arXiv subjects

M. E. J. Newman

Publications and source records attributed to M. E. J. Newman.

At least 37 records · Page 2Linked to original sources

arXiv2021

Bayesian inference of network structure from unreliable data

Most empirical studies of complex networks do not return direct, error-free measurements of network structure. Instead, they typically rely on indirect measurements that are often error-prone and unreliable. A fundamental problem in empirical network science is how to make the best possible estimates of network structure given such unreliable data. In this paper we describe a fully Bayesian method for reconstructing networks from observational data in any format, even when the data contain substantial measurement error and when the nature and magnitude of that error is unknown. The method is introduced through pedagogical case studies using real-world example networks, and specifically tailored to allow straightforward, computationally efficient implementation with a minimum of technical input. Computer code implementing the method is publicly available.

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arXiv2020

The friendship paradox in real and model networks

The friendship paradox is the observation that the degrees of the neighbors of a node in any network will, on average, be greater than the degree of the node itself. In common parlance, your friends have more friends than you do. In this paper we develop the mathematical theory of the friendship paradox, both in general as well as for specific model networks, focusing not only on average behavior but also on variation about the average and using generating function methods to calculate full distributions of quantities of interest. We compare the predictions of our theory with measurements on a large number of real-world network data sets and find remarkably good agreement. We also develop equivalent theory for the generalized friendship paradox, which compares characteristics of nodes other than degree to those of their neighbors.

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arXiv2019

Consistency of community structure in complex networks

The most widely used techniques for community detection in networks, including methods based on modularity, statistical inference, and information theoretic arguments, all work by optimizing objective functions that measure the quality of network partitions. There is a good case to be made, however, that one should not look solely at the single optimal community structure under such an objective function, but rather at a selection of high-scoring structures. If one does this one typically finds that the resulting structures show considerable variation, and this has been taken as evidence that these community detection methods are unreliable, since they do not appear to give consistent answers. Here we argue that, upon closer inspection, the structures found are in fact consistent in a certain way. Specifically, we show that they can all be assembled from a set of underlying "building blocks", groups of network nodes that are usually found together in the same community. Different community structures correspond to different arrangements of blocks, but the blocks themselves are largely invariant. We propose an information theoretic method for discovering the building blocks in specific networks and demonstrate it with several example applications. We conclude that traditional community detection is not the failure some have suggested it is, and that in fact it gives a significant amount of insight into network structure, although perhaps not in exactly the way previously imagined.

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arXiv2019

Improved mutual information measure for classification and community detection

The information theoretic quantity known as mutual information finds wide use in classification and community detection analyses to compare two classifications of the same set of objects into groups. In the context of classification algorithms, for instance, it is often used to compare discovered classes to known ground truth and hence to quantify algorithm performance. Here we argue that the standard mutual information, as commonly defined, omits a crucial term which can become large under real-world conditions, producing results that can be substantially in error. We demonstrate how to correct this error and define a mutual information that works in all cases. We discuss practical implementation of the new measure and give some example applications.

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arXiv2019

Message passing on networks with loops

In this paper we offer a solution to a long-standing problem in the study of networks. Message passing is a fundamental technique for calculations on networks and graphs. The first versions of the method appeared in the 1930s and over the decades it has been applied to a wide range of foundational problems in mathematics, physics, computer science, statistics, and machine learning, including Bayesian inference, spin models, coloring, satisfiability, graph partitioning, network epidemiology, and the calculation of matrix eigenvalues. Despite its wide use, however, it has long been recognized that the method has a fundamental flaw: it only works on networks that are free of short loops. Loops introduce correlations that cause the method to give inaccurate answers at best, and to fail completely in the worst cases. Unfortunately, almost all real-world networks contain many short loops, which limits the usefulness of the message passing approach. In this paper we demonstrate how to rectify this shortcoming and create message passing methods that work on any network. We give two example applications, one to the percolation properties of networks and the other to the calculation of the spectra of sparse matrices.

