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Keivan Bolouri

Publications and source records attributed to Keivan Bolouri.

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Local Epochs, Averaging, and Variable Selection in Federated Lasso

Theoretical analysis and Monte Carlo simulation separate local-epoch effects from averaging and tuning effects in federated Lasso. How much local work should precede averaging when fitting a sparse regression? An orthogonal calculation shows that extra epochs can have no effect while averaging still enlarges the selected set. A correlated two-site construction gives an exact, nonmonotone limiting objective gap and its minimizing epoch count. We then compare coordinate-descent averaging, two thresholding modifications, and adapted FedDualAvg across twelve scenarios and 600 replicates. Methods share a penalty, independent validation samples, selection rules, and resource limits. FedDualAvg generally achieves smaller objective gaps but does not always recover variables better. Thresholding gains depend strongly on selection rules. Epoch effects vary with correlation, signal strength, site allocation, and the outcome measured. These results distinguish faster iteration from better optimization, prediction, and variable selection.

stat.CO

Efficient estimation and the cost of complete-case coarsening under monotone sequential MAR

Complete-case coarsening discards observed confounder values from partially complete records. We study its consequences for average treatment effect estimation with two ordered, partially observed confounders under monotone sequential missing at random. We specialize the standard coarsening-at-random transformation to the causal influence function, establish the canonical gradient, and give an exact drift identity for a cross-fitted estimator with sequential multiple robustness. In the submodel where both sequential and complete-case missing-at-random assumptions hold, we express the efficiency loss from coarsening as a nonnegative expectation involving two iterated projections. The gain is strict when the intermediate confounder supplies residual information where second-stage missingness occurs. Oracle simulations and deterministic quadrature illustrate this efficiency comparison. When second-stage response depends on the intermediate confounder, the comparison instead concerns identification: coarsening can introduce persistent bias. Estimated-nuisance simulations include a bounded-propensity design and a Gaussian stress design. The latter exhibits substantial interval undercoverage and can reverse the finite-sample precision ordering, qualifying the practical interpretation of the efficiency bound.

stat.ME