arXiv subjects

Luca Bertello

Publications and source records attributed to Luca Bertello.

At least 19 recordsLinked to original sources

arXiv2025

Modeling Decadal and Centennial Solar UV Irradiance Changes

Reconstructions of solar spectral irradiance - especially in the ultraviolet (UV) range - are crucial for understanding Earth's climate system. Although total solar irradiance (TSI) has been thoroughly investigated, the spectral composition of solar radiation offers a deeper insight into its interactions with the atmosphere, biosphere, and climate. UV radiation, in particular, plays a key role in stratospheric chemistry and the dynamics of stratospheric ozone. Reconstructing solar irradiance over the past centuries requires accounting for both the cyclic modulation of active-region coverage associated with the 11-year solar cycle and the longer-term secular trends, including their centennial variability. This study utilizes an empirical framework, based on a 1000-year record of Open Solar Flux, to characterize the various temporal components of solar irradiance variability. We then combine these components to reconstruct Solar UV irradiance variations in spectral bands crucial for Earth's atmospheric studies.

astro-ph.SR↗

arXiv2025

H-Alpha Anomalyzer: An Explainable Anomaly Detector for Solar H-Alpha Observations

The plethora of space-borne and ground-based observatories has provided astrophysicists with an unprecedented volume of data, which can only be processed at scale using advanced computing algorithms. Consequently, ensuring the quality of data fed into machine learning (ML) models is critical. The H$\alpha$ observations from the GONG network represent one such data stream, producing several observations per minute, 24/7, since 2010. In this study, we introduce a lightweight (non-ML) anomaly-detection algorithm, called H-Alpha Anomalyzer, designed to identify anomalous observations based on user-defined criteria. Unlike many black-box algorithms, our approach highlights exactly which regions triggered the anomaly flag and quantifies the corresponding anomaly likelihood. For our comparative analysis, we also created and released a dataset of 2,000 observations, equally divided between anomalous and non-anomalous cases. Our results demonstrate that the proposed model not only outperforms existing methods but also provides explainability, enabling qualitative evaluation by domain experts.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2025

Investigating the Temperature Sensitivity of UV Line Ratios in the 280 nm Region of Solar-like Stars

Stellar UV spectra are fundamental diagnostics of physical and magnetic properties of stars. For instance, lines like Mg II at 280 nm serve as valuable indicators of stellar activity, providing insights into the activity levels of Sun-like stars and their potential influence on the atmospheres of orbiting planets. On the other hand, the effective temperature (Teff) is a fundamental stellar parameter, critical for determining stellar properties such as mass, age, composition and evolutionary status. In this study, we investigate the temperature sensitivity of three lines in the mid-ultraviolet range (i.e., Mg II 280.00 nm, Mg I 285.20 nm, and Si I 286.15 nm). Using spectra from the International Ultraviolet Explorer (IUE), we analyze the behavior of the ratios of their corresponding indices (core/continuum) for a sample of calibrating solar-like stars, and find that the ration R = Mg II/Mg I best traces Teff through a log-log relation. The Teff estimated using this relation on a test-sample of solar-like stars agree with the Teff from the literature at the 95% confidence level. The observed results are interpreted making use of Response Functions as diagnostics. This study extends the well-established use of line depth ratio-temperature relationships, traditionally applied in the visible and near-infrared ranges, to the mid-UV spectrum. With the growing interest in stellar UV spectroscopy, results presented in this paper are potentially relevant for future missions as HWO, MANTIS and UVEX.

astro-ph.SR↗

arXiv2025

Simulating the Solar Corona with Multiple Solar Photospheric Magnetic Maps during the 8 April 2024 Total Solar Eclipse

