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Lauri Viitasaari

Publications and source records attributed to Lauri Viitasaari.

At least 55 records · Page 3Linked to original sources

Integrated shape-sensitive functional metrics

This paper develops a new integrated ball (pseudo)metric which provides an intermediary between a chosen starting (pseudo)metric d and the L_p distance in general function spaces. Selecting d as the Hausdorff or Fréchet distances, we introduce integrated shape-sensitive versions of these supremum-based metrics. The new metrics allow for finer analyses in functional settings, not attainable applying the non-integrated versions directly. Moreover, convergent discrete approximations make computations feasible in practice.

math.MG↗

Remarks on existence and uniqueness of the solution for stochastic partial differential equations

In this article we consider existence and uniqueness of the solutions to a large class of stochastic partial differential of form $\partial_t u = L_x u + b(t,u)+σ(t,u)\dot{W}$, driven by a Gaussian noise $\dot{W}$, white in time and spatial correlations given by a generic covariance $γ$. We provide natural conditions under which classical Picard iteration procedure provides a unique solution. We illustrate the applicability of our general result by providing several interesting particular choices for the operator $L_x$ under which our existence and uniqueness result hold. In particular, we show that Dalang condition given in Dalang (1999) is sufficient in the case of many parabolic and hypoelliptic operators $L_x$.

math.PR↗

Vector-valued Generalised Ornstein-Uhlenbeck Processes

Generalisations of the Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process defined through Langevin equation $dU_t = - ΘU_t dt + dG_t,$ such as fractional Ornstein-Uhlenbeck processes, have recently received a lot of attention in the literature. In particular, estimation of the unknown parameter $Θ$ is widely studied under Gaussian stationary increment noise $G$. Langevin equation is well-known for its connections to physics. In addition to that, motivation for studying Langevin equation with a general noise $G$ stems from the fact that the equation characterises all univariate stationary processes. Most of the literature on the topic focuses on the one-dimensional case with Gaussian noise $G$. In this article, we consider estimation of the unknown model parameter in the multidimensional version of the Langevin equation, where the parameter $Θ$ is a matrix and $G$ is a general, not necessarily Gaussian, vector-valued process with stationary increments. Based on algebraic Riccati equations, we construct an estimator for the matrix $Θ$. Moreover, we prove the consistency of the estimator and derive its limiting distribution under natural assumptions. In addition, to motivate our work, we prove that the Langevin equation characterises all stationary processes in a multidimensional setting as well.

math.ST↗

Quantitative normal approximations for the stochastic fractional heat equation

In this article we present a {\it quantitative} central limit theorem for the stochastic fractional heat equation driven by a a general Gaussian multiplicative noise, including the cases of space-time white noise and the white-colored noise with spatial covariance given by the Riesz kernel or a bounded integrable function. We show that the spatial average over a ball of radius $R$ converges, as $R$ tends to infinity, after suitable renormalization, towards a Gaussian limit in the total variation distance. We also provide a functional central limit theorem. As such, we extend recently proved similar results for stochastic heat equation to the case of the fractional Laplacian and to the case of general noise.

math.PR↗

Continuous time Gaussian process dynamical models in gene regulatory network inference

One of the focus areas of modern scientific research is to reveal mysteries related to genes and their interactions. The dynamic interactions between genes can be encoded into a gene regulatory network (GRN), which can be used to gain understanding on the genetic mechanisms behind observable phenotypes. GRN inference from time series data has recently been a focus area of systems biology. Due to low sampling frequency of the data, this is a notoriously difficult problem. We tackle the challenge by introducing the so-called continuous-time Gaussian process dynamical model, based on Gaussian process framework that has gained popularity in nonlinear regression problems arising in machine learning. The model dynamics are governed by a stochastic differential equation, where the dynamics function is modelled as a Gaussian process. We prove the existence and uniqueness of solutions of the stochastic differential equation. We derive the probability distribution for the Euler discretised trajectories and establish the convergence of the discretisation. We develop a GRN inference method called BINGO, based on the developed framework. BINGO is based on MCMC sampling of trajectories of the GPDM and estimating the hyperparameters of the covariance function of the Gaussian process. Using benchmark data examples, we show that BINGO is superior in dealing with poor time resolution and it is computationally feasible.

