Searcharxiv⌕ Search

arXiv subjects

Luciano Zunino

Publications and source records attributed to Luciano Zunino.

At least 19 recordsLinked to original sources

Unveiling Amplitude Distributions via the Ordinal Language of Random Walks

Ordinal patterns are widely used to characterize temporal organization in time series, yet they are often considered insensitive to the amplitude distribution of the data. In this work, we show that this limitation can be overcome by considering the ordinal structure of integrated time series. We investigate random walks generated from independent non-Gaussian increments and derive analytical expressions for the ordinal pattern probabilities associated with them. We show that for symmetric distributions, the probabilities of some ordinal patterns are fully determined by symmetry arguments, while those for the remaining patterns depend explicitly on the shape of the increments distribution. Numerical simulations based on $q$-Gaussian increments validate the theoretical predictions. We further show that the construction of the random walk itself plays a fundamental role in the accurate characterization of non-Gaussian fluctuations, as different centering procedures may significantly affect the resulting ordinal statistics. Finally, we validate the proposed framework using financial time series, showing that the ordinal distributions of integrated logarithmic returns capture non-Gaussian features consistent with a cubic law.

physics.data-an↗

Two-by-two ordinal patterns in art paintings

Quantitative analysis of visual arts has recently expanded to encompass a more extensive array of artworks due to the availability of large-scale digitized art collections. Consistent with formal analyses by art historians, many of these studies highlight the significance of encoding spatial structures within artworks to enhance our understanding of visual arts. However, defining universally applicable, interpretable, and sufficiently simple units that capture the essence of paintings and their artistic styles remains challenging. Here we examine ordering patterns in pixel intensities within two-by-two partitions of images from nearly 140,000 paintings created over the past thousand years. These patterns, categorized into eleven types based on arguments of continuity and symmetry, are both universally applicable and detailed enough to correlate with low-level visual features of paintings. We uncover a universal distribution of these patterns, with consistent prevalence within groups, yet modulated across groups by a nontrivial interplay between pattern smoothness and the likelihood of identical pixel intensities. This finding provides a standardized metric for comparing paintings and styles, further establishing a scale to measure deviations from the average prevalence. Our research also shows that these simple patterns carry valuable information for identifying painting styles, though styles generally exhibit considerable variability in the prevalence of ordinal patterns. Moreover, shifts in the prevalence of these patterns reveal a trend in which artworks increasingly diverge from the average incidence over time; however, this evolution is neither smooth nor uniform, with substantial variability in pattern prevalence, particularly after the 1930s.

physics.soc-ph↗

Characterizing unstructured data with the nearest neighbor permutation entropy

Permutation entropy and its associated frameworks are remarkable examples of physics-inspired techniques adept at processing complex and extensive datasets. Despite substantial progress in developing and applying these tools, their use has been predominantly limited to structured datasets such as time series or images. Here, we introduce the k-nearest neighbor permutation entropy, an innovative extension of the permutation entropy tailored for unstructured data, irrespective of their spatial or temporal configuration and dimensionality. Our approach builds upon nearest neighbor graphs to establish neighborhood relations and uses random walks to extract ordinal patterns and their distribution, thereby defining the k-nearest neighbor permutation entropy. This tool not only adeptly identifies variations in patterns of unstructured data, but also does so with a precision that significantly surpasses conventional measures such as spatial autocorrelation. Additionally, it provides a natural approach for incorporating amplitude information and time gaps when analyzing time series or images, thus significantly enhancing its noise resilience and predictive capabilities compared to the usual permutation entropy. Our research substantially expands the applicability of ordinal methods to more general data types, opening promising research avenues for extending the permutation entropy toolkit for unstructured data.

physics.data-an↗

Ordinal analysis of lexical patterns

Words are fundamental linguistic units that connect thoughts and things through meaning. However, words do not appear independently in a text sequence. The existence of syntactic rules induces correlations among neighboring words. Using an ordinal pattern approach, we present an analysis of lexical statistical connections for 11 major languages. We find that the diverse manners that languages utilize to express word relations give rise to unique pattern structural distributions. Furthermore, fluctuations of these pattern distributions for a given language can allow us to determine both the historical period when the text was written and its author. Taken together, our results emphasize the relevance of ordinal time series analysis in linguistic typology, historical linguistics and stylometry.

