arXiv subjects

M. C. Gallego

Publications and source records attributed to M. C. Gallego.

At least 19 recordsLinked to original sources

arXiv2025

Revisiting Christoph Scheiner's Sunspot Records: a New Perspective on Solar Activity of the Early Telescopic Era

Christoph Scheiner was one of the most outstanding astronomers in the history of the sunspot observations. His book, Rosa Ursina, is the reference work regarding the study of the earliest sunspot records. The sunspot observations compiled by Scheiner in Rosa Ursina and Prodomus, including records made by other observers, forms one of the main references of the observations known for that period; particularly around the 1620s. Thus, his work is crucial to determine the solar activity level of the first solar cycles of the telescopic era. The number of sunspot groups recorded in Scheiner's documentary sources has been included in the existing sunspot group number databases. However, we have detected significant errors in the number of groups currently assigned to Scheiner's records. In this work, we reanalyze the information in Scheiner's source documents. Consequently, the standard 11-yr solar cycle shape for the second solar cycle of the telescopic era, which is not clear in previous studies, now becomes evident. In addition, the highest daily number of groups recorded during this cycle (8 groups) is 20% less than the one included in the existing sunspot group number databases. Using the hypergeometrical probability distribution, we find that solar minima in 2008-2009 and 2018-2019 are comparable to the most probable solar activity level of the minimum around 1632. In particular, the estimated lower limit for the solar activity in 1632 is even comparable with the solar activity level in 2008 and 2018.

astro-ph.SR↗

arXiv2025

Strong evidence of low levels of solar activity during the Maunder Minimum

The Maunder Minimum (MM) was a period of prolonged solar activity minimum between 1645 and 1715. Several works have identified a significant number of problematic spotless days in the MM included in existing databases. We have found a list of exact spotless (in the second half of 1709) and spot days (January and August 1709) provided by Johann Heinrich Muller. We computed the most probable value and upper/lower limits of the active day fraction (ADF) from Muller's data using the hypergeometrical probability distribution. Our sample is not strictly random because Muller recorded observations in consecutive days when he observed sunspots. Therefore, our result represents an upper threshold of solar activity for 1709. We compared this result with annual values of the ADF calculated for the Dalton Minimum and the most recent solar cycles. We concluded that it was less active than most years both in the Dalton Minimum and in the most recent solar cycles. Therefore, the solar activity level estimated in this work for 1709 represents robust evidence of low solar activity levels in the MM.

astro-ph.SR↗

arXiv2024

A limit for the values of the Dst geomagnetic index

The study of the extreme weather space events is important for a technological dependent society. Extreme Value Theory could be decisive to characterize those extreme events in order to have the knowledge to make decisions in technological, economic and social matters, in all fields with possible impacts. In this work, the hourly values of the Dst geomagnetic index has been studied for the period 1957-2014 using the peaks-over-threshold technique. The shape parameter obtained from the fit of the generalized Pareto distribution to the extreme values of the |Dst| index leads to a negative value implying an upper bound for this time series. This result is relevant, because the estimation of this limit for the extreme values lead to 850 nT as the highest expected value for this geomagnetic index. Thus, from the previous characterization of the Carrington geomagnetic storm and our results, it could be considered the worst case scenario.

physics.space-ph↗

arXiv2021

Sunspot Records by Antonio Colla just after the Dalton Minimum

Antonio Colla was a meteorologist and astronomer who made sunspot observations at the Meteorological Observatory of the Parma University (Italy). He carried out his sunspot records from 1830 to 1843, just after the Dalton Minimum. We have recovered 71 observation days for this observer. Unfortunately, many of these records are qualitative and we could only obtain the number of sunspot groups and/or single sunspots from 25 observations. However, we highlight the importance of these records because Colla is not included in the sunspot group database as an observer and, therefore, neither his sunspot observations. According to the number of groups, the sunspot observations made by Colla are similar as several observers of his time. For common observation day, only Stark significantly recorded more groups than Colla. Moreover, we have calculated the sunspot area and positions from Colla's sunspot drawings concluding that both areas and positions recorded by this observer seem unreal. Therefore, Colla's drawings can be interpreted such as sketches including reliable information on the number of groups but the information on sunspot areas and positions should not be used for scientific purposes.

astro-ph.SR↗

arXiv2021

Revisiting the Amplitude of Solar Cycle 9: The Case of Sunspot Observations by W.C. Bond