The 8 April 2024 total solar eclipse (TSE) provides a unique opportunity to study the solar corona. This work presents our simulations of the solar corona at the time of the eclipse based on magnetohydrodynamic (MHD) modeling performed with the Alfv\'{e}n Wave Solar atmosphere Model (AWSoM) in the Space Weather Modeling Framework, developed at the University of Michigan. We performed multiple simulations based on photospheric magnetic maps from four sources, i.e., ADAPT-GONG, Lockheed Martin ESFAM-HMI, HipFT-HMI, and NSO-NRT-HMI maps. Our study focuses on how differences in the magnetic field maps affect the coronal magnetic field structure and coronal heating properties in the simulation. The synthesized observables show remarkable differences due to the distinct magnetic coronal topologies, which stem from the different local magnetic flux distributions. We analyze the properties of the open magnetic flux regions of the models. We also study the coronal heating rate in the models. The total volume integrated heating rate yields a difference of $20\%$ across the models. The results also show that the differential emission measure in the high-temperature regions is sensitive to the magnetic field maps. Our findings underscore the importance of comprehensive photospheric magnetic field data in improving future solar coronal models.

astro-ph.SR↗

arXiv2024

Latitude Quenching Nonlinearity in the Solar Dynamo

We compare two candidate nonlinearities for regulating the solar cycle within the Babcock-Leighton paradigm: tilt quenching (whereby the tilt of active regions is reduced in stronger cycles) and latitude quenching (whereby flux emerges at higher latitudes in stronger solar cycles). Digitized historical observations are used to build a database of individual magnetic plage regions from 1923 to 1985. The regions are selected by thresholding in Ca II K synoptic maps, with polarities constrained using Mount Wilson Observatory sunspot measurements. The resulting data show weak evidence for tilt quenching, but much stronger evidence for latitude-quenching. Further, we use proxy observations of the polar field from faculae to construct a best-fit surface flux transport model driven by our database of emerging regions. A better fit is obtained when the sunspot measurements are used, compared to a reference model where all polarities are filled using Hale's Law. The optimization suggests clearly that the "dynamo effectivity range" of the Sun during this period should be less than 10 degrees; this is also consistent with latitude quenching being dominant over tilt quenching.

astro-ph.SR↗

arXiv2024

Reconstruction of the Total Solar Irradiance during the last Millenium

Solar irradiance variations across various timescales, from minutes to centuries, represents a potential natural driver of past regional and global climate cold phases. To accurately assess the Sun's effect on climate, particularly during periods of exceptionally low solar activity known as grand minima, an accurate reconstruction of solar forcing is essential. While direct measurements of Total Solar Irradiance (TSI) only began in the late 1970s with the advent of space radiometers, indirect evidence from various historical proxies suggests that the Sun's magnetic activity has undergone possible significant fluctuations over much longer timescales. Employing diverse and independent methods for TSI reconstruction is essential to gaining a comprehensive understanding of this issue. This study employs a semi-empirical model to reconstruct TSI over the past millennium. Our approach uses an estimated open solar magnetic field ($F_{o}$), derived from cosmogenic isotope data, as a proxy for solar activity. We reconstruct the cyclic variations of TSI, due to the solar surface magnetic features, by correlating $F_{o}$ with the parameter of active region functional form. Instead, we obtain the long-term TSI trend by applying the Empirical Mode Decomposition (EMD) algorithm to the reconstructed $F_{o}$ to filter out the 11-year and 22-year solar variability. We prepare a reconstructed TSI record, spanning 971 to 2020 CE. The estimated departure from modern TSI values occurred during the Sp\"{o}rer Minimum (around 1400 CE), with a decrease of approximately 2.3 $W m^{-2}$. A slightly smaller decline of 2.2 $W m^{-2}$ is reported during the Maunder Minimum, between 1645 and 1715 CE.

astro-ph.SR↗

arXiv2023

Camera update for GONG refurbishment: Development and validation

This report provides a brief summary of the properties of new cameras selected for NSF's Global Oscillations Network Group (GONG) facilities operated by the NSO Integrated Synoptic Program (NISP). These camera replacements are part of a GONG refurbishment project aimed to extend GONG operations through roughly FY 2030. Testing has confirmed the suitability of the new cameras and that current data products would be largely unchanged. GONG magnetograms show approximately one-to-one scaling with old data, and the helioseismology data (l-nu diagrams) are nearly identical without any identifiable artifacts. A number of tests were also conducted for GONG processing pipelines and have demonstrated that the modified NISP data center pipelines can transition smoothly to processing observations taken with the new cameras

astro-ph.IM↗

arXiv2023

Variation of small scale magnetic fields over a century using Ca-K images as proxy

