arXiv subjects

Kevin J. Walsh

Publications and source records attributed to Kevin J. Walsh.

At least 19 recordsLinked to original sources

arXiv2026

Chondrite Parent Bodies as Escaped Satellites of Proto-Planetary Embryos

Chondrites are composed of formerly partially molten material, known as chondrules, surrounded by fine-grained matrix. They date from the earliest times in Solar System history. However, their role in the formation of the planets is uncertain because, in part, it is not clear how they were produced. Here, we show a robust pathway for forming meteorite-producing asteroids that contain chondrules through embryo-embryo collisions during the late stages of terrestrial planet formation. Melted material from these impacts cool into chondrules and mix with unmelted material in embryo-centric disks that formed from the ejecta. This material accretes into numerous asteroid-sized satellites. These objects are later ejected onto heliocentric orbits because of gravitational encounters with other embryos, thereby becoming the parent bodies of chondrites. This mechanism provides a pathway to form chondrites in Solar System history at times commensurate with measured chondrule ages, while explaining many of their physical properties.

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arXiv2026

Polarimeter to Unify the Corona and Heliosphere (PUNCH)

The Polarimeter to Unify the Corona and Heliosphere (PUNCH) mission is a NASA Small Explorer to determine the cross-scale processes that unify the solar corona and heliosphere. PUNCH has two science objectives: (1) understand how coronal structures become the ambient solar wind, and (2) understand the dynamic evolution of transient structures, such as coronal mass ejections, in the young solar wind. To address these objectives, PUNCH uses a constellation of four small spacecraft in Sun-synchronous low Earth orbit, to collect linearly polarized images of the K corona and young solar wind. The four spacecraft each carry one visible-light imager in a 1+3 configuration: a single Narrow Field Imager solar coronagraph captures images of the outer corona at all position angles, and at solar elongations from 1.5 degrees (6 R$_\odot$) to 8 degrees (32 R$_\odot$); and three separate Wide Field Imager heliospheric imagers together capture views of the entire inner solar system, at solar elongations from 3 degrees (12 R$_\odot$) to 45 degrees (180 R$_\odot$) from the Sun. PUNCH images include linear-polarization data, to enable inferring the three-dimensional structure of visible features without stereoscopy. The instruments are matched in wavelength passband, support overlapping instantaneous fields of view, and are operated synchronously, to act as a single ``virtual instrument'' with a 90 degree wide field of view, centered on the Sun. PUNCH launched in March of 2025 and began science operations in June of 2025. PUNCH has an open data policy with no proprietary period, and PUNCH Science Team Meetings are open to all.

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arXiv2025

Tracking the Activity of the Interstellar Object 3I/ATLAS through its Perihelion

In order to facilitate interplanetary spacecraft observationsof 3I/ATLAS, we have monitored and predicted the optical properties of its coma using both ground and space-based observations. Here, we describe how the data from space-based solar coronagraphs and the PUNCH mission enabled tracking of 3I/ATLAS's optical magnitude throughout its entire perihelion passage, including the period between October 8 and 30, 2025, when it was not visible from Earth.

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arXiv2025

Satellite formation around the largest asteroids

Satellites around large asteroids are preferentially found among those with the most rapid rotation and elongated shape. The taxonomic statistics are similarly skewed; in total, 13 asteroids larger than 100 km are known to have satellites, but none have been discovered among S-type asteroids. Previous modeling suggests that satellites could be generated by impacts, but spin and shape have never been tracked in models to relate collisional circumstances with those two observed properties concerning the primary. Here we show, by combining simulations of impacts into porous low-density asteroids, their subsequent disruption, reaccumulation and long-term satellite stability, a direct pathway for the formation of satellites. The immediate distortion and elongation of a rotating target body provides a launching point for some debris distinct from simple ballistic ejecta trajectories. The debris that are found to originate from the distorted long-axis is sourced primarily from 10-20 km below the surface and can be placed directly onto eccentric orbits with sufficiently large pericenter distances that avoid rapid re-impact. The specific energy and resultant total mass loss in satellite-forming collisions are not constraining, which explains the observed lack of correlation between asteroids with satellites and those that are part of large asteroid families.

