arXiv subjects
Publications and source records attributed to Kostiantyn Ralchenko.
We study local quasihelix and generalized quasihelix properties of several Gaussian Volterra processes with tempered, power-weighted, and logarithmic kernels, including tempered fractional Brownian motions and generalized fractional Brownian motion-type processes. These properties depend significantly on the values of the parameters involved, and we consider all possible cases in detail.
We consider drift parameter estimation in a model driven by the sum of two independent fractional Brownian motions with different Hurst indices. Although the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) for this model is known theoretically, its computation requires solving an operator equation involving fractional covariance operators. We develop an effective numerical method for approximating the solution of this equation by reformulating it as a Fredholm integral equation of the second kind with a weakly singular kernel. The resulting algorithm enables practical computation of the MLE. Numerical experiments illustrate the performance of the method.
Fractional Brownian motion (fBm) is a canonical model for long-memory phenomena. In the presence of large amounts of potentially memory-bearing data, the data are often averaged, which can change the structure of the underlying relationships and affect standard estimation procedures. To address this, we introduce the normalized integrated fractional Brownian motion (nifBm), defined as the average of fBm over a fixed interval. We derive its covariance structure, investigate the stationarity and self-similarity, and extend the framework to linear combinations of independent nifBms and models with deterministic drift. For such linear combinations, we establish stationarity of increments, investigate the asymptotic behavior of the autocovariance function, and prove an ergodic theorem essential for statistical inference. We consider two statistical models: one driven by a single nifBm and another by a linear combination of two independent nifBms, including cases with deterministic drift. For both models, we propose estimators that are strongly consistent and asymptotically normal for both the drift and the full parameter set. Numerical simulations illustrate the theoretical findings, providing a foundation for modeling averaged fractional dynamics, with potential applications in finance, energy markets, and environmental studies.
The Vasicek model is a commonly used interest rate model, and there exist many extensions and generalizations of it. However, most generalizations of the model are either univariate or assume the noise process to be Gaussian, or both. In this article, we study a generalized multivariate Vasicek model that allows simultaneous modeling of multiple interest rates while making minimal assumptions. In the model, we only assume that the noise process has stationary increments with a suitably decaying autocovariance structure. We provide estimators for the unknown parameters and prove their consistencies. We also derive limiting distributions for each estimator and provide theoretical examples. Furthermore, the model is tested empirically with both simulated data and real data.
Shannon entropy for discrete distributions is a fundamental and widely used concept, but its continuous analogue, known as differential entropy, lacks essential properties such as positivity and compatibility with the discrete case. In this paper, we analyze this incompatibility in detail and illustrate it through examples. To overcome these limitations, we propose modified versions of Shannon and Rényi entropy that retain key properties, including positivity, while remaining close to the classical forms. We also define compatible discrete functionals and study the behavior of the proposed entropies for the normal and exponential distributions.
We investigate the long-time asymptotic behavior of various entropy measures associated with the Cox-Ingersoll-Ross (CIR) and squared Bessel processes. As the one-dimensional distributions of both processes follow noncentral chi-squared laws, we first derive sufficient conditions for the existence of these entropy measures for a noncentral chi-squared random variable. We then analyze their limiting behavior as the noncentrality parameter approaches zero and apply these results to the CIR and squared Bessel processes. We prove that, as time tends to infinity, the entropies of the CIR process converge to those of its stationary distribution, while for the squared Bessel process, the Shannon, Rényi, and generalized Rényi entropies diverge, however, the Tsallis and Sharma-Mittal entropies may diverge or remain finite depending on the entropy parameters. Finally, we demonstrate that, as the CIR process converges to the squared Bessel process, the corresponding entropies also converge.
We investigate the Gatheral model of double mean-reverting stochastic volatility, in which the drift term itself follows a mean-reverting process, and the overall model exhibits mean-reverting behavior. We demonstrate that such processes can attain values arbitrarily close to zero and remain near zero for extended periods, making them practically and statistically indistinguishable from zero. To address this issue, we propose a modified model incorporating Skorokhod reflection, which preserves the model's flexibility while preventing volatility from approaching zero.
