arXiv subjects

L. Mancini

Publications and source records attributed to L. Mancini.

At least 19 recordsLinked to original sources

arXiv2026

OGLE-2015-BLG-1395Lb: A Cold Sub-Saturn Mass Planet Orbiting an M Dwarf

We present an analysis of the high-magnification microlensing event OGLE-2015-BLG-1395 and report the discovery of a sub-Saturn mass companion to the lens. Photometric coverage of the planetary anomaly in the light curve was obtained from the University of Tasmania's Harlingten 1.27m telescope. Additional data were obtained following the peak from several other observatories, allowing photometric calibration and color measurement of the source. Fits to the light curve reveal a companion with mass ratio of q = 0.00062 +/- 0.00007 and two degenerate solutions for the projected separation, s = 1.7 +/-0.1 or 0.59 +/-0.04 Einstein ring radii. Source and lens parameters are further constrained by Subaru and Keck adaptive optics (AO) imaging in 2016. Finite source effects and AO flux constraints allow us to determine the planet and host star parameters to better than a factor of 2. The system is an ~0.2 Jupiter-mass planet orbiting an ~0.25 solar mass (early-mid M-dwarf) main-sequence star in the Galactic disk, at a distance of ~2 kpc. The two degenerate solutions from the light curve both place the planet beyond the snow line. As a cold sub-Saturn around an M dwarf, OGLE-2015-BLG-1395Lb is in possible conflict with core accretion theory. Spitzer photometry from the time of the event is consistent with this conclusion, although highly uncertain due to faintness and crowding. The inferred relative proper motion of 9.4 mas/yr is consistent with a source star in the bulge and a lens in the disk, and predicts that the source and lens could be resolved a decade after the event.

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arXiv2026

The GAPS Programme at TNG LXXXI. The puzzle of the HeI absorption signal in the atmosphere of V1298 Tau b with GIARPS@TNG

Atmospheric escape shapes close-in planets mostly in their first tens of Myr. The young V1298Tau system (10-30Myr) is a benchmark for investigating photoevaporation and planetary evolution at early stages. The metastable HeI near-infrared triplet is a key proxy for atmospheric escape. We aim to detect and characterise HeI in the extended atmosphere of V1298Taub. We analysed four transits over a 4-year baseline using GIARPS (GIANO-B + HARPS-N) at the Telescopio Nazionale Galileo. We re-derived the projected spin-orbit angle by modelling the Rossiter-McLaughlin effect. Using simultaneous optical and near-infrared high-resolution transmission spectroscopy of V1298Taub, we monitored the HeI triplet alongside key chromospheric indicators ($\log R'_{HK}$, H$α$, and NaI) to disentangle stellar activity from planetary evaporation. While the stellar spectra show significant night-to-night variability, transmission spectroscopy reveals persistent HeI absorption across all four epochs. This contrasts with H$α$ and NaI, observed over two nights with simultaneous HARPS-N monitoring, which fluctuate between emission and absorption due to stellar activity. The consistent presence of HeI over 4 years may suggest a planetary origin, despite stellar-driven depth modulation. ATES hydrodynamic simulations show that stellar XUV flux variations modulate the HeI absorption depth and equivalent width. Furthermore, stellar wind fluctuations likely drive the observed night-to-night variability of the exospheric structure. The detection of HeI across all epochs may support planetary evaporation, despite modulation by stellar activity. Our results underscore that disentangling a planetary signal from stellar contamination remains challenging for highly active hosts; securing the planetary nature of the HeI signature requires activity monitoring and full transit coverage to establish a robust baseline.

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arXiv2026

The GAPS Programme at TNG. LXXX. Characterisation of the 400 Myr old multi-planet system K2-233