A combined uniform and long-time series of Ca-K images from the Kodaikanal Observatory (KO), Mount Wilson Observatory (MWO), and Mauna Loa Solar Observatory (MLSO) were used to identify and study the Ca-K small-scale features and their solar cycle variations over a century. The small scale features are classified into three distinct categories: enhanced network (EN), active network (AN), and quiet network (QN). All these features show that their areas vary according to the 11-year solar cycle. The relative amplitude of the Ca-K network variations agree with that of the sunspot cycle. The total area of these small-scale features varies from about 5% during the minimum phase of the solar cycle to about 20% during its maximum phase. Considering the average intensity and the amplitude of their area variations, we find that the total contribution of EN, AN and QN to the irradiance variation of the Sun is about 3%.

astro-ph.SR↗

arXiv2022

Solar wind modeling with the Alfven Wave Solar atmosphere Model driven by HMI-based Near-Real-Time maps by the National Solar Observatory

We explore model performance for the Alfven Wave Solar atmosphere Model (AWSoM) with near-real-time (NRT) synoptic maps of the photospheric vector magnetic field. These maps, produced by assimilating data from the Helioseismic Magnetic Imager (HMI) onboard the Solar Dynamics Observatory (SDO), use a different method developed at the National Solar Observatory (NSO) to provide a near contemporaneous source of data to drive numerical models. Here, we apply these NSO-HMI-NRT maps to simulate three Carrington rotations (CRs): 2107-2108 (centered on 2011/03/07 20:12 CME event), 2123 (integer CR) and 2218--2219 (centered on 2019/07/2 solar eclipse), which together cover a wide range of activity level for solar cycle 24. We show simulation results, which reproduce both extreme ultraviolet emission (EUV) from the low corona while simultaneously matching in situ observations at 1 au as well as quantify the total unsigned open magnetic flux from these maps.

astro-ph.SR↗

arXiv2022

The exoplanetary magnetosphere extension in Sun-like stars based on the solar wind -- solar UV relation

The Earth's magnetosphere extension is controlled by the solar activity level via solar wind properties. Understanding such a relation in the Solar System is important for predicting also the condition of exoplanetary magnetospheres near Sun-like stars. We use measurements of a chromospheric proxy, the Ca II K index, and solar wind OMNI parameters to connect the solar activity variations, on the decennial time scales, to the solar wind properties. The data span over the time interval 1965-2021, which almost entirely covers the last 5 solar cycles. Using both cross-correlation and mutual information analysis, a 3.2-year lag of the solar wind speed with respect to the Ca II K index is found. Analogously, a 3.6-year lag is found once considering the dynamic pressure. A correlation between the solar wind dynamic pressure and the solar UV emission is found and used to derive the Earth's magnetopause standoff distance. Moreover, the advantage of using a chromospheric proxy, such as the Ca II K index, opens the possibility to extend the relation found for the Sun to Sun-like stars, by linking stellar variability to stellar wind properties. The model is applied to a sample of Sun-like stars as a case study, where we assume the presence of an Earth-like exoplanet at 1 AU. Finally, we compare our results with previous estimates of the magnetosphere extension for the same set of Sun-like stars.

astro-ph.SR↗

arXiv2021

Prediction of sunspot and plage coverage for Solar Cycle 25

Solar variability occurs over a broad range of spatial and temporal scales, from the Sun's brightening over its lifetime to the fluctuations commonly associated with magnetic activity over minutes to years. The latter activity includes most prominently the 11-year sunspot solar cycle and its modulations. Space weather events, in the form of solar flares, solar energetic particles, coronal mass ejections, and geomagnetic storms, have long been known to approximately follow the solar cycle occurring more frequently at solar maximum than solar minimum. These events can significantly impact our advanced technologies and critical infrastructures, making the prediction for the strength of future solar cycles particularly important. Several methods have been proposed to predict the strength of the next solar cycle, cycle 25, with results that are generally not always consistent. Most of these methods are based on the international sunspot number time series, or other indicators of solar activity. We present here a new approach that uses more than 100 years of measured fractional areas of the visible solar disk covered by sunspots and plages and an empirical relationship for each of these two indices of solar activity in even-odd cycles. We anticipate that cycle 25 will peak in 2024 and will last for about 12 years, slightly longer than cycle 24. We also found that, in terms of sunspot and plage areas coverage, the amplitude of cycle 25 will be substantially similar or slightly higher than cycle 24.

