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Kyla Chasalow

Publications and source records attributed to Kyla Chasalow.

4 recordsLinked to original sources

Improving Minority Population Sampling with BISG Probabilities: Evidence from a Survey of Jewish Americans

Sampling geographically dispersed minority populations poses substantial challenges when individual group membership cannot be directly observed. Although stratified sampling can offer efficiency gains, these gains are typically modest unless the minority population is highly concentrated within a small number of strata. In this paper, we propose using Bayesian Improved Surname Geocoding (BISG) to enhance the efficiency of minority population sampling. BISG generates individual-level probabilities of minority group membership based on names and residential addresses. We incorporate these probabilities into a stratified Poisson probability sampling design. Applying the proposed approach to a national survey of Jewish Americans, we find that our estimates closely align with those from a large-scale Pew Research Center survey of the same population, which relied on a substantially more expensive sampling strategy involving geographic stratification and screening. At a fraction of the cost, our survey reproduces nearly identical patterns observed by Pew, including estimates of religious denominations and participation in specific religious activities.

stat.AP

Missing Data Multiple Imputation for Tabular Q-Learning in Online RL

Missing data in online reinforcement learning (RL) poses challenges compared to missing data in standard tabular data or in offline policy learning. The need to impute and act at each time step means that imputation cannot be put off until enough data exist to produce stable imputation models. It also means future data collection and learning depend on previous imputations. This paper proposes fully online imputation ensembles. We find that maintaining multiple imputation pathways may help balance the need to capture uncertainty under missingness and the need for efficiency in online settings. We consider multiple approaches for incorporating these pathways into learning and action selection. Using a Grid World experiment with various types of missingness, we provide preliminary evidence that multiple imputation pathways may be a useful framework for constructing simple and efficient online missing data RL methods.

stat.ML

Algorithms and Decision-Making in the Public Sector

This article surveys the use of algorithmic systems to support decision-making in the public sector. Governments adopt, procure, and use algorithmic systems to support their functions within several contexts -- including criminal justice, education, and benefits provision -- with important consequences for accountability, privacy, social inequity, and public participation in decision-making. We explore the social implications of municipal algorithmic systems across a variety of stages, including problem formulation, technology acquisition, deployment, and evaluation. We highlight several open questions that require further empirical research.

cs.CY

Representativeness in Statistics, Politics, and Machine Learning

Representativeness is a foundational yet slippery concept. Though familiar at first blush, it lacks a single precise meaning. Instead, meanings range from typical or characteristic, to a proportionate match between sample and population, to a more general sense of accuracy, generalizability, coverage, or inclusiveness. Moreover, the concept has long been contested. In statistics, debates about the merits and methods of selecting a representative sample date back to the late 19th century; in politics, debates about the value of likeness as a logic of political representation are older still. Today, as the concept crops up in the study of fairness and accountability in machine learning, we need to carefully consider the term's meanings in order to communicate clearly and account for their normative implications. In this paper, we ask what representativeness means, how it is mobilized socially, and what values and ideals it communicates or confronts. We trace the concept's history in statistics and discuss normative tensions concerning its relationship to likeness, exclusion, authority, and aspiration. We draw on these analyses to think through how representativeness is used in FAccT debates, with emphasis on data, shift, participation, and power.

cs.CY