Lahcen Khammich | Searcharxiv

arXiv2026

Dynamical behaviors of a stochastic SIS epidemic model with mean-reverting inhomogeneous geometric brownian motion

The main purpose of this paper is to study the Dynamical behaviors of a stochastic SIS epidemic model using mean-reverting inhomogeneous geometric brownian motion process. First we demonstrate the existence of a global-in-time solution and establish that is unique and remains positive. Then we derive a sufficient condition for exponential extinction of infectious diseases and we show that our extinction threshold in the stochastic case coincides with that of the deterministic case. Finaly, we define an appropriate theoretical framework to guarantee the existence of an ergodic stationary distribution.

stat.AP↗

arXiv2025

Asymptotic analysis of a stochastic SVEIS epidemic model using Black-Karasinski process

In this paper, we present a stochastic SVEIS epidemic model perturbed by a Black-Karasinski process. Using a Lyapunov functional approach, we derive a sufficient condition, Rs0>1 for the existence of a stationary distribution, which indicates disease persistence. Additionally, we theoretically demonstrate that the disease will die out at an exponential rate if Re0<1 . Our results show that random fluctuations will facilitate disease outbreak.

math.PR↗