William Cranch Bond, director of the Harvard College Observatory in mid-19th century, carried out detailed sunspot observations during the period 1847-1849. We highlight Bond was the observer with the highest daily number of sunspot groups observed in Solar Cycle 9 recording 18 groups on 26 December 1848 according to the current sunspot group database. However, we have detected significant mistakes in these counts due to the use of sunspot position tables instead of solar drawings. Therefore, we have revisited the sunspot observations made by Bond, establishing a new group counting. Our new counts of the sunspot groups from Bond's drawings indicate that solar activity was previously overestimated. Moreover, after this new counting, Bond would not be the astronomer who recorded the highest daily group number for Solar Cycle 9 but Schmidt with 16 groups on 14 February 1849. We have also indicated the new highest annual group numbers recorded by any observer for the period 1847-1849 in order to correct those values applied in the "brightest star" method, which is used as a rough indicator of the solar activity level. Furthermore, a comparison between Bond's sunspot records and the sunspot observations made by Schwabe and Wolf is shown. We conclude that the statistics of Wolf and Bond are similar regarding to the group count. Additionally, Schwabe was able to observe smaller groups than Bond.

astro-ph.SR↗

arXiv2021

Soonspot: Software to Determine Areas and Sunspot Positions

A new software (Soonspot) for the determination of the heliographic coordinates and areas of sunspots from solar images is presented. This program is very user-friendly and the accuracy of its results has been checked by using solar images provided by the Debrecen Photoheliographic Data (DPD). Due to its applicability in the studies of historical solar observations, the program has been used to analyze the solar drawings carried out by Hevelius in the 17th century.

astro-ph.SR↗

arXiv2021

Number of Sunspot Groups from the Galileo-Scheiner controversy revisited

We revise the sunspot observations made by Galileo Galilei and Christoph Scheiner in the context of their controversy on the nature of sunspots. Their sunspot records not included in the current sunspot group database, used as a basis to calculate the sunspot group number, are analyzed. Within the documentary sources consulted in this work, we can highlight the sunspot observations by Scheiner included in the letters sent under the pseudonym Apelles to Marcus Welser and the first sunspot observations made by Galileo, which can be consulted in Le opere di Galileo Galilei. These sunspot observations would extend the temporal coverage for these two observers and filling some gaps in the current group database in the earliest period where the data available is sparse. Moreover, we have detected changes in the quality of the sunspot drawings made by Galileo and Scheiner in their observation series affecting to the number of groups recorded by the two observers. We also compare these records with sunspot observations made by other astronomers of that time. According to this comparison and regarding the same observation days, Scheiner was generally the astronomer who reported more sunspot groups while Harriot, Cigoli, and Galileo recorded a similar number of groups. We conclude these differences are mainly because of the observational method used by the observers.

astro-ph.SR↗

arXiv2021

Sunspot observations by Charles Malapert during the period 1618-1626: a key dataset to understand solar activity before the Maunder minimum

A revision is presented of the sunspot observations made by Charles Malapert from 1618 to 1626, studying several documentary sources that include those observations. The revised accounting of the group numbers recorded by Malapert for that period shows new information unavailable in the current sunspot group database. The average solar activity level calculated from these revised records of Malapert is by almost one third greater than that calculated from his records included in the current group database. Comparison of the sunspot observations made by Malapert and by other astronomers of that time with regard to the number of recorded groups and sunspot positions on the solar disk shows good agreement. Malapert reported that he only recorded one sunspot group in each sunspot drawing presented in Austriaca Sidera Heliocyclia (the documentary source which includes most of the sunspot records made by Malapert), although he sometimes observed several groups. Therefore, the sunspot counts obtained in this present work on Malapert's sunspot observations represents the lower limit of the solar activity level corresponding to those records.

astro-ph.SR↗

arXiv2021

Sunspot characteristics at the onset of the Maunder Minimum based on the observations of Hevelius

An analysis of the sunspot observations made by Hevelius during 1642-1645 is presented. These records are the only systematic sunspot observations just before the Maunder Minimum. We have studied different phenomena meticulously recorded by Hevelius after translating the original Latin texts. We re-evaluate the observations of sunspot groups by Hevelius during this period and obtain an average value 7% greater than that calculated from his observations given in the current group database. Furthermore, the average of the active day fraction obtained in this work from Hevelius' records previous to the Maunder Minimum is significantly greater than the solar activity level obtained from Hevelius' sunspot observations made during the Maunder Minimum (70% vs. 30%). We also present the butterfly diagram obtained from the sunspot positions recorded by Hevelius for the period 1642-1645. It can be seen that no hemispheric asymmetry exists during this interval, in contrast with the Maunder Minimum. Hevelius noted a ~3-month period that appeared to lack sunspots in early 1645 that gave the first hint of the impending Maunder Minimum. Recent studies claim that the Maunder Minimum was not a grand minimum period speculating that astronomers of that time, due to the Aristotelian ideas, did not record all sunspots that they observed, producing thus an underestimation of the solar activity level. However, we show the good quality of the sunspot records made by Hevelius indicates that his reports of sunspots were true to the observations.

