Searcharxiv⌕ Search

arXiv subjects

Leander Thiele

Publications and source records attributed to Leander Thiele.

At least 37 records · Page 2Linked to original sources
arXiv2024

De-baryonifying halos via optimal transport

Baryonic feedback uncertainty is a limiting systematic for next-generation weak gravitational lensing analyses. At the same time, high-resolution weak lensing maps are best analyzed at the field-level. Thus, robustly accounting for the baryonic effects in the projected matter density field is required. Ideally, constraints on feedback strength from astrophysical probes should be folded into the weak lensing field-level likelihood. We propose a macroscopic method based on an empirical correlation between feedback strength and an optimal transport cost. Since feedback is local re-distribution of matter, optimal transport is a promising concept. In this proof-of-concept, we de-baryonify projected mass around individual halos in the IllustrisTNG simulation. We choose the de-baryonified solution as the point of maximum likelihood on the hypersurface defined by fixed optimal transport cost around the observed full-physics halos. The likelihood is approximated through a normalizing flow trained on multiple gravity-only simulations. We find that the set of de-baryonified halos reproduces the correct convergence power spectrum suppression. There is considerable scatter when considering individual halos. We outline how the optimal transport de-baryonification concept can be generalized to full convergence maps.

astro-ph.CO↗
arXiv2024

Cosmology from HSC Y1 Weak Lensing with Combined Higher-Order Statistics and Simulation-based Inference

We present cosmological constraints from weak lensing with the Subaru Hyper Suprime-Cam (HSC) first-year (Y1) data, using a simulation-based inference (SBI) method. % We explore the performance of a set of higher-order statistics (HOS) including the Minkowski functionals, counts of peaks and minima, and the probability distribution function and compare them to the traditional two-point statistics. The HOS, also known as non-Gaussian statistics, can extract additional non-Gaussian information that is inaccessible to the two-point statistics. We use a neural network to compress the summary statistics, followed by an SBI approach to infer the posterior distribution of the cosmological parameters. We apply cuts on angular scales and redshift bins to mitigate the impact of systematic effects. Combining two-point and non-Gaussian statistics, we obtain $S_8 \equiv σ_8 \sqrt{Ω_m/0.3} = 0.804_{-0.040}^{+0.041}$ and $Ω_m = 0.344_{-0.090}^{+0.083}$, similar to that from non-Gaussian statistics alone. These results are consistent with previous HSC analyses and Planck 2018 cosmology. Our constraints from non-Gaussian statistics are $\sim 25\%$ tighter in $S_8$ than two-point statistics, where the main improvement lies in $Ω_m$, with $\sim 40$\% tighter error bar compared to using the angular power spectrum alone ($S_8 = 0.766_{-0.056}^{+0.054}$ and $Ω_m = 0.365_{-0.141}^{+0.148}$). We find that, among the non-Gaussian statistics we studied, the Minkowski functionals are the primary driver for this improvement. Our analyses confirm the SBI as a powerful approach for cosmological constraints, avoiding any assumptions about the functional form of the data's likelihood.

astro-ph.CO↗
arXiv2024

Cosmological constraints from weak lensing scattering transform using HSC Y1 data

As weak lensing surveys go deeper, there is an increasing need for reliable characterization of non-Gaussian structures at small angular scales. Here we present the first cosmological constraints with weak lensing scattering transform, a statistical estimator that combines efficiency, robustness, and interpretability. With the Hyper Suprime-Cam survey (HSC) year 1 data, we obtain $Ω_\text{m}=0.29_{-0.03}^{+0.04}$, $S_8\equiv σ_8(Ω_\text{m}/0.3)^{0.5}=0.83\pm0.02$, and intrinsic alignment strength $A_\text{IA}=1.0\pm0.4$ through simulation-based forward modeling. Our constraints are consistent with those derived from Planck. The error bar of $Ω_\text{m}$ is 2 times tighter than that obtained from the power spectrum when the same scale range is used. This constraining power is on par with that of convolutional neural networks, suggesting that further investment in spatial information extraction may not yield substantial benefits. We also point out an internal tension of $S_8$ estimates linked to a redshift bin around z ~ 1 in the HSC data. We found that discarding that bin leads to a consistent decrease of $S_8$ from 0.83 to 0.79, for all statistical estimators. We argue that photometric redshift estimation is now the main limitation in the estimation of $S_8$ using HSC. This limitation is likely to affect other ground-based weak lensing surveys reaching redshifts greater than one. Alternative redshift estimation techniques, like clustering redshifts, may help alleviate this limitation.

