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Laura C. Keating

Publications and source records attributed to Laura C. Keating.

At least 55 records · Page 3Linked to original sources

The effect of inhomogeneous reionisation on the Lyman-$α$ forest power spectrum at redshift $z>4$: implications for thermal parameter recovery

We use the Sherwood-Relics suite of hybrid hydrodynamical and radiative transfer simulations to model the effect of inhomogeneous reionisation on the 1D power spectrum of the \Lya forest transmitted flux at redshifts $4.2\leq z \leq 5$. Relative to models that assume a homogeneous UV background, reionisation suppresses the power spectrum at small scales, $k \sim 0.1\rm\,km^{-1}\,s$ by $\sim 10$ per cent because of spatial variations in the thermal broadening kernel and the divergent peculiar velocity field associated with over-pressurised intergalactic gas. On larger scales, $k<0.03\rm\,km^{-1}\,s$, the power spectrum is instead enhanced by $10$--$50$ per cent by large scale spatial variations in the neutral hydrogen fraction. The effect of inhomogeneous reionisation must therefore be accounted for in analyses of forthcoming high precision measurements. We provide a correction for the Ly$α$ forest power spectrum at $4.1\leq z \leq 5.4$ that can be easily applied within other parameter inference frameworks using similar reionisation models. We perform a Bayesian analysis of mock data to assess the extent of systematic biases that may arise in measurements of the intergalactic medium if ignoring this correction. At the scales probed by current high resolution Ly$α$ forest data at $z>4$, $0.006 \rm \,km^{-1}\,s\leq k \leq 0.2 \rm\, km^{-1}\,s$, we find inhomogeneous reionisation does not introduce any significant bias in thermal parameter recovery for the current measurement uncertainties of $\sim 10$ per cent. However, for $5$ per cent uncertainties, $\sim 1σ$ shifts between the estimated and true parameters occur.

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COMAP Early Science: I. Overview

The CO Mapping Array Project (COMAP) aims to use line intensity mapping of carbon monoxide (CO) to trace the distribution and global properties of galaxies over cosmic time, back to the Epoch of Reionization (EoR). To validate the technologies and techniques needed for this goal, a Pathfinder instrument has been constructed and fielded. Sensitive to CO(1-0) emission from $z=2.4$-$3.4$ and a fainter contribution from CO(2-1) at $z=6$-8, the Pathfinder is surveying $12$ deg$^2$ in a 5-year observing campaign to detect the CO signal from $z\sim3$. Using data from the first 13 months of observing, we estimate $P_\mathrm{CO}(k) = -2.7 \pm 1.7 \times 10^4μ\mathrm{K}^2 \mathrm{Mpc}^3$ on scales $k=0.051-0.62 \mathrm{Mpc}^{-1}$ - the first direct 3D constraint on the clustering component of the CO(1-0) power spectrum. Based on these observations alone, we obtain a constraint on the amplitude of the clustering component (the squared mean CO line temperature-bias product) of $\langle Tb\rangle^2<49$ $μ$K$^2$ - nearly an order-of-magnitude improvement on the previous best measurement. These constraints allow us to rule out two models from the literature. We forecast a detection of the power spectrum after 5 years with signal-to-noise ratio (S/N) 9-17. Cross-correlation with an overlapping galaxy survey will yield a detection of the CO-galaxy power spectrum with S/N of 19. We are also conducting a 30 GHz survey of the Galactic plane and present a preliminary map. Looking to the future of COMAP, we examine the prospects for future phases of the experiment to detect and characterize the CO signal from the EoR.