cs.CL↗

Markov-modulated model for landing flow dynamics: An ordinal analysis validation

Air transportation is a complex system characterised by a plethora of interactions at multiple temporal and spatial scales; as a consequence, even simple dynamics like sequencing aircraft for landing can lead to the appearance of emergent behaviours, which are both difficult to control and detrimental to operational efficiency. We propose a model, based on a modulated Markov jitter, to represent ordinal pattern properties of real landing operations in European airports. The parameters of the model are tuned by minimising the distance between the probability distributions of ordinal patterns generated by the real and synthetic sequences, as estimated by the Permutation Jensen-Shannon Distance. We show that the correlation between consecutive hours in the landing flow changes between airports, and that it can be interpreted as a metric of efficiency. We further compare the dynamics pre and post COVID-19, showing how this has changed beyond what can be attributed to a simple reduction of traffic. We finally draw some operational conclusions, and discuss the applicability of these findings in a real operational environment.

physics.data-an↗

Permutation Jensen-Shannon distance: A versatile and fast symbolic tool for complex time series analysis

The main motivation of this paper is to introduce the permutation Jensen-Shannon distance, a symbolic tool able to quantify the degree of similarity between two arbitrary time series. This quantifier results from the fusion of two concepts, the Jensen-Shannon divergence and the encoding scheme based on the sequential ordering of the elements in the data series. The versatility and robustness of this ordinal symbolic distance for characterizing and discriminating different dynamics are illustrated through several numerical and experimental applications. Results obtained allow us to be optimistic about its usefulness in the field of complex time series analysis. Moreover, thanks to its simplicity, low computational cost, wide applicability and less susceptibility to outliers and artifacts, this ordinal measure can efficiently handle large amounts of data and help to tackle the current big data challenges.

physics.data-an↗

Wavelet-based discrimination of isolated singularities masquerading as multifractals in detrended fluctuation analyses

The robustness of two widespread multifractal analysis methods, one based on detrended fluctuation analysis and one on wavelet leaders, is discussed in the context of time-series containing non-uniform structures with only isolated singularities. Signals generated by simulated and experimentally-realized chaos generators, together with synthetic data addressing particular aspects, are taken into consideration. The results reveal essential limitations affecting the ability of both methods to correctly infer the non-multifractal nature of signals devoid of a cascade-like hierarchy of singularities. Namely, signals harboring only isolated singularities are found to artefactually give rise to broad multifractal spectra, resembling those expected in the presence of a well-developed underlying multifractal structure. Hence, there is a real risk of incorrectly inferring multifractality due to isolated singularities. The careful consideration of local scaling properties and the distribution of Hölder exponent obtained, for example, through wavelet analysis, is indispensable for rigorously assessing the presence or absence of multifractality.

physics.data-an↗

An analysis of high-frequency cryptocurrencies prices dynamics using permutation-information-theory quantifiers

This paper discusses the dynamics of intraday prices of twelve cryptocurrencies during last months' boom and bust. The importance of this study lies on the extended coverage of the cryptoworld, accounting for more than 90\% of the total daily turnover. By using the complexity-entropy causality plane, we could discriminate three different dynamics in the data set. Whereas most of the cryptocurrencies follow a similar pattern, there are two currencies (ETC and ETH) that exhibit a more persistent stochastic dynamics, and two other currencies (DASH and XEM) whose behavior is closer to a random walk. Consequently, similar financial assets, using blockchain technology, are differentiated by market participants.

