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Lucas Pahl

Publications and source records attributed to Lucas Pahl.

7 recordsLinked to original sources

Index and Robustness of Mixed Equilibria: An Algebraic Approach

We present a new method for computation of the index of completely mixed equilibria in finite games, based on the work of Eisenbud et al.(1977). We apply this method to solving two questions about the relation of the index of equilibria and the index of fixed points, and the index of equilibria and payoff-robustness: any integer can be the index of an isolated completely mixed equilibrium of a finite game. In a particular class of isolated completely mixed equilibria, called monogenic, the index can be $0$, $+1$ or $-1$ only. In this class non-zero index is equivalent to payoff-robustness. We also discuss extensions of the method of computation to extensive-form games, and cases where the equilibria might be located on the boundary of the strategy set.

econ.TH

Robust Equilibria in Generic Extensive form Games

We prove the 2-player, generic extensive-form case of the conjecture of Govindan and Wilson (1997a,b) and Hauk and Hurkens (2002) stating that an equilibrium component is essential in every equivalent game if and only if the index of the component is nonzero. This provides an index-theoretic characterization of the concept of hyperstable components of equilibria in generic extensive-form games, first formulated by Kohlberg and Mertens (1986). We also illustrate how to compute hyperstable equilibria in multiple economically relevant examples and show how the predictions of hyperstability compare with other solution concepts.

econ.TH

O'Neill's Theorem for Games

We present an analog of O'Neill's Theorem (Theorem 5.2 in [17]) for finite games, which reveals some of the structure of equilibria under payoff perturbations in finite games.

cs.GT

Polytope-form games and Index/Degree Theories for Extensive-form games

We present an index theory of equilibria for extensive form games. This requires developing an index theory for games where the strategy sets of players are general polytopes and their payoff functions are multiaffine in the product of these polytopes. Such polytopes arise from identifying (topologically) equivalent mixed strategies of a normal form game.

econ.TH

Information Spillover in Multiple Zero-sum Games

This paper considers an infinitely repeated three-player Bayesian game with lack of information on two sides, in which an informed player plays two zero-sum games simultaneously at each stage against two uninformed players. This is a generalization of the Aumann et al. [1] two-player zero-sum one-sided incomplete information model. Under a correlated prior, the informed player faces the problem of how to optimally disclose information among two uninformed players in order to maximize his long-term average payoffs. Our objective is to understand the adverse effects of \information spillover" from one game to the other in the equilibrium payoff set of the informed player. We provide conditions under which the informed player can fully overcome such adverse effects and characterize equilibrium payoffs. In a second result, we show how the effects of information spillover on the equilibrium payoff set of the informed player might be severe.

econ.TH

A Finite Characterization of Perfect Equilibria

Govindan and Klumpp [7] provided a characterization of perfect equilibria using Lexicographic Probability Systems (LPSs). Their characterization was essentially finite in that they showed that there exists a finite bound on the number of levels in the LPS, but they did not compute it explicitly. In this note, we draw on two recent developments in Real Algebraic Geometry to obtain a formula for this bound.

econ.TH

On Sustainable Equilibria

Following the ideas laid out in Myerson (1996), Hofbauer (2000) defined a Nash equilibrium of a finite game as sustainable if it can be made the unique Nash equilibrium of a game obtained by deleting/adding a subset of the strategies that are inferior replies to it. This paper proves two results about sustainable equilibria. The first concerns the Hofbauer-Myerson conjecture about the relationship between the sustainability of an equilibrium and its index: for a generic class of games, an equilibrium is sustainable iff its index is $+1$. Von Schemde and von Stengel (2008) proved this conjecture for bimatrix games; we show that the conjecture is true for all finite games. More precisely, we prove that an isolated equilibrium has index +1 if and only if it can be made unique in a larger game obtained by adding finitely many strategies that are inferior replies to that equilibrium. Our second result gives an axiomatic extension of sustainability to all games and shows that only the Nash components with positive index can be sustainable.

econ.TH