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Liz Varga

Publications and source records attributed to Liz Varga.

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Safe Reinforcement Learning in Tensor Reproducing Kernel Hilbert Space

This paper delves into the problem of safe reinforcement learning (RL) in a partially observable environment with the aim of achieving safe-reachability objectives. In traditional partially observable Markov decision processes (POMDP), ensuring safety typically involves estimating the belief in latent states. However, accurately estimating an optimal Bayesian filter in POMDP to infer latent states from observations in a continuous state space poses a significant challenge, largely due to the intractable likelihood. To tackle this issue, we propose a stochastic model-based approach that guarantees RL safety almost surely in the face of unknown system dynamics and partial observation environments. We leveraged the Predictive State Representation (PSR) and Reproducing Kernel Hilbert Space (RKHS) to represent future multi-step observations analytically, and the results in this context are provable. Furthermore, we derived essential operators from the kernel Bayes' rule, enabling the recursive estimation of future observations using various operators. Under the assumption of \textit{undercompleness}, a polynomial sample complexity is established for the RL algorithm for the infinite size of observation and action spaces, ensuring an $\epsilon-$suboptimal safe policy guarantee.

cs.LG

Network Properties for Robust Multilayer Infrastructure Systems: A Percolation Theory Review

Infrastructure systems, such as power, transportation, telecommunication, and water systems, are composed of multiple components which are interconnected and interdependent to produce and distribute essential goods and services. So, the robustness of infrastructure systems to resist disturbances is crucial for the durable performance of modern societies. Multilayer networks have been used to model the multiplicity and interrelation of infrastructure systems and percolation theory is the most common approach to quantify the robustness of such networks. This survey systematically reviews literature published between 2010 and 2021, on applying percolation theory to assess the robustness of infrastructure systems modeled as multilayer networks. We discussed all network properties applied to build infrastructure models. Among all properties, interdependency strength and communities were the most common network property whilst very few studies considered realistic attributes of infrastructure systems such as directed links and feedback conditions. The review highlights that the properties produced approximately similar model outcomes, in terms of detecting improvement or deterioration in the robustness of multilayer infrastructure networks, with few exceptions. Most of the studies focused on highly simpliffied synthetic models rather than models built by real datasets. Thus, this review suggests analyzing multiple properties in a single model to assess whether they boost or weaken the impact of each other. In addition, the effect size of different properties on the robustness of infrastructure systems should be quantiffied. It can support the design and planning of robust infrastructure systems by arranging and prioritizing the most effective properties.

physics.soc-ph

Resilience or Robustness: Identifying Topological Vulnerabilities in Rail Networks

Many critical infrastructure systems have network structure and are under stress. Despite their national importance, the complexity of large-scale transport networks means we do not fully understand their vulnerabilities to cascade failures. The research in this paper examines the interdependent rail networks in Greater London and surrounding commuter area. We focus on the morning commuter hours, where the system is under the most demand stress. There is increasing evidence that the topological shape of the network plays an important role in dynamic cascades. Here, we examine whether the different topological measures of resilience (stability) or robustness (failure) are more appropriate for understanding poor railway performance. The results show that resilience and not robustness has a strong correlation to the consumer experience statistics. Our results are a way of describing the complexity of cascade dynamics on networks without the involvement of detailed agent-based-models, showing that cascade effects are more responsible for poor performance than failures. The network science analysis hints at pathways towards making the network structure more resilient by reducing feedback loops.

physics.soc-ph