The paper is devoted to the properties of the entropy of the exponent-Wiener-integral fractional Gaussian process (EWIFG-process), that is a Wiener integral of the exponent with respect to fractional Brownian motion. Unlike fractional Brownian motion, whose entropy has very simple monotonicity properties in Hurst index, the behavior of the entropy of EWIFG-process is much more involved and depends on the moment of time. We consider these properties of monotonicity in great detail.
The paper extends the analysis of the entropies of the Poisson distribution with parameter $λ$. It demonstrates that the Tsallis and Sharma-Mittal entropies exhibit monotonic behavior with respect to $λ$, whereas two generalized forms of the Rényi entropy may exhibit "anomalous" (non-monotonic) behavior. Additionally, we examine the asymptotic behavior of the entropies as $λ\to \infty$ and provide both lower and upper bounds for them.
We calculate and analyze various entropy measures and their properties for selected probability distributions. The entropies considered include Shannon, Rényi, generalized Rényi, Tsallis, Sharma-Mittal, and modified Shannon entropy, along with the Kullback-Leibler divergence. These measures are examined for several distributions, including gamma, chi-squared, exponential, Laplace, and log-normal distributions. We investigate the dependence of the entropy on the parameters of the respective distribution. We also study the convergence of Shannon entropy for certain probability distributions. Furthermore, we identify the extreme values of Shannon entropy for Gaussian vectors.
This paper studies two related stochastic processes driven by Brownian motion: the Cox-Ingersoll-Ross (CIR) process and the Bessel process. We investigate their shared and distinct properties, focusing on time-asymptotic growth rates, distance between the processes in integral norms, and parameter estimation. The squared Bessel process is shown to be a phase transition of the CIR process and can be approximated by a sequence of CIR processes. Differences in stochastic stability are also highlighted, with the Bessel process displaying instability, while the CIR process remains ergodic and stable.
We examine the one-sided and two-sided (bilateral) projections of an element of fractional Gaussian noise onto its neighboring elements. We establish several analytical results and conduct a numerical study to analyze the behavior of the coefficients of these projections as functions of the Hurst index and the number of neighboring elements used for the projection. We derive recurrence relations for the coefficients of the two-sided projection. Additionally, we explore the norms of both types of projections. Certain special cases are investigated in greater detail, both theoretically and numerically.
We establish the rate of convergence in the $L^1$-norm for equidistant approximations of stochastic integrals with discontinuous integrands driven by multifractional Brownian motion. Our findings extend the known results for the case when the driver is a fractional Brownian motion.
The paper focuses on the Vasicek model driven by a tempered fractional Brownian motion. We derive the asymptotic distributions of the least-squares estimators (based on continuous-time observations) for the unknown drift parameters. This work continues the investigation by Mishura and Ralchenko (Fractal and Fractional, 8(2:79), 2024), where these estimators were introduced and their strong consistency was proved.
Entropic Value-at-Risk (EVaR) measure is a convenient coherent risk measure. Due to certain difficulties in finding its analytical representation, it was previously calculated explicitly only for the normal distribution. We succeeded to overcome these difficulties and to calculate Entropic Value-at-Risk (EVaR) measure for Poisson, compound Poisson, Gamma, Laplace, exponential, chi-squared, inverse Gaussian distribution and normal inverse Gaussian distribution with the help of Lambert function that is a special function, generally speaking, with two branches.
We introduce fractional diffusion Bessel process with Hurst index $H\in(0,\frac12)$, derive a stochastic differential equation for it, and study the asymptotic properties of its sample paths.
The paper is devoted to three-parametric self-similar Gaussian Volterra processes that generalize fractional Brownian motion. We study the asymptotic growth of such processes and the properties of long- and short-range dependence. Then we consider the problem of the drift parameter estimation for Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process driven by Gaussian Volterra process under consideration. We construct a strongly consistent estimator and investigate its asymptotic properties. Namely, we prove that it has the Cauchy asymptotic distribution.
This paper is devoted to the study of the properties of entropy as a function of the Hurst index, which corresponds to the fractional Gaussian noise. Since the entropy of the Gaussian vector depends on the determinant of the covariance matrix, and the behavior of this determinant as a function of the Hurst index is rather difficult to study analytically at high dimensions, we also consider simple alternative entropy functionals, whose behavior, on the one hand, mimics the behavior of entropy and, on the other hand, is not difficult to study. Asymptotic behavior of the normalized entropy (so called entropy rate) is also studied for the entropy and for the alternative functionals.