math.OC↗

Local times and sample path properties of the Rosenblatt process

Let $Z = (Z_t)_{t \geq 0}$ be the Rosenblatt process with Hurst index $H \in (1/2, 1)$. We prove joint continuity for the local time of $Z$, and establish Hölder conditions for the local time. These results are then used to study the irregularity of the sample paths of $Z$. Based on analogy with similar known results in the case of fractional Brownian motion, we believe our results are sharp. A main ingredient of our proof is a rather delicate spectral analysis of arbitrary linear combinations of integral operators, which arise from the representation of the Rosenblatt process as an element in the second chaos.

math.PR↗

Stochastic differential equations with noise perturbations and Wong-Zakai approximation of fractional Brownian motion

In this article we study effects that small perturbations in the noise have to the solution of differential equations driven by Hölder continuous functions of order $H>\frac12$. As an application, we consider stochastic differential equations driven by a fractional Brownian motion. We introduce a Wong--Zakai type stationary approximation to the fractional Brownian motions and prove that it converges in a suitable space. Moreover, we provide sharp results on the rate of convergence in the $p$-norm. Our stationary approximation is suitable for all values of $H\in (0,1)$.

math.PR↗

Latent Model Extreme Value Index Estimation

We propose a novel strategy for multivariate extreme value index estimation. In applications such as finance, volatility and risk present in the components of a multivariate time series are often driven by the same underlying factors, such as the subprime crisis in the US. To estimate the latent risk, we apply a two-stage procedure. First, a set of independent latent series is estimated using a method of latent variable analysis. Then, univariate risk measures are estimated individually for the latent series to assess their contribution to the overall risk. As our main theoretical contribution, we derive conditions under which the effect of the first step to the asymptotic behavior of the risk estimators is negligible. Simulations demonstrate the theory under both i.i.d. and dependent data, and an application into financial data illustrates the usefulness of the method in extracting joint sources of risk in practice.

math.ST↗

Modeling temporally uncorrelated components for complex-valued stationary processes

We consider a complex-valued linear mixture model, under discrete weakly stationary processes. We recover latent components of interest, which have undergone a linear mixing. We study asymptotic properties of a classical unmixing estimator, that is based on simultaneous diagonalization of the covariance matrix and an autocovariance matrix with lag $τ$. Our main contribution is that our asymptotic results can be applied to a large class of processes. In related literature, the processes are typically assumed to have weak correlations. We extend this class and consider the unmixing estimator under stronger dependency structures. In particular, we analyze the asymptotic behavior of the unmixing estimator under both, long- and short-range dependent complex-valued processes. Consequently, our theory covers unmixing estimators that converge slower than the usual $\sqrt{T}$ and unmixing estimators that produce non-Gaussian asymptotic distributions. The presented methodology is a powerful prepossessing tool and highly applicable in several fields of statistics. Complex-valued processes are frequently encountered in, for example, biomedical applications and signal processing. In addition, our approach can be applied to model real-valued problems that involve temporally uncorrelated pairs. These are encountered in, for example, applications in finance.

math.ST↗

On modeling weakly stationary processes

In this article, we show that a general class of weakly stationary time series can be modeled applying Gaussian subordinated processes. We show that, for any given weakly stationary time series $(z_t)_{z\in\mathbb{N}}$ with given equal one-dimensional marginal distribution, one can always construct a function $f$ and a Gaussian process $(X_t)_{t\in\mathbb{N}}$ such that $\left(f(X_t)\right)_{t\in\mathbb{N}}$ has the same marginal distributions and, asymptotically, the same autocovariance function as $(z_t)_{t\in\mathbb{N}}$. Consequently, we obtain asymptotic distributions for the mean and autocovariance estimators by using the rich theory on limit theorems for Gaussian subordinated processes. This highlights the role of Gaussian subordinated processes in modeling general weakly stationary time series. We compare our approach to standard linear models, and show that our model is more flexible and requires weaker assumptions.

