arXiv subjects

Keivan Faghih Niresi

Publications and source records attributed to Keivan Faghih Niresi.

11 recordsLinked to original sources

arXiv2026

GSLAD: Prototype-Regularized Graph Structure Learning for Multivariate Time Series Anomaly Detection

Unsupervised multivariate time series anomaly detection methods typically identify anomalies through forecasting, reconstruction, or representation discrepancies. However, industrial faults may first alter inter-variable structural patterns while individual trajectories remain close to normal, resulting in weak anomaly signals. In this paper, we propose GSLAD, a prototype-regularized graph structure learning framework that uses structural deviations for anomaly scoring. GSLAD adopts a two-phase training strategy. First, a condition-aware graph learner and a graph-based forecaster are optimized with predictive supervision. The inferred normal graphs are then clustered into multiple structural prototypes representing different normal operating regimes, with edge-wise variability characterizing structural uncertainty. Deviations from these prototypes regularize the graph learner in the second phase, encouraging stable and regime-specific structural patterns. During inference, uncertainty-normalized structural deviation is combined with predictive deviation for anomaly scoring. Experiments on four industrial benchmarks demonstrate strong overall performance of GSLAD and confirm the effectiveness of structural deviation for anomaly detection and diagnosis.

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arXiv2026

Relational and Sequential Conformal Inference for Energy Time Series over Graphs via Foundation Models

Accurate energy demand forecasting is essential for the reliable operation and planning of modern sustainable energy systems. Spatial-temporal graph neural networks (STGNNs) have recently achieved strong performance in point forecasting by jointly modeling temporal dynamics and relational dependencies across interconnected energy nodes. However, in real-world energy systems, accurate point forecasts alone are insufficient, as operators also require reliable uncertainty estimates to support risk-aware decision-making, grid stability, and operational planning under uncertainty. Conformal prediction provides a principled and model-agnostic framework for uncertainty quantification with statistical coverage guarantees, making it particularly attractive for safety-critical energy applications. However, existing conformal prediction approaches often fail to fully capture the complex spatial-temporal structure of energy systems. To address these limitations, we propose STOIC (Spatial-Temporal Graph Conformal Prediction with In-Context Learning), a novel framework that integrates graph-based forecasting with the zero-shot calibration capabilities of tabular foundation models. STOIC first generates point forecasts using an STGNN and subsequently reformulates spatial-temporal residuals into a tabular representation suitable for in-context learning. Leveraging a tabular foundation model, STOIC calibrates prediction intervals without task-specific retraining, effectively capturing both sequential and relational dependencies. We evaluate STOIC on five diverse benchmarks, including synthetic simulations as well as real-world electricity and district heating networks. Across all datasets, STOIC consistently outperforms existing conformal prediction baselines, delivering more reliable and robust uncertainty estimates for complex graph-structured energy time series.

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arXiv2026

Graph Signal Separation with Learnable Spectral Filters

Separating multiple graph signals from a single observed mixture is an inherently ill-posed problem that traditionally relies on restrictive and handcrafted priors. This letter addresses this challenge by proposing an unsupervised learnable spectral filtering framework. Our approach reconstructs latent components by passing a fixed random input through learnable spectral filters, operating within the low-frequency eigenspace of each source-specific graph Laplacian. The architecture implicitly biases the recovered signals toward smooth patterns by confining reconstruction to these low-frequency subspaces. This acts as a structural prior, establishing a principled bridge between classical graph spectral analysis and modern neural decomposition. Numerical experiments confirm that this framework successfully isolates individual sources using solely the observed mixture and the underlying graph topology.

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arXiv2026

Virtual Smart Metering in District Heating Networks via Heterogeneous Spatial-Temporal Graph Neural Networks

