arXiv subjects

Konstantinos Kritos

Publications and source records attributed to Konstantinos Kritos.

At least 19 recordsLinked to original sources

arXiv2026

Orbital evolution of asymmetric binaries within accreting environments

Extreme mass-ratio inspirals embedded in accretion disks provide a natural arena for studying the interplay between relativistic orbital dynamics and environmental effects. In this work, we develop a framework to investigate the secular evolution of compact objects repeatedly crossing an accretion disk around a supermassive black hole. The orbital motion is modeled through Kerr geodesics, while disk interactions are encoded through effective prescriptions for mass accretion and dynamical friction. We find that disk-induced dissipation generically drives a two-stage evolution characterized by rapid alignment of the orbital plane with the disk, followed by slower eccentricity damping. By systematically comparing the dynamics with a purely Keplerian treatment, we show that cumulative relativistic effects produce deviations even at large orbital separations, where the Keplerian approximation would naively be expected to remain accurate. These discrepancies grow through repeated disk crossings and become increasingly pronounced in more relativistic orbital configurations. We further investigate the impact of the accretion-disk model by comparing the Sirko-Goodman and Novikov-Thorne prescriptions. Relativistic disk structures predict systematically lower densities and larger scale heights, leading to weaker orbital dissipation and slower secular evolution. By contrast, the spin of the central black hole has only a minor effect on the overall circularization efficiency. Our results demonstrate the importance of consistently modeling both relativistic orbital dynamics and disk structure when studying compact objects embedded in AGN disks, and provide a framework for exploring their long-term evolution, as well as a possible connection to quasi-periodic eruptions.

gr-qc↗

arXiv2026

Primordial Black-Hole-Based Pathways to Little Red Dots

The James Webb Space Telescope has uncovered a population of compact, high-redshift sources, the Little Red Dots (LRDs), which may host supermassive black holes (BHs) significantly heavier than their stellar content compared with local scaling relations. These objects challenge standard models of early galaxy formation and may represent an extreme class of early BH hosts. In this Letter, we investigate whether these BHs could have a primordial origin. We first show that the direct formation of these BH masses in the early Universe is excluded by stringent cosmic microwave background $μ$-distortion limits. We then investigate the assembly of massive BHs from lighter, observationally allowed primordial black holes (PBHs) via hierarchical mergers, finding that, although this channel can operate depending on the merger history, it faces challenges in explaining the observations due to the rarity of the required high-redshift dark matter halos. Finally, we estimate gas accretion onto intermediate-mass PBHs, while jointly tracking metallicity evolution, and identify regions of parameter space in which such growth could reproduce the observed properties of LRDs. As a special case, we focus on the strongly lensed source QSO1, whose extremely low metallicity and large mass provide a stringent test of these formation channels.

astro-ph.CO↗

arXiv2026

From nuclear star clusters to Little Red Dots: black hole growth, mergers, and tidal disruptions

Little Red Dots, discovered by the James Webb Space Telescope, are hypothesized to be active galactic nuclei containing a supermassive black hole, possibly surrounded by a dense stellar cluster, large amounts of gas, and likely by a population of stellar-mass black holes. We develop a simple nuclear star cluster model to evolve the rapid mass growth of black hole seeds into the supermassive regime. The combined processes of tidal disruption events, black hole captures, and gas accretion are accounted for self-consistently in our model. Given the observed number density of Little Red Dots, and under reasonable assumptions, we predict at least a few tens of tidal disruption events and at least a few black hole captures at z=4-6, with a tidal disruption event rate an order of magnitude larger than the black hole capture rate. We also estimate the uncertainties in these estimates. Finally, we comment on the low x-ray luminosity of Little Red Dots.

astro-ph.HE↗

arXiv2026

Investigating the formation channel of GW231123: Population III stars or hierarchical mergers?

The gravitational wave event GW231123, with component black hole masses lying within or above the pair-instability mass gap, poses a significant challenge to current stellar evolution models. In this work, we describe how we investigated its origin by coupling the galaxy formation model GAMESH with the cluster population synthesis code RAPSTER and using two distinct binary population synthesis codes, SEVN and BSEEMP. This framework allowed us, for the first time, to reconstruct the life cycle of GW231123-like candidates within the same cosmological simulation, enabling a self-consistent comparison between different formation channels. Although both population synthesis codes can in principle produce black holes compatible with GW231123, we find that isolated binary evolution fails to reproduce the inferred merger redshift. In SEVN, massive black hole binaries form with semi-major axes > 10^3 Rsun , preventing coalescences within a Hubble time. In BSEEMP, candidates arise only at extremely low metallicities (Z = 10^{-10}), which contribute negligibly to the star formation rate density in our overdense simulated volume. Our results therefore strongly support a dynamical hierarchical origin. The observed black hole masses are naturally reproduced through successive mergers in dense globular clusters. The high dimensionless spins reported by the LIGO-Virgo-KAGRA Collaboration are consistent with this hierarchical population. We found a local merger rate density of 0.78 Gpc^{-3} yr^{-1}, with a peak at z = 4 - 6, tracing the maximum formation rate of globular clusters in metal-poor environments (Z = 0.006). Overall, GW231123 may represent a benchmark event for a robust population of hierarchical black holes formed in the early Universe.