astro-ph.SR↗

arXiv2021

Sunspot Catalogue of the Observatory of the University of Coimbra (1929-1941)

A sunspot catalogue was published by the Coimbra Astronomical Observatory (Portugal), now named Geophysical and Astronomical Observatory of the University of Coimbra, for the period 1929-1941. We digitalized data included in that catalogue and provide a machine-readable version. We show the reconstructions for the (total and hemispheric) sunspot number index and sunspot area according to this catalogue, comparing it with the sunspot number index (version 2) and Balmaceda sunspot area series (Balmaceda et al., J. Geophys. Res. 114, A07104, 2009). Moreover, we also compared the Coimbra catalogue with records made at the Royal Greenwich Observatory. The results demonstrate that the historical catalogue compiled by the Coimbra Astronomical Observatory contain reliable sunspot data and therefore can be considered for studies about solar activity.

astro-ph.SR↗

arXiv2020

On the use of naked-eye sunspot observations during the Maunder Minimum

Naked-eye sunspot observations (NESO, hereafter) have been recorded for last two millennia, approximately. This kind of records were made around the world, mainly in Asian civilizations, and they are compiled in several catalogues. In this work, we analyze solar activity in days of the 19th century when NESO were recorded. We found that only more than five sunspot groups were recorded in 39 % of days corresponding to these NESO events. Furthermore, regarding the largest groups observed in days when NESO were reported, we show the uncorrected areas of these groups were below 200 millionths of solar disc (msd hereafter) in 3.2 % of total cases while it is 12.9 % for areas between 200 and 499 msd. Thus, NESO records do not imply high solar activity and big sunspot groups necessarily. Therefore, these results contradict the interpretations of recent works that, using the same NESO set, suggest the solar activity level during the Maunder Minimum is still an open question. NESO records support the Maunder Minimum as a very low solar activity period.

astro-ph.SR↗

arXiv2018

A Sunspot Catalog for the Period 1952-1986 from Observations Made at the Madrid Astronomical Observatory

Sunspot catalogs are very useful for studying the solar activity of the recent past. In this context, a catalog covering more than three solar cycles made by the astronomers of the Madrid Astronomical Observatory in Spain (nowadays, the National Astronomical Observatory) from 1952 until 1986 has been recovered. Moreover, a machine-readable version of this catalog has been made available. We have recovered abundant metadata and studied the reliability of this dataset by comparing it with other sunspot catalogs.

astro-ph.SR↗

arXiv2018

The umbra-penumbra area ratio of sunspots during the Maunder Minimum

The Maunder Minimum (MM) was a prolonged period of low solar activity that occurred between 1645 and 1715. The true level of solar activity corresponding to this epoch is still a matter of debate. In order to compare solar activity during the MM with that of other epochs, we have evaluated the umbra-penumbra area ratio (U/P hereafter) during the MM. Thus, we have analyzed 196 sunspot drawings including 48 different sunspots observed during the period 1660-1709. The mode value of the ratio obtained from the occurrence frequency distribution lies between 0.15 and 0.25. Furthermore, the median and mean values are equal to 0.24 \pm 0.07 and 0.27 \pm 0.08 with a sigma clipping, respectively. These results are consistent with recent research using more modern data. Higher U/P values mean faster sunspot decay rates. From our results, the almost absence of sunspots during the Maunder Minimum could not be explained by changes in the U/P since the values of the ratio obtained in this work are similar to values found for other epochs.

astro-ph.SR↗

arXiv2018

Sunspot Observations Made by Hallaschka during the Dalton Minimum

We present and analyse the sunspot observations performed by Franz I. C. Hallaschka in 1814 and 1816. These solar observations were carried out during the so-called Dalton minimum, around the maximum phase of the Solar Cycle 6. These records are very valuable because they allow us to complete observational gaps in the collection of sunspot group numbers, improving its coverage for this epoch. We have analysed and compared the observations made by Hallaschka with the records made by other contemporary observers. Unfortunately, the analysis of the sunspot areas and positions showed that they are too inaccurate for scientific use. But, we conclude that sunspot counts made by Hallaschka are similar to those made by other astronomers of that time. The observations by Hallaschka confirm a low level of the solar activity during the Dalton minimum.

