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M. Smith

Publications and source records attributed to M. Smith.

At least 19 recordsLinked to original sources
arXiv2026

ZTF-SEDm Type Ia supernova sample for Twins Embedding spectrophotometric standardization

This paper has two aims: the first aim is to build a large homogeneous spectrophotometric sample of Type Ia supernovae (SNe Ia), using 3069 spectra from the second data release of the Zwicky Transient Facility (ZTF DR2). Using this sample we reproduce, as the second objective of the paper, the Twins Embedding (TE) spectrophotometric standardization method, which led to an exceptionally low value of 0.073 mag for the intrinsic scatter. We improved the flux-calibration accuracy of the SEDm SN Ia spectrum sample using the ZTF photometric data, which are calibrated at the percent level. We then applied the three steps of the TE parameterization to a subset of 783 ZTF SN spectra near maximum light, and analyse the resulting standardization methods. The precision of the phase-correction model, which is the first step of the TE, is estimated at 0.01 mag in g band, using ZTF data. Despite the challenge posed by the ZTF spectrum-extraction pipeline, we applied a first standardization in color based on the second step of the TE, called Read Between The Lines (RBTL). When considering the scatter due to redshift error and flux calibration error, we estimated a 0.129 mag Hubble residual scatter for this ZTF sample as an upper limit. As expected from the low spectral quality, the final TE standardization based on three nonlinear parameters did not improve the overall dispersion. We release 1897 flux calibrated spectra of 1607 SNe Ia with an estimated photometric accuracy of 0.07 mag. We further demonstrate the ability to apply a spectrophotometric standardization with limited quality spectra. The RBTL standardisation is more efficient than that of SALT with one less parameter, and the resulting host steps are consistent with zero, making it less prone to astrophysical bias. For future spectroscopic surveys, a better spectral quality would enable the full TE standardization to be computed. (Abridged)

astro-ph.CO↗
arXiv2026

Dark Energy Survey Year 6 Results: improved mitigation of spatially varying observational systematics with masking for the MagLim++ lens sample

As photometric surveys reach unprecedented statistical precision, systematic uncertainties increasingly dominate large-scale structure probes relying on galaxy number density. Defining the final survey footprint is critical, as it excludes regions affected by artefacts or suboptimal observing conditions. For galaxy clustering, spatially varying observational systematics, such as seeing, are a leading source of bias. Template maps of contaminants are used to derive spatially dependent corrections, but extreme values may fall outside the applicability range of mitigation methods, compromising correction reliability. The complexity and accuracy of systematics modelling depend on footprint conservativeness, with aggressive masking enabling simpler, robust mitigation. We present a unified approach to define the DES Y6 JOINT footprint, integrating observational systematics templates and artefact indicators that degrade mitigation performance. This removes extreme values from an initial SEED footprint, leading to the final JOINT footprint. By evaluating the DES Y6 lens sample MagLim++ on this footprint, we enhance the Iterative Systematics Decontamination (ISD) method, detecting non-linear systematic contamination and improving correction accuracy. While the mask's impact on clustering is less significant than systematics decontamination, it remains non-negligible, comparable to statistical uncertainties in certain w(theta) scales and redshift bins. Supporting coherent analyses of galaxy clustering and cosmic shear, the final footprint spans 4,031.04 deg2, setting the basis for DES Y6 1x2pt, 2x2pt, and 3x2pt analyses. This work highlights how targeted masking strategies optimise the balance between statistical power and systematic control in Stage-III and -IV surveys.