astro-ph.CO↗
arXiv2024

Impact of baryonic feedback on HSC Y1 weak lensing non-Gaussian statistics

Baryonic feedback is a major systematic in weak lensing cosmology. Its most studied effect is the suppression of the lensing power spectrum, a second-order statistic, on small scales. Motivated by the growing interest in statistics beyond the second order, we investigate the effect of baryons on lensing non-Gaussian statistics and the resulting biases in the matter clustering amplitude $S_8 = σ_8\sqrt{Ω_m/0.3}$. We focus on the Subaru Hyper Suprime-Cam Year 1 (HSC-Y1) data which, with its high source number density, closely resembles those expected from the upcoming Euclid and Rubin LSST. We study four non-Gaussian statistics -- peak counts, minimum counts, the probability distribution function, and the scattering transform -- in addition to the usual power spectrum. We first estimate the biases in $S_8$ using mock observations built from the IllustrisTNG and BAHAMAS hydrodynamical simulations and theoretical models built from dark matter-only simulations. We find up to $1σ$ bias in $S_8$ when the smallest scales (2 arcmin) and the highest feedback level are considered. We then analyze the HSC-Y1 data and compare the $S_8$ obtained for each statistic with different smoothing scales or scale cuts. As we expect that baryons mostly affect the small scales, comparing the results obtained from including and excluding small scales can indicate the level of impact from baryons. With HSC data, we find only minor ($\leq0.5σ$) differences in $S_8$ for all statistics, even when considering very small scales (2 arcmin). Our results suggest that the effect of baryons is insignificant at the level of HSC-Y1 down to 2~arcmin for all statistics examined here, or it is canceled by other scale-dependent systematics.

astro-ph.CO↗
arXiv2023

Cosmological constraints from HSC Y1 lensing convergence PDF

We utilize the probability distribution function (PDF) of normalized convergence maps reconstructed from the Subaru Hyper Suprime-Cam (HSC) Y1 shear catalogue, in combination with the power spectrum, to measure the matter clustering amplitude $S_8=σ_8\sqrt{Ω_m/0.3}$. The large-scale structure's statistical properties are incompletely described by the traditional two-point statistics, motivating our investigation of the PDF -- a complementary higher-order statistic. By defining the PDF over the standard deviation-normalized convergence map we are able to isolate the non-Gaussian information. We use tailored simulations to compress the data vector and construct a likelihood approximation. We mitigate the impact of survey and astrophysical systematics with cuts on smoothing scales, redshift bins, and data vectors. We find $S_8=0.860^{+0.066}_{-0.109}$ from the PDF alone and $S_8=0.798^{+0.029}_{-0.042}$ from the combination of PDF and power spectrum (68% CL). The PDF improves the power spectrum-only constraint by about 10%.

astro-ph.CO↗
arXiv2023

Predicting the impact of feedback on matter clustering with machine learning in CAMELS

