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Leif Doering

Publications and source records attributed to Leif Doering.

At least 19 recordsLinked to original sources

An Approximate Ascent Approach To Prove Convergence of PPO

Proximal Policy Optimization (PPO) is among the most widely used deep reinforcement learning algorithms, yet its theoretical foundations remain incomplete. Most importantly, convergence and understanding of fundamental PPO advantages remain widely open. Under standard theory assumptions we show how PPO's policy update scheme (performing multiple epochs of minibatch updates on multi-use rollouts with a surrogate gradient) can be interpreted as approximated policy gradient ascent. We show how to control the bias accumulated by the surrogate gradients and use techniques from random reshuffling to prove a convergence theorem for PPO that sheds light on PPO's success. Additionally, we identify a previously overlooked issue in truncated Generalized Advantage Estimation commonly used in PPO. The geometric weighting scheme induces infinite mass collapse onto the longest $k$-step advantage estimator at episode boundaries. Empirical evaluations show that a simple weight correction can yield substantial improvements in environments with strong terminal signal, such as Lunar Lander.

cs.LG

General path integrals and stable SDEs

The theory of one-dimensional stochastic differential equations driven by Brownian motion is classical and has been largely understood for several decades. For stochastic differential equations with jumps the picture is still incomplete, and even some of the most basic questions are only partially understood. In the present article we study existence and uniqueness of weak solutions to \[ {\rm d}Z_t=\sigma(Z_{t-}){\rm d} X_t \]driven by a (symmetric) $\alpha$-stable L\'evy process, in the spirit of the classical Engelbert-Schmidt time-change approach. Extending and completing results of Zanzotto we derive a complete characterisation for existence und uniqueness of weak solutions for $\alpha\in(0,1)$. Our approach is not based on classical stochastic calculus arguments but on the general theory of Markov processes. We proof integral tests for finiteness of path integrals under minimal assumptions.

math.PR

Levy Processes with finite variance conditioned to avoid an interval

Conditioning Markov processes to avoid a set is a classical problem that has been studied in many settings. In the present article we study the question if a Levy process can be conditioned to avoid an interval and, if so, the path behavior of the conditioned process. For Levy processes with finite second moments we show that conditioning is possible and identify the conditioned process as an h-transform of the original killed process. The h-transform is explicit in terms of successive overshoot distributions and is used to prove that the conditioned process diverges to plus infinity and minus infinity with positive probabilities.

math.PR

Stable processes conditioned to avoid an interval

Conditioning Markov processes to avoid a domain is a classical problem that has been studied in many settings. Ingredients for standard arguments involve the leading order tail asymptotics of the distribution of the first hitting time of the domain of interest and its relation to an underlying harmonic function. In the present article we condition stable processes to avoid intervals. The required tail asymptotics in the stable setting for $\alpha\geq 1$ go back to classical work of Blumenthal et al. and Port from the 1960s. For $\alpha<1$, we appeal to recent results centred around the so-called deep factorisation of the stable process to compute hitting probabilities and, moreover, to identify the associated harmonic functions for all $\alpha\in (0,2)$. With these in hand, we thus prove that conditioning to avoid an interval is possible in the classical sense and that the resulting process is a Doob $h$-transform of the stable process killed on entering the aforesaid interval. Appealing to the representation of the conditioned process as a Doob $h$-transform, we verify that the conditioned process is transient.

math.PR

Entrance and exit at infinity for stable jump diffusions

In his seminal work from the 1950s, William Feller classified all one-dimensional diffusions on $-\infty\leq a<b\leq \infty$ in terms of their ability to access the boundary (Feller's test for explosions) and to enter the interior from the boundary. Feller's technique is restricted to diffusion processes as the corresponding differential generators allow explicit computations and the use of Hille-Yosida theory. In the present article we study exit and entrance from infinity for the most natural generalization, that is, jump diffusions of the form \[ dZ_t=\sigma(Z_{t-})\,dX_t, \] driven by stable L\'evy processes for $\alpha\in (0,2)$. Many results have been proved for jump diffusions, employing a variety of techniques developed after Feller's work but exit and entrance from infinite boundaries has long remained open. We show that the presence of jumps implies features not seen in the diffusive setting without drift. Finite time explosion is possible for $\alpha\in (0,1)$, whereas entrance from different kinds of infinity is possible for $\alpha\in [1,2)$. We derive necessary and sufficient conditions on $\sigma$ so that (i) non-exploding solutions exist and (ii) the corresponding transition semigroup extends to an entrance point at `infinity'. Our proofs are based on very recent developments for path transformations of stable processes via the Lamperti-Kiu representation and new Wiener-Hopf factorisations for L\'evy processes that lie therein. The arguments draw together original and intricate applications of results using the Riesz-Bogdan--\.Zak transformation, entrance laws for self-similar Markov processes, perpetual integrals of L\'evy processes and fluctuation theory, which have not been used before in the SDE setting, thereby allowing us to employ classical theory such as Hunt-Nagasawa duality and Getoor's characterisation of transience and recurrence.