Intelligent operation of thermal energy networks aims to improve energy efficiency, reliability, and operational flexibility through data-driven control, predictive optimization, and early fault detection. Achieving these goals relies on sufficient observability, requiring continuous and well-distributed monitoring of thermal and hydraulic states. However, district heating systems are typically sparsely instrumented and frequently affected by sensor faults, limiting monitoring. Virtual sensing offers a cost-effective means to enhance observability, yet its development and validation remain limited in practice. Existing data-driven methods generally assume dense synchronized data, while analytical models rely on simplified hydraulic and thermal assumptions that may not adequately capture the behavior of heterogeneous network topologies. Consequently, modeling the coupled nonlinear dependencies between pressure, flow, and temperature under realistic operating conditions remains challenging. In addition, the lack of publicly available benchmark datasets hinders systematic comparison of virtual sensing approaches. To address these challenges, we propose a heterogeneous spatial-temporal graph neural network (HSTGNN) for constructing virtual smart heat meters. The model incorporates the functional relationships inherent in district heating networks and employs dedicated branches to learn graph structures and temporal dynamics for flow, temperature, and pressure measurements, thereby enabling the joint modeling of cross-variable and spatial correlations. To support further research, we introduce a controlled laboratory dataset collected at the Aalborg Smart Water Infrastructure Laboratory, providing synchronized high-resolution measurements representative of real operating conditions. Extensive experiments demonstrate that the proposed approach significantly outperforms existing baselines.

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arXiv2025

Time-Vertex Machine Learning for Optimal Sensor Placement in Temporal Graph Signals: Applications in Structural Health Monitoring

Structural Health Monitoring (SHM) plays a crucial role in maintaining the safety and resilience of infrastructure. As sensor networks grow in scale and complexity, identifying the most informative sensors becomes essential to reduce deployment costs without compromising monitoring quality. While Graph Signal Processing (GSP) has shown promise by leveraging spatial correlations among sensor nodes, conventional approaches often overlook the temporal dynamics of structural behavior. To overcome this limitation, we propose Time-Vertex Machine Learning (TVML), a novel framework that integrates GSP, time-domain analysis, and machine learning to enable interpretable and efficient sensor placement by identifying representative nodes that minimize redundancy while preserving critical information. We evaluate the proposed approach on two bridge datasets for damage detection and time-varying graph signal reconstruction tasks. The results demonstrate the effectiveness of our approach in enhancing SHM systems by providing a robust, adaptive, and efficient solution for sensor placement.

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arXiv2025

RINS-T: Robust Implicit Neural Solvers for Time Series Linear Inverse Problems

Time series data are often affected by various forms of corruption, such as missing values, noise, and outliers, which pose significant challenges for tasks such as forecasting and anomaly detection. To address these issues, inverse problems focus on reconstructing the original signal from corrupted data by leveraging prior knowledge about its underlying structure. While deep learning methods have demonstrated potential in this domain, they often require extensive pretraining and struggle to generalize under distribution shifts. In this work, we propose RINS-T (Robust Implicit Neural Solvers for Time Series Linear Inverse Problems), a novel deep prior framework that achieves high recovery performance without requiring pretraining data. RINS-T leverages neural networks as implicit priors and integrates robust optimization techniques, making it resilient to outliers while relaxing the reliance on Gaussian noise assumptions. To further improve optimization stability and robustness, we introduce three key innovations: guided input initialization, input perturbation, and convex output combination techniques. Each of these contributions strengthens the framework's optimization stability and robustness. These advancements make RINS-T a flexible and effective solution for addressing complex real-world time series challenges. Our code is available at https://github.com/EPFL-IMOS/RINS-T.

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arXiv2025

From Physics to Machine Learning and Back: Part II - Learning and Observational Bias in PHM

Prognostics and Health Management ensures the reliability, safety, and efficiency of complex engineered systems by enabling fault detection, anticipating equipment failures, and optimizing maintenance activities throughout an asset lifecycle. However, real-world PHM presents persistent challenges: sensor data is often noisy or incomplete, available labels are limited, and degradation behaviors and system interdependencies can be highly complex and nonlinear. Physics-informed machine learning has emerged as a promising approach to address these limitations by embedding physical knowledge into data-driven models. This review examines how incorporating learning and observational biases through physics-informed modeling and data strategies can guide models toward physically consistent and reliable predictions. Learning biases embed physical constraints into model training through physics-informed loss functions and governing equations, or by incorporating properties like monotonicity. Observational biases influence data selection and synthesis to ensure models capture realistic system behavior through virtual sensing for estimating unmeasured states, physics-based simulation for data augmentation, and multi-sensor fusion strategies. The review then examines how these approaches enable the transition from passive prediction to active decision-making through reinforcement learning, which allows agents to learn maintenance policies that respect physical constraints while optimizing operational objectives. This closes the loop between model-based predictions, simulation, and actual system operation, empowering adaptive decision-making. Finally, the review addresses the critical challenge of scaling PHM solutions from individual assets to fleet-wide deployment. Fast adaptation methods including meta-learning and few-shot learning are reviewed alongside domain generalization techniques ...

