arXiv subjects

Kirill Glavatskiy

Publications and source records attributed to Kirill Glavatskiy.

6 recordsLinked to original sources

arXiv2026

Effects of Property Recovery Incentives and Social Interaction on Self-Evacuation Decisions in Natural Disasters: An Agent-Based Modelling Approach

Understanding evacuation decision-making behaviour is one of the key components for designing disaster mitigation policies. This study investigates how communications between household agents in a community influence self-evacuation decisions. We develop an agent-based model that simulates household agents' decisions to evacuate or stay. These agents interact within the framework of evolutionary game theory, effectively competing for limited shared resources, which include property recovery funds and coordination services. We explore four scenarios that model different prioritisations of access to government-provided incentives. We discover that the impact of the incentive diminishes both with increasing funding value and the household agent prioritisation, indicating that there is an optimal level of government support beyond which further increases become impractical. Furthermore, the overall evacuation rate depends on the structure of the underlying social network, showing discontinuous jumps when the prioritisation moves across the node degree. We identify the so-called "community influencers", prioritisation of whom significantly increases the overall evacuation rate. In contrast, prioritising household agents with low connectivity may actually impede collective evacuation. These findings demonstrate the importance of social connectivity between household agents. The results of this study are useful for designing optimal government policies to incentivise and prioritise community evacuation under limited resources.

cs.MA↗

arXiv2021

The impact of social influence in Australian real-estate: market forecasting with a spatial agent-based model

Housing markets are inherently spatial, yet many existing models fail to capture this spatial dimension. Here we introduce a new graph-based approach for incorporating a spatial component in a large-scale urban housing agent-based model (ABM). The model explicitly captures several social and economic factors that influence the agents' decision-making behaviour (such as fear of missing out, their trend following aptitude, and the strength of their submarket outreach), and interprets these factors in spatial terms. The proposed model is calibrated and validated with the housing market data for the Greater Sydney region. The ABM simulation results not only include predictions for the overall market, but also produce area-specific forecasting at the level of local government areas within Sydney as arising from individual buy and sell decisions. In addition, the simulation results elucidate agent preferences in submarkets, highlighting differences in agent behaviour, for example, between first-time home buyers and investors, and between both local and overseas investors.

q-fin.CP↗

arXiv2020

Revealing configurational attractors in the evolution of modern Australian and US cities

The spatial structure of modern cities exhibits highly diverse patterns and keeps evolving under numerous constraints. Two key dimensions have recently achieved prominence in characterizing this diversity: heterogeneity and spreading. However, modern settlements do not fill the entire heterogeneity--spreading space. Yet, the dynamic mechanisms leading to emergence of the observed layouts are unclear. Here, we assess the heterogeneity and spreading of population density in 25 Australian and 175 US cities. We observe that larger cities tend to form a cluster with a low degree of spreading and a high degree of heterogeneity, and relate this observation to the dynamic properties of intra-urban migration in these cities. In doing so, we introduce a model consistent with the relocation data which predicts such highly compact and heterogeneous structure for the majority of cities, in concordance with the actual layout data. In addition, we analyze the stability of the long-term dynamics of urban configurations with respect to changes in the mobility characteristics, such as social disposition and relocation impedance near their equilibrium states. As a result, we report three qualitatively distinct feasible phases of urban structures: uniform, monocentric, and polycentric. These phases are shown to be separated by either smooth or sharp transitions, observed in the space of suitably chosen configurational parameters. Finally, this analysis reveals that the set of all possible equilibrium configurations ("configurational attractors") form a narrow region in the heterogeneity--spreading space, thus explaining the emergence of clustering patterns.

physics.soc-ph↗

arXiv2011

Adsorption of CO$_2$ and CH$_4$ and their mixtures in gas hydrates

We report results from grand-canonical Monte Carlo simulations of methane and carbon dioxide adsorption in structure sI gas hydrates. Simulations of pure component systems show that all methane sites are equivalent, while carbon dioxide distinguishes between two types of sites, large or small. The adsorbed mixture can be regarded as ideal, as long as only large sites are occupied. A strong preference is demonstrated for methane, when the smaller sites become filled. The molar heat of adsorption of methane decreases with composition, while the molar heat of adsorption for carbon dioxide passes an extremum, essentially in accordance with the observation on the site sizes. The Helmholtz energies of the hydrate with CO$_2$-CH$_4$ gas mixture for temperatures between 278 and 328 K and pressures between 10$^4$ and 10$^9$ Pa indicate that certain mixtures are more stable than others. The results indicate that a thermodynamic path exists for conversion of a pure methane hydrate into a pure carbon dioxide hydrate without destroying the hydrate structure.

cond-mat.mtrl-sci↗

arXiv2010

Resistances for heat and mass transfer through a liquid-vapor interface in a binary mixture

In this paper we calculate the interfacial resistances to heat and mass transfer through a liquid-vapor interface in a binary mixture. We use two methods, the direct calculation from the actual non-equilibrium solution and integral relations, derived earlier. We verify, that integral relations, being a relatively faster and cheaper method, indeed gives the same results as the direct processing of a non-equilibrium solution. Furthermore we compare the absolute values of the interfacial resistances with the ones obtained from kinetic theory. Matching the diagonal resistances for the binary mixture we find that kinetic theory underestimates the cross coefficients. The heat of transfer is as a consequence correspondingly larger.

cond-mat.soft↗

arXiv2010

Transport of heat and mass in a two-phase mixture. From a continuous to a discontinuous description

We present a theory which describes the transport properties of the interfacial region with respect to heat and mass transfer. Postulating the local Gibbs relation for a continuous description inside the interfacial region, we derive the description of the Gibbs surface in terms of excess densities and fluxes along the surface. We introduce overall interfacial resistances and conductances as the coefficients in the force-flux relations for the Gibbs surface. We derive relations between the local resistivities for the continuous description inside the interfacial region and the overall resistances of the surface for transport between the two phases for a mixture. It is shown that interfacial resistances depend among other things on the enthalpy profile across the interface. Since this variation is substantial the coupling between heat and mass flow across the surface are also substantial. In particular, the surface puts up much more resistance to the heat and mass transfer then the homogeneous phases over a distance comparable to the thickness of the surface. This is the case not only for the pure heat conduction and diffusion but also for the cross effects like thermal diffusion. For the excess fluxes along the surface and the corresponding thermodynamic forces we derive expressions for excess conductances as integrals over the local conductivities along the surface. We also show that the curvature of the surface affects only the overall resistances for transport across the surface and not the excess conductivities along the surface.

cond-mat.soft↗