probabilistic discriminative classifiers

Gaining the ability to make informed decisions on operation and maintenance of structures provides motivation for the implementation of structural health monitoring (SHM) systems. However, descriptive labels for measured data corresponding to health-states of the monitored system are often unavailable. This issue limits the applicability of fully-supervised machine learning paradigms for the development of statistical classifiers to be used in decision-support in SHM systems. One approach to dealing with this problem is risk-based active learning. In such an approach, data-label querying is guided according to the expected value of perfect information for incipient data points. For risk-based active learning in SHM, the value of information is evaluated with respect to a maintenance decision process, and the data-label querying corresponds to the inspection of a structure to determine its health state. In the context of SHM, risk-based active learning has only been considered for generative classifiers. The current paper demonstrates several advantages of using an alternative type of classifier -- discriminative models. Using the Z24 Bridge dataset as a case study, it is shown that discriminative classifiers have benefits, in the context of SHM decision-support, including improved robustness to sampling bias, and reduced expenditure on structural inspections.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2022

A generalised form for a homogeneous population of structures using an overlapping mixture of Gaussian processes

Reductions in natural frequency are often used as a damage indicator for structural health monitoring (SHM) purposes. However, fluctuations in operational and environmental conditions, changes in boundary conditions, and slight differences among nominally-identical structures can also affect stiffness, producing frequency changes that mimic or mask damage. This variability has limited the practical implementation and generalisation of SHM technologies. The aim of this work is to investigate the effects of normal variation, and to identify methods that account for the resulting uncertainty. This work considers vibration data collected from a set of four healthy full-scale composite helicopter blades. The blades were nominally-identical but distinct, and slight differences in material properties and geometry among the blades caused significant variability in the frequency response functions, which presented as four separate trajectories across the input space. In this paper, an overlapping mixture of Gaussian processes (OMGP), was used to generate labels and quantify the uncertainty of normal-condition frequency response data from the helicopter blades. Using a population-based approach, the OMGP model provided a generic representation, called a form, to characterise the normal condition of the blades. Additional simulated data were then compared against the form and evaluated for damage using a marginal-likelihood novelty index.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2022

On statistic alignment for domain adaptation in structural health monitoring

The practical application of structural health monitoring (SHM) is often limited by the availability of labelled data. Transfer learning - specifically in the form of domain adaptation (DA) - gives rise to the possibility of leveraging information from a population of physical or numerical structures, by inferring a mapping that aligns the feature spaces. Typical DA methods rely on nonparametric distance metrics, which require sufficient data to perform density estimation. In addition, these methods can be prone to performance degradation under class imbalance. To address these issues, statistic alignment (SA) is discussed, with a demonstration of how these methods can be made robust to class imbalance, including a special case of class imbalance called a partial DA scenario. SA is demonstrated to facilitate damage localisation with no target labels in a numerical case study, outperforming other state-of-the-art DA methods. It is then shown to be capable of aligning the feature spaces of a real heterogeneous population, the Z24 and KW51 bridges, with only 220 samples used from the KW51 bridge. Finally, in scenarios where more complex mappings are required for knowledge transfer, SA is shown to be a vital pre-processing tool, increasing the performance of established DA methods.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2022

Informative Bayesian Tools for Damage Localisation by Decomposition of Lamb Wave Signals

Ultrasonic guided waves offer a convenient and practical approach to structural health monitoring and non-destructive evaluation, thanks to some distinct advantages. Guided waves, in particular Lamb waves, can be used to localise damage by utilising prior knowledge of propagation and reflection characteristics. Typical localisation methods make use of the time of arrival of waves emitted or reflected from the damage, the simplest of which involves triangulation. It is useful to decompose the measured signal into the expected waves propagating directly from the actuation source in the absence of damage, and for this paper referred to as nominal waves. This decomposition allows for determination of waves reflected from damage, boundaries or other local inhomogeneities. Previous decomposition methods make use of accurate analytical models, but there is a gap in methods of decomposition for complex materials and structures. A new method is shown here which uses a Bayesian approach to decompose single-source signals, which has the advantage of quantification of the uncertainty of the expected signal. Furthermore, the approach produces inherent parametric features which correlate to known physics of guided waves. In this paper, the decomposition method is demonstrated on data from a simulation of guided wave propagation in a small aluminium plate, using the local interaction simulation approach, for a damaged and undamaged case. Analysis of the decomposition method is done in three ways; inspect individual decomposed signals, track the inherently produced parametric features along propagation distance, and use method in a localisation strategy. The Bayesian decomposition was found to work well for the assessment criteria mentioned above. The use of these waves in the localisation method returned estimates accurate to within 1mm in many sensor configurations.

