Lorenzo Giambagli — Page 2

arXiv2021

Mobility-based prediction of SARS-CoV-2 spreading

The rapid spreading of SARS-CoV-2 and its dramatic consequences, are forcing policymakers to take strict measures in order to keep the population safe. At the same time, societal and economical interactions are to be safeguarded. A wide spectrum of containment measures have been hence devised and implemented, in different countries and at different stages of the pandemic evolution. Mobility towards workplace or retails, public transit usage and permanence in residential areas constitute reliable tools to indirectly photograph the actual grade of the imposed containment protocols. In this paper, taking Italy as an example, we will develop and test a deep learning model which can forecast various spreading scenarios based on different mobility indices, at a regional level. We will show that containment measures contribute to "flatten the curve" and quantify the minimum time frame necessary for the imposed restrictions to result in a perceptible impact, depending on their associated grade.

cond-mat.dis-nn↗

arXiv2020

Machine learning in spectral domain

Deep neural networks are usually trained in the space of the nodes, by adjusting the weights of existing links via suitable optimization protocols. We here propose a radically new approach which anchors the learning process to reciprocal space. Specifically, the training acts on the spectral domain and seeks to modify the eigenvalues and eigenvectors of transfer operators in direct space. The proposed method is ductile and can be tailored to return either linear or non-linear classifiers. Adjusting the eigenvalues, when freezing the eigenvectors entries, yields performances which are superior to those attained with standard methods {\it restricted} to a operate with an identical number of free parameters. Tuning the eigenvalues correspond in fact to performing a global training of the neural network, a procedure which promotes (resp. inhibits) collective modes on which an effective information processing relies. This is at variance with the usual approach to learning which implements instead a local modulation of the weights associated to pairwise links. Interestingly, spectral learning limited to the eigenvalues returns a distribution of the predicted weights which is close to that obtained when training the neural network in direct space, with no restrictions on the parameters to be tuned. Based on the above, it is surmised that spectral learning bound to the eigenvalues could be also employed for pre-training of deep neural networks, in conjunction with conventional machine-learning schemes. Changing the eigenvectors to a different non-orthogonal basis alters the topology of the network in direct space and thus allows to export the spectral learning strategy to other frameworks, as e.g. reservoir computing.

cs.LG↗