SearcharxivSearch

arXiv subjects

M. Makai

Publications and source records attributed to M. Makai.

3 recordsLinked to original sources

'Entanglement' -- A new dynamic metric to measure team flow

We introduce "entanglement", a novel metric to measure how synchronized communication between team members is. This measure calculates the Euclidean distance among team members' social network metrics timeseries. We validate the metric with four case studies. The first case study uses entanglement of 11 medical innovation teams to predict team performance and learning behavior. The second case looks at the e-mail communication of 113 senior executives of an international services firm, predicting employee turnover through lack of entanglement of an employee. The third case analyzes the individual employee performance of 81 managers. The fourth case study predicts performance of 13 customer-dedicated teams at a big international company by comparing entanglement in the e-mail interactions with satisfaction of their customers measured through Net Promoter Score (NPS). While we can only speculate about what is causing the entanglement effect, we find that it is a new and versatile indicator for the analysis of employees' communication, analyzing the hitherto underused temporal dimension of online social networks which could be used as a powerful predictor of employee and team performance, employee turnover, and customer satisfaction.

cs.SI

Statistical considerations on safety analysis

Alerting experience with a well-acknowledged safety analysis code initiated the authors to pay attention to safety issues of complex systems. Their first concern was the statistical characteristics of such a code. We point out a remarkable weakness of the so called 0.95/0.95 methodology: when repeating the search for the tolerance limit, we get a higher value with non-negligible probability. We propose the sign test as an alternative method. We point out the correct form of Wilks' formula when the number of parameters subjected to limitation is two or more.

physics.data-an

Remarks on statistical aspects of safety analysis of complex systems

We analyze safety problems of complex systems using the methods of mathematical statistics for testing the output variables of a code simulating the operation of the system under consideration when the input variables are uncertain. We have defined a black box model of the code and derived formulas to calculate the number of runs needed for a given confidence level to achieve a preassigned measure of safety. In order to show the capabilities of different statistical methods, firstly we have investigated one output variable with unknown and known distribution functions. The general conclusion has been that the different methods do not bring about large differences in the number of runs needed to ensure a given level of safety. Analyzing the case of several statistically dependent output variables we have arrived at the conclusion that the testing of the variables separately may lead to false, safety related decisions with unforseen consequences. We have advised two methods: the sign test and the tolerance interval methods for testing more than one mutually dependent output variables.

physics.data-an