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arXiv2024

BYORP and Dissipation in Binary Asteroids: Lessons from DART

The Near-Earth binary asteroid Didymos was the target of a planetary defense demonstration mission DART in September 2022. The smaller binary component, Dimorphos, was impacted by the spacecraft in order to measure momentum transfer in kinetic impacts into rubble piles. DART and associated Earth-based observation campaigns have provided a wealth of scientific data on the Didymos-Dimorphos binary. DART revealed a largely oblate and ellipsoidal shape of Dimorphos before the impact, while the post-impact observations suggest that Dimorphos now has a prolate shape. Here we add those data points to the known properties of small binary asteroids and propose new paradigms of the radiative binary YORP (BYORP) effect as well as tidal dissipation in small binaries. We find that relatively spheroidal bodies like Dimorphos made of small debris may experience a weaker and more size-dependent BYORP effect than previously thought. This could explain the observed values of period drift in several well-characterized binaries. We also propose that energy dissipation in small binaries is dominated by relatively brief episodes of large-scale movement of (likely surface) materials, rather than long-term steady-state tidal dissipation. We propose that one such episode was triggered on Dimorphos by the DART impact. Depending on the longevity of this high-dissipation regime, it is possible that Dimorphos will be more dynamically relaxed in time for the Hera mission than it was in the weeks following the impact.

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arXiv2024

EL meteorites do date the giant planet instability

In our recent work, we combined dynamical simulations, meteoritic data and thermal models as well as asteroid observations to argue that the current parent body of the EL meteorites was implanted into the asteroid belt not earlier than 60 Myr after the beginning of the Solar System and that the most likely capture mechanism was the giant planet orbital instability. In the study "The link between Athor and EL meteorites does not constrain the timing of the giant planet instability" that appeared in arXiv, Izidoro and collaborators argue that the implantation of Athor into the asteroid belt does not necessarily require that the giant planet orbital instability occurred at the implantation time. Here we provide further arguments that, in the end, the giant planet instability is still the most likely dynamical process to implant asteroid Athor into the asteroid main belt between 60 and 100 Myr after the beginning of the Solar System.

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arXiv2024

Accretion and Uneven Depletion of the Main Asteroid Belt

The main asteroid belt (MAB) is known to be primarily composed of objects from two distinct taxonomic classes, generically defined here as S- and C-complex. The former probably originated from the inner solar system (interior to Jupiter's orbit), while the latter probably from the outer solar system. Following this definition, (4) Vesta, a V-type residing in the inner MAB (a < 2.5 au), is the sole D > 500 km object akin to S-complex that potentially formed in-situ. This provides a useful constraint on the number of D > 500 km bodies that could have formed, or grown, within the primordial MAB. In this work we numerically simulate the accretion of objects in the MAB region during the time when gas in the protoplanetary disk still existed, while assuming different MAB primordial masses. We then accounted for the depletion of that population happening after gas disk dispersal. In our analysis, we subdivided the MAB into five sub-regions and showed that the depletion factor varies throughout the MAB. This results in uneven radial- and size-dependent depletion of the MAB. We show that the MAB primordial mass has to be $\lesssim$ 2.14$\times$10$^{-3}$ Earth masses. Larger primordial masses would lead to the accretion of tens-to-thousands of S-complex objects with D > 500 km in the MAB. Such large objects would survive depletion even in the outer sub-regions (a > 2.5 au), thus being inconsistent with observations. Our results also indicate that S-complex objects with D > 200-300 km, including (4) Vesta, are likely to be terrestrial planetesimals implanted into the MAB rather than formed in-situ.

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arXiv2023

Tidal disruption of near-Earth asteroids during close encounters with terrestrial planets

Numerical modeling has long suggested that gravitationally-bound (or so-called rubble-pile) near-Earth asteroids (NEAs) can be destroyed by tidal forces during close and slow encounters with terrestrial planets. However, tidal disruptions of NEAs have never been directly observed nor have they been directly attributed to any families of NEAs. Here we show population-level evidence for the tidal disruption of NEAs during close encounters with the Earth and Venus. Debiased model distributions of NEA orbits and absolute magnitudes based on observations by the Catalina Sky Survey during 2005--2012 underpredict the number of NEAs with perihelion distances coinciding with the semimajor axes of Venus and the Earth. A detailed analysis of the orbital distributions of the excess NEAs shows that their characteristics agree with the prediction for tidal disruptions, and they cannot be explained by observational selection effects or orbital dynamics. Accounting for tidal disruptions in evolutionary models of the NEA population partly bridges the gap between the predicted rate of impacts by asteroids with diameters of tens of meters and observed statistics of fireballs in the same size range.

