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Konrad Kułakowski

Publications and source records attributed to Konrad Kułakowski.

At least 19 recordsLinked to original sources

Efficient tensor bases for pairwise comparisons

In this study, we construct the first orthogonal basis for additively consistent subspace in pairwise comparisons theory. This construction is based on our representation of additively consistent best approximations of skew-symmetric matrices with respect to a tensor basis having minimal support. The orthogonal basis establishes the logarithmic consistent projection for the orthogonal windowing of pairwise comparisons matrices. It is compared with the windowing of the Saaty and SVD types. These comparisons resulted in new composite formulae for logarithmic, Saaty, and SVD projections. The theoretical considerations presented in the paper are accompanied by numerous examples.

cs.CE↗

Geometric mean-based pairwise comparison method with the reference values -- statistical approach

For many years, pairwise comparison methods have been widely used for eliciting preferences and ranking alternatives in decision-making problems. These methods estimate priority weights from a pairwise comparison matrix and are now standard tools in multi-criteria decision analysis. In this paper, we present a statistical view of the pairwise comparison method using reference values and the geometric mean to calculate alternative priorities. Thanks to this approach, we can simultaneously capture the phenomenon of inconsistency in pairwise comparisons and the preference distance between different alternatives. In this paper, we define indicators that measure the quality of the obtained weight vector, which, thanks to the statistical approach, have an understandable interpretation.

stat.ME↗

Sufficient conditions for a Heuristic Rating Estimation Method application

A series of papers has introduced the Heuristic Rating Estimation method, which evaluates a set of alternatives based on pairwise comparisons and the weights of reference alternatives. We formulate the conditions under which the HRE method can be applied correctly. The research considers both arithmetic and geometric algorithms for complete and incomplete pairwise comparison methods. The illustrative examples show that the estimations of inconsistency in the arithmetic variant are optimal.

cs.AI↗

Mean-based incomplete pairwise comparisons method with the reference values

In this article, we propose two quantitative methods for calculating weight vectors for incomplete pairwise comparison matrices using reference values. Both procedures are extensions of arithmetic and geometric heuristic estimation (HRE) methods. The proposed solutions allow flexible selection of the number of reference alternatives and the range of comparisons, from the acceptable minimum to a complete set. In this paper, we prove that the newly introduced geometric HRE method for incomplete data is optimal. For this method, we also prove the existence of a feasible solution. In the paper, we also provide sufficient conditions for the existence of a solution for the second arithmetic variant of the HRE method. We illustrate the presented methods with numerical examples.

cs.AI↗

My part is bigger than yours -- assessment within a group of peers

A project (e.g., writing a collaborative research paper) is often a group effort. At the end, each contributor identifies their contribution, often verbally. The reward, however, is very frequently financial. It leads to the question of what (percentage) share in the creation of the paper is due to individual authors. Different authors may have various opinions on the matter; even worse, their opinions may have different relevance. In this paper, we present simple models that allow aggregation of experts' views, linking the priority of his preference directly to the assessment made by other experts. In this approach, the more significant the contribution of a given expert, the greater the importance of his opinion. The presented method can be considered an attempt to find consensus among peers involved in the same project. Hence, its applications may go beyond the proposed study example of writing a scientific paper.

cs.DM↗

Detection of decision-making manipulation in the pairwise comparisons method

Most decision-making models, including the pairwise comparison method, assume the decision-makers honesty. However, it is easy to imagine a situation where a decision-maker tries to manipulate the ranking results. This paper presents three simple manipulation methods in the pairwise comparison method. We then try to detect these methods using appropriately constructed neural networks. Experimental results accompany the proposed solutions on the generated data, showing a considerable manipulation detection level.

cs.AI↗

Establishing a leader in a pairwise comparisons method

Abstract Like electoral systems, decision-making methods are also vulnerable to manipulation by decision-makers. The ability to effectively defend against such threats can only come from thoroughly understanding the manipulation mechanisms. In the presented article, we show two algorithms that can be used to launch a manipulation attack. They allow for equating the weights of two selected alternatives in the pairwise comparison method and, consequently, choosing a leader. The theoretical considerations are accompanied by a Monte Carlo simulation showing the relationship between the size of the PC matrix, the degree of inconsistency, and the ease of manipulation. This work is a continuation of our previous research published in the paper (Szybowski et al., 2023)

cs.AI↗

On the Derivation of Weights from Incomplete Pairwise Comparisons Matrices via Spanning Trees with Crisp and Fuzzy Confidence Levels

In this paper, we propose a new method for the derivation of a priority vector from an incomplete pairwise comparisons (PC) matrix. We assume that each entry of a PC matrix provided by an expert is also evaluated in terms of the expert's confidence in a particular judgment. Then, from corresponding graph representations of a given PC matrix, all spanning trees are found. For each spanning tree, a unique priority vector is obtained with the weight corresponding to the confidence levels of entries that constitute this tree. At the end, the final priority vector is obtained through an aggregation of priority vectors achieved from all spanning trees. Confidence levels are modeled by real (crisp) numbers and triangular fuzzy numbers. Numerical examples and comparisons with other methods are also provided. Last, but not least, we introduce a new formula for an upper bound of the number of spanning trees, so that a decision maker gains knowledge (in advance) on how computationally demanding the proposed method is for a given PC matrix.

math.OC↗

Almost optimal manipulation of a pair of alternatives

The role of an expert in the decision-making process is crucial, as the final recommendation depends on his disposition, clarity of mind, experience, and knowledge of the problem. However, the recommendation also depends on their honesty. But what if the expert is dishonest? Then, the answer on how difficult it is to manipulate in a given case becomes essential. In the presented work, we consider manipulation of a ranking obtained by comparing alternatives in pairs. More specifically, we propose an algorithm for finding an almost optimal way to swap the positions of two selected alternatives. Thanks to this, it is possible to determine how difficult such manipulation is in a given case. Theoretical considerations are illustrated by a practical example.

