arXiv subjects

Lorenzo Ghilotti

Publications and source records attributed to Lorenzo Ghilotti.

5 recordsLinked to original sources

arXiv2026

Extended feature allocation models

Feature allocation models are Bayesian nonparametric tools tailored to data in which each observation can simultaneously exhibit multiple characteristics, or features. A fundamental limitation of standard formulations is that feature labels are assumed to be independent and identically distributed, and therefore play no role in posterior inference. The present paper introduces a unified Bayesian framework for extended feature allocation models, in which feature labels and proportions are modeled jointly, thereby enabling the simultaneous discovery of features and learning of dependencies among their labels. Building on point process theory, we develop a full Bayesian analysis of these models. Within this general setting, we also characterize previously proposed priors as those leading to poor predictive distributions, which cannot capture label dependencies and are insensitive to the observed frequency spectrum. Our methodology is designed to move beyond such standard formulations by leveraging the information carried by feature labels. We demonstrate the usefulness of our approach by introducing: (i) a Cox process prior that clusters genomic variant embeddings while predicting new variants and new variant clusters; (ii) a determinantal point process prior for repeated forest surveys, where prediction concerns both the number and the locations of unobserved trees.

math.ST↗

arXiv2026

Palm distributions of superposed point processes for statistical inference

Palm distributions play a central role in the study of point processes and their associated summary statistics. In this paper, we characterize the Palm distributions of the superposition of independent point processes, establishing a simple mixture representation depending on the point processes' Palm distributions and moment measures. We explore two statistical applications enabled by our main result. First, we consider minimum contrast estimation for corrupted point processes. Second, we investigate the class of shot noise Cox processes and derive explicit expressions for their higher-order Palm distributions. In the finite case, we further obtain a tractable expression for the Janossy density, which plays the role of a likelihood function and thus can be used for new likelihood-based inference strategies. Extensions to the superposition of multiple point processes and to higher-order Palm distributions are also presented.

math.ST↗

arXiv2025

Bayesian analysis of product feature allocation models

Feature allocation models are an extension of Bayesian nonparametric clustering models, where individuals can share multiple features. We study a broad class of models whose probability distribution has a product form, which includes the popular Indian buffet process. This class plays a prominent role among existing priors, and it shares structural characteristics with Gibbs-type priors in the species sampling framework. We develop a general theory for the entire class, obtaining closed form expressions for the predictive structure and the posterior law of the underlying stochastic process. Additionally, we describe the distribution for the number of features and the number of hitherto unseen features in a future sample, leading to the $α$-diversity for feature models. We also examine notable novel examples, such as mixtures of Indian buffet processes and beta Bernoulli models, where the latter entails a finite random number of features. This methodology finds significant applications in ecology, allowing the estimation of species richness for incidence data, as we demonstrate by analyzing plant diversity in Danish forests and trees in Barro Colorado Island.

stat.ME↗

arXiv2025

Bayesian nonparametric modeling of multivariate count data with an unknown number of traits

Feature and trait allocation models are fundamental objects in Bayesian nonparametrics and play a prominent role in several applications. Existing approaches, however, typically assume full exchangeability of the data, which may be restrictive in settings characterized by heterogeneous but related groups. In this paper, we introduce a general and tractable class of Bayesian nonparametric priors for partially exchangeable trait allocation models, relying on completely random vectors. We provide a comprehensive theoretical analysis, including closed-form expressions for marginal and posterior distributions, and illustrate the tractability of our framework in the cases of binary and Poisson-distributed traits. A distinctive aspect of our approach is that the number of traits is a random quantity, thereby allowing us to model and estimate unobserved traits. Building on these results, we also develop a novel mixture model that infers the group partition structure from the data, effectively clustering trait allocations. This extension generalizes Bayesian nonparametric latent class models and avoids the systematic overclustering that arises when the number of traits is assumed to be fixed. We demonstrate the practical usefulness of our methodology through an application to the `Ndrangheta criminal network from the Operazione Infinito investigation, where our model provides insights into the organization of illicit activities.

stat.ME↗

arXiv2024

Bayesian clustering of high-dimensional data via latent repulsive mixtures

Model-based clustering of moderate or large dimensional data is notoriously difficult. We propose a model for simultaneous dimensionality reduction and clustering by assuming a mixture model for a set of latent scores, which are then linked to the observations via a Gaussian latent factor model. This approach was recently investigated by Chandra et al. (2023). The authors use a factor-analytic representation and assume a mixture model for the latent factors. However, performance can deteriorate in the presence of model misspecification. Assuming a repulsive point process prior for the component-specific means of the mixture for the latent scores is shown to yield a more robust model that outperforms the standard mixture model for the latent factors in several simulated scenarios. The repulsive point process must be anisotropic to favor well-separated clusters of data, and its density should be tractable for efficient posterior inference. We address these issues by proposing a general construction for anisotropic determinantal point processes. We illustrate our model in simulations as well as a plant species co-occurrence dataset.

stat.ME↗