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Kenne Pagui

Publications and source records attributed to Kenne Pagui.

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Scalable random number generation for truncated log-concave distributions

Inverse transform sampling is an exceptionally general method to generate non-uniform-distributed random numbers, but can be rather unstable when simulating extremely truncated distributions. Many famous probability models share a property called log-concavity, which is not affected by truncation, so they can all be simulated via rejection sampling using Devroye's approach. This sampler is based on rejection and thus more stable than inverse transform, and uses a very simple envelope whose acceptance rate is guaranteed to be at least 20\%. The aim of this paper is threefold: firstly, to warn against the risk of wrongly simulating from truncated distributions; secondly, to motivate a more extensive use of rejection sampling to mitigate the issues; lastly, to motivate Devroye's automatic method as a practical standard in the case of log-concave distributions. We illustrate the proposal by means of simulations based on some Tweedie distributions, for their relevance in regression analysis.

stat.ME

Median bias reduction of maximum likelihood estimates

For regular parametric problems, we show how median centering of the maximum likelihood estimate can be achieved by a simple modification of the score equation. For a scalar parameter of interest, the estimator is equivariant under interest respecting parameterizations and third-order median unbiased. With a vector parameter of interest, componentwise equivariance and third-order median centering are obtained. Like Firth's (1993, Biometrika) implicit method for bias reduction, the new method does not require finiteness of the maximum likelihood estimate and is effective in preventing infinite estimates. Simulation results for continuous and discrete models, including binary and beta regression, confirm that the method succeeds in achieving componentwise median centering and in solving the infinite estimate problem, while keeping comparable dispersion and the same approximate distribution as its main competitors.

stat.ME