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Lamia Belhadji

Publications and source records attributed to Lamia Belhadji.

3 recordsLinked to original sources

The contact process with an asymptomatic state

In order to understand the cost of a potentially high infectiousness of symptomatic individuals or, on the contrary, the benefit of social distancing, quarantine, etc. in the course of an infectious disease, this paper considers a natural variant of the popular contact process that distinguishes between asymptomatic and symptomatic individuals. Infected individuals all recover at rate one but infect nearby individuals at a rate that depends on whether they show the symptoms of the disease or not. Newly infected individuals are always asymptomatic and may or may not show the symptoms before they recover. The analysis of the corresponding mean-field model reveals that, in the absence of local interactions, regardless of the rate at which asymptomatic individuals become symptomatic, there is an epidemic whenever at least one of the infection rates is sufficiently large. In contrast, our analysis of the interacting particle system shows that, when the rate at which asymptomatic individuals become symptomatic is small and the asymptomatic individuals are not infectious, there cannot be an epidemic even when the symptomatic individuals are highly infectious.

math.PR

A self-regulating and patch subdivided population

We consider an interacting particle process on a graph which, from a macroscopic point of view, looks like $\Z^d$ and, at a microscopic level, is a complete graph of degree $N$ (called a patch). There are two birth rates: an inter-patch one $λ$ and an intra-patch one $ϕ$. Once a site is occupied, there is no breeding from outside the patch and the probability $c(i)$ of success of an intra-patch breeding decreases with the size $i$ of the population in the site. We prove the existence of a critical value $λ_{cr}(ϕ, c, N)$ and a critical value $ϕ_{cr}(λ, c, N)$. We consider a sequence of processes generated by the families of control functions $\{c_i\}_{i \in \N}$ and degrees $\{N_i\}_{i \in \N}$; we prove, under mild assumptions, the existence of a critical value $i_{cr}$. Roughly speaking we show that, in the limit, these processes behave as the branching random walk on $\Z^d$ with external birth rate $λ$ and internal birth rate $ϕ$. Some examples of models that can be seen as particular cases are given.

math.PR

Ergodicity and hydrodynamic limits for an epidemic model

We consider two approaches to study the spread of infectious diseases within a spatially structured population distributed in social clusters. According whether we consider only the population of infected individuals or both populations of infected individuals and healthy ones, two models are given to study an epidemic phenomenon. Our first approach is at a microscopic level, its goal is to determine if an epidemic may occur for those models. The second one is the derivation of hydrodynamics limits. By using the relative entropy method we prove that the empirical measures of infected and healthy individuals converge to a deterministic measure absolutely continuous with respect to the Lebesgue measure, whose density is the solution of a system of reaction-diffusion equations.

math.PR