astro-ph.CO↗
arXiv2026

Core-Collapse Supernova Rates in the Dark Energy Survey

Over its five-year campaign (2013-2017), the Dark Energy Survey (DES) supernova (SN) survey recorded 31,636 light curves. Using a custom-built, two-stage random forest classifier, we identified 2,445 likely core-collapse SNe (CC SNe) within the survey rate analysis footprint. With this sample, we measure the volumetric CC SN rate from redshift z = 0 to 1.3 in 11 redshift bins, representing the most detailed single-survey coverage to date across nine billion years of lookback time. Over this interval, the CC SN rates are well fit by a power law R_CC(z) = R_0 (1 + z)^α, with R_0 = 1.58 \pm 0.17 \times 10^{-4} \text{ yr}^{-1} \text{ Mpc}^{-3} and α= 2.85 \pm 0.25. The rate turnover, expected at cosmic noon, is not yet apparent. Because CC SNe trace recent star formation, we compare our measurements with recent cosmic star-formation history (CSFH) models. Our measurements are ~70 per cent higher than CSFH models using a Salpeter initial mass function (IMF) to predict CC SN rates. Replacing the Salpeter IMF with a Baldry and Glazebrook IMF and a CC SN progenitor mass range of 8-40 M_\odot bridges the gap. Alternatively, CSFHs may miss a hitherto unidentified population of low-luminosity galaxies. We further find that the local ratio of stripped-envelope (SE) SNe to all CC SNe is 31 \pm 5 per cent, remaining constant from z = 0 to 1.3. Combined with an IMF analysis accounting for the "missing progenitor problem" of hydrogen-rich SNe, our results favour a mixture of single massive stars and binaries as SE SN progenitors, with the redshift-invariant ratio favouring binary channels.

astro-ph.HE↗
arXiv2026

A census of Dark Energy Survey Year 3 redMaPPer galaxy clusters in a high exposure eROSITA All Sky Survey region

We present the cross-match of galaxy clusters detected by redMaPPer using the first three years of Dark Energy Survey (DESY3RM) operations, and the first release of the eROSITA-All Sky Survey (eRASS1) taken by eROSITA on board the Spectrum Roentgen Gamma telescope. We define a sky region ($60^{\circ}<{\rm R.A.}<90^{\circ}$ and $-58^{\circ}<{\rm Dec}<-48^{\circ}$) whereby the mean eRASS1 exposure time of clusters falling within this footprint is $\sim$2.5 times longer than the mean exposure time of the full eRASS1--DESY3RM overlap. Limiting to a redshift range $0.2 < z < 0.65$ and redMaPPer estimated richnesses to $>$50, we obtain a sample of 57 clusters. We match these clusters to the cluster catalogue constructed for the eRASS1, finding 45 clusters with a match and 12 with no match in the catalogue. X-ray properties of the 12 unmatched clusters are estimated via a forced photometry analysis. We investigate the form of the luminosity-richness relation, finding the relation using the full 57 cluster sample is statistically consistent with using only the 45 matched clusters, and will require the deeper data of future eRASS releases (or dedicated X-ray follow-up) to explore further potential differences. Using external data from XMM, ACT and SPT, we find detections of 5 of the 12 unmatched clusters, indicating the presence of virialised gas. Finally, we found the 12 unmatched clusters occupy a higher redshift range and lower richness range (compared to the matched clusters), and find no evidence for an underlying physical reason for the lack of X-ray emission.

astro-ph.CO↗
arXiv2026

Dark Energy Survey Year 6 Results: fast and interpretable posterior predictive checks for correlated cosmic probes

We present a fast and numerically stable framework for conducting posterior predictive distribution (PPD) tests of internal consistency in correlated cosmological probes. Our method, developed as a validation check for the Dark Energy Survey (DES) Year 6 combined analysis of weak lensing and galaxy clustering, employs a Gaussian-mixture model to efficiently approximate the high-dimensional PPD and introduces a scalar consistency metric, $Δ_{\rm PPD}$, defined as the fraction of the PPD at lower probability density than the observed data. This method avoids challenges related to calibration and numerical stability that impacted PPD methods previously used in DES Year 3. After demonstrating performance with a toy model, we confirm that when applied to DES Year 3 measurements, $Δ_{\rm PPD}$ identifies the same inter-probe tensions as published, calibrated PPD results while requiring only minutes per test. We further validate the method on several noise realizations of simulated DES Y6 analyses, demonstrating that $Δ_{\rm PPD}$ responds coherently to injected inconsistency, while highlighting two effects which can complicate the interpretation of PPD tests for increasingly complex models. First, internal tensions that can be absorbed as shifts in nuisance parameters become more difficult to detect. Second, poorly constrained directions in parameter space can induce projection effects in PPDs for disjoint sets of observables, producing reports of tension even for consistent data. We conclude that $Δ_{\rm PPD}$ provides a practical PPD-based diagnostic for multiprobe unblinding, to be interpreted with care alongside other validation checks. This framework has already played an important role in DES analyses and is well suited for application to forthcoming Stage-IV surveys such as LSST, Euclid, and Roman, where fast, robust internal consistency tests will be essential.