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Synergies between the COMAP CO Line Intensity Mapping mission and a Lyα galaxy survey: How to probe the early universe with voxel based analysis of observational data

Line Intensity Mapping (LIM) offers a novel avenue to observe and characterize our universe. LIM data of CO spectral lines are becoming available, such as those obtained by the CO Mapping Array Project (COMAP). COMAP data can be used to probe the molecular gas content of the universe from the last stages of the Epoch of Reionization (EoR) ($z < 8.0$) to $z \sim 2.5$. In this work, we examine the prospects for deriving voxel-level statistical constraints on high-redshift galaxies from COMAP data by considering the additional information available from observations of LAEs galaxies using the Visible Integral-Field Replicable Unit Spectrograph (VIRUS) on the Hobby-Eberly Telescope (HET). We post-process the IllustrisTNG300 galaxy-formation simulation with a set of prescriptions to consistently determine CO and Ly$α$ line luminosities. The different line prescriptions span the uncertainty in the CO line luminosity according to current observations by the VLA high-z CO surveys and set the Ly$α$ emission to be compatible with observational LAE luminosity functions. We produce mock observations for the two surveys over a $(300\, {\rm Mpc})^3$ volume. These are then used to formulate and test methodologies for data analysis and to predict COMAP constraints on CO emission. We use combinations of masking, stacking, voxel intensity distribution (VID), and other statistics. We find that in combination with VIRUS/HET, a voxel-level analysis of the COMAP Pathfinder survey can detect and characterize the CO signal from $z\sim3$ and improve current constraints on the $z\sim6$ signal, identify individual voxels with bright CO(1-0) emission at $z\sim3$ and probe the redshift evolution of the CO emission. This study illustrates the potential of synergies between LIM and galaxy surveys both to improve the significance of a detection and to aid the interpretation of noisy LIM data.

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A [C II] 158$μ$m Emitter Associated with an OI Absorber at the End of the Reionization Epoch

The physical and chemical properties of the circumgalactic medium (CGM) at $z\gtrsim6$ have been studied successfully through the absorption in the spectra of background Quasi-Stellar Objects (QSOs). One of the most crucial questions is to investigate the nature and location of the source galaxies that give rise to these early metal absorbers. Theoretical models suggest that momentum-driven outflows from typical star-forming galaxies can eject metals into the CGM and the intergalactic medium (IGM) at z=5-6. Deep, dedicated surveys have searched for Ly$α$ emission associated with strong CIV absorbers at $z\approx 6$, but only a few Ly$α$ emitter candidates have been detected. Interpreting these detections is moreover ambiguous because Ly$α$ is a resonant line, raising the need for complementary techniques for detecting absorbers' host galaxies. Here, using Atacama Large Millimeter Array (ALMA), we report a [C II] 158$μ$m emitter associated with a strong low-ionization absorber, OI, at $z=5.978$. The projected impact parameter between OI and [C II] emitter is 20.0 kpc. The measured [C II] luminosity is $7.0\times 10^7$ solar luminosities. Further analysis indicates that strong OI absorbers may reside in the circumgalactic medium of massive halos one to two orders of magnitude more massive than expected values.

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A model of spectral line broadening in signal forecasts for line-intensity mapping experiments

Line-intensity mapping observations will find fluctuations of integrated line emission are attenuated by varying degrees at small scales due to the width of the line emission profiles. This attenuation may significantly impact estimates of astrophysical or cosmological quantities derived from measurements. We consider a theoretical treatment of the effect of line broadening on both the clustering and shot-noise components of the power spectrum of a generic line-intensity power spectrum using a halo model. We then consider possible simplifications to allow easier application in analysis, particularly in the context of inferences that require numerous, repeated, fast computations of model line-intensity signals across a large parameter space. For the CO Mapping Array Project (COMAP) and the CO(1-0) line-intensity field at $z\sim3$ serving as our primary case study, we expect a $\sim10\%$ attenuation of the spherically averaged power spectrum on average at relevant scales of $k\approx0.2$-$0.3$ Mpc$^{-1}$, compared to $\sim25\%$ for the interferometric Millimetre-wave Intensity Mapping Experiment (mmIME) targeting shot noise from CO lines at $z\sim1$-$5$ at scales of $k\gtrsim1$ Mpc$^{-1}$. We also consider the nature and amplitude of errors introduced by simplified treatments of line broadening, and find that while an approximation using a single effective velocity scale is sufficient for spherically-averaged power spectra, a more careful treatment is necessary when considering other statistics such as higher multipoles of the anisotropic power spectrum or the voxel intensity distribution.