Understanding exoplanet physical properties is crucial for characterising their atmospheres and internal composition. Precise planetary masses are essential for constraining bulk densities and interiors, particularly in young systems hosting planets within or near the radius valley, where atmospheric mass loss may strongly shape their evolution. Here we revise the masses of the three transiting planets orbiting K2-233, a young ($\sim 400$ Myr) active K-type star. We combine 70 HARPS-N observations from the GAPS/ArMS Large Programme with 124 archival HARPS observations, K2 light curves, and TESS photometry obtained during our radial-velocity monitoring. We explore several Multi-GP configurations to mitigate the strong stellar activity and find that the inferred planetary masses depend significantly on the adopted activity-modelling strategy, yielding several physically viable solutions rather than a uniquely preferred one. We model the long-term atmospheric evolution of K2-233 d and find significant atmospheric mass loss. Depending on its internal composition and atmospheric properties, the planet is expected to evolve towards either a low-mass sub-Neptune retaining a thin envelope ($R_p \sim 1.71$-$1.84\ R_{\oplus}$) or a bare-core super-Earth ($R_p \sim 1.95\ R_{\oplus}$) on Gyr timescales. Our interior-structure models suggest that K2-233 b and c are likely iron-dominated, while K2-233 d retains a substantial H/He atmosphere.

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arXiv2026

The GAPS programme at TNG LXXXII. The first atmospheric investigation of the gas giant WASP-13b at high resolution with GIARPS

Low-density transiting gas giant exoplanets are key benchmarks for atmospheric studies. Despite their large-scale heights, many of them remain poorly characterised. We present the first atmospheric investigation at high-resolution of the inflated (R$_\mathrm{p}$$\sim$1.4 R$_{\mathrm{J}}$), hot Jupiter (T$\sim$1500$ \mathrm{K}$) WASP-13 b aiming at constraining its atmospheric composition and refine its orbital geometry. We analysed four transits observed with GIARPS at the TNG. Updated stellar and planetary parameters were re-derived from the most precise literature values, and a new Rossiter-McLaughlin analysis was performed to measure the projected spin-orbit angle ($λ$) and stellar rotational velocity ($v\sin{i_\star}$). Atmospheric signals were searched using high-resolution spectroscopy, both with cross-correlation and single-line analyses, targeting key atomic and molecular species (e.g. \ion{He}{I}, H$α$, \ion{Na}{I}, H$_2$O, CO). We find a well-aligned orbit ($λ$ = 2.7$\pm$1.1$^\circ$) and $v\sin{i_\star}$ = 4.5$\pm$0.1 km s$^{-1}$, improving upon previous constraints. No significant atmospheric absorption is detected in either VIS or NIR data. Injection-and-recovery tests exclude an isothermal atmosphere with metallicity [M/H]$\lesssim$10$\times$[M/H]$_\odot$ and simultaneously a grey cloud top pressure P$_{\rm cloud}\gtrsim10$ mbar, under the assumption of chemical equilibrium. WASP-13 b appears to belong to the class of low-density hot Jupiters with weak or featureless transmission spectra, most likely shaped by the presence of high-altitude clouds. Although a highly metal-enriched atmosphere cannot be fully excluded, current evidence disfavours this scenario. Further observations with next-generation facilities will be essential to characterise the atmospheric properties of this challenging target.

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arXiv2026

Toward the Italian Astronomical Community's Contribution to HWO: Science, Technology, and Instrument Concepts

This paper summarizes the interest of the Italian astronomical community in the possible participation in the development of the Habitable Worlds Observatory (HWO). It is largely based on the outcome of a dedicated meeting held in Rome in July 2025, and it includes further revisions and new suggestions that have arisen in the following months. It includes a succinct description of the main scientific interests and of the key technologies that the Italian community can contribute to the development of the mission. It also includes a short section dedicated to the instrument concepts that we deem important to develop for potential adoption on HWO, and that the Italian community is interested in developing. Finally, it includes a concise presentation of the main instruments for ground-based telescopes (VLT and ELT) and space missions that will be operational before HWO and in which the Italian community has leading positions. They will be invaluable to settle the scientific landscape for the mission and to prepare the Italian scientists to make optimal use of HWO. This paper is primarily aimed at paving the way to discussions and collaborations with worldwide scientists and agencies interested in the development of the mission.

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arXiv2026

The GAPS programme at TNG LXXIX. New mass constraints for the infant planets in the V1298 Tau system through a long-term radial velocity monitoring with HARPS-N