q-fin.ST↗

Characterization of Time Series Via Rényi Complexity-Entropy Curves

One of the most useful tools for distinguishing between chaotic and stochastic time series is the so-called complexity-entropy causality plane. This diagram involves two complexity measures: the Shannon entropy and the statistical complexity. Recently, this idea has been generalized by considering the Tsallis monoparametric generalization of the Shannon entropy, yielding complexity-entropy curves. These curves have proven to enhance the discrimination among different time series related to stochastic and chaotic processes of numerical and experimental nature. Here we further explore these complexity-entropy curves in the context of the Rényi entropy, which is another monoparametric generalization of the Shannon entropy. By combining the Rényi entropy with the proper generalization of the statistical complexity, we associate a parametric curve (the Rényi complexity-entropy curve) with a given time series. We explore this approach in a series of numerical and experimental applications, demonstrating the usefulness of this new technique for time series analysis. We show that the Rényi complexity-entropy curves enable the differentiation among time series of chaotic, stochastic, and periodic nature. In particular, time series of stochastic nature are associated with curves displaying positive curvature in a neighborhood of their initial points, whereas curves related to chaotic phenomena have a negative curvature; finally, periodic time series are represented by vertical straight lines.

physics.data-an↗

Characterizing Time Series via Complexity-Entropy Curves

The search for patterns in time series is a very common task when dealing with complex systems. This is usually accomplished by employing a complexity measure such as entropies and fractal dimensions. However, such measures usually only capture a single aspect of the system dynamics. Here, we propose a family of complexity measures for time series based on a generalization of the complexity-entropy causality plane. By replacing the Shannon entropy by a mono-parametric entropy (Tsallis $q$-entropy) and after considering the proper generalization of the statistical complexity ($q$-complexity), we build up a parametric curve (the $q$-complexity-entropy curve) that is used for characterizing/classifying time series. Based on simple exact results and numerical simulations of stochastic processes, we show that these curves can distinguish among different long-range, short-range and oscillating correlated behaviors. Also, we verify that simulated chaotic and stochastic time series can be distinguished based on whether these curves are open or closed. We further test this technique in experimental scenarios related to chaotic laser intensity, stock price, sunspot, and geomagnetic dynamics, confirming its usefulness. Finally, we prove that these curves enhance the automatic classification of time series with long-range correlations and interbeat intervals of healthy subjects and patients with heart disease.

physics.data-an↗

Crude oil market and geopolitical events: an analysis based on information-theory-based quantifiers

This paper analyzes the informational efficiency of oil market during the last three decades, and examines changes in informational efficiency with major geopolitical events, such as terrorist attacks, financial crisis and other important events. The series under study is the daily prices of West Texas Intermediate (WTI) in USD/BBL, commonly used as a benchmark in oil pricing. The analysis is performed using information-theory-derived quantifiers, namely permutation entropy and permutation statistical complexity. These metrics allow capturing the hidden structure in the market dynamics, and allow discriminating different degrees of informational efficiency. We find that some geopolitical events impact on the underlying dynamical structure of the market.

q-fin.ST↗

Multiscale permutation entropy analysis of laser beam wandering in isotropic turbulence

We have experimentally quantified the temporal structural diversity from the coordinate fluctuations of a laser beam propagating through isotropic optical turbulence. The main focus here is on the characterization of the long-range correlations in the wandering of a thin Gaussian laser beam over a screen after propagating through a turbulent medium. To fulfill this goal, a laboratory-controlled experiment was conducted in which coordinate fluctuations of the laser beam were recorded at a sufficiently high sampling rate for a wide range of turbulent conditions. Horizontal and vertical displacements of the laser beam centroid were subsequently analyzed by implementing the symbolic technique based on ordinal patterns to estimate the well-known permutation entropy. We show that the permutation entropy estimations at multiple time scales evidence an interplay between different dynamical behaviors. More specifically, a crossover between two different scaling regimes is observed. We confirm a transition from an integrated stochastic process contaminated with electronic noise to a fractional Brownian motion with a Hurst exponent H = 5/6 as the sampling time increases. Besides, we are able to quantify, from the estimated entropy, the amount of electronic noise as a function of the turbulence strength. We have also demonstrated that these experimental observations are in very good agreement with numerical simulations of noisy fractional Brownian motions with a well-defined crossover between two different scaling regimes.

cond-mat.stat-mech↗

Discriminating image textures with the multiscale two-dimensional complexity-entropy causality plane