math.PR

On Skorokhod Embeddings and Poisson Equations

The classical Skorokhod embedding problem for a Brownian motion $W$ asks to find a stopping time $\tau$ so that $W_\tau$ is distributed according to a prescribed probability distribution $\mu$. Many solutions have been proposed during the past 50 years and applications in different fields emerged. This article deals with a generalized Skorokhod embedding problem (SEP): Let $X$ be a Markov process with initial marginal distribution $\mu_0$ and let $\mu_1$ be a probability measure. The task is to find a stopping time $\tau$ such that $X_\tau$ is distributed according to $\mu_1$. More precisely, we study the question of deciding if a finite mean solution to the SEP can exist for given $\mu_0, \mu_1$ and the task of giving a solution which is as explicit as possible. If $\mu_0$ and $\mu_1$ have positive densities $h_0$ and $h_1$ and the generator $\mathcal A$ of $X$ has a formal adjoint operator $\mathcal A^*$, then we propose necessary and sufficient conditions for the existence of an embedding in terms of the Poisson equation $\mathcal A^* H=h_1-h_0$ and give a fairly explicit construction of the stopping time using the solution of the Poisson equation. For the class of L\'evy processes we carry out the procedure and extend a result of Bertoin and Le Jan to L\'evy processes without local times.

math.PR

Finite system scheme for infinite rate mutually catalytic branching with infinite branching rate

For many stochastic diffusion processes with mean field interaction, convergence of the rescaled total mass processes towards a diffusion process is known. Here we show convergence of the so-called finite system scheme for interacting jump-type processes known as mutually catalytic branching processes with infinite branching rate. Due to the lack of second moments the rescaling of time is different from the finite rate mutually catalytic case. The limit of rescaled total mass processes is identified as the finite rate mutually catalytic branching diffusion. The convergence of rescaled processes holds jointly with convergence of coordinate processes, whereas the latter converge at a different time scale.

math.PR

Functional Analytic (Ir-)Regularity Properties of SABR-type Processes

The SABR model is a benchmark stochastic volatility model in interest rate markets, which has received much attention in the past decade. Its popularity arose from a tractable asymptotic expansion for implied volatility, derived by heat kernel methods. As markets moved to historically low rates, this expansion appeared to yield inconsistent prices. Since the model is deeply embedded in market practice, alternative pricing methods for SABR have been addressed in numerous approaches in recent years. All standard option pricing methods make certain regularity assumptions on the underlying model, but for SABR these are rarely satisfied. We examine here regularity properties of the model from this perspective with view to a number of (asymptotic and numerical) option pricing methods. In particular, we highlight delicate degeneracies of the SABR model (and related processes) at the origin, which deem the currently used popular heat kernel methods and all related methods from (sub-) Riemannian geometry ill-suited for SABR-type processes, when interest rates are near zero. We describe a more general semigroup framework, which permits to derive a suitable geometry for SABR-type processes (in certain parameter regimes) via symmetric Dirichlet forms. Furthermore, we derive regularity properties (Feller- properties and strong continuity properties) necessary for the applicability of popular numerical schemes to SABR-semigroups, and identify suitable Banach- and Hilbert spaces for these. Finally, we comment on the short time and large time asymptotic behaviour of SABR-type processes beyond the heat-kernel framework.

q-fin.MF

Perpetual Integrals for Levy Processes

We ask for necessary and sufficient conditions for almost sure finiteness of the perpetual integrals of a Levy process. Zero-one laws are already known for Brownian motion with drift and spectrally one-sided Levy processes. Under the assumption that local times exist, we use fluctuation theory and Jeulin's lemma to prove the zero-one law.