We aim to constrain the dynamical masses of the four confirmed transiting planets orbiting the infant ($20\pm10$ Myr) star V1298,Tau (orbital periods $P_b\sim$24.1 d, $P_c\sim$8.2 d, $P_d\sim$12.4 d, and $P_e\sim$48.7 d), through a new analysis of a homogeneous radial velocity dataset. This system is a key benchmark for testing formation and early-stage evolutionary models of planets. We analysed more than 380 high-resolution spectra collected with the HARPS-N spectrograph over a time span of 4.5,yr. To account for dominant stellar activity and transit-timing-derived planet-planet interactions, we analysed radial velocities extracted using two different approaches, and combined N-body simulations with multi-dimensional Gaussian process regression. We tested a set of spectroscopic and photometric activity diagnostics to mitigate the variability due to the stellar magnetic activity in the radial velocity time series. The mass determinations are sensitive to the choice of the radial velocity extraction method and activity diagnostics. For some specific models, we measured masses with a significance of 3.5--4$σ$ for planets b ($0.52^{+0.12}{-0.14}$, $0.65^{+0.21}{-0.18}$, $0.67\pm0.16$, and $0.78^{+0.19}{-0.20}$ $M_{\rm Jup}$) and e (0.40$^{+0.14}{-0.13}$, 0.66$^{+0.17}{-0.18}$, and $0.71\pm0.20$ $M_{\rm Jup}$). These values are compatible with masses of giant planets, and are notably higher than those recently derived from transit timing variations alone, which indicate that these are low-density ``super-puffy'' planets. Injection-and-recovery simulations moderately support this conclusion for planet b. For planets c and d, we primarily provide updated mass upper limits. Our analysis represents an exploratory study to address the complex issue of mass measurement in a multi-planetary system characterised by high levels of stellar activity.

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arXiv2026

The GAPS programme at TNG LXXVIII. Phase-resolved detection of multiple atomic species in the atmosphere of KELT-20b/MASCARA-2b

Among the different classes of exoplanets, ultra-hot Jupiters represent prime laboratories for atmospheric characterisation. With an equilibrium temperature of ~2300 K, KELT-20b/MASCARA-2b (HD 185603 b) is a well-studied ultra-hot Jupiter, for which several atomic species have already been detected in both transmission and emission spectroscopy. Nevertheless, important open questions remain regarding the completeness of the chemical inventory and the interpretation of spurious aliasing signals that may mimic genuine atmospheric signatures. In addition, asymmetries in the detected signals across transits can encode valuable information on the spatial structure and dynamics of the planetary atmosphere. In this work, we analyse seven transits of KELT-20b/MASCARA-2b observed with the high-resolution spectrograph HARPS-N at the Telescopio Nazionale Galileo. We apply the cross-correlation function technique to a large set of atomic and ionic species, accounting for aliasing effects that can lead to false detections. We confirm previous detections of HI, NaI, MgI, CrI, FeI, and FeII, and tentatively detect CrII. We further report new detections of KI, CaI, VI, MnI, and BaII, and a tentative detection of PrI in the planetary atmosphere. By performing a phase-resolved analysis and splitting the transit into pre- and post-mid-transit phases, we investigate longitudinal variations in the detected signals. For several species, we observe a double-peaked structure in the Kp-Vsys maps, notably in CaI, VI, CrI, and FeI, consistent with absorption arising from two distinct atmospheric limbs of the planet.

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arXiv2026

The Neptunian ridge planet WASP-156 b does not have a polar orbit

The population of short-period exo-Neptunes is thought to be shaped by an interplay between different dynamical mechanisms, such as orbital migration and tidal effects, and photoevaporation. We can gain insight into these processes by studying observables such as the stellar obliquity. Here we study the Rossiter-McLaughlin (RM) effect and measure the projected obliquity, $λ$, of the Neptunian ridge planet WASP-156 b. We analyse new ESPRESSO and MAROON-X spectroscopic transit observations, and new NGTS photometry simultaneous to the ESPRESSO data. Our analyses show an aligned orbit ($λ=-8\pm16^\circ$, based on the ESPRESSO observations), in contrast to a previous report of a highly misaligned orbit. We also find the star's projected rotational velocity to be $v \sin i_\mathrm{\star}\leq2$ km/s from spectral line modelling and $v \sin i_\mathrm{\star}=0.40\pm0.11$ km/s from the RM modelling. This is lower than the previously reported value of $\sim4$ km/s, which could partly explain the previously derived polar orbit. We also update the system's orbital parameters and rule out Jupiter-mass companions within 5 au using long-term radial velocity data. The planet's aligned and circular orbit ($e<0.16$ at $3σ$), and lack of nearby massive companions, are consistent with in situ formation or early disc-driven migration. Our findings move WASP-156 b from a tentative cluster of close-in Neptunes in polar orbits to the group of aligned Neptunes.