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arXiv2023

An efficient numerical approach to modeling the effects of particle shape on rubble-pile dynamics

We present an approach for the inclusion of non-spherical constituents in high-resolution N-body discrete element method (DEM) simulations. We use aggregates composed of bonded spheres to model non-spherical components. Though the method may be applied more generally, we detail our implementation in the existing N-body code pkdgrav. It has long been acknowledged that non-spherical grains confer additional shear strength and resistance to flow when compared with spheres. As a result, we expect that rubble-pile asteroids will also exhibit these properties and may behave differently than comparable rubble piles composed of idealized spheres. Since spherical particles avoid some significant technical challenges, most DEM gravity codes have used only spherical particles, or have been confined to relatively low resolutions. We also discuss the work that has gone into improving performance with non-spherical grains, building on pkdgrav's existing leading-edge computational efficiency among DEM gravity codes. This allows for the addition of non-spherical shapes while maintaining the efficiencies afforded by pkdgrav's tree implementation and parallelization. As a test, we simulated the gravitational collapse of 25,000 non-spherical bodies in parallel. In this case, the efficiency improvements allowed for an increase in speed by nearly a factor of three when compared with the naive implementation. Without these enhancements, large runs with non-spherical components would remain prohibitively expensive. Finally, we present the results of several small-scale tests: spinup due to the YORP effect, tidal encounters, and the Brazil-nut Effect. In all cases, we find that the inclusion of non-spherical constituents has a measurable impact on simulation outcomes.

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arXiv2023

Gaia view of primitive inner-belt asteroid families: Searching for the origins of asteroids Bennu and Ryugu

Near-Earth asteroids Ryugu and Bennu, were visited, characterised, and sampled by the Hayabusa2 and OSIRIS-REx missions: remote sensing data and sample return analysis showed that both asteroids have primitive, hydrated and organic-rich compositions. The dark families of the inner main belt (IMB) that belong to the spectroscopic C-complex have been claimed to be the sources of both Ryugu and Bennu. Hence, there has been large effort to characterise them. Here we used the Gaia Data Release 3 (DR3) asteroid reflectance spectra to investigate the 11 known IMB C-complex families (Chaldaea, Chimaera, Clarissa, Erigone, Eulalia, Klio, Polana, Primordial, Sulamitis, Svea, Tamara). For each family, we extracted the family members that have known geometric visible albedo values and Gaia DR3 data and we created an average reflectance spectrum per family between 370 and 950 nm. The average DR3 reflectance spectra of each family were compared with the previous literature data and to Bennu's and Ryugu's spectra. We found that DR3 reflectance spectra of the IMB C-complex families are in general consistent with previous findings with the only exception of the Svea family. We also showed that the Polana and the Eulalia families can be distinguished in the wavelength region 370 - 500 nm. Among all the IMB C-complex families, we determined that the average reflectance spectra of the Eulalia and Polana families are the most similar to those of Bennu and Ryugu, respectively. In particular, Eulalia family's average spectrum is a good match to Bennu's in the wavelength range 450 - 800 nm, while beyond 800 nm the spectrum of Bennu is bluer than that of Eulalia. Moreover, the spectrum of the Polana family has the smallest discrepancy against the spectrum of Ryugu, although this match is formally unsatisfactory (reduced chi^2 ~ 1.9).

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arXiv2022

Chemical Habitability: Supply and Retention of Life's Essential Elements During Planet Formation

Carbon, Hydrogen, Nitrogen, Oxygen, Phosphorus and Sulfur (CHNOPS) play key roles in the origin and proliferation of life on Earth. Given the universality of physics and chemistry, not least the ubiquity of water as a solvent and carbon as a backbone of complex molecules, CHNOPS are likely crucial to most habitable worlds. To help guide and inform the search for potentially habitable and ultimately inhabited environments, we begin by summarizing the CHNOPS budget of various reservoirs on Earth, their role in shaping our biosphere, and their origins in the Solar Nebula. We then synthesize our current understanding of how these elements behave and are distributed in diverse astrophysical settings, tracing their journeys from synthesis in dying stars to molecular clouds, protoplanetary settings, and ultimately temperate rocky planets around main sequence stars. We end by identifying key branching points during this journey, highlighting instances where a forming planets' distribution of CHNOPS can be altered dramatically, and speculating about the consequences for the chemical habitability of these worlds.