astro-ph.SR↗

arXiv2021

On a limitation of Zeeman polarimetry and imperfect instrumentation in representing solar magnetic fields with weaker polarization signal

Full disk vector magnetic fields are used widely for developing better understanding of large-scale structure, morphology, and patterns of the solar magnetic field. The data are also important for modeling various solar phenomena. However, observations of vector magnetic fields have one important limitation that may affect the determination of the true magnetic field orientation. This limitation stems from our ability to interpret the differing character of the Zeeman polarization signals which arise from the photospheric line-of-sight vs. the transverse components of the solar vector magnetic field, and is likely exacerbated by unresolved structure (non-unity fill fraction) as well as the disambiguation of the 180$^\circ$ degeneracy in the transverse-field azimuth. Here we provide a description of this phenomenon, and discuss issues, which require additional investigation.

astro-ph.SR↗

arXiv2020

Uncertainty Estimates of Solar Wind Prediction using HMI Photospheric Vector and Spatial Standard Deviation Synoptic Maps

Current solar wind prediction is based on the Wang & Sheeley empirical relationship between the solar wind speed observed at 1 AU and the rate of magnetic flux tube expansion (FTE) between the photosphere and the inner corona, where FTE is computed by coronal models that take the photospheric flux density synoptic maps as their inner boundary conditions to extrapolate the photospheric magnetic fields to deduce the coronal and the heliospheric magnetic field configuration. Since these synoptic maps are among the most widely-used of all solar magnetic data products, the uncertainties in the model predictions that are caused by the uncertainties in the synoptic maps are worthy of study. However, such an estimate related to synoptic map construction was not available until Bertello et al. (Solar Physics, 289, 2014) obtained the spatial standard deviation synoptic maps; 98 Monte-Carlo realizations of the spatial standard deviation maps for each photospheric synoptic maps. In this paper, we present an estimate of uncertainties in the solar wind speed predicted at 1 AU by the CSSS model due to the uncertainties in the photospheric synoptic maps. We also present a comparison of the coronal hole locations predicted by the models with the STEREO/SECCHI EUV synoptic maps. In order to quantify the extent of the uncertainties involved, we compared the predicted speeds with the OMNI solar wind data during the same period (taking the solar wind transit time into account) and obtained the root mean square error between them. To illustrate the significance of the uncertainty estimate in the solar wind prediction, we carried out the analysis for three Carrington rotations, CR 2102, CR 2137 and CR 2160 at different phases of the solar cycle. The uncertainty estimate is critical information necessary for the current and future efforts of improving the solar wind prediction accuracies.

astro-ph.SR↗

arXiv2019

Reconstructing solar magnetic fields from historical observations V. Sunspot magnetic field measurements at Mount Wilson Observatory

Context. Systematic observations of magnetic field strength and polarity in sunspots began at Mount Wilson Observatory (MWO), USA in early 1917. Except for a few brief interruptions, this historical dataset continues till present. Aims. The sunspot field strength and polarity observations are critical in our project of reconstructing the solar magnetic field over the last hundred years. Here we provide a detailed description of the newly digitized dataset of drawings of sunspot magnetic field observations. Methods. The digitization of MWO drawings is based on a software package develope d by us. It includes a semi-automatic selection of solar limbs and other features of the drawing, and a manual entry of the time of observations, the measured field strength and other notes hand-written on each drawing. The data are preserved in a MySQL database. Results. We provide a brief history of the project and describe the results from digitizing this historical dataset. We also provide a summary of the final dataset, and describe its known limitations. Finally, we compare the sunspot magnetic field measurements with other instruments, and demonstrate that, if needed, the dataset could be continued using modern observations such as, for example, Vector Stokes Magnetograph (VSM) on Synoptic Optical Long-term Investigations of the Sun (SOLIS) platform.

astro-ph.SR↗

arXiv2019

Signature of Extended Solar Cycles as Detected from Ca II K Synoptic Maps of Kodaikanal and Mount Wilson Observatory