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arXiv2026

The Hot Neptune Initiative (HONEI) III. An ultra-hot super Neptune orbiting the metal-rich subgiant star TOI-5646: the largest host for a desert dweller

We report the confirmation of the TESS transiting-planet candidate orbiting the metal-rich F8\,IV-V subgiant star TOI-5646 (V=11.38 mag; T=6136 K). The planetary nature of TOI-5646b was confirmed by means of HARPS-N follow-up radial velocity measurements. We determined that the planet has an orbital period of 2.4277 days and an orbital eccentricity compatible with zero. With a mass of 45.9 Earth masses, a radius of 6.6 Earth radii, and an equilibrium temperature of 1935 K, it is one of the hottest super-Neptune exoplanets ever discovered in the Neptune desert. Its density, 0.87 g cm^-3, is lower than that of most other desert dwellers, but still appears to follow the trend that the desert is populated by dense planets than those in the ridge and savanna. The metallicity of the parent star ([Fe/H]=0.32) follows the trend whereby the host stars of Neptune-sized exoplanets in the desert and the ridge are generally richer in metal than those in the savanna. The log{g} of the parent star (4.09) suggests that the host is an evolved star, making this a peculiar system: TOI-5646 is the largest star (1.8 Solar radii) ever discovered to host a Neptune-sized planet in the desert. Internal structure modelling revealed that TOI-5646b is highly enriched in metals, with an inferred bulk metallicity between 0.7 and 0.95. Atmospheric evolution simulations indicate that the planet has undergone significant mass loss (6-16%) through intense XUV irradiation from its host star. These results indicate a peculiar formation history (potentially involving early protoplanetary disk dispersal), a planetary collision, or a late tidal destruction event, to explain its current state as a low-density survivor in the Neptune desert.

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arXiv2026

The TASSIE Program. II: Three Close-In Companions Orbiting Sun-Like Stars

We present three southern transiting giant planet candidates alerted by the Transiting Exoplanet Survey Satellite (TESS) mission and investigated at the University of Tasmania Greenhill Observatory (UTGO). The candidate planets are orbiting thin disk G-dwarf main-sequence stars with roughly solar metallicity, possessing orbital periods between 2.9 - 3.3 days and radii of 1.1 - 1.3 $R_{J}$. We performed ground-based follow-up photometry primarily with the UTGO Harlingten 50 cm, then gathered reconnaissance spectra, high angular resolution imaging and high-precision radial velocities to rule out false positive scenarios. We confirmed that two of these systems host true exoplanets and constrained their masses. TOI-3053b is a typical hot Jupiter, with $M_{3053b} = 0.85 \pm 0.12$ M$_{J}$ and a bulk density of $ρ_{3053b} = 0.64 \pm 0.10$ g cm$^{-3}$. TOI-3278b / HATS-78b is a hot Saturn-mass planet ($M_{3278b} = 0.30 \pm 0.07$ $M_{J}$) with a highly inflated atmosphere and a low density of $ρ_{3278b} = 0.21 \pm 0.05$ g cm$^{-3}$. The other candidate (TOI-3272.01) remains unconfirmed, but appears consistent with being a hot Jupiter. TOI-3272.01 is notable as a candidate planet orbiting a potentially young to intermediate age star, with a rotational analysis indicating an age estimate of $T_{3272} = 1.1 \pm 0.2$ Gyr. These systems add to a growing sample of hot giant planets from TESS that may provide constraints on the migration pathways and radius inflation of the broader close-in exoplanet population.

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arXiv2026

The GAPS programme at TNG: LXXVI. TOI-1533: a compact system hosting a super-Neptune-mass pair with disparate radii

