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Liudmila Rozanova

Publications and source records attributed to Liudmila Rozanova.

5 recordsLinked to original sources

A Glyph Is Not a Letter, a Token Is Not a Word, a Space Is Not a Space: What the Units of Voynichese Are Not

The Voynich manuscript (Beinecke MS 408) is usually analysed on three unstated assumptions: that its glyphs are letters, that the strings between blanks are words, and that every blank is a word space. We test all three against the Zandbergen-Landini transliteration with matched prose, cipher, and pseudo-text controls and quire-level resampling. None holds, and the failures share a shape: the order in Voynichese sits at the edges of tokens and at graded boundaries between them, not in the succession of tokens themselves. Glyph regularity is too strong for one-to-one substitution of any tested plaintext (conditional entropy 2.7 bits against about 3.5 for Latin, Italian, and English) and resolves instead onto a quire-stable scale of recurrent multi-symbol units. Tokens form a plausible vocabulary, yet the identity of one token predicts the next by under 1% of token entropy, below every matched control (2-10%), while the glyphs at token edges share 0.2 bits of mutual information, more than in any prose control. Blanks fall into two regimes: the separators transcribers marked uncertain behave like word-internal junctures, are physically narrower on the page (AUC 0.905 from independent image coordinates, with the same sign in a small blind ink audit), and are crossed by learned units even when every space is erased before learning. This profile is also what discriminates. A published Voynich-imitating cipher and a self-citation text generator both reproduce the low entropy, the unit scale, the weak token order, and the null result of a calibrated substitution attack; neither reproduces the edge-glyph coupling or the open, hapax-rich vocabulary (70% singleton types against 41% and 59-60%). Any account of the manuscript must therefore earn, rather than assume, the step from glyphs, tokens, and separators to letters, words, and word spaces, and these are the measurements on which to do so.

cs.CL

A stochastic geospatial epidemic model and simulation using an event modulated Gillespie algorithm

We developed a model and a software package for stochastic simulations of transmission of COVID-19 and other similar infectious diseases, that takes into account contact network structures and geographical distribution of population density, detailed up to a level of location of individuals. Our analysis framework includes a surrogate model optimization process for quick fitting of the model's parameters to the observed epidemic curves for cases, hospitalizations and deaths. This set of instruments (the model, the simulation code, and the optimizer) is a useful tool for policymakers and epidemic response teams who can use it to forecast epidemic development scenarios in local environments (on the scale from towns to large countries) and design optimal response strategies. The simulation code also includes a geospatial visualization subsystem, presenting detailed views of epidemic scenarios directly on population density maps. We used the developed framework to draw predictions for COVID-19 spreading in the canton of Geneva, Switzerland.

q-bio.PE

Dynamical properties of the herding voter model with and without noise

Collective leadership and herding may arise in standard models of opinion dynamics as an interplay of a strong separation of time scales within the population and its hierarchical organization. Using the voter model as a simple opinion formation model, we show that, in the herding phase, a group of agents become effectively the leaders of the dynamics while the rest of the population follow blindly their opinion. Interestingly, in some cases such herding dynamics accelerates the time to consensus, which then become size independent or, on the contrary, makes the consensus nearly impossible. These new behaviors have important consequences when an external noise is added to the system that makes consensus (absorbing) states to disappear. We analyze this new model which shows an interesting phase diagram, with a purely diffusive phase, a herding (or two-states) phase, and mixed phases where both behaviors are possible.

physics.soc-ph

Heterogeneous epidemic model for assessing data dissemination in opportunistic networks

In this paper we investigate a susceptible-infected-susceptible (SIS) epidemic model describing data dissemination in opportunistic networks with heterogeneous setting of transmission parameters. We obtained the estimation of the final epidemic size assuming that amount of data transferred between network nodes possesses a Pareto distribution, implying scale-free properties. In this context, more heterogeneity in susceptibility means the less severe epidemic progression, and, on the contrary, more heterogeneity in infectivity leads to more severe epidemics -- assuming that the other parameter (either heterogeneity or susceptibility) stays fixed. The results are general enough and can be useful in general epidemic theory for estimating the epidemic progression for diseases with no significant acquired immunity -- in the cases where Pareto distribution holds.

cs.SI

Construction Of Difference Schemes For Nonlinear Singular Perturbed Equations By Approximation Of Coefficients

Mathematical modeling of many physical processes such as diffusion, viscosity of fluids and combustion involves differential equations with small coefficients of higher derivatives. These may be small diffusion coefficients for modeling the spreading of impurities, small coefficients of viscosity in fluid flow simulation etc. The difficulty with solving such problem is that if you set the small parameter at higher derivatives to zero, the solution of the degenerate problem doesn't correctly approximate the original problem, even if the small parameter approaches zero; the solution of the original problem exhibits the emergency of a boundary layer. As a result, the application of classical difference schemes for solving such equations produces great inaccuracies. Therefore, numerical solution of differential equations with small coefficients at higher derivatives demands special difference schemes exhibiting uniform convergence with respect to the small parameters involved. In this article author investigates two nonlinear boundary value problems on a finite interval, resulting in exponential and power-law boundary layers.

math.NA