math.PR

Real Self-Similar Processes Started from the Origin

Since the seminal work of Lamperti there is a lot of interest in the understanding of the general structure of self-similar Markov processes. Lamperti gave a representation of positive self-similar Markov processes with initial condition strictly larger than 0 which subsequently was extended to zero initial condition. For real self-similar Markov processes (rssMps) there is a generalization of Lamperti's representation giving a one-to-one correspondence between Markov additive processes and rssMps with initial condition different from the origin. We develop fluctuation theory for Markov additive processes and use Kuznetsov measures to construct the law of transient real self-similar Markov processes issued from the origin. The construction gives a pathwise representation through two-sided Markov additive processes extending the Lamperti-Kiu representation to the origin.

math.PR

Random Interlacements via Kuznetsov Measures

The aim of this note is to give an alternative construction of interlacements - as introduced by Sznitman - which makes use of classical probabilistic potential theory. In particular, we outline that the intensity measure of an interlacement is known in probabilistic potential theory under the name "approximate Markov chain" or "quasi-process". We provide a simple construction of random interlacements through (unconditioned) two-sided Brownian motions (resp. two-sided random walks) involving Mitro's general construction of Kuznetsov measures and a Palm measures relation due to Fitzsimmons. In particular, we show that random interlacement is a Poisson cloud (`soup') of two-sided random walks (or Brownian motions) started in Lebesgue measure and restricted on being closest to the origin at time between 0 and 1 - modulus time-shift.

math.PR

Parameter estimation for a subcritical affine two factor model

For an affine two factor model, we study the asymptotic properties of the maximum likelihood and least squares estimators of some appearing parameters in the so-called subcritical (ergodic) case based on continuous time observations. We prove strong consistency and asymptotic normality of the estimators in question.

math.ST

Stationarity and ergodicity for an affine two factor model

We study the existence of a unique stationary distribution and ergodicity for a 2-dimensional affine process. The first coordinate is supposed to be a so-called alpha-root process with α\in(1,2]. The existence of a unique stationary distribution for the affine process is proved in case of α\in(1,2]; further, in case of α=2, the ergodicity is also shown.

math.PR

On Exceptional Times for generalized Fleming-Viot Processes with Mutations

If $\mathbf Y$ is a standard Fleming-Viot process with constant mutation rate (in the infinitely many sites model) then it is well known that for each $t>0$ the measure $\mathbf Y_t$ is purely atomic with infinitely many atoms. However, Schmuland proved that there is a critical value for the mutation rate under which almost surely there are exceptional times at which $\mathbf Y$ is a finite sum of weighted Dirac masses. In the present work we discuss the existence of such exceptional times for the generalized Fleming-Viot processes. In the case of Beta-Fleming-Viot processes with index $α\in\,]1,2[$ we show that - irrespectively of the mutation rate and $α$ - the number of atoms is almost surely always infinite. The proof combines a Pitman-Yor type representation with a disintegration formula, Lamperti's transformation for self-similar processes and covering results for Poisson point processes.

math.PR

On parameter estimation for critical affine processes

First we provide a simple set of sufficient conditions for the weak convergence of scaled affine processes with state space $R_+ \times R^d$. We specialize our result to one-dimensional continuous state branching processes with immigration. As an application, we study the asymptotic behavior of least squares estimators of some parameters of a two-dimensional critical affine diffusion process.

math.ST

Small time Chung-type LIL for Lévy processes

We prove Chung-type laws of the iterated logarithm for general Lévy processes at zero. In particular, we provide tools to translate small deviation estimates directly into laws of the iterated logarithm. This reveals laws of the iterated logarithm for Lévy processes at small times in many concrete examples. In some cases, exotic norming functions are derived.

math.PR

A Jump Type SDE Approach to Positive Self-Similar Markov Processes

We present a new approach to positive self-similar Markov processes (pssMps) by reformulating Lamperti's transformation via jump type SDEs. As applications, we give direct constructions of pssMps (re)started continuously at zero if the Lamperti transformed Levy process is spectrally negative. Our paper can be seen as a continuation of similar studies for continuous state branching processes but the approach seems to be more fruitful in the context of pssMps.

math.PR

On entire moments of self-similar Markov processes

It has been shown by Bertoin and Yor (2002) that the law of positive self-similar Markov processes (pssMps) that only jump downwards and do not hit zero in finite time are uniquely determined by their entire moments for which explicit formulas have been derived. We use a recent jump-type stochastic differential equation approach to reprove and to extend their formulas.

math.PR