The present-day architecture of planetary systems contains information about their formation and migration histories. The origin of hot Jupiters (HJs, P $\lesssim$ 10 d, $R_{\rm p} > 8 R_\oplus$) has long been a matter of debate. While most of them are found to be ``lonely'', there is a rare population of HJs hosting small companions on inner orbits (eight known as of May 2026). Their peculiar architecture suggests a gentle disc-migration mechanism. In this study, we present the discovery and characterisation of the multi-planet system TOI-1533, comprising an inner sub-Neptune (TOI-1533 b, $P_{\rm orb} = 3.63$ d, $R_{\rm p} = 3.15 R_\oplus$) and an outer hot giant planet (TOI-1533 c, $P_{\rm orb} = 8.06$ d, $R_{\rm p} > 7.5 R_\oplus$) with substantial H/He by mass ($ρ_{\rm p} < 0.48$ g cm$^{-3}$), both transiting an active K-dwarf star ($T_{\rm eff} \approx$ 5130 K; $V$ (mag) $\approx$ 11). Our joint modelling of stellar activity and planetary signals from radial velocities (HARPS-N) and transits (TESS) allows us to detect their Keplerian signals (approximately $10~σ$) and to isolate the stellar modulation. The inclusion of simultaneous photometry in the multi-dimensional Gaussian processes formalism was a fundamental addition to the spectroscopic activity indicators, enabling the disentanglement of stellar activity from planetary signals. The mass ratio of the two confirmed planets ($M_{\rm b} / M_{\rm c}$ about 0.8), together with the super-Neptune mass of the large outer companion ($M_{\rm c} \approx 40 M_\oplus$), makes this system unusual compared to the other few HJs with low-mass inner companions.

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arXiv2026

The GAPS Programme at TNG LXXIV. A reanalysis of the planetary systems TOI-1272 and TOI-1694 with HARPS-N and retraction of the planetary interpretation of TOI-1272 c

Hot Neptunes are close-in exoplanets that occupy a sparsely populated region of parameter space known as the "hot-Neptune desert". Their presence in this extreme environment is puzzling as it implies a complex history involving intense stellar radiation, atmospheric loss, and unique migration patterns, different from Neptunes at larger orbital periods. We are running an observational programme conceived to enlarge the number of close-in Neptune-sized planets, with well-measured physical and orbital parameters, with the aim of contributing to obtaining a statistically significant sample needed to clarify what the formation and migration pathways of this class of exoplanets are. We used currently available TESS photometry, along with new (HARPS-N) and archival (HIRES) high-precision radial-velocity measurements, to review the main properties of the planetary systems TOI-1272 and TOI-1694 by means of joint-fit analyses that, in the case of TOI-1272, included Gaussian-process regressions for carefully modelling stellar activity. Our final estimates of the parameters of the two systems are consistent with previous measurements but have smaller uncertainties. We identified the radial-velocity variation of TOI-1272 found in the HIRES data as stellar activity rather than planetary in nature and, therefore, rejected the non-transiting planet TOI-1272c. This opens up the possibility that TOI-1272b's eccentricity is the result of high-eccentricity migration. The larger number of data at our disposal also allowed us to point out that both TOI-1694b and TOI-1694c move on slightly eccentric orbits. The current orbital architecture of TOI-1694 suggests a history of migration driven by both disc and dynamical interactions.

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arXiv2026

The GAPS programme at TNG LXXV. Validating and confirming Gaia substellar astrometric candidates with HARPS-N

The astrometric measurements provided by the Gaia space mission represent a key advancement in the search and characterization of exoplanets, helping in particular to solve the mass degeneracy intrinsic to the radial velocity (RV) method. The fact that a fraction of astrophysical false positives contaminates the current catalog of astrometric candidate solutions requires an RV follow-up to validate and confirm such candidates. Within the GAPS programme, we have observed a selected sample of 14 stars having Gaia astrometric solutions compatible with the presence of a substellar companion. The immediate aim of this survey is to identify astrophysical false positives and provide the first RV validation and confirmation of the remaining candidates. We analysed data collected with the HARPS-N spectrograph to identify stellar binary systems from the spectral cross-correlation function profiles. The remaining astrometric candidates were characterized via Markov chain Monte Carlo analysis searching for the best-fit RV solution. Among the stars in our sample with astrometric candidate solutions, we identify 6 as originating from close binary companions mimicking the astrometric motion of distant substellar companions, from which we can estimate an updated value of $43_{-11}^{+13}\%$ for the binary contamination fraction in the Gaia DR3 catalog of astrometric candidates. We validate and confirm the remaining 8 solutions, corresponding to giant and brown dwarf companions with minimum masses between 8 and 62 $M_{\rm Jup}$ and semimajor axes between 0.76 and 1.42 au, providing the first RV characterization for 6 of these candidates and updated orbital solutions for 2 previously confirmed ones.

