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Kesheng Wu

Publications and source records attributed to Kesheng Wu.

28 records · Page 2Linked to original sources

Investigating Underlying Drivers of Variability in Residential Energy Usage Patterns with Daily Load Shape Clustering of Smart Meter Data

Residential customers have traditionally not been treated as individual entities due to the high volatility in residential consumption patterns as well as a historic focus on aggregated loads from the utility and system feeder perspective. Large-scale deployment of smart meters has motivated increasing studies to explore disaggregated daily load patterns, which can reveal important heterogeneity across different time scales, weather conditions, as well as within and across individual households. This paper aims to shed light on the mechanisms by which electricity consumption patterns exhibit variability and the different constraints that may affect demand-response (DR) flexibility. We systematically evaluate the relationship between daily time-of-use patterns and their variability to external and internal influencing factors, including time scales of interest, meteorological conditions, and household characteristics by application of an improved version of the adaptive K-means clustering method to profile "household-days" of a summer peaking utility. We find that for this summer-peaking utility, outdoor temperature is the most important external driver of the load shape variability relative to seasonality and day-of-week. The top three consumption patterns represent approximately 50% of usage on the highest temperature days. The variability in summer load shapes across customers can be explained by the responsiveness of the households to outside temperature. Our results suggest that depending on the influencing factors, not all the consumption variability can be readily translated to consumption flexibility. Such information needs to be further explored in segmenting customers for better program targeting and tailoring to meet the needs of the rapidly evolving electricity grid.

stat.AP↗

Deep Learning on Real Geophysical Data: A Case Study for Distributed Acoustic Sensing Research

Deep Learning approaches for real, large, and complex scientific data sets can be very challenging to design. In this work, we present a complete search for a finely-tuned and efficiently scaled deep learning classifier to identify usable energy from seismic data acquired using Distributed Acoustic Sensing (DAS). While using only a subset of labeled images during training, we were able to identify suitable models that can be accurately generalized to unknown signal patterns. We show that by using 16 times more GPUs, we can increase the training speed by more than two orders of magnitude on a 50,000-image data set.

cs.LG↗

Botnet Detection Using Recurrent Variational Autoencoder

Botnets are increasingly used by malicious actors, creating increasing threat to a large number of internet users. To address this growing danger, we propose to study methods to detect botnets, especially those that are hard to capture with the commonly used methods, such as the signature based ones and the existing anomaly-based ones. More specifically, we propose a novel machine learning based method, named Recurrent Variational Autoencoder (RVAE), for detecting botnets through sequential characteristics of network traffic flow data including attacks by botnets. We validate robustness of our method with the CTU-13 dataset, where we have chosen the testing dataset to have different types of botnets than those of training dataset. Tests show that RVAE is able to detect botnets with the same accuracy as the best known results published in literature. In addition, we propose an approach to assign anomaly score based on probability distributions, which allows us to detect botnets in streaming mode as the new networking statistics becomes available. This on-line detection capability would enable real-time detection of unknown botnets.

cs.CR↗

IDEALEM: Statistical Similarity Based Data Reduction

Many applications such as scientific simulation, sensing, and power grid monitoring tend to generate massive amounts of data, which should be compressed first prior to storage and transmission. These data, mostly comprised of floating-point values, are known to be difficult to compress using lossless compression. A few compression methods based on lossy compression have been proposed to compress this seemingly incompressible data. Unfortunately, they are all designed to minimize the Euclidean distance between the original data and the decompressed data, which fundamentally limits compression performance. We recently proposed a new class of lossy compression based on statistical similarity, called IDEALEM, which was also provided as a software package. IDEALEM has demonstrated its performance by reducing data volume much more than state-of-the-art compression methods while preserving unique patterns of data. IDEALEM can operate in two different modes depending on the stationarity of input data. This paper presents compression performance analyses of these two modes, and investigates the difference between two transform techniques targeted for non-stationary data. This paper also discusses the data reconstruction quality of IDEALEM using spectral analysis and shows that important frequency components in application domain are well preserved. We expand the capability of IDEALEM by adding a new min/max check that facilitates preserving significant patterns lasting only for a brief duration which were previously hard to capture. This min/max check also accelerates the encoding process significantly. Experiments show IDEALEM preserves significant patterns in the original data with faster encoding time.

cs.DB↗

Efficient Online Hyperparameter Optimization for Kernel Ridge Regression with Applications to Traffic Time Series Prediction

Computational efficiency is an important consideration for deploying machine learning models for time series prediction in an online setting. Machine learning algorithms adjust model parameters automatically based on the data, but often require users to set additional parameters, known as hyperparameters. Hyperparameters can significantly impact prediction accuracy. Traffic measurements, typically collected online by sensors, are serially correlated. Moreover, the data distribution may change gradually. A typical adaptation strategy is periodically re-tuning the model hyperparameters, at the cost of computational burden. In this work, we present an efficient and principled online hyperparameter optimization algorithm for Kernel Ridge regression applied to traffic prediction problems. In tests with real traffic measurement data, our approach requires as little as one-seventh of the computation time of other tuning methods, while achieving better or similar prediction accuracy.

