arXiv subjects

Konstantinos Ampountolas

Publications and source records attributed to Konstantinos Ampountolas.

7 recordsLinked to original sources

arXiv2024

Physics-informed neural networks for parameter learning of wildfire spreading

Wildland fires pose a terrifying natural hazard, underscoring the urgent need to develop data-driven and physics-informed digital twins for wildfire prevention, monitoring, intervention, and response. In this direction of research, this work introduces a physics-informed neural network (PiNN) designed to learn the unknown parameters of an interpretable wildfire spreading model. The considered modeling approach integrates fundamental physical laws articulated by key model parameters essential for capturing the complex behavior of wildfires. The proposed machine learning framework leverages the theory of artificial neural networks with the physical constraints governing wildfire dynamics, including the first principles of mass and energy conservation. Training of the PiNN for physics-informed parameter identification is realized using synthetic data on the spatiotemporal evolution of one- and two-dimensional firefronts, derived from a high-fidelity simulator, as well as empirical data (ground surface thermal images) from the Troy Fire that occurred on June 19, 2002, in California. The parameter learning results demonstrate the predictive ability of the proposed PiNN in uncovering the unknown coefficients of the wildfire model in one- and two-dimensional fire spreading scenarios as well as the Troy Fire. Additionally, this methodology exhibits robustness by identifying the same parameters even in the presence of noisy data. By integrating this PiNN approach into a comprehensive framework, the envisioned physics-informed digital twin will enhance intelligent wildfire management and risk assessment, providing a powerful tool for proactive and reactive strategies.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2024

An interpretable wildfire spreading model for real-time predictions

Forest fires pose a natural threat with devastating social, environmental, and economic implications. The rapid and highly uncertain rate of spread of wildfires necessitates a trustworthy digital tool capable of providing real-time estimates of fire evolution and human interventions, while receiving continuous input from remote sensing. The current work aims at developing an interpretable, physics-based model that will serve as the core of such a tool. This model is constructed using easily understandable equations, incorporating a limited set of parameters that capture essential quantities and heat transport mechanisms. The simplicity of the model allows for effective utilization of data from sensory input, enabling optimal estimation of these parameters. In particular, simplified versions of combustion kinetics and mass/energy balances lead to a computationally inexpensive system of differential equations that provide the spatio-temporal evolution of temperature and flammables over a two-dimensional region. The model is validated by comparing its predictions and the effect of parameters such as flammable bulk density, moisture content, and wind speed, with benchmark results. Additionally, the model successfully captures the evolution of the firefront shape and its rate of spread in multiple directions.

physics.soc-ph↗

arXiv2024

Physics-inspired Neural Networks for Parameter Learning of Adaptive Cruise Control Systems

This paper proposes and develops a physics-inspired neural network (PiNN) for learning the parameters of commercially implemented adaptive cruise control (ACC) systems in automotive industry. To emulate the core functionality of stock ACC systems, which have proprietary control logic and undisclosed parameters, the constant time-headway policy (CTHP) is adopted. Leveraging the multi-layer artificial neural networks as universal approximators, the developed PiNN serves as a surrogate model for the longitudinal dynamics of ACC-engaged vehicles, efficiently learning the unknown parameters of the CTHP. The PiNNs allow the integration of physical laws directly into the learning process. The ability of the PiNN to infer the unknown ACC parameters is meticulously assessed using both synthetic and high-fidelity empirical data of space-gap and relative velocity involving ACC-engaged vehicles in platoon formation. The results have demonstrated the superior predictive ability of the proposed PiNN in learning the unknown design parameters of stock ACC systems from different car manufacturers. The set of ACC model parameters obtained from the PiNN revealed that the stock ACC systems of the considered vehicles in three experimental campaigns are neither $\mathcal{L}_2$ nor $\mathcal{L}_\infty$ string stable.