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Chasing the Tail of Cosmic Reionization with Dark Gap Statistics in the Ly$α$ Forest over $5 < z < 6$

We present a new investigation of the intergalactic medium (IGM) near the end of reionization using "dark gaps" in the Lyman-alpha (Ly$α$) forest. Using spectra of 55 QSOs at $z_{\rm em}>5.5$, including new data from the XQR-30 VLT Large Programme, we identify gaps in the Ly$α$ forest where the transmission averaged over 1 comoving $h^{-1}\,{\rm Mpc}$ bins falls below 5%. Nine ultra-long ($L > 80~h^{-1}\,{\rm Mpc}$) dark gaps are identified at $z<6$. In addition, we quantify the fraction of QSO spectra exhibiting gaps longer than $30~h^{-1}\,{\rm Mpc}$, $F_{30}$, as a function of redshift. We measure $F_{30} \simeq 0.9$, 0.6, and 0.15 at $z = 6.0$, 5.8, and 5.6, respectively, with the last of these long dark gaps persisting down to $z \simeq 5.3$. Comparing our results with predictions from hydrodynamical simulations, we find that the data are consistent with models wherein reionization extends significantly below redshift six. Models wherein the IGM is essentially fully reionized that retain large-scale fluctuations in the ionizing UV background at $z \lesssim 6$ are also potentially consistent with the data. Overall, our results suggest that signature of reionization in the form of islands of neutral hydrogen and/or large-scale fluctuations in the ionizing background remain present in the IGM until at least $z \simeq 5.3$.

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Simulating Globular Clusters in Dark Matter Sub-Halos

A cosmological zoom-in simulation which develops into a Milky Way-like halo is started at redshift 7. The initial dark matter distribution is seeded with dense star clusters, median mass $5\times 10^5 M_\sun$, placed in the largest sub-halos present, which have a median peak circular velocity of 25 \kms. Three simulations are initialized using the same dark matter distribution, with the star clusters started on approximately circular orbits having initial median radii 6.8 kpc, 0.14 kpc, and, at the exact center of the sub-halos. The simulations are evolved to the current epoch at which time the median galactic orbital radii of the three sets of clusters are 30, 5 and 16 kpc, with the clusters losing about 2, 50 and 15\% of their mass, respectively. Clusters started at small orbital radii have so much tidal forcing that they are often not in equilibrium. Clusters started at larger sub-halo radii have a velocity dispersion that declines smoothly to $\simeq$20\% of the central value at $\simeq$20 half mass radii. The clusters started at the sub-halo centers can show a rise in velocity dispersion beyond 3-5 half mass radii. That is, the clusters formed without local dark matter always have stellar mass dominated kinematics at all radii, whereas about 25\% of the clusters started at sub-halo centers have remnant local dark matter.

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Implications of the $z>5$ Lyman-$α$ forest for the 21-cm power spectrum from the epoch of reionization

Our understanding of the intergalactic medium at redshifts $z=5$-$6$ has improved considerably in the last few years due to the discovery of quasars with $z>6$ that enable Lyman-$α$ forest studies at these redshifts. A realisation from this has been that hydrogen reionization could end much later than previously thought, so that large "islands" of cold, neutral hydrogen could exist in the IGM at redshifts $z=5$-$6$. By using radiative transfer simulations of the IGM, we consider the implications of the presence of these neutral hydrogen islands for the 21-cm power spectrum signal and its potential detection by experiments such as HERA, SKA, LOFAR, and MWA. In contrast with previous models of the 21-cm signal, we find that thanks to the late end of reionization the 21-cm power in our simulation continues to be as high as $Δ^2_{21}=10~\mathrm{mK}^2$ at $k\sim 0.1~h/$cMpc at $z=5$-$6$. This value of the power spectrum is several orders of magnitude higher than that in the conventional models considered in the literature for these redshifts. Such high values of the 21-cm power spectrum should be detectable by HERA and SKA1-LOW in $\sim 1000$ hours, assuming optimistic foreground subtraction. This redshift range is also attractive due to relatively low sky temperature and potentially greater abundance of multiwavelength data.