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arXiv2021

Barrel Instability in Binary Asteroids

Most close-in planetary satellites are in synchronous rotation, which is usually the stable end-point of tidal despinning. Saturn's moon Hyperion is a notable exception by having a chaotic rotation. Hyperion's dynamical state is a consequence of its high eccentricity and its highly prolate shape (Wisdom et al. 1984). As many binary asteroids also have elongated secondaries, chaotic rotation is expected for moons in eccentric binaries (Ćuk and Nesvorný, 2010), and a minority of asteroidal secondaries may be in that state (Pravec et al. 2016). The question of secondary rotation is also important for the action of the BYORP effect, which can quickly evolve orbits of synchronous (but not non-synchronous) secondaries (Ćuk and Burns, 2005). Here we report results of a large set of short numerical simulations which indicate that, apart from synchronous and classic chaotic rotation, close-in irregularly-shaped asteroidal secondaries can occupy an additional, intermediate rotational state. In this ``barrel instability'' the secondary slowly rolls along its long axis, while the longest axis is staying largely aligned with the primary-secondary line. This behavior may be more difficult to detect through lightcurves than a fully chaotic rotation, but would likewise shut down BYORP. We show that the binary's eccentricity, separation measured in secondary's radii and the secondary's shape are all important for determining whether the system settles in synchronous rotation, chaotic tumbling, or barrel instability. We compare our results for synthetic asteroids with known binary pairs to determine which of these behaviors may be present in the Near-Earth Asteroid binary population.

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arXiv2020

Efficiency characterization of the V-shape asteroid family detection method

Following the break up of a parent body, the Yarkovsky effect causes asteroid family members to spread in orbital semimajor axis with a rate often inversely proportional to their diameter. This size dependent semimajor axis drift causes family members to form structures in the semimajor axis vs inverse diameter plane that have the shape of the letter V. The V-shape method consists in finding the borders of such V-shapes of unknown center and opening. Although successfully employed to find some very old families in the inner main asteroid belt, the V-shape searching method is very sensitive to many parameters. In this work, we first created and evolved a synthetic asteroid family over billions of years. Then, by adding uncertainties to semimajor axis and diameter of the evolved synthetic family components, we randomly generated additional 99 similar, but not perfectly V-shaped, family clones. We chose a fairly low initial velocity dispersion of 20 m/s for our family. Thus, we can more easily relate the spreading in semimajor axis with the family's age (slope of the evolving V). A synthetic background with an initially randomly distributed components was also created and evolved for 100 Myr. Thus, by setting different levels of ratio of the synthetic family and background asteroids, we derived a detection efficiency map for the V-shape method and determined how sensitive the results can be based on signal-to-noise levels. We also determined optimal parameter values for the method's efficiency. We found that, families older than ~3 Gyr are likely undetectable, with a method efficiency of 50% or less, whereas younger families (0.5--2.5 Gyr) are more easily detected by the method, with an efficiency of >80%.

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arXiv2020

Spin-driven evolution of asteroids' top-shapes at fast and slow spins seen from (101955) Bennu and (162173) Ryugu

Proximity observations by OSIRIS-REx and Hayabusa2 provided clues on the shape evolution processes of the target asteroids, (101955) Bennu and (162173) Ryugu. Their oblate shapes with equatorial ridges, or the so-called top shapes, may have evolved due to their rotational conditions at present and in the past. Different shape evolution scenarios were previously proposed; Bennu's top shape may have been driven by surface processing, while Ryugu's may have been developed due to large deformation. These two scenarios seem to be inconsistent. Here, we revisit the structural analyses in earlier works and fill a gap to connect these explanations. We also apply a semi-analytical technique for computing the cohesive strength distribution in a uniformly rotating triaxial ellipsoid to characterize the global failure of top-shaped bodies. Assuming that the structure is uniform, our semi-analytical approach describes the spatial variations in failed regions at different spin periods; surface regions are the most sensitive at longer spin periods, while interiors fail structurally at shorter spin periods. This finding suggests that the shape evolution of a top shape may vary due to rotation and internal structure, which can explain the different evolution scenarios of Bennu's and Ryugu's top shapes. We interpret our results as the indications of top shapes' various evolution processes.