astro-ph.GA↗

arXiv2026

Predicting intermediate-mass black hole formation in star clusters with machine learning

Whether intermediate-mass black holes reside in nearby star clusters has remained contested for decades. We address this question by training neural network and random forest regressors on synthetic catalogs generated with the {\sc Rapster} cluster evolution code, mapping observable cluster properties such as total mass and half-mass radius onto the mass of the heaviest black hole built up through repeated mergers. Applying these models to nearby globular and nuclear star clusters, we forecast the intermediate-mass black hole population that each system may host. Globular clusters are unlikely to contain black holes more massive than $\sim 100\,M_\odot$, with an occupation fraction near 0.02, although they can produce remnants within the upper mass gap with masses approaching $100\,M_\odot$. Among nuclear star clusters, a handful of cases, including NGC 5102 and NGC 5206, yield predicted central black hole masses above $100\,M_\odot$, which we contrast with kinematically inferred estimates. Where the observationally claimed masses exceed our predictions, the implication is that the assembly history involved processes beyond hierarchical mergers, most plausibly accretion of gas and stars. Finally, we employ a normalizing flow to quantify, for individual globular clusters, the likelihood that their initial conditions were favorable to a collisional runaway during the first few million years after formation.

astro-ph.GA↗

arXiv2026

Milky Way Globular Clusters: Nurseries for Dynamically-Formed Binary Black Holes

We present a novel self-consistent theoretical framework to characterize the formation, evolution, and merger sites of dynamically-formed black hole binaries, with a focus on explaining the most massive events observed by the LIGO-Virgo-KAGRA Collaboration. Our approach couples the galaxy formation model GAMESH with cluster population synthesis codes to trace the cosmic evolution of globular clusters simultaneously with mergers of massive black holes. Our reference model, which includes prescriptions for both cluster formation and disruption depending on properties of specific galaxies, accurately reproduces the observed age-mass distribution of the Milky Way globular clusters. We find that approximately 30% of the globular clusters observed in our galaxy's halo may have originated from satellite galaxies of the Milky Way. We confirm that hierarchical black hole mergers provide a significant contribution to the formation of black holes in and above the pair-instability mass gap. However, quantifying their contribution is challenging, as different population synthesis codes yield divergent results in terms of black hole mass function and merger rates. Furthermore, we characterize the host galaxies where massive black holes form in terms of their dark matter, stellar mass, and metallicity. Ultimately, we demonstrate that the merger and birth rate densities of binary black holes increase with redshift till z = 5. This cosmic evolution is a crucial signature with significant implications for future detectors like the LISA, the Einstein Telescope and Cosmic Explorer, which will be capable to probe the high-redshift Universe.

astro-ph.GA↗

arXiv2026

Toward Black Hole Stars: supermassive black hole growth in nuclear clusters via stellar-object and gas accretion

Supermassive black hole (SMBH) growth plausibly occurs via runaway astrophysical black hole mergers in nuclear star clusters that form intermediate mass black hole seeds at high redshifts. Such a model yields an order-of-magnitude higher rate of tidal disruption events than that of compact-object captures. Our prediction, normalized to our proposed resolution of SMBH seeding, yields detectable tidal disruption event rates at high redshift. The resulting dense gas cocoons generate compact galactic nuclei, each incorporating a central, massive, black hole star, with comparable masses in gas, stars, and massive black holes within a scale of around a parsec as inferred from the various Little Red Dot spectral signatures.

astro-ph.HE↗

arXiv2026

Kick matters: The impact of a new recoil model on the retention of hierarchical black-hole remnants in globular clusters

In globular clusters, hierarchical mergers are among the most promising pathways to forming massive black holes such as GW231123. A key factor determining whether a merger-remnant black hole will be retained in these environments and thus participate in subsequent hierarchical mergers is the recoil kick velocity. Analytic models for the recoil velocity are currently employed in nearly all population-synthesis frameworks. We instead use a state-of-the-art recoil-kick model gwModel_flow_prec developed from a combination of numerical-relativity and black-hole perturbation-theory data, together with data-driven techniques such as normalizing flows and the post-Newtonian structure of the kick. Employing both back-of-the-envelope estimates and detailed N-body as well as semi-analytical cluster simulations, we show that gwModel_flow_prec leads to a noticeable increase in the retention probability of hierarchical-merger remnants compared to the previously used analytic model and changes the mass and spin distribution of the black holes formed through hierarchical mergers. Additionally, we discuss the implications of our results in the context of massive binaries such as GW231123.