stat.ME↗

arXiv2022

A Bayesian Approach for Shaft Centre Localisation in Journal Bearings

It has been shown that ultrasonic techniques work well for online measuring of circumferential oil film thickness profile in journal bearings; unfortunately, they can be limited by their measuring range and unable to capture details of the film all around the bearing circumference. Attempts to model the film thickness over the full range of the bearing rely on deterministic approaches, which assume the observations to be true with absolute certainty. Unaccounted uncertainties of the film thickness may lead to a cascade of inaccurate predictions for subsequent calculations of hydrodynamic parameters. In the present work, a probabilistic framework is proposed to model the film thickness with Gaussian Processes. The results are then used to estimate the location of the bearing shaft under various operational conditions. A further step in the process involves using the newly-constructed dataset to generate likelihood maps displaying the probable location of the shaft centre, given the bearing rotational speed and applied static load. The results offer the possibility to visualise the confidence of the predictions and allow the true location to be found within an area of high probability within the bearing's bore.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2021

Foundations of Population-Based SHM, Part IV: The Geometry of Spaces of Structures and their Feature Spaces

One of the requirements of the population-based approach to Structural Health Monitoring (SHM) proposed in the earlier papers in this sequence, is that structures be represented by points in an abstract space. Furthermore, these spaces should be metric spaces in a loose sense; i.e. there should be some measure of distance applicable to pairs of points; similar structures should then be close in the metric. However, this geometrical construction is not enough for the framing of problems in data-based SHM, as it leaves undefined the notion of feature spaces. Interpreting the feature values on a structure-by-structure basis as a type of field over the space of structures, it seems sensible to borrow an idea from modern theoretical physics, and define feature assignments as sections in a vector bundle over the structure space. With this idea in place, one can interpret the effect of environmental and operational variations as gauge degrees of freedom, as in modern gauge field theories. This paper will discuss the various geometrical structures required for an abstract theory of feature spaces in SHM, and will draw analogies with how these structures have shown their power in modern physics. In the second part of the paper, the problem of determining the normal condition cross section of a feature bundle is addressed. The solution is provided by the application of Graph Neural Networks (GNN), a versatile non-Euclidean machine learning algorithm which is not restricted to inputs and outputs from vector spaces. In particular, the algorithm is well suited to operating directly on the sort of graph structures which are an important part of the proposed framework for PBSHM. The solution of the normal section problem is demonstrated for a heterogeneous population of truss structures for which the feature of interest is the first natural frequency.

stat.ML↗

arXiv2021

Probabilistic Inference for Structural Health Monitoring: New Modes of Learning from Data

In data-driven SHM, the signals recorded from systems in operation can be noisy and incomplete. Data corresponding to each of the operational, environmental, and damage states are rarely available a priori; furthermore, labelling to describe the measurements is often unavailable. In consequence, the algorithms used to implement SHM should be robust and adaptive, while accommodating for missing information in the training-data -- such that new information can be included if it becomes available. By reviewing novel techniques for statistical learning (introduced in previous work), it is argued that probabilistic algorithms offer a natural solution to the modelling of SHM data in practice. In three case-studies, probabilistic methods are adapted for applications to SHM signals -- including semi-supervised learning, active learning, and multi-task learning.

stat.ML↗

arXiv2021

Damage detection in operational wind turbine blades using a new approach based on machine learning

The application of reliable structural health monitoring (SHM) technologies to operational wind turbine blades is a challenging task, due to the uncertain nature of the environments they operate in. In this paper, a novel SHM methodology, which uses Gaussian Processes (GPs) is proposed. The methodology takes advantage of the fact that the blades on a turbine are nominally identical in structural properties and encounter the same environmental and operational variables (EOVs). The properties of interest are the first edgewise frequencies of the blades. The GPs are used to predict the edge frequencies of one blade given that of another, after these relationships between the pairs of blades have been learned when the blades are in a healthy state. In using this approach, the proposed SHM methodology is able to identify when the blades start behaving differently from one another over time. To validate the concept, the proposed SHM system is applied to real onshore wind turbine blade data, where some form of damage was known to have taken place. X-bar control chart analysis of the residual errors between the GP predictions and actual frequencies show that the system successfully identified early onset of damage as early as six months before it was identified and remedied.

cs.LG↗