In the recent years there has been a resurgence of the study of Extended Solar Cycles (ESCs) through observational proxies mainly in Extreme Ultraviolet. But most of them are limited only to space-based era covering only about two solar cycles. Long-term historical data-sets are worth in examining the consistency of ESCs. Kodaikanal Solar Observatory (KSO) and Mount Wilson Observatory (MWO) are the two major sources of long-term Ca II K digitised spectroheliograms covering the temporal spans 1907-2007 and 1915-1985 respectively. In this study, we detected supergranule boundaries, commonly known as networks, using the Carrington maps from both KSO and MWO datasets. Subsequently we excluded the plage areas to consider only quiet sun (QS) and detected small scale bright features through intensity thresholding over the QS network. Latitudinal density of those features, which we named as `Network Bright Elements' (NBEs), could clearly depict the existence of overlapping cycles with equator-ward branches starting at latitude $\approx 55^{\circ}$ and taking about $15\pm1$ years to reach the equator. We performed superposed epoch analysis to depict the similarity of those extended cycles. Knowledge of such equator-ward band interaction, for several cycles, may provide critical constraints on solar dynamo models.

astro-ph.SR↗

arXiv2018

Tilt of sunspot bipoles in Solar Cycles 15 to 24

We use recently digitized sunspot drawings from Mount Wilson Observatory to investigate the latitudinal dependence of tilt angles of active regions and its change with solar cycle. The drawings cover the period from 1917 to present and contain information about polarity and strength of magnetic field in sunspots. We identify clusters of sunspots of same polarity, and used these clusters to form ``bipole pairs''. The orientation of these bipole pairs was used to measure their tilts. We find that the latitudinal profile of tilts does not monotonically increase with latitude as most previous studies assumed, but instead, it shows a clear maximum at about 25--30 degree latitudes. Functional dependence of tilt ($γ$) on latitude ($φ$) was found to be $γ= (0.20\pm 0.08) \sin (2.80 φ) + (-0.00\pm 0.06)$. We also find that latitudinal dependence of tilts varies from one solar cycle to another, but larger tilts do not seem to result in stronger solar cycles. Finally, we find the presence of a systematic offset in tilt of active regions (non-zero tilts at the equator), with odd cycles exhibiting negative offset and even cycles showing the positive offset.

astro-ph.SR↗

arXiv2017

Ca II K 1-A Emission Index Composites

We describe here a procedure to combine measurements in the 393.37 nm Ca II K spectral line taken at different observatories. Measurements from the National Solar Observatory (NSO) Integrated Sunlight Spectrometer (ISS) on the Synoptic Optical Long-term Investigations of the Sun (SOLIS) telescope, the NSO/Sac Peak Ca II K-Line Monitoring Program, and Ca II K filtergrams from Kodaikanal Solar Observatory (KKL) are merged together to create a pair of composites of the Ca II K 1-A emission index. These composites are publicly available from the SOLIS website at http://solis.nso.edu/0/iss/.

astro-ph.SR↗

arXiv2016

The Mount Wilson Observatory S-index of the Sun

The most commonly used index of stellar magnetic activity is the instrumental flux scale of singly-ionized calcium H & K line core emission, S, developed by the Mount Wilson Observatory (MWO) HK Project, or the derivative index R'_HK. Accurately placing the Sun on the S scale is important for comparing solar activity to that of the Sun-like stars. We present previously unpublished measurements of the reflected sunlight from the Moon using the second-generation MWO HK photometer during solar cycle 23 and determine cycle minimum S_min,23 = 0.1634 +/- 0.0008, amplitude Delta S_23 = 0.0143 +/- 0.0012, and mean = 0.1701 +/- 0.0005. By establishing a proxy relationship with the closely related National Solar Observatory Sacramento Peak calcium K emission index, itself well-correlated with the Kodaikanal Observatory plage index, we extend the MWO S time series to cover cycles 15-24 and find on average = 0.1621 +/- 0.0008, = 0.0145 +/- 0.0012, = 0.1694 +/- 0.0005. Our measurements represent an improvement over previous estimates which relied on stellar measurements or solar proxies with non-overlapping time series. We find good agreement from these results with measurements by the Solar-Stellar Spectrograph at Lowell Observatory, an independently calibrated instrument, which gives us additional confidence that we have accurately placed the Sun on the S-index flux scale.

astro-ph.SR↗