Extracting information from the total matter power spectrum with the precision needed for upcoming cosmological surveys requires unraveling the complex effects of galaxy formation processes on the distribution of matter. We investigate the impact of baryonic physics on matter clustering at $z=0$ using a library of power spectra from the Cosmology and Astrophysics with MachinE Learning Simulations (CAMELS) project, containing thousands of $(25\,h^{-1}{\rm Mpc})^3$ volume realizations with varying cosmology, initial random field, stellar and AGN feedback strength and sub-grid model implementation methods. We show that baryonic physics affects matter clustering on scales $k \gtrsim 0.4\,h\,\mathrm{Mpc}^{-1}$ and the magnitude of this effect is dependent on the details of the galaxy formation implementation and variations of cosmological and astrophysical parameters. Increasing AGN feedback strength decreases halo baryon fractions and yields stronger suppression of power relative to N-body simulations, while stronger stellar feedback often results in weaker effects by suppressing black hole growth and therefore the impact of AGN feedback. We find a broad correlation between mean baryon fraction of massive halos ($M_{\rm 200c} > 10^{13.5}$\,\Msun) and suppression of matter clustering but with significant scatter compared to previous work owing to wider exploration of feedback parameters and cosmic variance effects. We show that a random forest regressor trained on the baryon content and abundance of halos across the full mass range $10^{10} \leq M_\mathrm{halo}/$\Msun$< 10^{15}$ can predict the effect of galaxy formation on the matter power spectrum on scales $k = 1.0$--20.0\,$h\,\mathrm{Mpc}^{-1}$.

astro-ph.GA↗
arXiv2023

Cosmology from weak lensing peaks and minima with Subaru Hyper Suprime-Cam survey first-year data

We present cosmological constraints derived from peak counts, minimum counts, and the angular power spectrum of the Subaru Hyper Suprime-Cam first-year (HSC Y1) weak lensing shear catalog. Weak lensing peak and minimum counts contain non-Gaussian information and hence are complementary to the conventional two-point statistics in constraining cosmology. In this work, we forward-model the three summary statistics and their dependence on cosmology, using a suite of $N$-body simulations tailored to the HSC Y1 data. We investigate systematic and astrophysical effects including intrinsic alignments, baryon feedback, multiplicative bias, and photometric redshift uncertainties. We mitigate the impact of these systematics by applying cuts on angular scales, smoothing scales, statistic bins, and tomographic redshift bins. By combining peaks, minima, and the power spectrum, assuming a flat-$Λ$CDM model, we obtain $S_{8} \equiv σ_8\sqrt{Ω_m/0.3}= 0.810^{+0.022}_{-0.026}$, a 35\% tighter constraint than that obtained from the angular power spectrum alone. Our results are in agreement with other studies using HSC weak lensing shear data, as well as with Planck 2018 cosmology and recent CMB lensing constraints from the Atacama Cosmology Telescope and the South Pole Telescope.

astro-ph.CO↗
arXiv2023

Neutrino mass constraint from an Implicit Likelihood Analysis of BOSS voids

Cosmic voids identified in the spatial distribution of galaxies provide complementary information to two-point statistics. In particular, constraints on the neutrino mass sum, $\sum m_ν$, promise to benefit from the inclusion of void statistics. We perform inference on the CMASS NGC sample of SDSS-III/BOSS with the aim of constraining $\sum m_ν$. We utilize the void size function, the void galaxy cross power spectrum, and the galaxy auto power spectrum. To extract constraints from these summary statistics we use a simulation-based approach, specifically implicit likelihood inference. We populate approximate gravity-only, particle neutrino cosmological simulations with an expressive halo occupation distribution model. With a conservative scale cut of kmax=0.15 h/Mpc and a Planck-inspired LCDM prior, we find upper bounds on $\sum m_ν$ of 0.43 and 0.35 eV from the galaxy auto power spectrum and the full data vector, respectively (95% credible interval). We observe hints that the void statistics may be most effective at constraining $\sum m_ν$ from below. We also substantiate the usual assumption that the void size function is Poisson distributed.

astro-ph.CO↗
arXiv2023

The SZ flux-mass ($Y$-$M$) relation at low halo masses: improvements with symbolic regression and strong constraints on baryonic feedback