astro-ph.HE↗

arXiv2026

deci-Hz Gravitational Wave Observations on the Moon and Beyond

This document summarizes talks and discussions from the workshop "deci-Hz Gravitational Wave Observations on the Moon and Beyond" that took place at Johns Hopkins University between September 1 and September 3, 2025. The workshop focused on experimental proposals to observe gravitational waves in the deci-Hz band, including lunar detectors, laser interferometers in space, and atom interferometry; gravitational wave sources in the deci-Hz frequency band; and the multi-messenger and multi-band astronomy that would be enabled by these observations.

gr-qc↗

arXiv2025

Gravitational wave inference of star cluster properties from intermediate-mass black hole mergers

Next-generation ground-based gravitational wave observatories will observe mergers of intermediate-mass black holes (IMBHs) out to high redshift. Such IMBHs can form through runaway tidal encounters in the cores of dense stellar clusters. In this paper, we ask if the gravitational wave observation of a single merger event between two IMBHs, occurring in the aftermath of the coalescence of the clusters in which they formed, can be used to infer the properties of their host clusters, such as mass, redshift, and half-mass radius. We implement an astrophysically motivated analytic model for cluster evolution and IMBH growth, and we perform IMBH binary parameter estimation using a network of three next-generation detectors. We find that inferring the structural properties of clusters in this way is challenging due to model degeneracy. However, the posteriors on the cluster formation redshifts have relatively narrow peaks, and it may still be possible to infer the cluster formation history by measuring a whole population of IMBH binary merger events.

astro-ph.HE↗

arXiv2024

Supermassive black hole growth in hierarchically merging nuclear star clusters

Supermassive black holes are prevalent at the centers of massive galaxies, and their masses scale with galaxy properties, increasing evidence suggesting that these trends continue to low stellar masses. Seeds are needed for supermassive black holes, especially at the highest redshifts explored by the James Webb Space Telescope. We study the hierarchical merging of galaxies via cosmological merger trees and argue that the seeds of supermassive black holes formed in nuclear star clusters via stellar black hole mergers at early epochs. Observable tracers include intermediate-mass black holes, nuclear star clusters, and early gas accretion in host dwarf galaxies, along with a potentially detectable stochastic gravitational wave background, ejection of intermediate and supermassive black holes, and consequences of a significant population of tidal disruption events and extreme-mass ratio inspirals.

astro-ph.GA↗

arXiv2024

Minimum gas mass accreted by spinning intermediate-mass black holes in stellar clusters

The spin of intermediate-mass black holes (IMBHs) growing through repeated black hole mergers in stellar clusters statistically asymptotes to zero. Putative observations of IMBHs with dimensionless spin parameter $χ\gtrsim 0.6$ would require a phase of coherent gas accretion to spin up the black hole. We estimate the amount of gas necessary to produce a given IMBH spin. If the observed IMBH mass and spin are $M\gtrsim 1000~M_\odot$ and $χ\gtrsim 0.6$, respectively, the IMBH must have coherently accreted at least $\sim 100~M_\odot$ of gas. In this scenario, as long as the spin is not maximal, the IMBH can only accrete at most half of its mass. Our estimates can constrain the relative contribution of accretion and mergers to the growth of IMBHs in dense stellar environments.

astro-ph.HE↗

arXiv2024

Intermediate-mass black hole binary parameter estimation with next-generation ground-based detector networks

Astrophysical scenarios for the formation and evolution of intermediate-mass black holes (IMBHs) in the mass range $10^2 M_\odot \lesssim M \lesssim 10^6 M_\odot$ remain uncertain, but future ground-based gravitational-wave (GW) interferometers will probe the lower end of the IMBH mass range. We study the detectability of IMBH binary mergers and the measurability of their parameters with next-generation ground-based detector networks consisting of various combinations of Cosmic Explorer (CE) and Einstein Telescope (ET) interferometers. We find that, for binaries with component masses $m_{1,2}\sim 1000\,M_\odot$, an optimal 3-detector network can constrain the masses with errors $\lesssim 0.1\%$ ($\lesssim 1\%$) at $z=0.5$ ($z=2$), and the source redshift can be measured with percent-level accuracy or better at $z\lesssim 2$. The redshift of lighter binaries ($m_{1,2}\lesssim 300\,M_\odot$) can still be measured with $O(10)\%$ accuracy even at $z=10$. Binaries with $z\lesssim 0.5$ can be localized within $1\,\rm{deg}^2$ for $m_{1,2}\lesssim 1000\,M_\odot$, and within $0.1\,\rm{deg}^2$ for comparable mass systems. The sky localization is good enough that it may be possible to cross-correlate GW searches with galaxy catalogs and to search for electromagnetic counterparts to IMBH mergers. We also point out that the low-frequency sensitivity of the detectors is crucial for IMBH detection and parameter estimation. It will be interesting to use our results in conjunction with population synthesis codes to constrain astrophysical IMBH formation models.