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The detectability of strong 21 centimetre forest absorbers from the diffuse intergalactic medium in late reionisation models

A late end to reionisation at redshift $z\simeq 5.3$ is consistent with observed spatial variations in the Ly$α$ forest transmission and the deficit of Ly$α$ emitting galaxies around extended Ly$α$ absorption troughs at $z=5.5$. In this model, large islands of neutral hydrogen should persist in the diffuse intergalactic medium (IGM) until $z\simeq 6$. We use a novel, hybrid approach that combines high resolution cosmological hydrodynamical simulations with radiative transfer to predict the incidence of strong 21 cm forest absorbers with optical depths $τ_{21}>10^{-2}$ from the diffuse IGM in these late reionisation models. We include the effect of redshift space distortions on the simulated 21 cm forest spectra, and treat the highly uncertain heating of the pre-reionisation IGM by soft X-rays as a free parameter. For a model with only modest IGM pre-heating, such that average gas kinetic temperatures in the diffuse IGM remain below $T_{\rm K}\simeq 10^{2} \rm\, K$, we find that strong 21 cm forest absorption lines should persist until $z=6$. For a sample of $\sim 10$ sufficiently radio loud background sources, a null-detection of 21 cm forest absorbers at $z\simeq 6$ with SKA1-low or possibly LOFAR should provide an informative lower limit on the still largely unconstrained soft X-ray background at high redshift and the temperature of the pre-reionisation IGM.

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Mapping the Universe in HD

Hydrogen deuteride (HD) is prevalent in a wide variety of astrophysical environments, and measuring its large-scale distribution at different epochs can in principle provide information about the properties of these environments. In this paper, we explore the prospects for accessing this distribution using line intensity mapping of emission from the lowest rotational transition in HD, focusing on observations of the epoch of reionization ($z\sim6-10$) and earlier. We find the signal from the epoch of reionization to be strongest most promising, through cross-correlations within existing [CII] intensity mapping surveys. While the signal we predict is out of reach for current-generation projects, planned future improvements should be able to detect reionization-era HD without any additional observations, and would help to constrain the properties of the star-forming galaxies thought to play a key role in reionization. We also investigate several avenues for measuring HD during "cosmic dawn" ($z\sim10-30$), a period in which HD could provide one of the only complementary observables to 21$\,$cm intensity maps. We conclude that existing and planned facilities are poorly matched to the specifications desirable for a significant detection, though such a measurement may be achievable with sustained future effort. Finally, we explain why HD intensity mapping of the intergalactic medium during the cosmic dark ages ($z\gtrsim 30$) appears to be out of reach of any conceivable experiment.

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Reproducing the CO-to-H$_2$ conversion factor in cosmological simulations of Milky Way-mass galaxies

We present models of CO(1-0) emission from Milky Way-mass galaxies at redshift zero in the FIRE-2 cosmological zoom-in simulations. We calculate the molecular abundances by post-processing the simulations with an equilibrium chemistry solver while accounting for the effects of local sources, and determine the emergent CO(1-0) emission using a line radiative transfer code. We find that the results depend strongly on the shielding length assumed, which in our models sets the attenuation of the incident UV radiation field. At the resolution of these simulations, commonly used choices for the shielding length, such as the Jeans length, result in CO abundances that are too high at a given H$_2$ abundance. We find that a model with a distribution of shielding lengths, which has a median shielding length of $\sim 3$ pc in cold gas ($T < 300$ K) for both CO and H$_{2}$, is able to reproduce both the observed CO(1-0) luminosity and inferred CO-to-H$_{2}$ conversion factor at a given star formation rate compared with observations. We suggest that this short shielding length can be thought of as a subgrid model which controls the amount of radiation that penetrates giant molecular clouds.

