arXiv subjects

Keqin Xu

Publications and source records attributed to Keqin Xu.

4 recordsLinked to original sources

arXiv2026

DREAM Technical Report

Industrial recommender systems commonly use cascaded retrieval, ranking, and re-ranking pipelines. Although efficient, these pipelines fragment information and objectives across modules, rely on rigid rules, and have limited awareness of real-time intent, leaving session-level shifts among browsing, comparison, and purchase insufficiently addressed. We present DREAM (Developing Recommender Engine with Agentic Methods), an autonomous optimization control architecture that adds a perception-aware, orchestrable, and auditable policy layer atop existing pipelines without replacing them. DREAM has two core components. First, a three-tier Intent Engine fuses on-device signals into structured L0/L1/L2 intent representations; its edge-cloud trigger chain reduces reporting volume to approximately 8.7%. Second, a Meta Engine uses a MetaModel for layered M1-to-M2-to-M3 reasoning: intent summarization, strategy planning informed by Strategy Memory, and parameter translation. It dispatches the resulting parameters through a unified outlet with safety guardrails. A Reward Dual Loop continuously optimizes both components by combining offline simulation for strategy-space exploration with online feedback for outcome calibration, forming a cycle of generation, execution, evaluation, and experience accumulation. Large-scale A/B tests on Taobao's homepage feed show that re-ranking control alone improves IPV by 2.06%, Core IPV by 2.39%, and GMV by 0.88%. Extending control to fine ranking raises these gains to 2.71%, 3.06%, and 1.31%, respectively, while consistently improving PV by more than 1%. These gains require neither replacement of pipeline models nor compromise of serving stability, supporting agentic meta-control as a viable paradigm for industrial recommendation.

cs.IR↗

arXiv2026

A Long-term Value Prediction Framework In Video Ranking

Accurately modeling long-term value (LTV) at the ranking stage of short-video recommendation remains challenging. While delayed feedback and extended engagement have been explored, fine-grained attribution and robust position normalization at billion-scale are still underdeveloped. We propose a practical ranking-stage LTV framework addressing three challenges: position bias, attribution ambiguity, and temporal limitations. (1) Position bias: We introduce a Position-aware Debias Quantile (PDQ) module that normalizes engagement via quantile-based distributions, enabling position-robust LTV estimation without architectural changes. (2) Attribution ambiguity: We propose a multi-dimensional attribution module that learns continuous attribution strengths across contextual, behavioral, and content signals, replacing static rules to capture nuanced inter-video influence. A customized hybrid loss with explicit noise filtering improves causal clarity. (3) Temporal limitations: We present a cross-temporal author modeling module that builds censoring-aware, day-level LTV targets to capture creator-driven re-engagement over longer horizons; the design is extensible to other dimensions (e.g., topics, styles). Offline studies and online A/B tests show significant improvements in LTV metrics and stable trade-offs with short-term objectives. Implemented as task augmentation within an existing ranking model, the framework supports efficient training and serving, and has been deployed at billion-scale in Taobao's production system, delivering sustained engagement gains while remaining compatible with industrial constraints.

cs.IR↗

arXiv2025

Shylock: Causal Discovery in Multivariate Time Series based on Hybrid Constraints

Causal relationship discovery has been drawing increasing attention due to its prevalent application. Existing methods rely on human experience, statistical methods, or graphical criteria methods which are error-prone, stuck at the idealized assumption, and rely on a huge amount of data. And there is also a serious data gap in accessing Multivariate time series(MTS) in many areas, adding difficulty in finding their causal relationship. Existing methods are easy to be over-fitting on them. To fill the gap we mentioned above, in this paper, we propose Shylock, a novel method that can work well in both few-shot and normal MTS to find the causal relationship. Shylock can reduce the number of parameters exponentially by using group dilated convolution and a sharing kernel, but still learn a better representation of variables with time delay. By combing the global constraint and the local constraint, Shylock achieves information sharing among networks to help improve the accuracy. To evaluate the performance of Shylock, we also design a data generation method to generate MTS with time delay. We evaluate it on commonly used benchmarks and generated datasets. Extensive experiments show that Shylock outperforms two existing state-of-art methods on both few-shot and normal MTS. We also developed Tcausal, a library for easy use and deployed it on the EarthDataMiner platform

cs.AI↗

arXiv2025

AliBoost: Ecological Boosting Framework in Alibaba Platform

Maintaining a healthy ecosystem in billion-scale online platforms is challenging, as users naturally gravitate toward popular items, leaving cold and less-explored items behind. This ''rich-get-richer'' phenomenon hinders the growth of potentially valuable cold items and harms the platform's ecosystem. Existing cold-start models primarily focus on improving initial recommendation performance for cold items but fail to address users' natural preference for popular content. In this paper, we introduce AliBoost, Alibaba's ecological boosting framework, designed to complement user-oriented natural recommendations and foster a healthier ecosystem. AliBoost incorporates a tiered boosting structure and boosting principles to ensure high-potential items quickly gain exposure while minimizing disruption to low-potential items. To achieve this, we propose the Stacking Fine-Tuning Cold Predictor to enhance the foundation CTR model's performance on cold items for accurate CTR and potential prediction. AliBoost then employs an Item-oriented Bidding Boosting mechanism to deliver cold items to the most suitable users while balancing boosting speed with user-personalized preferences. Over the past six months, AliBoost has been deployed across Alibaba's mainstream platforms, successfully cold-starting over a billion new items and increasing both clicks and GMV of cold items by over 60% within 180 days. Extensive online analysis and A/B testing demonstrate the effectiveness of AliBoost in addressing ecological challenges, offering new insights into the design of billion-scale recommender systems.

cs.IR↗