cs.LG↗

Distributed Caching for Complex Querying of Raw Arrays

As applications continue to generate multi-dimensional data at exponentially increasing rates, fast analytics to extract meaningful results is becoming extremely important. The database community has developed array databases that alleviate this problem through a series of techniques. In-situ mechanisms provide direct access to raw data in the original format---without loading and partitioning. Parallel processing scales to the largest datasets. In-memory caching reduces latency when the same data are accessed across a workload of queries. However, we are not aware of any work on distributed caching of multi-dimensional raw arrays. In this paper, we introduce a distributed framework for cost-based caching of multi-dimensional arrays in native format. Given a set of files that contain portions of an array and an online query workload, the framework computes an effective caching plan in two stages. First, the plan identifies the cells to be cached locally from each of the input files by continuously refining an evolving R-tree index. In the second stage, an optimal assignment of cells to nodes that collocates dependent cells in order to minimize the overall data transfer is determined. We design cache eviction and placement heuristic algorithms that consider the historical query workload. A thorough experimental evaluation over two real datasets in three file formats confirms the superiority -- by as much as two orders of magnitude -- of the proposed framework over existing techniques in terms of cache overhead and workload execution time.

cs.DB↗

ArrayBridge: Interweaving declarative array processing with high-performance computing

Scientists are increasingly turning to datacenter-scale computers to produce and analyze massive arrays. Despite decades of database research that extols the virtues of declarative query processing, scientists still write, debug and parallelize imperative HPC kernels even for the most mundane queries. This impedance mismatch has been partly attributed to the cumbersome data loading process; in response, the database community has proposed in situ mechanisms to access data in scientific file formats. Scientists, however, desire more than a passive access method that reads arrays from files. This paper describes ArrayBridge, a bi-directional array view mechanism for scientific file formats, that aims to make declarative array manipulations interoperable with imperative file-centric analyses. Our prototype implementation of ArrayBridge uses HDF5 as the underlying array storage library and seamlessly integrates into the SciDB open-source array database system. In addition to fast querying over external array objects, ArrayBridge produces arrays in the HDF5 file format just as easily as it can read from it. ArrayBridge also supports time travel queries from imperative kernels through the unmodified HDF5 API, and automatically deduplicates between array versions for space efficiency. Our extensive performance evaluation in NERSC, a large-scale scientific computing facility, shows that ArrayBridge exhibits statistically indistinguishable performance and I/O scalability to the native SciDB storage engine.

cs.DB↗

Solving the Optimal Trading Trajectory Problem Using a Quantum Annealer

We solve a multi-period portfolio optimization problem using D-Wave Systems' quantum annealer. We derive a formulation of the problem, discuss several possible integer encoding schemes, and present numerical examples that show high success rates. The formulation incorporates transaction costs (including permanent and temporary market impact), and, significantly, the solution does not require the inversion of a covariance matrix. The discrete multi-period portfolio optimization problem we solve is significantly harder than the continuous variable problem. We present insight into how results may be improved using suitable software enhancements, and why current quantum annealing technology limits the size of problem that can be successfully solved today. The formulation presented is specifically designed to be scalable, with the expectation that as quantum annealing technology improves, larger problems will be solvable using the same techniques.

q-fin.CP↗

Towards Real-Time Detection and Tracking of Spatio-Temporal Features: Blob-Filaments in Fusion Plasma

A novel algorithm and implementation of real-time identification and tracking of blob-filaments in fusion reactor data is presented. Similar spatio-temporal features are important in many other applications, for example, ignition kernels in combustion and tumor cells in a medical image. This work presents an approach for extracting these features by dividing the overall task into three steps: local identification of feature cells, grouping feature cells into extended feature, and tracking movement of feature through overlapping in space. Through our extensive work in parallelization, we demonstrate that this approach can effectively make use of a large number of compute nodes to detect and track blob-filaments in real time in fusion plasma. On a set of 30GB fusion simulation data, we observed linear speedup on 1024 processes and completed blob detection in less than three milliseconds using Edison, a Cray XC30 system at NERSC.

cs.DC↗

Analytic normalization of analytically integrable differential systems near a periodic orbit

For an analytic differential system in $\mathbb R^n$ with a periodic orbit, we will prove that if the system is analytically integrable around the periodic orbit, i.e. it has $n-1$ functionally independent analytic first integrals defined in a neighborhood of the periodic orbit, then the system is analytically equivalent to its Poincaré--Dulac type normal form. This result is an extension for analytic integrable differential systems around a singularity to the ones around a periodic orbit.

math.CA↗