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arXiv2019

Mixing patterns and individual differences in networks

We study mixing patterns in networks, meaning the propensity for nodes of different kinds to connect to one another. The phenomenon of assortative mixing, whereby nodes prefer to connect to others that are similar to themselves, has been widely studied, but here we go further and examine how and to what extent nodes that are otherwise similar can have different preferences. Many individuals in a friendship network, for instance, may prefer friends who are roughly the same age as themselves, but some may display a preference for older or younger friends. We introduce a network model that captures this behavior and a method for fitting it to empirical network data. We propose metrics to characterize the mean and variation of mixing patterns and show how to infer their values from the fitted model, either using maximum-likelihood estimates of model parameters or in a Bayesian framework that does not require fixing any parameters.

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arXiv2019

Structure of online dating markets in US cities

We study the structure of heterosexual dating markets in the United States through an analysis of the interactions of several million users of a large online dating web site, applying recently developed network analysis methods to the pattern of messages exchanged among users. Our analysis shows that the strongest driver of romantic interaction at the national level is simple geographic proximity, but at the local level other demographic factors come into play. We find that dating markets in each city are partitioned into submarkets along lines of age and ethnicity. Sex ratio varies widely between submarkets, with younger submarkets having more men and fewer women than older ones. There is also a noticeable tendency for minorities, especially women, to be younger than the average in older submarkets, and our analysis reveals how this kind of racial stratification arises through the messaging decisions of both men and women. Our study illustrates how network techniques applied to online interactions can reveal the aggregate effects of individual behavior on social structure.

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arXiv2019

Spectra of networks containing short loops

The spectrum of the adjacency matrix plays several important roles in the mathematical theory of networks and in network data analysis, for example in percolation theory, community detection, centrality measures, and the theory of dynamical systems on networks. A number of methods have been developed for the analytic computation of network spectra, but they typically assume that networks are locally tree-like, meaning that the local neighborhood of any node takes the form of a tree, free of short loops. Empirically observed networks, by contrast, often have many short loops. Here we develop an approach for calculating the spectra of networks with short loops using a message passing method. We give example applications to some previously studied classes of networks.

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arXiv2019

Spectra of random networks with arbitrary degrees

We derive a message passing method for computing the spectra of locally tree-like networks and an approximation to it that allows us to compute closed-form expressions or fast numerical approximates for the spectral density of random graphs with arbitrary node degrees -- the so-called configuration model. We find the latter approximation to work well for all but the sparsest of networks. We also derive bounds on the position of the band edges of the spectrum, which are important for identifying structural phase transitions in networks.

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arXiv2018

Estimating network structure from unreliable measurements

Most empirical studies of networks assume that the network data we are given represent a complete and accurate picture of the nodes and edges in the system of interest, but in real-world situations this is rarely the case. More often the data only specify the network structure imperfectly -- like data in essentially every other area of empirical science, network data are prone to measurement error and noise. At the same time, the data may be richer than simple network measurements, incorporating multiple measurements, weights, lengths or strengths of edges, node or edge labels, or annotations of various kinds. Here we develop a general method for making estimates of network structure and properties using any form of network data, simple or complex, when the data are unreliable, and give example applications to a selection of social and biological networks.

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arXiv2018

Balance in signed networks

We consider signed networks in which connections or edges can be either positive (friendship, trust, alliance) or negative (dislike, distrust, conflict). Early literature in graph theory theorized that such networks should display "structural balance," meaning that certain configurations of positive and negative edges are favored and others are disfavored. Here we propose two measures of balance in signed networks based on the established notions of weak and strong balance, and compare their performance on a range of tasks with each other and with previously proposed measures. In particular, we ask whether real-world signed networks are significantly balanced by these measures compared to an appropriate null model, finding that indeed they are, by all the measures studied. We also test our ability to predict unknown signs in otherwise known networks by maximizing balance. In a series of cross-validation tests we find that our measures are able to predict signs substantially better than chance.

