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Lukas Meub

Publications and source records attributed to Lukas Meub.

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LLM-Agent Interactions on Markets with Information Asymmetries

As AI agents increasingly act on behalf of human stakeholders in economic settings, understanding their behavior in complex market environments becomes critical. This article examines how Large Language Models coordinate on markets that are characterized by information asymmetries and in which providers of services have incentives to exploit that asymmetry for their own economic gain. To that end, we conduct simulations with GPT-5.1 agents in credence goods markets, manipulating the institutional framework (free market, verifiability, liability), LLM agent's social preferences (default, self-interested, inequity-averse, efficiency-loving), and reputation mechanisms across one-shot and repeated 16-round interactions. In one-shot settings, LLM agents largely fail to establish cooperation, with markets breaking down except under liability rules or when experts have efficiency-loving preferences. Repeated interactions solve consumer participation through competitive price reduction, but expert fraud remains entrenched absent explicit other-regarding preferences. LLM consumers focus narrowly on price levels rather than understanding strategic incentives embedded in markups, making them vulnerable to exploitation. Compared to human experiments, LLM markets exhibit substantially higher consumer participation but much greater market concentration, lower prices, and more polarized fraud patterns. The effect of institutions like verifiability and reputation is also much more ambiguous. Surplus shifts dramatically toward consumers under social-preference objectives. These findings suggest that institutional design for AI agent markets requires fundamentally different approaches than those effective for human actors, with social preference alignment emerging as the primary determinant of market efficiency.

econ.GN

Reputation-Driven Adoption and Avoidance of Algorithmic Decision Aids in Credence Goods Markets

In credence goods markets such as health care or repair services, consumers rely on experts with superior information to adequately diagnose and treat them. Experts, however, are constrained in their diagnostic abilities, which hurts market efficiency and consumer welfare. Technological breakthroughs that substitute or complement expert judgments have the potential to alleviate consumer mistreatment. This article studies how competitive experts adopt novel diagnostic technologies when skills are heterogeneously distributed and obfuscated to consumers. We differentiate between novel technologies that increase expert abilities, and algorithmic decision aids that complement expert judgments, but do not affect an expert's personal diagnostic precision. When consumers build up beliefs about an expert's type through repeated interactions, we show that high-ability experts may strategically forego the decision aid in order to escape a pooling equilibrium by differentiating themselves from low-ability experts. Without future visits, signaling concerns cause all experts to randomize their investment choice, leading to under-utilization from low-ability experts and over-utilization from high-ability experts. Results from two online experiments support our hypotheses. High-ability experts are significantly less likely than low-ability experts to invests into an algorithmic decision aid if reputation building is possible. Otherwise, there is no difference, and experts who believe that consumers play a signaling game randomize their investment choice.

econ.GN