astro-ph.CO↗
arXiv2026

Dark Energy Survey Year 6 Results: Redshift Calibration of the MagLim++ Lens Sample

In this work, we derive and calibrate the redshift distribution of the MagLim++ lens galaxy sample used in the Dark Energy Survey Year 6 (DES Y6) 3x2pt cosmology analysis. The 3x2pt analysis combines galaxy clustering from the lens galaxy sample and weak gravitational lensing. The redshift distributions are inferred using the SOMPZ method - a Self-Organizing Map framework that combines deep-field multi-band photometry, wide-field data, and a synthetic source injection (Balrog) catalog. Key improvements over the DES Year 3 (Y3) calibration include a noise-weighted SOM metric, an expanded Balrog catalogue, and an improved scheme for propagating systematic uncertainties, which allows us to generate O($10^8$) redshift realizations that collectively span the dominant sources of uncertainty. These realizations are then combined with independent clustering-redshift measurements via importance sampling. The resulting calibration achieves typical uncertainties on the mean redshift of 1-2%, corresponding to a 20-30% average reduction relative to DES Y3. We compress the $n(z)$ uncertainties into a small number of orthogonal modes for use in cosmological inference. Marginalizing over these modes leads to only a minor degradation in cosmological constraints. This analysis establishes the MagLim++ sample as a robust lens sample for precision cosmology with DES Y6 and provides a scalable framework for future surveys.

astro-ph.CO↗
arXiv2026

Weak Lensing Mass Calibration of the ACT DR5 Galaxy Clusters with the DES Year 3 Weak Lensing Data

We use weak gravitational lensing measurements from Year 3 Dark Energy Survey data to calibrate the masses of 443 galaxy clusters selected via the Sunyaev-Zel'dovich effect from Atacama Cosmology Telescope Data Release 5 maps. We incorporate redshift and SZ measurements for individual clusters into a hierarchical model for the stacked lensing signals and perform Bayesian analyses to constrain hydrostatic mass bias of the clusters. Our treatment of systematic uncertainties includes a prescription for measuring and accounting for the weak lensing boost factor, consideration of a miscentering effect, as well as marginalization over uncertainties in the source galaxy photometric redshift distributions and shear calibration. The constraints on the normalization of the mass-observable relation have a precision of 7%, with the mean WL halo mass $M_{\rm 500c} = 5.4 \times 10^{14} M_{\odot}$. We measure the bias between the true cluster mass and the mass estimated from the SZ signal assuming hydrostatic equilibrium, to be $1-b = 0.74^{+0.06}{-0.05}$ over the full sample. When splitting the clusters into high and low redshift bins, we measure $1-b = 0.58^{+0.06}{-0.05}$ and $0.81^{+0.08}{-0.06}$, respectively. When introducing additional freedom in redshift and mass to the hydrostatic bias model, we find that $1-b$ decreases with redshift (with the power law of $-1.8^{+0.5}{-0.6}$, 99.95% confidence), consistent with findings from other recent studies, while we do not find any significant trend in mass. We also demonstrate that our result is robust against various systematics such as a scale cut, priors on baryonic and miscentering parameters, and degree of scatter in mass-observable relation. The weak-lensing mass calibration presented in this study will be a useful tool for using the ACT clusters as probes of astrophysics, and as a step towards using their abundance as a cosmological probe.

