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Konan Shimizu

Publications and source records attributed to Konan Shimizu.

3 recordsLinked to original sources

Information Aggregation and Social Networks: Responsiveness and Overturning

This paper studies how network structure affects information aggregation in social learning. Agents sequentially choose actions based on private signals and observations of neighbors' actions. Comparing a focal agent' s expected payoff across networks at a finite period, we show that a network is uniquely optimal for some informational environment if and only if the focal agent observes every predecessor. This characterization reveals that which network performs best depends critically on the informational environment. We then revisit two important implications of the characterization through transparent constructions: the star network can uniquely outperform every alternative under binary signals, while the complete network can do so with richer signals. These constructions highlight a trade-off between the responsiveness effect and the overturning effect: sparse networks facilitate information aggregation by preserving the responsiveness of actions to private signals, whereas dense networks facilitate information aggregation by revealing extreme information that overturns existing public beliefs.

econ.TH

Value of Information in Social Learning

This study extends Blackwell's (1953) comparison of information to a sequential social learning model in which agents make decisions sequentially based on both private signals and observed actions of others. In this context, we introduce a binary relation over information structures: an information structure is {\it more socially valuable} than another if it yields higher expected payoffs for {\it all} agents, regardless of their preferences and equilibrium realizations. First, we establish that this binary relation is strictly stronger than the Blackwell order. Next, we provide a necessary and sufficient condition for our binary relation and propose a simpler sufficient condition that is easier to verify. We further explore comparisons of information structures in terms of long-run payoffs, limit welfare, and canonical binary environments.

econ.TH

Value of History in Social Learning: Applications to Markets for History

In social learning environments, agents acquire information from both private signals and the observed actions of predecessors, referred to as history. We define the value of history as the gain in expected payoff from accessing both the private signal and history, compared to relying on the signal alone. We first characterize the information structures that maximize this value, showing that it is highest under a mixture of full information and no information. We then apply these insights to a model of markets for history, where a monopolistic data seller collects and sells access to history. In equilibrium, the seller's dynamic pricing becomes the value of history for each agent. This gives the seller incentives to increase the value of history by designing the information structure. The seller optimal information discloses less information than the socially optimal level.

econ.TH