arXiv subjects

Lev V. Utkin

Publications and source records attributed to Lev V. Utkin.

46 records · Page 3Linked to original sources

arXiv2020

A robust algorithm for explaining unreliable machine learning survival models using the Kolmogorov-Smirnov bounds

A new robust algorithm based of the explanation method SurvLIME called SurvLIME-KS is proposed for explaining machine learning survival models. The algorithm is developed to ensure robustness to cases of a small amount of training data or outliers of survival data. The first idea behind SurvLIME-KS is to apply the Cox proportional hazards model to approximate the black-box survival model at the local area around a test example due to the linear relationship of covariates in the model. The second idea is to incorporate the well-known Kolmogorov-Smirnov bounds for constructing sets of predicted cumulative hazard functions. As a result, the robust maximin strategy is used, which aims to minimize the average distance between cumulative hazard functions of the explained black-box model and of the approximating Cox model, and to maximize the distance over all cumulative hazard functions in the interval produced by the Kolmogorov-Smirnov bounds. The maximin optimization problem is reduced to the quadratic program. Various numerical experiments with synthetic and real datasets demonstrate the SurvLIME-KS efficiency.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2020

SurvLIME-Inf: A simplified modification of SurvLIME for explanation of machine learning survival models

A new modification of the explanation method SurvLIME called SurvLIME-Inf for explaining machine learning survival models is proposed. The basic idea behind SurvLIME as well as SurvLIME-Inf is to apply the Cox proportional hazards model to approximate the black-box survival model at the local area around a test example. The Cox model is used due to the linear relationship of covariates. In contrast to SurvLIME, the proposed modification uses $L_{\infty }$-norm for defining distances between approximating and approximated cumulative hazard functions. This leads to a simple linear programming problem for determining important features and for explaining the black-box model prediction. Moreover, SurvLIME-Inf outperforms SurvLIME when the training set is very small. Numerical experiments with synthetic and real datasets demonstrate the SurvLIME-Inf efficiency.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2020

SurvLIME: A method for explaining machine learning survival models

A new method called SurvLIME for explaining machine learning survival models is proposed. It can be viewed as an extension or modification of the well-known method LIME. The main idea behind the proposed method is to apply the Cox proportional hazards model to approximate the survival model at the local area around a test example. The Cox model is used because it considers a linear combination of the example covariates such that coefficients of the covariates can be regarded as quantitative impacts on the prediction. Another idea is to approximate cumulative hazard functions of the explained model and the Cox model by using a set of perturbed points in a local area around the point of interest. The method is reduced to solving an unconstrained convex optimization problem. A lot of numerical experiments demonstrate the SurvLIME efficiency.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2019

An explanation method for Siamese neural networks

A new method for explaining the Siamese neural network is proposed. It uses the following main ideas. First, the explained feature vector is compared with the prototype of the corresponding class computed at the embedding level (the Siamese neural network output). The important features at this level are determined as features which are close to the same features of the prototype. Second, an autoencoder is trained in a special way in order to take into account the embedding level of the Si-amese network, and its decoder part is used for reconstructing input data with the corresponding changes. Numerical experiments with the well-known dataset MNIST illustrate the propose method.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2019

Estimation of Personalized Heterogeneous Treatment Effects Using Concatenation and Augmentation of Feature Vectors

A new meta-algorithm for estimating the conditional average treatment effects is proposed in the paper. The main idea underlying the algorithm is to consider a new dataset consisting of feature vectors produced by means of concatenation of examples from control and treatment groups, which are close to each other. Outcomes of new data are defined as the difference between outcomes of the corresponding examples comprising new feature vectors. The second idea is based on the assumption that the number of controls is rather large and the control outcome function is precisely determined. This assumption allows us to augment treatments by generating feature vectors which are closed to available treatments. The outcome regression function constructed on the augmented set of concatenated feature vectors can be viewed as an estimator of the conditional average treatment effects. A simple modification of the Co-learner based on the random subspace method or the feature bagging is also proposed. Various numerical simulation experiments illustrate the proposed algorithm and show its outperformance in comparison with the well-known T-learner and X-learner for several types of the control and treatment outcome functions.

stat.ML↗

arXiv2019

An Adaptive Weighted Deep Forest Classifier

A modification of the confidence screening mechanism based on adaptive weighing of every training instance at each cascade level of the Deep Forest is proposed. The idea underlying the modification is very simple and stems from the confidence screening mechanism idea proposed by Pang et al. to simplify the Deep Forest classifier by means of updating the training set at each level in accordance with the classification accuracy of every training instance. However, if the confidence screening mechanism just removes instances from training and testing processes, then the proposed modification is more flexible and assigns weights by taking into account the classification accuracy. The modification is similar to the AdaBoost to some extent. Numerical experiments illustrate good performance of the proposed modification in comparison with the original Deep Forest proposed by Zhou and Feng.

stat.ML↗

arXiv2019

A weighted random survival forest

A weighted random survival forest is presented in the paper. It can be regarded as a modification of the random forest improving its performance. The main idea underlying the proposed model is to replace the standard procedure of averaging used for estimation of the random survival forest hazard function by weighted avaraging where the weights are assigned to every tree and can be veiwed as training paremeters which are computed in an optimal way by solving a standard quadratic optimization problem maximizing Harrell's C-index. Numerical examples with real data illustrate the outperformance of the proposed model in comparison with the original random survival forest.

stat.ML↗

arXiv2017

A simple genome-wide association study algorithm

A computationally simple genome-wide association study (GWAS) algorithm for estimating the main and epistatic effects of markers or single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) is proposed. It is based on the intuitive assumption that changes of alleles corresponding to important SNPs in a pair of individuals lead to large difference of phenotype values of these individuals. The algorithm is based on considering pairs of individuals instead of SNPs or pairs of SNPs. The main advantage of the algorithm is that it weakly depends on the number of SNPs in a genotype matrix. It mainly depends on the number of individuals, which is typically very small in comparison with the number of SNPs. Numerical experiments with real data sets illustrate the proposed algorithm.

q-bio.QM↗

arXiv2017

Discriminative Metric Learning with Deep Forest

A Discriminative Deep Forest (DisDF) as a metric learning algorithm is proposed in the paper. It is based on the Deep Forest or gcForest proposed by Zhou and Feng and can be viewed as a gcForest modification. The case of the fully supervised learning is studied when the class labels of individual training examples are known. The main idea underlying the algorithm is to assign weights to decision trees in random forest in order to reduce distances between objects from the same class and to increase them between objects from different classes. The weights are training parameters. A specific objective function which combines Euclidean and Manhattan distances and simplifies the optimization problem for training the DisDF is proposed. The numerical experiments illustrate the proposed distance metric algorithm.

stat.ML↗

arXiv2017

A Siamese Deep Forest

A Siamese Deep Forest (SDF) is proposed in the paper. It is based on the Deep Forest or gcForest proposed by Zhou and Feng and can be viewed as a gcForest modification. It can be also regarded as an alternative to the well-known Siamese neural networks. The SDF uses a modified training set consisting of concatenated pairs of vectors. Moreover, it defines the class distributions in the deep forest as the weighted sum of the tree class probabilities such that the weights are determined in order to reduce distances between similar pairs and to increase them between dissimilar points. We show that the weights can be obtained by solving a quadratic optimization problem. The SDF aims to prevent overfitting which takes place in neural networks when only limited training data are available. The numerical experiments illustrate the proposed distance metric method.

stat.ML↗