Feedback from active galactic nuclei (AGN) and supernovae can affect measurements of integrated SZ flux of halos ($Y_\mathrm{SZ}$) from CMB surveys, and cause its relation with the halo mass ($Y_\mathrm{SZ}-M$) to deviate from the self-similar power-law prediction of the virial theorem. We perform a comprehensive study of such deviations using CAMELS, a suite of hydrodynamic simulations with extensive variations in feedback prescriptions. We use a combination of two machine learning tools (random forest and symbolic regression) to search for analogues of the $Y-M$ relation which are more robust to feedback processes for low masses ($M\lesssim 10^{14}\, h^{-1} \, M_\odot$); we find that simply replacing $Y\rightarrow Y(1+M_*/M_\mathrm{gas})$ in the relation makes it remarkably self-similar. This could serve as a robust multiwavelength mass proxy for low-mass clusters and galaxy groups. Our methodology can also be generally useful to improve the domain of validity of other astrophysical scaling relations. We also forecast that measurements of the $Y-M$ relation could provide percent-level constraints on certain combinations of feedback parameters and/or rule out a major part of the parameter space of supernova and AGN feedback models used in current state-of-the-art hydrodynamic simulations. Our results can be useful for using upcoming SZ surveys (e.g., SO, CMB-S4) and galaxy surveys (e.g., DESI and Rubin) to constrain the nature of baryonic feedback. Finally, we find that the an alternative relation, $Y-M_*$, provides complementary information on feedback than $Y-M$

astro-ph.CO↗
arXiv2023

Augmenting astrophysical scaling relations with machine learning: application to reducing the Sunyaev-Zeldovich flux-mass scatter

Complex astrophysical systems often exhibit low-scatter relations between observable properties (e.g., luminosity, velocity dispersion, oscillation period). These scaling relations illuminate the underlying physics, and can provide observational tools for estimating masses and distances. Machine learning can provide a fast and systematic way to search for new scaling relations (or for simple extensions to existing relations) in abstract high-dimensional parameter spaces. We use a machine learning tool called symbolic regression (SR), which models patterns in a dataset in the form of analytic equations. We focus on the Sunyaev-Zeldovich flux$-$cluster mass relation ($Y_\mathrm{SZ}-M$), the scatter in which affects inference of cosmological parameters from cluster abundance data. Using SR on the data from the IllustrisTNG hydrodynamical simulation, we find a new proxy for cluster mass which combines $Y_\mathrm{SZ}$ and concentration of ionized gas ($c_\mathrm{gas}$): $M \propto Y_\mathrm{conc}^{3/5} \equiv Y_\mathrm{SZ}^{3/5} (1-A\, c_\mathrm{gas})$. $Y_\mathrm{conc}$ reduces the scatter in the predicted $M$ by $\sim 20-30$\% for large clusters ($M\gtrsim 10^{14}\, h^{-1} \, M_\odot$), as compared to using just $Y_\mathrm{SZ}$. We show that the dependence on $c_\mathrm{gas}$ is linked to cores of clusters exhibiting larger scatter than their outskirts. Finally, we test $Y_\mathrm{conc}$ on clusters from CAMELS simulations and show that $Y_\mathrm{conc}$ is robust against variations in cosmology, subgrid physics, and cosmic variance. Our results and methodology can be useful for accurate multiwavelength cluster mass estimation from upcoming CMB and X-ray surveys like ACT, SO, eROSITA and CMB-S4.

astro-ph.CO↗
arXiv2022

Predicting the Thermal Sunyaev-Zel'dovich Field using Modular and Equivariant Set-Based Neural Networks

Theoretical uncertainty limits our ability to extract cosmological information from baryonic fields such as the thermal Sunyaev-Zel'dovich (tSZ) effect. Being sourced by the electron pressure field, the tSZ effect depends on baryonic physics that is usually modeled by expensive hydrodynamic simulations. We train neural networks on the IllustrisTNG-300 cosmological simulation to predict the continuous electron pressure field in galaxy clusters from gravity-only simulations. Modeling clusters is challenging for neural networks as most of the gas pressure is concentrated in a handful of voxels and even the largest hydrodynamical simulations contain only a few hundred clusters that can be used for training. Instead of conventional convolutional neural net (CNN) architectures, we choose to employ a rotationally equivariant DeepSets architecture to operate directly on the set of dark matter particles. We argue that set-based architectures provide distinct advantages over CNNs. For example, we can enforce exact rotational and permutation equivariance, incorporate existing knowledge on the tSZ field, and work with sparse fields as are standard in cosmology. We compose our architecture with separate, physically meaningful modules, making it amenable to interpretation. For example, we can separately study the influence of local and cluster-scale environment, determine that cluster triaxiality has negligible impact, and train a module that corrects for mis-centering. Our model improves by 70 % on analytic profiles fit to the same simulation data. We argue that the electron pressure field, viewed as a function of a gravity-only simulation, has inherent stochasticity, and model this property through a conditional-VAE extension to the network. This modification yields further improvement by 7 %, it is limited by our small training set however. (abridged)