cs.AI↗

Towards secure judgments aggregation in AHP

In decision-making methods, it is common to assume that the experts are honest and professional. However, this is not the case when one or more experts in the group decision making framework, such as the group analytic hierarchy process (GAHP), try to manipulate results in their favor. The aim of this paper is to introduce two heuristics in the GAHP, setting allowing to detect the manipulators and minimize their effect on the group consensus by diminishing their weights. The first heuristic is based on the assumption that manipulators will provide judgments which can be considered outliers with respect to those of the rest of the experts in the group. The second heuristic assumes that dishonest judgments are less consistent than the average consistency of the group. Both approaches are illustrated with numerical examples and simulations.

cs.AI↗

Some Notes on the Similarity of Priority Vectors Derived by the Eigenvalue Method and the Geometric Mean Method

This paper examines the differences in ordinal rankings obtained from a pairwise comparison matrix using the eigenvalue method and the geometric mean method. First, we introduce several propositions on the (dis)similarity of both rankings concerning the matrix size and its inconsistency expressed by the Koczkodaj's inconsistency index. Further on, we examine the relationship between differences in both rankings and Kendall's rank correlation coefficient $τ$ and Spearman's rank coefficient $ρ$. Apart from theoretical results, intuitive numerical examples and Monte Carlo simulations are also provided.

math.ST↗

Multiple-criteria Heuristic Rating Estimation

One of the most widespread multi-criteria decision-making methods is the Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP). AHP successfully combines the pairwise comparisons method and the hierarchical approach. It allows the decision-maker to set priorities for all ranked alternatives. But what if, for some of them, their ranking value is known (e.g., it can be determined differently)? The Heuristic Rating Estimation (HRE) method proposed in 2014 tried to bring the answer to this question. However, the considerations were limited to a model that did not consider many criteria. In this work, we go a step further and analyze how HRE can be used as part of the AHP hierarchical framework. The theoretical considerations are accompanied by illustrative examples showing HRE as a multiple-criteria decision-making method.

cs.AI↗

On the similarity between ranking vectors in the pairwise comparison method

There are many priority deriving methods for pairwise comparison matrices. It is known that when these matrices are consistent all these methods result in the same priority vector. However, when they are inconsistent, the results may vary. The presented work formulates an estimation of the difference between priority vectors in the two most popular ranking methods: the eigenvalue method and the geometric mean method. The estimation provided refers to the inconsistency of the pairwise comparison matrix. Theoretical considerations are accompanied by Montecarlo experiments showing the discrepancy between the values of both methods.

cs.DM↗

Satisfaction of the Condition of Order Preservation: A Simulation Study

We examine satisfaction of the condition of order preservation (COP) with respect to different levels of inconsistency for randomly generated multiplicative pairwise comparison matrices (MPCMs) of the order n = {3,4,...,9}, where a priority vector is derived both by the eigenvalue method (EV) and the geometric mean (GM) method. Our results suggest the GM method and the EV method preserve the COP condition almost identically, both for the less inconsistent matrices (with Saaty's consistency index CI <0.10), and the more inconsistent matrices (with CI >= 0.10). Further, we find that the frequency of the COP violations grows (almost linearly) with increasing inconsistency of MPCMs measured by Koczkodaj's inconsistency index and Saaty's consistency index respectively, and we provide graphs to illustrate these relationships for MPCMs of the order n ={4, 7, 9}.

cs.DM↗

Inconsistency indices for incomplete pairwise comparisons matrices

Comparing alternatives in pairs is a very well known technique of ranking creation. The answer to how reliable and trustworthy ranking is depends on the inconsistency of the data from which it was created. There are many indices used for determining the level of inconsistency among compared alternatives. Unfortunately, most of them assume that the set of comparisons is complete, i.e. every single alternative is compared to each other. This is not true and the ranking must sometimes be made based on incomplete data. In order to fill this gap, this work aims to adapt the selected twelve existing inconsistency indices for the purpose of analyzing incomplete data sets. The modified indices are subjected to Monte Carlo experiments. Those of them that achieved the best results in the experiments carried out are recommended for use in practice.

cs.DM↗

On the geometric mean method for incomplete pairwise comparisons

When creating the ranking based on the pairwise comparisons very often, we face difficulties in completing all the results of direct comparisons. In this case, the solution is to use the ranking method based on the incomplete PC matrix. The article presents the extension of the well known geometric mean method for incomplete PC matrices. The description of the methods is accompanied by theoretical considerations showing the existence of the solution and the optimality of the proposed approach.

cs.DM↗

Towards quantification of incompleteness in the pairwise comparisons method

Alongside consistency, completeness of information is one of the key factors influencing data quality. The objective of this paper is to define ways of treating missing entries in pairwise comparisons (PC) method with respect to inconsistency and sensitivity. Two important factors related to the incompleteness of PC matrices have been identified, namely the number of missing pairwise comparisons and their arrangements. Accordingly, four incompleteness indices have been developed, simple to calculate, each of them take into account both: the total number of missing data and their distribution in the PC matrix. A numerical study of the properties of these indices has been also conducted using a series of Montecarlo experiments. It demonstrated that both incompleteness and inconsistency of data equally contribute to the sensitivity of the PC matrix. Although incompleteness is only just one of the factors influencing sensitivity, a relative simplicity of the proposed indices may help decision makers to quickly estimate the impact of missing comparisons on the quality of final result.

cs.DM↗