math.PR↗

Stochastic Differential Equations with Discontinuous Diffusions

We study one-dimensional stochastic differential equations of form $dX_t = σ(X_t)dY_t$, where $Y$ is a suitable Hölder continuous driver such as the fractional Brownian motion $B^H$ with $H>\frac12$. The innovative aspect of the present paper lies in the assumptions on diffusion coefficients $σ$ for which we assume very mild conditions. In particular, we allow $σ$ to have discontinuities, and as such our results can be applied to study equations with discontinuous diffusions.

math.PR↗

Gaussian fluctuations for the stochastic heat equation with colored noise

In this paper, we present a quantitative central limit theorem for the d-dimensional stochastic heat equation driven by a Gaussian multiplicative noise, which is white in time and has a spatial covariance given by the Riesz kernel. We show that the spatial average of the solution over an Euclidean ball is close to a Gaussian distribution, when the radius of the ball tends to infinity. Our central limit theorem is described in the total variation distance, using Malliavin calculus and Stein's method. We also provide a functional central limit theorem.

math.PR↗

Non-parametric Structural Change Detection in Multivariate Systems

Structural change detection problems are often encountered in analytics and econometrics, where the performance of a model can be significantly affected by unforeseen changes in the underlying relationships. Although these problems have a comparatively long history in statistics, the number of studies done in the context of multivariate data under nonparametric settings is still small. In this paper, we propose a consistent method for detecting multiple structural changes in a system of related regressions over a large dimensional variable space. In most applications, practitioners also do not have a priori information on the relevance of different variables, and therefore, both locations of structural changes as well as the corresponding sparse regression coefficients need to be estimated simultaneously. The method combines nonparametric energy distance minimization principle with penalized regression techniques. After showing asymptotic consistency of the model, we compare the proposed approach with competing methods in a simulation study. As an example of a large scale application, we consider structural change point detection in the context of news analytics during the recent financial crisis period.

stat.ME↗

On the regularity of complex multiplicative chaos

Denote by $μ_β="\exp(βX)"$ the Gaussian multiplicative chaos which is defined using a log-correlated Gaussian field $X$ on a domain $U\subset\mathbb{R}^d$. The case $β\in\mathbb{R}$ has been studied quite intensively, and then $μ_β$ is a random measure on $U$. It is known that $μ_β$ can also be defined for complex values $β$ lying in certain subdomain of $\mathbb{C}$, and then the realizations of $μ_β$ are random generalized functions on $U$. In this note we complement the results of Junnila et al. (where the case of purely imaginary $β$ was considered) by studying the Besov-regularity of $μ_β$ and the finiteness of moments for general complex values of $β$.

math.PR↗

Oscillating Gaussian Processes

In this article we introduce and study oscillating Gaussian processes defined by $X_t = α_+ Y_t {\bf 1}_{Y_t >0} + α_- Y_t{\bf 1}_{Y_t<0}$, where $α_+,α_->0$ are free parameters and $Y$ is either stationary or self-similar Gaussian process. We study the basic properties of $X$ and we consider estimation of the model parameters. In particular, we show that the moment estimators converge in $L^p$ and are, when suitably normalised, asymptotically normal.

math.PR↗

Prediction Law of Mixed Gaussian Volterra Processes

We study the regular conditional law of mixed Gaussian Volterra processes under the influence of model disturbances. More precisely, we study prediction of Gaussian Volterra processes driven by a Brownian motion in a case where the Brownian motion is not observable, but only a noisy version is observed. As an application, we discuss how our result can be applied to variance reduction in the presence of measurement errors.

math.PR↗

Integration-by-Parts Characterizations of Gaussian Processes

The Malliavin integration-by-parts formula is a key ingredient to develop stochastic analysis on the Wiener space. In this article we show that a suitable integration-by-parts formula also characterizes a wide class of Gaussian processes, the so-called Gaussian Fredholm processes.

math.PR↗

A Central Limit Theorem for the stochastic heat equation

We consider the one-dimensional stochastic heat equation driven by a multiplicative space-time white noise. We show that the spatial integral of the solution from $-R$ to $R$ converges in total variance distance to a standard normal distribution as $R$ tends to infinity, after renormalization. We also show a functional version of this central limit theorem.

math.PR↗