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arXiv2026

The GAPS programme at TNG LXXI. A sub-Neptune suitable for atmospheric characterization in a multiplanet and mutually inclined system orbiting the bright K dwarf TOI-5789 (HIP 99452)

Sub-Neptunes with planetary radii of $R_{p} \simeq 2-4 R_{\oplus}$ are the most common planets around solar-type stars in short-period ($P<100$ d) orbits. It is still unclear, however, what their most likely composition is, that is whether they are predominantly gas dwarfs or water worlds. The sub-Neptunes orbiting bright host stars are very valuable because they are suitable for atmospheric characterization, which can break the well-known degeneracy in planet composition from the planet bulk density, when combined with a precise and accurate mass measurement. Here we report on the characterization of the sub-Neptune TOI-5789 c, which transits in front of the bright ($V=7.3$ mag and $K_{s}=5.35$ mag) and magnetically inactive K1V dwarf HIP 99452 every 12.93 days, thanks to TESS photometry and 141 high-precision radial velocities obtained with the HARPS-N spectrograph. We find that its radius, mass, and bulk density are $R_{c}=2.86^{+0.18}_{-0.15} R_\oplus$, $M_{c}=5.00 \pm 0.50 M_\oplus$, and $ρ_{c}=1.16 \pm 0.23$ g cm$^{-3}$, and we show that TOI-5789 c is a promising target for atmospheric characterization with both JWST and, in the future, Ariel. By analyzing the HARPS-N radial velocities with different tools, we also detected three additional non-transiting planets, namely TOI-5789 b, d, and e, with orbital periods and minimum masses of $P_{b}=2.76$ d, $M_{b}\sin{i}=2.12 \pm 0.28 M_\oplus$, $P_{d}=29.6$ d, $M_{d}\sin{i}=4.29 \pm 0.68 M_\oplus$, and $P_{e}=63.0$ d, $M_{e}\sin{i}=11.61 \pm 0.97 M_\oplus$. TOI-5789 is a mutually inclined system as the difference between the orbital inclinations of planets b and c must be higher than $\sim4$ deg. Nevertheless, from sensitivity studies based on both the HARPS-N and archival HIRES radial-velocity measurements, we can exclude that these relatively high mutual inclinations are due to the perturbation by an outer gaseous giant planet.

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arXiv2026

The GAPS Programme at the TNG: LXX. TOI-5734b: A hot sub-Neptune orbiting a relatively young K dwarf with an Earth-like density

Increasing interest in young exoplanets is leading to a growing effort to understand the formation and evolutionary processes responsible for their different architectures. One interesting target is TOI-5734, a relatively young K3-K4 dwarf star ($500_{-150}^{+300}$ Myr) showing a transiting candidate in photometric observations followed up with high-resolution spectroscopic data. Using Transiting Exoplanet Survey Satellite (TESS) photometry and High Accuracy Radial velocity Planet Searcher for the Northern hemisphere (HARPS-N) radial-velocity (RV) data, we aim to validate the presence of the companion TOI-5734b, measure its planetary mass, size, and its orbital parameters after having characterised its host star. We then aim to study its possible planetary composition and atmospheric evolution. By simultaneously modelling photometry and high-cadence RVs, we measured the radius, mass, and density of TOI-5734b precisely. In particular, we employed Gaussian processes (GPs) with a flexible kernel to discriminate between the stellar activity of the young host and planetary signals. We confirmed the planetary nature of TOI-5734b and measured its orbital period ($P_{\rm b}\sim6.18$ d), radius ($R_{\rm b} = 2.10^{+0.12}_{-0.12}$ $R_\oplus$), and mass ($M_{\rm b}=9.1^{+2.6}_{-2.6}$ $M_\oplus$). By measuring its density ($ρ_{\rm b}=0.98_{-0.30}^{+0.36}$ $ρ_\oplus$), we infer that TOI-5734b is close to having a rocky composition and an almost completely depleted primary envelope. Our results point toward the possibility of considering the target for atmospheric studies with present and future ground- and space-based facilities.