astro-ph.CO↗
arXiv2022

An exploration of the properties of cluster profiles for the thermal and kinetic Sunyaev-Zel'dovich effects

With the advent of high-resolution, low-noise CMB measurements, the ability to extract cosmological information from thermal Sunyaev-Zel'dovich effect and kinetic Sunyaev-Zel'dovich effect will be limited not by statistical uncertainties but rather by systematic and theoretical uncertainties. The theoretical uncertainty is driven by the lack of knowledge about the electron pressure and density. Thus we explore the electron pressure and density distributions in the IllustrisTNG hydrodynamical simulations, and we demonstrate that the cluster properties exhibit a strong dependence on the halo concentration -- providing some of the first evidence of cluster assembly bias in the electron pressure and density. Further, our work shows evidence for a broken power-law mass dependence, with lower pressure in lower mass halos than previous work and a strong evolution with mass of the radial correlations in the electron density and pressure. Both of these effects highlight the differing impact of active galactic nuclei and supernova feedback on the gas in galaxy groups compared to massive clusters. We verified that we see qualitatively similar features in the SIMBA hydro-dynamical simulations, suggesting these effects could be generic features. Finally, we provide a parametric formula for the electron pressure and density profile as a function of dark matter halo mass, halo concentration, and redshift. These fitting formulae can reproduce the distribution of density and pressure of clusters and will be useful in extracting cosmological information from upcoming CMB surveys.

astro-ph.CO↗
arXiv2022

Percent-level constraints on baryonic feedback with spectral distortion measurements

High-significance measurements of the monopole thermal Sunyaev-Zel'dovich CMB spectral distortions have the potential to tightly constrain poorly understood baryonic feedback processes. The sky-averaged Compton-y distortion and its relativistic correction are measures of the total thermal energy in electrons in the observable universe and their mean temperature. We use the CAMELS suite of hydrodynamic simulations to explore possible constraints on parameters describing the subgrid implementation of feedback from active galactic nuclei and supernovae, assuming a PIXIE-like measurement. The small 25 Mpc/h CAMELS boxes present challenges due to the significant cosmic variance. We utilize machine learning to construct interpolators through the noisy simulation data. Using the halo model, we translate the simulation halo mass functions into correction factors to reduce cosmic variance where required. Our results depend on the subgrid model. In the case of IllustrisTNG, we find that the best-determined parameter combination can be measured to ~2% and corresponds to a product of AGN and SN feedback. In the case of SIMBA, the tightest constraint is ~0.2% on a ratio between AGN and SN feedback. A second orthogonal parameter combination can be measured to ~8%. Our results demonstrate the significant constraining power a measurement of the late-time spectral distortion monopoles would have for baryonic feedback models.

astro-ph.CO↗
arXiv2022

The CAMELS project: public data release

The Cosmology and Astrophysics with MachinE Learning Simulations (CAMELS) project was developed to combine cosmology with astrophysics through thousands of cosmological hydrodynamic simulations and machine learning. CAMELS contains 4,233 cosmological simulations, 2,049 N-body and 2,184 state-of-the-art hydrodynamic simulations that sample a vast volume in parameter space. In this paper we present the CAMELS public data release, describing the characteristics of the CAMELS simulations and a variety of data products generated from them, including halo, subhalo, galaxy, and void catalogues, power spectra, bispectra, Lyman-$α$ spectra, probability distribution functions, halo radial profiles, and X-rays photon lists. We also release over one thousand catalogues that contain billions of galaxies from CAMELS-SAM: a large collection of N-body simulations that have been combined with the Santa Cruz Semi-Analytic Model. We release all the data, comprising more than 350 terabytes and containing 143,922 snapshots, millions of halos, galaxies and summary statistics. We provide further technical details on how to access, download, read, and process the data at \url{https://camels.readthedocs.io}.