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Constraining the second half of reionization with the Lyman-$β$ forest

We present an analysis of the evolution of the Lyman-series forest into the epoch of reionization using cosmological radiative transfer simulations in a scenario where reionization ends late. We explore models with different midpoints of reionization and gas temperatures. We find that once the simulations have been calibrated to match the mean flux of the observed Lyman-$α$ forest at $4 < z < 6$, they also naturally reproduce the distribution of effective optical depths of the Lyman-$β$ forest in this redshift range. We note that the tail of the largest optical depths that is most challenging to match corresponds to the long absorption trough of ULAS J0148+0600, which we have previously shown to be rare in our simulations. We consider the evolution of the Lyman-series forest out to higher redshifts, and show that future observations of the Lyman-$β$ forest at $z>6$ will discriminate between different reionization histories. The evolution of the Lyman-$α$ and Lyman-$γ$ forests are less promising as a tool for pushing studies of reionization to higher redshifts due to the stronger saturation and foreground contamination, respectively.

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Exploring the dispersion measure of the Milky Way halo

Fast radio bursts offer the opportunity to place new constraints on the mass and density profile of hot and ionized gas in galactic haloes. We test here the X-ray emission and dispersion measure predicted by different gas profiles for the halo of the Milky Way. We examine a range of models, including entropy stability conditions and external pressure continuity. We find that incorporating constraints from X-ray observations leads to favouring dispersion measures on the lower end of the range given by these models. We show that the dispersion measure of the Milky Way halo could be less than 10 cm$^{-3}$ pc in the most extreme model we consider, which is based on constraints from O VII absorption lines. However, the models allowed by the soft X-ray constraints span more than an order of magnitude in dispersion measures. Additional information on the distribution of gas in the Milky Way halo could be obtained from the signature of a dipole in the dispersion measure of fast radio bursts across the sky, but this will be a small effect for most cases.

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Probing the thermal state of the intergalactic medium at $z>5$ with the transmission spikes in high-resolution Ly$α$ forest spectra

We compare a sample of five high-resolution, high S/N Ly$α$ forest spectra of bright $6 5$ with those obtained from mock absorption spectra from the Sherwood and Sherwood-Relics suites of hydrodynamical simulations of the intergalactic medium (IGM). We use a profile fitting procedure for the inverted transmitted flux, $1-F$, similar to the widely used Voigt profile fitting of the transmitted flux $F$ at lower redshifts, to characterise the transmission spikes that probe predominately underdense regions of the IGM. We are able to reproduce the width and height distributions of the transmission spikes, both with optically thin simulations of the post-reionization Universe using a homogeneous UV background and full radiative transfer simulations of a late reionization model. We find that the width of the fitted components of the simulated transmission spikes is very sensitive to the instantaneous temperature of the reionized IGM. The internal structures of the spikes are more prominant in low temeperature models of the IGM. The width distribution of the observed transmission spikes, which require high spectral resolution ($\leq $ 8 km/s) to be resolved, is reproduced for optically thin simulations with a temperature at mean density of $T_0= (11000 \pm 1600,10500\pm 2100,12000 \pm 2200)$ K at $z= (5.4,5.6,5.8)$. This is weakly dependent on the slope of the temperature-density relation, which is favoured to be moderately steeper than isothermal. In the inhomogeneous, late reionization, full radiative transfer simulations where islands of neutral hydrogen persist to $z\sim5.3$, the width distribution of the observed transmission spikes is consistent with the range of $T_0$ caused by spatial fluctuations in the temperature-density relation.