astro-ph.SR↗

arXiv2018

A Curious History of Sunspot Penumbrae: An Update

The ratio of penumbral to umbral area of sunspots is an important topic for solar and geophysical studies. Hathaway (Solar Physics, 286, 347, 2013) found a curious behaviour in this parameter for small sunspot groups (areas smaller than 100 millionths of solar hemisphere, msh) using records from Royal Greenwich Observatory (RGO). Hathaway showed that penumbra-umbra ratio decreased smoothly from more than 7 in 1905 to lower than 3 by 1930 and then increased to almost 8 in 1961. Thus, Hathaway proposed the existence of a secular variation in the penumbra-umbra area ratio. In order to confirm that secular variation, we employ data of the sunspot catalogue published by the Coimbra Astronomical Observatory (COI) for the period 1929-1941. Our results disagree with the penumbra-umbra ratio found by Hathaway for that period. However, the behaviour of this ratio for large (areas greater or equal than 100 msh) and small groups registered in COI during 1929-1941 is similar to data available from RGO for the periods 1874-1914 and 1950-1976. Nevertheless, while the average values and time evolution of the ratio in large groups is similar to the ratio for small groups according to Coimbra data (1929-1941) it is not analogous for RGO data for the same period. We also found that the behaviour of the penumbra-umbra area ratio for smaller groups in both observatories is significantly different. The main difference between the area measurements made in Coimbra and RGO is associated with the umbra measurements. We would like to stress that the two observatories used different methods of observation and while in COI both methodology and instruments did not change during the study period, some changes were carried out in RGO that could have affected measurements of umbra and penumbra. These facts illustrate the importance of the careful recovery of past solar data.

astro-ph.SR↗

arXiv2018

Could a Hexagonal Sunspot Have Been Observed During the Maunder Minimum?

The Maunder Minimum was the period between 1645 and 1715 whose main characteristic was abnormally low and prolonged solar activity. However, some authors have doubted this low level of solar activity during that period by questioning the accuracy and objectivity of the observers. This work presents a particular case of a sunspot observed during the Maunder Minimum with an unusual shape of its umbra and penumbra: a hexagon. This sunspot was observed by Cassini in November 1676, just at the core of the Maunder Minimum. This historical observation is compared with a twin case that occurred recently in May 2016. The conclusion reached is that Cassini's record is another example of the good quality observations made during the Maunder Minimum, showing the meticulousness of the astronomers of that epoch. This sunspot observation made by Cassini does not support the conclusions of Zolotova and Ponyavin (Astrophys. J. 800, 42, 2015) that professional astronomers in the 17th century only registered round sunspots. Finally, a discussion is given of the importance of this kind of unusual sunspot record for a better assessment of the true level of solar activity in the Maunder Minimum.

astro-ph.SR↗

arXiv2018

Extreme value theory applied to the millennial sunspot number series

In this work, we use two decadal sunspot number series reconstructed from cosmogenic radionuclide data (14C in tree trunks, SN-14C and 10Be in polar ice, SN-10Be) and the Extreme Value Theory to study variability of solar activity during the last 9 millennia. The peaks-over-threshold technique was used to compute, in particular, the shape parameter of the generalized Pareto distribution for different thresholds. Its negative value implies an upper bound of the extreme SN-10Be and SN-14C time series. The return level for 1000 and 10000 years were estimated leading to values lower than the maximum observed values, expected for the 1000-year, but not for the 10000-year return levels, for both series. A comparison of these results with those obtained using the observed sunspot numbers from telescopic observations during the last four centuries suggest that the main characteristics of solar activity have already been recorded in the telescopic period (from 1610 to nowadays) which covers the full range of solar variability from a Grand minimum to a Grand maximum.

astro-ph.SR↗

arXiv2017

Analysing the spotless days as predictors of the solar activity from the new sunspot number

The use of the spotless days to predict the future solar activity is here revised based on the new version of the sunspot number index with a 24-month filter. Data from Solar Cycle (SC) 10 are considered because from this solar cycle the temporal coverage of the records is 100 %. The interrelationships of the timing characteristics of spotless days and their comparison with sunspot cycle parameters are explored, in some cases finding very strong correlations. Such is the case for the relationship between the minimum time between spotless days either side of a given solar maximum and the maximum time between spotless days either side in the previous solar minimum, with r = -0.91 and a p-value < 0.001. However, the predictions for SC 24 or 23 made by other authors in previous works using the spotless days as a predictor of solar activity are not good since it has not been fulfilled. Although there seems to be a pattern of strong correlation for some relationships between the parameters studied, prediction of future solar cycles from these parameters defined as functions of the spotless days should be made with caution because sometimes the estimated values are far from the observed ones. Finally, SC 23 seems to show a mode change, a break respect to the behavior of their previous solar cycles and more similar to SC 10-15.

astro-ph.SR↗