gr-qc↗

arXiv2024

Residual eccentricity as a systematic uncertainty on the formation channels of binary black holes

Resolving the formation channel(s) of merging binary black holes is a key goal in gravitational-wave astronomy. The orbital eccentricity is believed to be a precious tracer of the underlying formation pathway, but is largely dissipated during the usually long inspiral between black hole formation and merger. Most gravitational-wave sources are thus expected to enter the sensitivity windows of current detectors on configurations that are compatible with quasi-circular orbits. In this paper, we investigate the impact of "negligible" residual eccentricity -- lower than currently detectable by LIGO/Virgo -- on our ability to infer the formation history of binary black holes, focusing in particular on their spin orientations. We trace the evolution of both observed and synthetic gravitational-wave events backward in time, while resampling their residual eccentricities to values that are below the detectability threshold. Eccentricities in-band as low as $\sim 10^{-4}$ can lead to significant biases when reconstructing the spin directions, especially in the case of loud, highly precessing systems. Residual eccentricity thus act like a systematic uncertainty for our astrophysical inference. As a mitigation strategy, one can marginalize the posterior distribution over the residual eccentricity using astrophysical predictions.

astro-ph.HE↗

arXiv2024

Dynamical formation of black hole binaries in dense star clusters: Rapid cluster evolution code

Gravitational-wave observations have just started probing the properties of black hole binary merger populations. The observation of binaries with very massive black holes and significantly asymmetric masses motivates the study of dense star clusters as astrophysical environments which can produce such events dynamically. In this paper we present Rapster (for "Rapid cluster evolution"), a new code designed to rapidly model binary black hole population synthesis and the evolution of massive star clusters based on simple, yet realistic prescriptions. We also perform a thorough comparison with the Cluster Monte Carlo code and find generally good agreement. The code can be used to generate large populations of dynamically formed binary black holes.

astro-ph.HE↗

arXiv2024

Nonlinear quasinormal mode detectability with next-generation gravitational wave detectors

In the aftermath of a binary black hole merger event, the gravitational wave signal emitted by the remnant black hole is modeled as a superposition of damped sinusoids known as quasinormal modes. While the dominant quasinormal modes originating from linear black hole perturbation theory have been studied extensively in this post-merger "ringdown" phase, more accurate models of ringdown radiation include the nonlinear modes arising from higher-order perturbations of the remnant black hole spacetime. We explore the detectability of quadratic quasinormal modes with both ground- and space-based next-generation detectors. We quantify how predictions of the quadratic mode detectability depend on the quasinormal mode starting times. We then calculate the signal-to-noise ratio of quadratic modes for several detectors and binary black hole populations, focusing on the ($220\times220$) mode - i.e., on the quadratic term sourced by the square of the linear $(220)$ mode. For the events with the loudest quadratic mode signal-to-noise ratios, we additionally compute statistical errors on the mode parameters in order to further ascertain the distinguishability of the quadratic mode from the linear quasinormal modes. The astrophysical models used in this paper suggest that while the quadratic mode may be detectable in at most a few events with ground-based detectors, the prospects for detection with the Laser Interferometer Space Antenna (LISA) are more optimistic.

gr-qc↗

arXiv2024

Supermassive black holes from runaway mergers and accretion in nuclear star clusters

Rapid formation of supermassive black holes occurs in dense nuclear star clusters that are initially gas-dominated. Stellar-mass black hole remnants of the most massive cluster sink into the core, where a massive runaway black hole forms as a consequence of combined effects of repeated mergers and Eddington-limited gas accretion. The associated gravitational wave signals of high-redshift extreme mass-ratio inspirals are a unique signature of the nuclear star cluster scenario.

astro-ph.HE↗

arXiv2024

Multi-messenger Astrophysics of Black Holes and Neutron Stars as Probed by Ground-based Gravitational Wave Detectors: From Present to Future

The ground-based gravitational wave (GW) detectors LIGO and Virgo have enabled the birth of multi-messenger GW astronomy via the detection of GWs from merging stellar-mass black holes (BHs) and neutron stars (NSs). GW170817, the first binary NS merger detected in GWs and all bands of the electromagnetic spectrum, is an outstanding example of the impact that GW discoveries can have on multi-messenger astronomy. Yet, GW170817 is only one of the many and varied multi-messenger sources that can be unveiled using ground-based GW detectors. In this contribution, we summarize key open questions in the astrophysics of stellar-mass BHs and NSs that can be answered using current and future-generation ground-based GW detectors, and highlight the potential for new multi-messenger discoveries ahead.

astro-ph.HE↗