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Luxi Zhang

Publications and source records attributed to Luxi Zhang.

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Intellectual Up-streams of Percentage Scale ($ps$) and Percentage Coefficient ($b_p$) -- Effect Size Analysis (Theory Paper 2)

Percentage thinking, i.e., assessing quantities as parts per hundred, spread from Roman tax ledgers to modern algorithms. Building on Simon Stevin's La Thiende (1585) and the 19th-century metrication that institutionalized base-10 measurement (Cajori, 1925), this article traces how base-10 normalization, especially the 0-1 percentage scale, became a shared language for human and machine understanding. We retrace 1980s efforts at UW-Madison and UNC Chapel Hill to "percentize" variables to make regression coefficients interpretable, and relate these experiments to established indices, notably the Pearson (1895) correlation r (range -1 to 1) and the coefficient of determination r-squared (Wright, 1920). We also revisit Cohen et al.'s (1999) percent of maximum possible (POMP) metric. The lineage of 0-100 and 0-1 scales includes Roman fiscal practice, early American grading at Yale and Harvard, and recurring analyses of percent (0-100) and percentage (0-1, or -1 to 1) scales that repeatedly reinvent the same indices (Durm, 1993; Schneider and Hutt, 2014). In data mining and machine learning, min-max normalization maps any feature to [0, 1] (i.e., 0-100%), equalizing scale ranges and implied units across percentized variables, which improves comparability of predictors. Under the percentage theory of measurement indices, equality of units is the necessary and sufficient condition for comparing indices (Cohen et al., 1999; Zhao et al., 2024; Zhao and Zhang, 2014). Seen this way, the successes of machine learning and artificial intelligence over the past half century constitute large-scale evidence for the comparability of percentage-based indices, foremost the percentage coefficient (bp).

stat.ME

Total-effect Test May Erroneously Reject So-called "Full" or "Complete" Mediation

The procedure for establishing mediation, i.e., determining that an independent variable X affects a dependent variable Y through some mediator M, has been under debate. The classic causal steps require that a "total effect" be significant, now also known as statistically acknowledged. It has been shown that the total-effect test can erroneously reject competitive mediation and is superfluous for establishing complementary mediation. Little is known about the last type, indirect-only mediation, aka "full" or "complete" mediation, in which the indirect (ab) path passes the statistical partition test while the direct-and-remainder (d) path fails. This study 1) provides proof that the total-effect test can erroneously reject indirect-only mediation, including both sub-types, assuming least square estimation (LSE) F-test or Sobel test; 2) provides a simulation to duplicate the mathematical proofs and extend the conclusion to LAD-Z test; 3) provides two real-data examples, one for each sub-type, to illustrate the mathematical conclusion; 4) in view of the mathematical findings, proposes to revisit concepts, theories, and techniques of mediation analysis and other causal dissection analyses, and showcase a more comprehensive alternative, process-and-product analysis (PAPA).

econ.EM