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Konstantin Klemmer

Publications and source records attributed to Konstantin Klemmer.

25 records · Page 2Linked to original sources
arXiv2021

Generative modeling of spatio-temporal weather patterns with extreme event conditioning

Deep generative models are increasingly used to gain insights in the geospatial data domain, e.g., for climate data. However, most existing approaches work with temporal snapshots or assume 1D time-series; few are able to capture spatio-temporal processes simultaneously. Beyond this, Earth-systems data often exhibit highly irregular and complex patterns, for example caused by extreme weather events. Because of climate change, these phenomena are only increasing in frequency. Here, we proposed a novel GAN-based approach for generating spatio-temporal weather patterns conditioned on detected extreme events. Our approach augments GAN generator and discriminator with an encoded extreme weather event segmentation mask. These segmentation masks can be created from raw input using existing event detection frameworks. As such, our approach is highly modular and can be combined with custom GAN architectures. We highlight the applicability of our proposed approach in experiments with real-world surface radiation and zonal wind data.

cs.CV↗
arXiv2020

Population Mapping in Informal Settlements with High-Resolution Satellite Imagery and Equitable Ground-Truth

We propose a generalizable framework for the population estimation of dense, informal settlements in low-income urban areas--so called 'slums'--using high-resolution satellite imagery. Precise population estimates are a crucial factor for efficient resource allocations by government authorities and NGO's, for instance in medical emergencies. We utilize equitable ground-truth data, which is gathered in collaboration with local communities: Through training and community mapping, the local population contributes their unique domain knowledge, while also maintaining agency over their data. This practice allows us to avoid carrying forward potential biases into the modeling pipeline, which might arise from a less rigorous ground-truthing approach. We contextualize our approach in respect to the ongoing discussion within the machine learning community, aiming to make real-world machine learning applications more inclusive, fair and accountable. Because of the resource intensive ground-truth generation process, our training data is limited. We propose a gridded population estimation model, enabling flexible and customizable spatial resolutions. We test our pipeline on three experimental site in Nigeria, utilizing pre-trained and fine-tune vision networks to overcome data sparsity. Our findings highlight the difficulties of transferring common benchmark models to real-world tasks. We discuss this and propose steps forward.

cs.CY↗
arXiv2019

Augmenting correlation structures in spatial data using deep generative models

State-of-the-art deep learning methods have shown a remarkable capacity to model complex data domains, but struggle with geospatial data. In this paper, we introduce SpaceGAN, a novel generative model for geospatial domains that learns neighbourhood structures through spatial conditioning. We propose to enhance spatial representation beyond mere spatial coordinates, by conditioning each data point on feature vectors of its spatial neighbours, thus allowing for a more flexible representation of the spatial structure. To overcome issues of training convergence, we employ a metric capturing the loss in local spatial autocorrelation between real and generated data as stopping criterion for SpaceGAN parametrization. This way, we ensure that the generator produces synthetic samples faithful to the spatial patterns observed in the input. SpaceGAN is successfully applied for data augmentation and outperforms compared to other methods of synthetic spatial data generation. Finally, we propose an ensemble learning framework for the geospatial domain, taking augmented SpaceGAN samples as training data for a set of ensemble learners. We empirically show the superiority of this approach over conventional ensemble learning approaches and rivaling spatial data augmentation methods, using synthetic and real-world prediction tasks. Our findings suggest that SpaceGAN can be used as a tool for (1) artificially inflating sparse geospatial data and (2) improving generalization of geospatial models.

cs.LG↗
arXiv2019

Demand Prediction for Electric Vehicle Sharing

Electric Vehicle (EV) sharing systems have recently experienced unprecedented growth across the globe. Many car sharing service providers as well as automobile manufacturers are entering this competition by expanding both their EV fleets and renting/returning station networks, aiming to seize a share of the market and bring car sharing to the zero emissions level. During their fast expansion, one fundamental determinant for success is the capability of dynamically predicting the demand of stations. In this paper we propose a novel demand prediction approach, which is able to model the dynamics of the system and predict demand accordingly. We use a local temporal encoding process to handle the available historical data at individual stations, and a spatial encoding process to take correlations between stations into account with graph convolutional neural networks. The encoded features are fed to a prediction network, which forecasts both the long-term expected demand of the stations. We evaluate the proposed approach on real-world data collected from a major EV sharing platform. Experimental results demonstrate that our approach significantly outperforms the state of the art.

cs.AI↗
arXiv2018

Modeling Rape Reporting Delays Using Spatial, Temporal and Social Features

We present a novel approach to estimate the delay observed between the occurrence and reporting of rape crimes. We explore spatial, temporal and social effects in sparse aggregated (area-level) and high-dimensional disaggregated (event-level) data for New York and Los Angeles. Focusing on inference, we apply Gradient Boosting and Random Forests to assess predictor importance, as well as Gaussian Processes to model spatial disparities in reporting times. Our results highlight differences and similarities between the two cities. We identify at-risk populations and communities which may be targeted with focused policies and interventions to support rape victims, apprehend perpetrators, and prevent future crimes.

cs.CY↗
arXiv2018

Community Structures, Interactions and Dynamics in London's Bicycle Sharing Network

Bikesharing schemes are transportation systems that not only provide an efficient mode of transportation in congested urban areas, but also improve last-mile connectivity with public transportation and local accessibility. Bikesharing schemes around the globe generate detailed trip data sets with spatial and temporal dimensions, which, with proper mining and analysis, reveal valuable information on urban mobility patterns. In this paper, we study the London bicycle sharing dataset to explore community structures. Using a novel clustering technique, we derive distinctive behavioural patterns and assess community interactions and spatio-temporal dynamics. The analyses reveal self-contained, interconnected and hybrid clusters that mimic London's physical structure. Exploring changes over time, we find geographically isolated and specialized communities to be relatively consistent, while the remaining system exhibits volatility, especially during and around peak commuting times. By increasing our understanding of the collective behaviour of the bikesharing users, this analysis supports policy appraisal, operational decision-making and motivates improvements in infrastructure design and management.

cs.SI↗