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arXiv2018

Aspirational pursuit of mates in online dating markets

Romantic courtship is often described as taking place in a dating market where men and women compete for mates, but the detailed structure and dynamics of dating markets have historically been difficult to quantify for lack of suitable data. In recent years, however, the advent and vigorous growth of the online dating industry has provided a rich new source of information on mate pursuit. Here we present an empirical analysis of heterosexual dating markets in four large US cities using data from a popular, free online dating service. We show that competition for mates creates a pronounced hierarchy of desirability that correlates strongly with user demographics and is remarkably consistent across cities. We find that both men and women pursue partners who are on average about 25% more desirable than themselves by our measures and that they use different messaging strategies with partners of different desirability. We also find that the probability of receiving a response to an advance drops markedly with increasing difference in desirability between the pursuer and the pursued. Strategic behaviors can improve one's chances of attracting a more desirable mate, though the effects are modest.

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arXiv2018

Network structure from rich but noisy data

Driven by growing interest in the sciences, industry, and among the broader public, a large number of empirical studies have been conducted in recent years of the structure of networks ranging from the internet and the world wide web to biological networks and social networks. The data produced by these experiments are often rich and multimodal, yet at the same time they may contain substantial measurement error. In practice, this means that the true network structure can differ greatly from naive estimates made from the raw data, and hence that conclusions drawn from those naive estimates may be significantly in error. In this paper we describe a technique that circumvents this problem and allows us to make optimal estimates of the true structure of networks in the presence of both richly textured data and significant measurement uncertainty. We give example applications to two different social networks, one derived from face-to-face interactions and one from self-reported friendships.

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arXiv2017

Efficient method for estimating the number of communities in a network

While there exist a wide range of effective methods for community detection in networks, most of them require one to know in advance how many communities one is looking for. Here we present a method for estimating the number of communities in a network using a combination of Bayesian inference with a novel prior and an efficient Monte Carlo sampling scheme. We test the method extensively on both real and computer-generated networks, showing that it performs accurately and consistently, even in cases where groups are widely varying in size or structure.

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arXiv2016

Estimating the number of communities in a network

Community detection, the division of a network into dense subnetworks with only sparse connections between them, has been a topic of vigorous study in recent years. However, while there exist a range of powerful and flexible methods for dividing a network into a specified number of communities, it is an open question how to determine exactly how many communities one should use. Here we describe a mathematically principled approach for finding the number of communities in a network using a maximum-likelihood method. We demonstrate the approach on a range of real-world examples with known community structure, finding that it is able to determine the number of communities correctly in every case.

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arXiv2016

Random graph models for dynamic networks

We propose generalizations of a number of standard network models, including the classic random graph, the configuration model, and the stochastic block model, to the case of time-varying networks. We assume that the presence and absence of edges are governed by continuous-time Markov processes with rate parameters that can depend on properties of the nodes. In addition to computing equilibrium properties of these models, we demonstrate their use in data analysis and statistical inference, giving efficient algorithms for fitting them to observed network data. This allows us, for instance, to estimate the time constants of network evolution or infer community structure from temporal network data using cues embedded both in the probabilities over time that node pairs are connected by edges and in the characteristic dynamics of edge appearance and disappearance. We illustrate our methods with a selection of applications, both to computer-generated test networks and real-world examples.

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arXiv2016

Community detection in networks: Modularity optimization and maximum likelihood are equivalent

We demonstrate an exact equivalence between two widely used methods of community detection in networks, the method of modularity maximization in its generalized form which incorporates a resolution parameter controlling the size of the communities discovered, and the method of maximum likelihood applied to the special case of the stochastic block model known as the planted partition model, in which all communities in a network are assumed to have statistically similar properties. Among other things, this equivalence provides a mathematically principled derivation of the modularity function, clarifies the conditions and assumptions of its use, and gives an explicit formula for the optimal value of the resolution parameter.

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arXiv2015

Community detection in networks with unequal groups

Recently, a phase transition has been discovered in the network community detection problem below which no algorithm can tell which nodes belong to which communities with success any better than a random guess. This result has, however, so far been limited to the case where the communities have the same size or the same average degree. Here we consider the case where the sizes or average degrees are different. This asymmetry allows us to assign nodes to communities with better-than- random success by examining their local neighborhoods. Using the cavity method, we show that this removes the detectability transition completely for networks with four groups or fewer, while for more than four groups the transition persists up to a critical amount of asymmetry but not beyond. The critical point in the latter case coincides with the point at which local information percolates, causing a global transition from a less-accurate solution to a more-accurate one.

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