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Le-Yu Chen

Publications and source records attributed to Le-Yu Chen.

9 recordsLinked to original sources

Sparse Quantile Regression

We consider both $\ell _{0}$-penalized and $\ell _{0}$-constrained quantile regression estimators. For the $\ell _{0}$-penalized estimator, we derive an exponential inequality on the tail probability of excess quantile prediction risk and apply it to obtain non-asymptotic upper bounds on the mean-square parameter and regression function estimation errors. We also derive analogous results for the $\ell _{0}$-constrained estimator. The resulting rates of convergence are nearly minimax-optimal and the same as those for $\ell _{1}$-penalized and non-convex penalized estimators. Further, we characterize expected Hamming loss for the $\ell _{0}$-penalized estimator. We implement the proposed procedure via mixed integer linear programming and also a more scalable first-order approximation algorithm. We illustrate the finite-sample performance of our approach in Monte Carlo experiments and its usefulness in a real data application concerning conformal prediction of infant birth weights (with $n\approx 10^{3}$ and up to $p>10^{3}$). In sum, our $\ell _{0}$-based method produces a much sparser estimator than the $\ell _{1}$-penalized and non-convex penalized approaches without compromising precision.

stat.ME

Robust Ranking of Happiness Outcomes: A Median Regression Perspective

Ordered probit and logit models have been frequently used to estimate the mean ranking of happiness outcomes (and other ordinal data) across groups. However, it has been recently highlighted that such ranking may not be identified in most happiness applications. We suggest researchers focus on median comparison instead of the mean. This is because the median rank can be identified even if the mean rank is not. Furthermore, median ranks in probit and logit models can be readily estimated using standard statistical softwares. The median ranking, as well as ranking for other quantiles, can also be estimated semiparametrically and we provide a new constrained mixed integer optimization procedure for implementation. We apply it to estimate a happiness equation using General Social Survey data of the US.

econ.EM

Estimations of the Local Conditional Tail Average Treatment Effect

The conditional tail average treatment effect (CTATE) is defined as a difference between the conditional tail expectations of potential outcomes, which can capture heterogeneity and deliver aggregated local information on treatment effects over different quantile levels and is closely related to the notion of second-order stochastic dominance and the Lorenz curve. These properties render it a valuable tool for policy evaluation. In this paper, we study estimation of the CTATE locally for a group of compliers (local CTATE or LCTATE) under the two-sided noncompliance framework. We consider a semiparametric treatment effect framework under endogeneity for the LCTATE estimation using a newly introduced class of consistent loss functions jointly for the conditional tail expectation and quantile. We establish the asymptotic theory of our proposed LCTATE estimator and provide an efficient algorithm for its implementation. We then apply the method to evaluate the effects of participating in programs under the Job Training Partnership Act in the US.

stat.AP

Breaking the curse of dimensionality in conditional moment inequalities for discrete choice models

This paper studies inference of preference parameters in semiparametric discrete choice models when these parameters are not point-identified and the identified set is characterized by a class of conditional moment inequalities. Exploring the semiparametric modeling restrictions, we show that the identified set can be equivalently formulated by moment inequalities conditional on only two continuous indexing variables. Such formulation holds regardless of the covariate dimension, thereby breaking the curse of dimensionality for nonparametric inference based on the underlying conditional moment inequalities. We further apply this dimension reducing characterization approach to the monotone single index model and to a variety of semiparametric models under which the sign of conditional expectation of a certain transformation of the outcome is the same as that of the indexing variable.

stat.ME

High Dimensional Classification through $\ell_0$-Penalized Empirical Risk Minimization

We consider a high dimensional binary classification problem and construct a classification procedure by minimizing the empirical misclassification risk with a penalty on the number of selected features. We derive non-asymptotic probability bounds on the estimated sparsity as well as on the excess misclassification risk. In particular, we show that our method yields a sparse solution whose l0-norm can be arbitrarily close to true sparsity with high probability and obtain the rates of convergence for the excess misclassification risk. The proposed procedure is implemented via the method of mixed integer linear programming. Its numerical performance is illustrated in Monte Carlo experiments.

stat.ME

Best Subset Binary Prediction

We consider a variable selection problem for the prediction of binary outcomes. We study the best subset selection procedure by which the covariates are chosen by maximizing Manski (1975, 1985)'s maximum score objective function subject to a constraint on the maximal number of selected variables. We show that this procedure can be equivalently reformulated as solving a mixed integer optimization problem, which enables computation of the exact or an approximate solution with a definite approximation error bound. In terms of theoretical results, we obtain non-asymptotic upper and lower risk bounds when the dimension of potential covariates is possibly much larger than the sample size. Our upper and lower risk bounds are minimax rate-optimal when the maximal number of selected variables is fixed and does not increase with the sample size. We illustrate usefulness of the best subset binary prediction approach via Monte Carlo simulations and an empirical application of the work-trip transportation mode choice.

stat.ME

Exact computation of GMM estimators for instrumental variable quantile regression models

We show that the generalized method of moments (GMM) estimation problem in instrumental variable quantile regression (IVQR) models can be equivalently formulated as a mixed integer quadratic programming problem. This enables exact computation of the GMM estimators for the IVQR models. We illustrate the usefulness of our algorithm via Monte Carlo experiments and an application to demand for fish.

stat.CO

Maximum Score Estimation of Preference Parameters for a Binary Choice Model under Uncertainty

This paper develops maximum score estimation of preference parameters in the binary choice model under uncertainty in which the decision rule is affected by conditional expectations. The preference parameters are estimated in two stages: we estimate conditional expectations nonparametrically in the first stage and then the preference parameters in the second stage based on Manski (1975, 1985)'s maximum score estimator using the choice data and first stage estimates. The paper establishes consistency and derives rate of convergence of the two-stage maximum score estimator. Moreover, the paper also provides sufficient conditions under which the two-stage estimator is asymptotically equivalent in distribution to the corresponding single-stage estimator that assumes the first stage input is known. These results are of independent interest for maximum score estimation with nonparametrically generated regressors. The paper also presents some Monte Carlo simulation results for finite-sample behavior of the two-stage estimator.

stat.ME

Testing Multiple Inequality Hypotheses : A Smoothed Indicator Approach

This paper proposes a class of origin-smooth approximators of indicators underlying the sum-of-negative-part statistic for testing multiple inequalities. The need for simulation or bootstrap to obtain test critical values is thereby obviated. A simple procedure is enabled using fixed critical values. The test is shown to have correct asymptotic size in the uniform sense that supremum finite-sample rejection probability over null-restricted data distributions tends asymptotically to nominal significance level. This applies under weak assumptions allowing for estimator covariance singularity. The test is unbiased for a wide class of local alternatives. A new theorem establishes directions in which the test is locally most powerful. The proposed procedure is compared with predominant existing tests in structure, theory and simulation.

stat.ME