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arXiv2026

Chasing the Tides: Searching for Orbital Decay Signatures in Transit Timing Data and Tidal Models for 20 Hot Jupiters

In this work, we present a transit timing variation analysis for 20 hot Jupiter systems, which we interpret with theoretical tidal dissipation models. For the majority of the sample, we conclude that a constant orbital period model represents the timing data best. Only WASP-12 b, TrES-1 b and WASP-121 b exhibit a changing orbital period, according to the most up-to-date results. We updated the orbital decay rate of WASP-12 b to $\dot{P} = -29.4 \pm 4.0 \mathrm{~ms~yr^{-1}}$ and the corresponding stellar tidal quality factor to $Q_*^{\prime} = 1.72 \pm 0.18 \times 10^5$. For TrES-1 b, the median quadratic model suggests a period decrease at a rate of $-14.9 \pm 0.6 \mathrm{~ms~yr^{-1}}$, but the corresponding $Q_*^{\prime} = 570 \pm 60$ does not agree with the theoretical estimates, which suggest $Q_*^{\prime} \sim 10^6$ due to internal gravity wave dissipation. Lastly, WASP-121 b exhibits orbital growth at a rate of $15.1 \pm 0.8 \mathrm{~ms~yr^{-1}}$, and theoretical results support outward migration due to strong inertial wave dissipation.

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arXiv2026

The GAPS programme at TNG LXX. HD 128717 B/Gaia-6 B: a long-period eccentric low-mass brown dwarf from astrometry and radial velocities

The transition regime between giant planets (GPs) and brown dwarfs (BDs) is still an open subject of study in exoplanetary science. A complete understanding of the population of long-period GPs and BDs would be pivotal in understanding this topic, but the number of such objects with precisely measured orbital and physical parameters is still small. Moreover, their dynamical influence on smaller companions in inner orbits is still unclear. Within the GAPS programme, we aim to confirm and characterize sub-stellar companion candidates from Gaia DR3, and to study the potential presence of additional lower-mass planets in their systems. We present the results of an intensive high-precision RV monitoring of HD 128717, which hosts the astrometric candidate Gaia-ASOI-009. We used the HARPS-N spectrograph at TNG to collect a high-cadence RV time series of the target. We used MCMC analyses to refine the Gaia DR3 orbital solution of the companion and, finally, performed a combined model of RV and proper motion anomaly (PMa) to derive the complete 3-D orbit of the companion. We also ran a suite of numerical simulations to confirm our results. We confirm the sub-stellar nature of Gaia-ASOI-009, i.e. Gaia-6 B: from the combined RV+PMa fit, we confirm that it is a high-eccentricity low-mass brown dwarf with $P_\text{B} = 9.37^{+0.06}_{-0.05}$ yr, $M_\text{B} = 19.8 \pm 0.5$ $M_\text{J}$, $e_\text{B}=0.85$, $i_\text{B} = 130^{\circ}$. The derived orbital solution differs significantly from the one published in Gaia DR3. Through a series of dedicated simulations, we demonstrate that this discrepancy arises from a degeneracy in the Gaia DR3 astrometric solution. Specifically, the combination of Gaia-6 B long orbital period and high eccentricity, both poorly constrained by the limited timespan of DR3, led to an incorrect solution characterized by a shorter period and lower eccentricity.

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arXiv2025

A search for transit timing variations in the transiting hot Jupiter systems HIP 65, NGTS-6, NGTS-10 and WASP-173

Hot Jupiters are Jupiter-mass planets with orbital periods of less than ten days. Their short orbital separations make tidal dissipation within the stellar host especially efficient, potentially leading to a measurable evolution of the orbit. One possible manifestation of this is orbital decay, which presents itself observationally through variations in the orbital period and thus times of transit. Here we select four promising exoplanetary systems for detecting this effect: HIP 65, NGTS-6, NGTS-10 and WASP-173. We present 33 new transit light curves taken with the 1.54 m Danish Telescope, and analyse these alongside photometric data from the Transiting Exoplanet Survey Satellite and transit timing data from the literature. We construct two ephemeris models for each target: a linear ephemeris and a shrinking orbital period due to tidal decay. The linear ephemeris is preferred for three of the four models - the highest significance for the quadratic ephemeris is over 3-sigma for WASP-173. We compare these results to theoretical predictions for tidal dissipation of gravity waves in radiation zones, and find that wave breaking is predicted only in WASP-173, making rapid decay plausible in this system but unclear in the other three. The sensitivity of transit timings to orbital decay depends on the square of the time interval covered by available observations, so our results establish a useful baseline against which future measurements can be compared. NGTS-6 and NGTS-10 are important objects for future study as they are in the first field to be observed by the upcoming PLATO mission.

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