The aim of this paper is to further explore the usefulness of the two-dimensional complexity-entropy causality plane as a texture image descriptor. A multiscale generalization is introduced in order to distinguish between different roughness features of images at small and large spatial scales. Numerically generated two-dimensional structures are initially considered for illustrating basic concepts in a controlled framework. Then, more realistic situations are studied. Obtained results allow us to confirm that intrinsic spatial correlations of images are successfully unveiled by implementing this multiscale symbolic information-theory approach. Consequently, we conclude that the proposed representation space is a versatile and practical tool for identifying, characterizing and discriminating image textures.

physics.data-an↗

Efficiency and credit ratings: a permutation-information-theory analysis

The role of credit rating agencies has been under severe scrutiny after the subprime crisis. In this paper we explore the relationship between credit ratings and informational efficiency of a sample of thirty nine corporate bonds of US oil and energy companies from April 2008 to November 2012. For that purpose, we use a powerful statistical tool relatively new in the financial literature: the complexity-entropy causality plane. This representation space allows to graphically classify the different bonds according to their degree of informational efficiency. We find that this classification agrees with the credit ratings assigned by Moody's. Particularly, we detect the formation of two clusters, that correspond to the global categories of investment and speculative grades. Regarding to the latter cluster, two subgroups reflect distinct levels of efficiency. Additionally, we also find an intriguing absence of correlation between informational efficiency and firm characteristics. This allows us to conclude that the proposed permutation-information-theory approach provides an alternative practical way to justify bond classification.

q-fin.ST↗

Turbulence-induced persistence in laser beam wandering

We have experimentally confirmed the presence of long-memory correlations in the wandering of a thin Gaussian laser beam over a screen after propagating through a turbulent medium. A laboratory-controlled experiment was conducted in which coordinate fluctuations of the laser beam were recorded at a sufficiently high sampling rate for a wide range of turbulent conditions. Horizontal and vertical displacements of the laser beam centroid were subsequently analyzed by implementing detrended fluctuation analysis. This is a very well-known and widely used methodology to unveil memory effects from time series. Results obtained from this experimental analysis allow us to confirm that both coordinates behave as highly persistent signals for strong turbulent intensities. This finding is relevant for a better comprehension and modeling of the turbulence effects in free-space optical communication systems and other applications related to propagation of optical signals in the atmosphere.

physics.optics↗

Experimental confirmation of long-memory correlations in star-wander data

In this letter we have analyzed the temporal correlations of the angle-of-arrival fluctuations of stellar images. Experimentally measured data were carefully examined by implementing multifractal detrended fluctuation analysis. This algorithm is able to discriminate the presence of fractal and multifractal structures in recorded time sequences. We have confirmed that turbulence-degraded stellar wavefronts are compatible with a long-memory correlated monofractal process. This experimental result is quite significant for the accurate comprehension and modeling of the atmospheric turbulence effects on the stellar images. It can also be of great utility within the adaptive optics field.

physics.ao-ph↗

Characterization of laser propagation through turbulent media by quantifiers based on the wavelet transform: dynamic study

We analyze, within the wavelet theory framework, the wandering over a screen of the centroid of a laser beam after it has propagated through a time-changing laboratory-generated turbulence. Following a previous work (Fractals 12 (2004) 223) two quantifiers are used, the Hurst parameter, $H$, and the Normalized Total Wavelet Entropy, $\text{NTWS}$. The temporal evolution of both quantifiers, obtained from the laser spot data stream is studied and compared. This allows us to extract information of the stochastic process associated to the turbulence dynamics.

physics.ao-ph↗

Fractal Dimension of the Cantor Moire Structures

In a recently published paper (J. of Modern Optics 50 (9) (2003) 1477-1486) a qualitative analysis of the moire effect observed by superposing two grids containing Cantor fractal structures was presented. It was shown that the moire effect is sensible to variations in the order of growth, dimension and lacunarity of the Cantor fractal. It was also verified that self-similarity of the original fractal is inherited by the moire pattern. In this work it is shown that these Cantor moire structures are also fractals and the fractal dimension associated with them is theoretically determined and experimentally measured attending the size of rhombuses in the different orders of growth.

physics.optics↗