arXiv subjects

Leighton P. Barnes

Publications and source records attributed to Leighton P. Barnes.

4 recordsLinked to original sources

arXiv2026

Sub-Gaussian Concentration and Entropic Normality of the Maximum Likelihood Estimator

It is well known that, under standard regularity conditions, the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) satisfies a central limit theorem and converges in distribution to a Gaussian random variable as the sample size grows. This paper strengthens this classical result by developing several stronger forms of asymptotic normality for the normalized MLE. With additional assumptions on the score, we first establish sub-Gaussian tail bounds and convergence of all moments for the normalized estimation error. We then prove an entropic central limit theorem for a smoothed version of the estimator, showing convergence in relative entropy to the limiting Gaussian law. When the Fisher information of the normalized estimate is bounded, or its density has bounded first derivative, we further show that the smoothing can be removed, yielding entropic normality of the MLE itself. The proofs develop auxiliary tools that may be of independent interest, including exponential consistency bounds, high-moment estimates, and entropy-control arguments for the estimator.

cs.IT↗

arXiv2025

Linearity-Inducing Priors for Poisson Parameter Estimation Under $L^{1}$ Loss

We study prior distributions for Poisson parameter estimation under $L^1$ loss. Specifically, we construct a new family of prior distributions whose optimal Bayesian estimators (the conditional medians) can be any prescribed increasing function that satisfies certain regularity conditions. In the case of affine estimators, this family is distinct from the usual conjugate priors, which are gamma distributions. Our prior distributions are constructed through a limiting process that matches certain moment conditions. These results provide the first explicit description of a family of distributions, beyond the conjugate priors, that satisfy the affine conditional median property; and more broadly for the Poisson noise model they can give any arbitrarily prescribed conditional median.

math.ST↗

arXiv2024

$L^1$ Estimation: On the Optimality of Linear Estimators

Consider the problem of estimating a random variable $X$ from noisy observations $Y = X+ Z$, where $Z$ is standard normal, under the $L^1$ fidelity criterion. It is well known that the optimal Bayesian estimator in this setting is the conditional median. This work shows that the only prior distribution on $X$ that induces linearity in the conditional median is Gaussian. Along the way, several other results are presented. In particular, it is demonstrated that if the conditional distribution $P_{X|Y=y}$ is symmetric for all $y$, then $X$ must follow a Gaussian distribution. Additionally, we consider other $L^p$ losses and observe the following phenomenon: for $p \in [1,2]$, Gaussian is the only prior distribution that induces a linear optimal Bayesian estimator, and for $p \in (2,\infty)$, infinitely many prior distributions on $X$ can induce linearity. Finally, extensions are provided to encompass noise models leading to conditional distributions from certain exponential families.

math.ST↗

arXiv2024

Multivariate Priors and the Linearity of Optimal Bayesian Estimators under Gaussian Noise

Consider the task of estimating a random vector $X$ from noisy observations $Y = X + Z$, where $Z$ is a standard normal vector, under the $L^p$ fidelity criterion. This work establishes that, for $1 \leq p \leq 2$, the optimal Bayesian estimator is linear and positive definite if and only if the prior distribution on $X$ is a (non-degenerate) multivariate Gaussian. Furthermore, for $p > 2$, it is demonstrated that there are infinitely many priors that can induce such an estimator.

math.ST↗