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arXiv2020

Charon: A brief history of tides

In 2015, the New Horizons spacecraft flew past Pluto and its moon Charon, providing the first clear look at the surface of Charon. New Horizons images revealed an ancient surface, a large, intricate canyon system, and many fractures, among other geologic features. Here, we assess whether tidal stresses played a significant role in the formation of tensile fractures on Charon. Although presently in a circular orbit, most scenarios for the orbital evolution of Charon include an eccentric orbit for some period of time and possibly an internal ocean. Past work has shown that these conditions could have generated stresses comparable in magnitude to other tidally fractured moons, such as Europa and Enceladus. However, we find no correlation between observed fracture orientations and those predicted to form due to eccentricity-driven tidal stress. It thus seems more likely that the orbit of Charon circularized before its ocean froze, and that either tidal stresses alone were insufficient to fracture the surface or subsequent resurfacing remove these ancient fractures.

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arXiv2020

Potential Themis Family Asteroid Contribution to the Jupiter-Family Comet Population

Recent dynamical analyses suggest that some Jupiter family comets (JFCs) may originate in the main asteroid belt instead of the outer solar system. This possibility is particularly interesting given evidence that icy main-belt objects are known to be present in the Themis asteroid family. We report results from dynamical analyses specifically investigating the possibility that icy Themis family members could contribute to the observed population of JFCs. Numerical integrations show that such dynamical evolution is indeed possible via a combination of eccentricity excitation apparently driven by the nearby 2:1 mean-motion resonance with Jupiter, gravitational interactions with planets other than Jupiter, and the Yarkovsky effect. We estimate that, at any given time, there may be tens of objects from the Themis family on JFC-like orbits with the potential to mimic active JFCs from the outer solar system, although not all, or even any, may necessarily be observably active. We find that dynamically evolved Themis family objects on JFC-like orbits have semimajor axes between 3.15 au and 3.40 au for the vast majority of their time on such orbits, consistent with the strong role that the 2:1 mean-motion resonance with Jupiter likely plays in their dynamical evolution. We conclude that a contribution from the Themis family to the active JFC population is plausible, although further work is needed to better characterize this contribution.

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arXiv2019

Planetesimals to Terrestrial Planets: collisional evolution amidst a dissipating gas disk

We present numerical simulations of terrestrial planet formation that examine the growth continuously from planetesimals to planets in the inner Solar System. Previous studies show that the growth will be inside-out, but it is still common practice to assume that the entire inner disk will eventually reach a bi-modal distribution of embryos and planetesimals. For the combinations of disk mass, initial planetesimal radius and gas disk lifetime explored in this work the entire disk never reaches a simple bi-modal mass distribution. We find that the inside-out growth is amplified by the combined effects of collisional evolution of solid bodies and interactions with a dissipating gas disk. This leads to oligarchic growth never being achieved in different places of the disk at the same time, where in some cases the disk can simultaneoulsy support chaotic growth and giant impacts inside 1 au and runaway growth beyond 2 au. The planetesimal population is efficiently depleted in the inner disk where embryo growth primarily advances in the presence of a significant gas disk. Further out in the disk growth is slower relative to the gas disk dissipation, resulting in more excited planetesimals at the same stage of growth and less efficient accretion. This same effect drives mass loss due to collisional grinding strongly altering the surface density of the accreted planets relative to the initial mass distribution. This effect decreases the Mars-to-Earth mass ratios compared to previous works with no collisional grinding. Similar to some previous findings utilizing vastly different growth scenarios these simulations produce a first generation of planetary embryos that are stable for 10-20 Myr, or 5-10 e-folding times of the gas dissipation timescale, before having an instability and entering the chaotic growth stage.

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arXiv2018

The early instability scenario: terrestrial planet formation during the giant planet instability, and the effect of collisional fragmentation

The solar system's dynamical state can be explained by an orbital instability among the giant planets. A recent model has proposed that the giant planet instability happened during terrestrial planet formation. This scenario has been shown to match the inner solar system by stunting Mars' growth and preventing planet formation in the asteroid belt. Here we present a large sample of new simulations of the "Early Instability" scenario. We use an N-body integration scheme that accounts for collisional fragmentation, and also perform a large set of control simulations that do not include an early giant planet instability. Since the total particle number decreases slower when collisional fragmentation is accounted for, the growing planets' orbits are damped more strongly via dynamical friction and encounters with small bodies that dissipate angular momentum (eg: hit-and-run impacts). Compared with simulations without collisional fragmentation, our fully evolved systems provide better matches to the solar system's terrestrial planets in terms of their compact mass distribution and dynamically cold orbits. Collisional processes also tend to lengthen the dynamical accretion timescales of Earth analogs, and shorten those of Mars analogs. This yields systems with relative growth timescales more consistent with those inferred from isotopic dating. Accounting for fragmentation is thus supremely important for any successful evolutionary model of the inner solar system.

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