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M M Manjurul Islam

Publications and source records attributed to M M Manjurul Islam.

3 recordsLinked to original sources

A Differentially Private Federated Proximal Optimization Framework for Customer Churn Prediction in Heterogeneous Federated Telecom Networks

Customer churn is one of the major issues in the telecommunication industry. To predict customer churn, conventional centralized machine learning approaches have been widely used. This centralized approach requires customer data to be stored in a central repository, which raises privacy concerns and may violate data protection regulations. Federated learning addresses this problem by allowing multiple telecom operators to collaboratively train a global model without transferring their raw customer data. However, real-world customer data are often heterogeneous (non-IID), which may negatively affect the performance of standard federated learning. Trained models can also suffer from privacy attacks. To address those issues, we propose a Differentially Private (DP) based Federated Proximal optimization (FedProx) framework. All experiments were performed on two publicly available telecom churn datasets. We trained Federated Averaging (FedAvg), DP-FedAvg, FedProx, and the proposed DP-FedProx framework. For baseline comparison, we also used several centralized and local models. To evaluate the models, we employed seven widely used evaluation metrics. The experimental results show that the FedProx based models consistently outperform the FedAvg based models. Compared with the best centralized model, the proposed DP-FedProx framework achieves competitive prediction performance with only a small reduction in accuracy while providing privacy guarantees. To explain our model, we conducted SHAP analysis which shows that DP-FedProx method priorities revenue group features. These results indicate that the proposed DP-FedProx framework provides a practical balance between prediction performance and data privacy protection.

cs.LG↗

Dynamic Multi-Criteria Bottleneck Severity Index (DMBSI) for Semiconductor Wafer Manufacturing: A Genetically Optimised Framework for Reentrant Production Systems

Wafer fabrication exhibits unique characteristics, including reentrant process flows, variable bottlenecks, and highly variable process conditions. In order to identify the most severe bottleneck at each moment in time for semiconductor wafer fabrication, this research presents the Dynamic Multi-Criteria Bottleneck Severity Index (DMBSI), a new, data-driven methodology for analysing multiple diagnostic signals of cycle time to changes in process parameters, and the impact of reworks on cycle time in order to generate an interpretable, unified measure of bottleneck severity. The experimental validation of DMBSI was conducted using Manufacturing Execution System (MES) logs collected from 22 wafer production lots at a commercial 200 mm wafer fabrication line operated by Seagate Technology. Using 5-fold cross-validation, the GA-optimised DMBSI achieves a Pearson correlation of r = 0.80 with observed cycle-time contributions, representing an 8.1% improvement over the expert heuristic baseline (r = 0.74) and substantially outperforming the Theory of Constraints (TOC; r = 0.60) and Value Stream Mapping (VSM; r = -0.30). Furthermore, the unique time-windowed component of DMBSI enabled the identification of temporal bottleneck migration patterns, which shifted from the dominant constraints associated with dielectric deposition steps in the early production windows to those associated with over- and under-inspection in the later production windows. The integrated what-if counterfactual analysis demonstrated that a 50% reduction in waiting time at the top-ranked bottleneck step would reduce the mean cycle time by 7.2%, with the top five bottleneck steps offering a combined potential reduction of approximately 19%.

eess.SP↗

Conformal Signal Temporal Logic for Robust Reinforcement Learning Control: A Case Study

We investigate how formal temporal logic specifications can enhance the safety and robustness of reinforcement learning (RL) control in aerospace applications. Using the open source AeroBench F-16 simulation benchmark, we train a Proximal Policy Optimization (PPO) agent to regulate engine throttle and track commanded airspeed. The control objective is encoded as a Signal Temporal Logic (STL) requirement to maintain airspeed within a prescribed band during the final seconds of each maneuver. To enforce this specification at run time, we introduce a conformal STL shield that filters the RL agent's actions using online conformal prediction. We compare three settings: (i) PPO baseline, (ii) PPO with a classical rule-based STL shield, and (iii) PPO with the proposed conformal shield, under both nominal conditions and a severe stress scenario involving aerodynamic model mismatch, actuator rate limits, measurement noise, and mid-episode setpoint jumps. Experiments show that the conformal shield preserves STL satisfaction while maintaining near baseline performance and providing stronger robustness guarantees than the classical shield. These results demonstrate that combining formal specification monitoring with data driven RL control can substantially improve the reliability of autonomous flight control in challenging environments.

cs.LG↗