eess.SY↗

arXiv2024

Multi-gated perimeter flow control for monocentric cities: Efficiency and equity

A control scheme for the multi-gated perimeter traffic flow control problem of cities is presented. The proposed scheme determines feasible and optimally distributed input flows for the various gates located at the periphery of a protected network. A parsimonious model is employed to describe the traffic dynamics of the protected network. To describe traffic dynamics outside of the protected area, the state-space model is augmented with additional state variables to account for vehicle queues at store-and-forward origin links at the periphery. The perimeter flow control problem is formulated as a convex optimisation problem with finite horizon, and constrained control and state variables. It aims to equalise the relative queues at origin links and to maintain the vehicle accumulation in the protected network around a desired set point, while the system's throughput is maximised. For real-time control, the optimal control problem is embedded in a rolling-horizon scheme using the current state of the system as the initial state as well as predicted demand flows at entrance links. Furthermore, practical flow allocation policies for single-region perimeter control without explicitly considering entrance link dynamics are presented. These policies allocate a global perimeter-ordered flow to candidate gates at the periphery of a protected network by taking into account the different geometric characteristics of origin links. The proposed flow allocation policies are then benchmarked against the multi-gated perimeter flow control. A study is carried out for a 2.5 square mile protected network area of San Francisco, CA, including fifteen gates of different geometric characteristics. The results have showed that the proposed scheme is able to manage excessive queues outside of the protected network and to optimally distribute the input flows, which confirms its efficiency and equity properties.

eess.SY↗

arXiv2023

Energy-based Assessment and Driving Behavior of ACC Systems and Humans Inside Platoons

Evidence in the literature shows that automated and human driving modes demonstrate different driving characteristics, i.e., headway policy, spacing policy, reaction time, comfortable acceleration, and others. These differences alter observed traffic dynamics and have an impact on energy consumption. This paper assesses the energy footprint of commercially implemented adaptive cruise control (ACC) systems and human drivers in car-following formation via different models using empirical observations on very similar driving cycles and/or routes. Most importantly, it initiates a critical discussion of the findings under the behavioral properties of each mode. Findings show that: ACC systems propagate an increasing energy consumption upstream, while human drivers do not; they succeed in maintaining a constant time-headway policy, operating very reliably; they develop a strong bond with their leader compared to their human counterparts; the two modes (humans and ACCs) are operating in different phase-space areas with room for improvement. Overall, findings show that ACC systems must be optimized to achieve a trade-off between functional requirements and eco-driving instructions.

eess.SY↗

arXiv2023

The Unscented Kalman Filter for Nonlinear Parameter Identification of Adaptive Cruise Control Systems

This paper develops and investigates a dual unscented Kalman filter (DUKF) for the joint nonlinear state and parameter identification of commercial adaptive cruise control (ACC) systems. Although the core functionality of stock ACC systems, including their proprietary control logic and parameters, is not publicly available, this work considers a car-following scenario with a human-driven vehicle (leader) and an ACC engaged ego vehicle (follower) that employs a constant time-headway policy (CTHP). The objective of the DUKF is to determine the CTHP parameters of the ACC by using real-time observations of space-gap and relative velocity from the vehicle's onboard sensors. Real-time parameter identification of stock ACC systems is essential for assessing their string stability, large-scale deployment on motorways, and impact on traffic flow and throughput. In this regard, $L_2$ and $L_\infty$ string stability conditions are considered. The observability rank condition for nonlinear systems is adopted to evaluate the ability of the proposed estimation scheme to estimate stock ACC system parameters using empirical data. The proposed filter is evaluated using empirical data collected from the onboard sensors of two 2019 SUV vehicles, namely Hyundai Nexo and SsangYong Rexton, equipped with stock ACC systems; and is compared with batch and recursive least-squares optimization. The set of ACC model parameters obtained from the proposed filter revealed that the commercially implemented ACC system of the considered vehicle (Hyundai Nexo) is neither $L_2$ nor $L_\infty$ string stable.

eess.SY↗

arXiv2022

Short term prediction of demand for ride hailing services: A deep learning approach

As ride-hailing services become increasingly popular, being able to accurately predict demand for such services can help operators efficiently allocate drivers to customers, and reduce idle time, improve congestion, and enhance the passenger experience. This paper proposes UberNet, a deep learning Convolutional Neural Network for short-term prediction of demand for ride-hailing services. UberNet empploys a multivariate framework that utilises a number of temporal and spatial features that have been found in the literature to explain demand for ride-hailing services. The proposed model includes two sub-networks that aim to encode the source series of various features and decode the predicting series, respectively. To assess the performance and effectiveness of UberNet, we use 9 months of Uber pickup data in 2014 and 28 spatial and temporal features from New York City. By comparing the performance of UberNet with several other approaches, we show that the prediction quality of the model is highly competitive. Further, Ubernet's prediction performance is better when using economic, social and built environment features. This suggests that Ubernet is more naturally suited to including complex motivators in making real-time passenger demand predictions for ride-hailing services.

cs.LG↗