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arXiv2025

Efficient Unsupervised Domain Adaptation Regression for Spatial-Temporal Sensor Fusion

The growing deployment of low-cost, distributed sensor networks in environmental and biomedical domains has enabled continuous, large-scale health monitoring. However, these systems often face challenges related to degraded data quality caused by sensor drift, noise, and insufficient calibration -- factors that limit their reliability in real-world applications. Traditional machine learning methods for sensor fusion and calibration rely on extensive feature engineering and struggle to capture spatial-temporal dependencies or adapt to distribution shifts across varying deployment conditions. To address these challenges, we propose a novel unsupervised domain adaptation (UDA) method tailored for regression tasks. Our proposed method integrates effectively with Spatial-Temporal Graph Neural Networks and leverages the alignment of perturbed inverse Gram matrices between source and target domains, drawing inspiration from Tikhonov regularization. This approach enables scalable and efficient domain adaptation without requiring labeled data in the target domain. We validate our novel method on real-world datasets from two distinct applications: air quality monitoring and EEG signal reconstruction. Our method achieves state-of-the-art performance which paves the way for more robust and transferable sensor fusion models in both environmental and physiological contexts. Our code is available at https://github.com/EPFL-IMOS/TikUDA.

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arXiv2024

Physics-Enhanced Graph Neural Networks For Soft Sensing in Industrial Internet of Things

The Industrial Internet of Things (IIoT) is reshaping manufacturing, industrial processes, and infrastructure management. By fostering new levels of automation, efficiency, and predictive maintenance, IIoT is transforming traditional industries into intelligent, seamlessly interconnected ecosystems. However, achieving highly reliable IIoT can be hindered by factors such as the cost of installing large numbers of sensors, limitations in retrofitting existing systems with sensors, or harsh environmental conditions that may make sensor installation impractical. Soft (virtual) sensing leverages mathematical models to estimate variables from physical sensor data, offering a solution to these challenges. Data-driven and physics-based modeling are the two main methodologies widely used for soft sensing. The choice between these strategies depends on the complexity of the underlying system, with the data-driven approach often being preferred when the physics-based inference models are intricate and present challenges for state estimation. However, conventional deep learning models are typically hindered by their inability to explicitly represent the complex interactions among various sensors. To address this limitation, we adopt Graph Neural Networks (GNNs), renowned for their ability to effectively capture the complex relationships between sensor measurements. In this research, we propose physics-enhanced GNNs, which integrate principles of physics into graph-based methodologies. This is achieved by augmenting additional nodes in the input graph derived from the underlying characteristics of the physical processes. Our evaluation of the proposed methodology on the case study of district heating networks reveals significant improvements over purely data-driven GNNs, even in the presence of noise and parameter inaccuracies.

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arXiv2024

Informed Graph Learning By Domain Knowledge Injection and Smooth Graph Signal Representation

Graph signal processing represents an important advancement in the field of data analysis, extending conventional signal processing methodologies to complex networks and thereby facilitating the exploration of informative patterns and structures across various domains. However, acquiring the underlying graphs for specific applications remains a challenging task. While graph inference based on smooth graph signal representation has become one of the state-of-the-art methods, these approaches usually overlook the unique properties of networks, which are generally derived from domain-specific knowledge. Overlooking this information could make the approaches less interpretable and less effective overall. In this study, we propose a new graph inference method that leverages available domain knowledge. The proposed methodology is evaluated on the task of denoising and imputing missing sensor data, utilizing graph signal reconstruction techniques. The results demonstrate that incorporating domain knowledge into the graph inference process can improve graph signal reconstruction in district heating networks. Our code is available at \href{https://github.com/Keiv4n/IGL}{github.com/Keiv4n/IGL}.

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arXiv2023

Spatial-Temporal Graph Attention Fuser for Calibration in IoT Air Pollution Monitoring Systems

The use of Internet of Things (IoT) sensors for air pollution monitoring has significantly increased, resulting in the deployment of low-cost sensors. Despite this advancement, accurately calibrating these sensors in uncontrolled environmental conditions remains a challenge. To address this, we propose a novel approach that leverages graph neural networks, specifically the graph attention network module, to enhance the calibration process by fusing data from sensor arrays. Through our experiments, we demonstrate the effectiveness of our approach in significantly improving the calibration accuracy of sensors in IoT air pollution monitoring platforms.

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