astro-ph.CO↗
arXiv2021

The CAMELS Multifield Dataset: Learning the Universe's Fundamental Parameters with Artificial Intelligence

We present the Cosmology and Astrophysics with MachinE Learning Simulations (CAMELS) Multifield Dataset, CMD, a collection of hundreds of thousands of 2D maps and 3D grids containing many different properties of cosmic gas, dark matter, and stars from 2,000 distinct simulated universes at several cosmic times. The 2D maps and 3D grids represent cosmic regions that span $\sim$100 million light years and have been generated from thousands of state-of-the-art hydrodynamic and gravity-only N-body simulations from the CAMELS project. Designed to train machine learning models, CMD is the largest dataset of its kind containing more than 70 Terabytes of data. In this paper we describe CMD in detail and outline a few of its applications. We focus our attention on one such task, parameter inference, formulating the problems we face as a challenge to the community. We release all data and provide further technical details at https://camels-multifield-dataset.readthedocs.io.

cs.LG↗
arXiv2021

Robust marginalization of baryonic effects for cosmological inference at the field level

We train neural networks to perform likelihood-free inference from $(25\,h^{-1}{\rm Mpc})^2$ 2D maps containing the total mass surface density from thousands of hydrodynamic simulations of the CAMELS project. We show that the networks can extract information beyond one-point functions and power spectra from all resolved scales ($\gtrsim 100\,h^{-1}{\rm kpc}$) while performing a robust marginalization over baryonic physics at the field level: the model can infer the value of $Ω_{\rm m} (\pm 4\%)$ and $σ_8 (\pm 2.5\%)$ from simulations completely different to the ones used to train it.

astro-ph.CO↗
arXiv2021

Multifield Cosmology with Artificial Intelligence

Astrophysical processes such as feedback from supernovae and active galactic nuclei modify the properties and spatial distribution of dark matter, gas, and galaxies in a poorly understood way. This uncertainty is one of the main theoretical obstacles to extract information from cosmological surveys. We use 2,000 state-of-the-art hydrodynamic simulations from the CAMELS project spanning a wide variety of cosmological and astrophysical models and generate hundreds of thousands of 2-dimensional maps for 13 different fields: from dark matter to gas and stellar properties. We use these maps to train convolutional neural networks to extract the maximum amount of cosmological information while marginalizing over astrophysical effects at the field level. Although our maps only cover a small area of $(25~h^{-1}{\rm Mpc})^2$, and the different fields are contaminated by astrophysical effects in very different ways, our networks can infer the values of $Ω_{\rm m}$ and $σ_8$ with a few percent level precision for most of the fields. We find that the marginalization performed by the network retains a wealth of cosmological information compared to a model trained on maps from gravity-only N-body simulations that are not contaminated by astrophysical effects. Finally, we train our networks on multifields -- 2D maps that contain several fields as different colors or channels -- and find that not only they can infer the value of all parameters with higher accuracy than networks trained on individual fields, but they can constrain the value of $Ω_{\rm m}$ with higher accuracy than the maps from the N-body simulations.

astro-ph.CO↗
arXiv2021

Can small-scale baryon inhomogeneities resolve the Hubble tension? An investigation with ACT DR4

Small-scale inhomogeneities in the baryon density around recombination have been proposed as a solution to the tension between local and global determinations of the Hubble constant. These baryon clumping models make distinct predictions for the cosmic microwave background anisotropy power spectra on small angular scales. We use recent data from the Atacama Cosmology Telescope to test these predictions. No evidence for baryon clumping is found, assuming a range of parameterizations for time-independent baryon density probability distribution functions. The inferred Hubble constant remains in significant tension with the SH0ES measurement.

astro-ph.CO↗