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Long troughs in the Lyman-$α$ forest below redshift 6 due to islands of neutral hydrogen

A long (110 cMpc/$h$) and deep absorption trough in the Ly$α$ forest has been observed extending down to redshift 5.5 in the spectrum of ULAS J0148+0600. Although no Ly$α$ transmission is detected, Ly$β$ spikes are present which has led to claims that the gas along this trough must be ionized. Using high resolution cosmological radiative transfer simulations in large volumes, we show that in a scenario where reionization ends late ($z \sim 5.2$), our simulations can reproduce troughs as long as observed. In this model, we find that the troughs are caused by islands of neutral hydrogen. Small ionized holes within the neutral islands allow for the transmission of Ly$β$. We have also modelled the Ly$α$ emitter population around the simulated troughs, and show that there is a deficit of Ly$α$ emitters close to the trough as is observed.

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Large Lyman-alpha opacity fluctuations and low CMB tau in models of late reionization with large islands of neutral hydrogen extending to z<5.5

High-redshift QSO spectra show large spatial fluctuations in the Ly-alpha opacity of the intergalactic medium on surprisingly large scales at z>~5.5. We present a radiative transfer simulation of cosmic reionization driven by galaxies that reproduces this large scatter and the rapid evolution of the Ly-alpha opacity distribution at 5 ~6. Reionization is complete at z=5.3 in our model, and 50% of the volume of the Universe is ionized at z=7. Agreement with the Ly-alpha forest data in such a late reionization model requires a rapid evolution of the ionizing emissivity of galaxies that peaks at z~6.8. The late end of reionization results in a large scatter in the photoionisation rate and the neutral hydrogen fraction at redshifts as low as z<~5.5 with large residual neutral 'islands' that can produce very long Gunn-Peterson troughs resembling those seen in the data.

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Cross-correlating Carbon Monoxide Line-intensity Maps with Spectroscopic and Photometric Galaxy Surveys

Line-intensity mapping (LIM or IM) is an emerging field of observational work, with strong potential to fit into a larger effort to probe large-scale structure and small-scale astrophysical phenomena using multiple complementary tracers. Taking full advantage of such complementarity means, in part, undertaking line-intensity surveys with galaxy surveys in mind. We consider the potential for detection of a cross-correlation signal between COMAP and blind surveys based on photometric redshifts (as in COSMOS) or based on spectroscopic data (as with the HETDEX survey of Lyman-$α$ emitters). We find that obtaining $σ_z/(1+z)\lesssim0.003$ accuracy in redshifts and $\gtrsim10^{-4}$ sources per Mpc$^3$ with spectroscopic redshift determination should enable a CO-galaxy cross spectrum detection significance at least twice that of the CO auto spectrum. Either a future targeted spectroscopic survey or a blind survey like HETDEX may be able to meet both of these requirements.

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Spatial fluctuations of the intergalactic temperature-density relation after hydrogen reionization

The thermal state of the post-reionization IGM is sensitive to the timing of reionization and the nature of the ionizing sources. We have modelled here the thermal state of the IGM in cosmological radiative transfer simulations of a realistic, extended, spatially inhomogeneous hydrogen reionization process, carefully calibrated with Ly-alpha forest data. We compare these with cosmological simulations run using a spatially homogeneous ionizing background. The simulations with a realistic growth of ionized regions and a realistic spread in reionization redshifts show, as expected, significant spatial fluctuations in the temperature-density relation (TDR) of the post-reionization IGM. The most recently ionized regions are hottest and exhibit a flatter TDR. In simulations consistent with the average TDR inferred from Ly-alpha forest data, these spatial fluctuations have a moderate but noticeable effect on the statistical properties of the Ly-alpha opacity of the IGM at z ~ 4-6. This should be taken into account in accurate measurements of the thermal properties of the IGM and the free-streaming of dark matter from Ly-alpha forest data in this redshift range. The spatial variations of the TDR predicted by our simulations are, however, smaller by about a factor two than would be necessary to explain the observed large spatial opacity fluctuations on large (> 50 comoving Mpc/h) scales at z > 5.5.

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