astro-ph.CO↗
arXiv2026

The intrinsic luminosity-decay correlation in subsamples of GRB X-ray afterglows

The intrinsic luminosity-decay correlation in gamma-ray burst (GRB) afterglows, between the early-time luminosity and the average rate of decay past this time, has previously been observed in the radio, optical/UV, X-ray and GeV wavebands and quantitatively shows that more luminous afterglows tend to have higher average rates of decay. We have compiled an updated sample of 427 X-ray afterglows with measured redshifts, observed with Swift/XRT over 20 years. For each GRB, we measure the luminosity at 200 seconds in the rest frame, $L_{\mathrm{X,200s}}$, and the average rate of decay from this time, $α_{X,>200s}$. We find these parameters are correlated with a Spearman's rank coefficient ($R_\mathrm{sp}$) of $0.54\pm0.04$ at a significance of $\geq3σ$ and a linear regression slope of $0.18\pm0.02$. We separate our sample into subsamples, including 395 long GRBs (LGRBs) and 32 short GRBs (SGRBs) and find evidence of the $L_{\mathrm{X,200s}}$-$α_{X,>200s}$ correlation at a significance of $\geq3σ$ in LGRBs but not in SGRBs, consistent with previous studies. In a subsample of 102 LGRBs with well-sampled light curves and late end times, we find that scatter in the correlation is significantly reduced and the strength increases to $R_\mathrm{sp}=0.80\pm0.04$ whilst the slope remains consistent with the full sample. We discuss our results and, briefly, their potential implications on constraining the cause of the correlation. Possible causes include geometric effects due to the angle between the observer and the jet-axis, or some mechanism that regulates the rate at which energy is released by the GRB central engine.

astro-ph.HE↗
arXiv2026

OzDES Reverberation Mapping Program: CIV lags from six years of data

We present 29 successfully recovered CIV time lags in Active Galactic Nuclei from the complete Dark Energy Survey Reverberation Mapping campaign. The AGN in this sample span a redshift range of 1.9<z<3.5. We successfully measure the velocity dispersion from the CIV spectral linewidth for 25 of these 29 sources, and use these to calculate new high-redshift black hole mass estimates, finding masses between 0.8 and 1.3 billion solar masses. We also identify a selection effect due to the duration of the survey that can impact the radius-luminosity relation derived from this and other (high-redshift) data. This paper represents the culmination of the OzDES CIV campaign.

astro-ph.GA↗
arXiv2026

Dark Energy Survey Year 6 Results: Redshift Calibration of the Weak Lensing Source Galaxies

Determining the distribution of redshifts for galaxies in wide-field photometric surveys is essential for robust cosmological studies of weak gravitational lensing. We present the methodology, calibrated redshift distributions, and uncertainties of the final Dark Energy Survey Year 6 (Y6) weak lensing galaxy data, divided into four redshift bins centered at $\langle z \rangle = [0.414, 0.538, 0.846, 1.157]$. We combine independent information from two methods on the full shape of redshift distributions: optical and near-infrared photometry within an improved Self-Organizing Map $p(z)$ (SOMPZ) framework, and cross-correlations with spectroscopic galaxy clustering measurements (WZ), which we demonstrate to be consistent both in terms of the redshift calibration itself and in terms of resulting cosmological constraints within 0.1$σ$. We describe the process used to produce an ensemble of redshift distributions that account for several known sources of uncertainty. Among these, imperfection in the calibration sample due to the lack of faint, representative spectra is the dominant factor. The final uncertainty on mean redshift in each bin is $σ_{\langle z\rangle} = [0.012, 0.008,0.009, 0.024]$. We ensure the robustness of the redshift distributions by leveraging new image simulations and a cross-check with galaxy shape information via the shear ratio (SR) method.

astro-ph.CO↗
arXiv2026

OzDES Reverberation Mapping of Active Galactic Nuclei: Final Data Release, Black-Hole Mass Results, & Scaling Relations

Over the last decade, the Australian Dark Energy (OzDES) collaboration has used Reverberation Mapping to measure the masses of high redshift supermassive black holes. Here we present the final review and analysis of this OzDES reverberation mapping campaign. These observations use 6-7 years of photometric and spectroscopic observations of 735 Active Galactic Nuclei (AGN) in the redshift range 0.13-3.85 and bolometric luminosity range 44.3 - 47.5 erg/s. Both photometry and spectra are observed in visible wavelengths, allowing for the physical scale of the AGN broad line region to be estimated from reverberations of the H\b{eta}, MgII and CIV emission lines. We successfully use reverberation mapping to constrain the masses of 62 super-massive black holes, and combine with existing data to fit a power law to the lag-luminosity relation for the H\b{eta} and MgII lines with a scatter of ~0.25 dex, the tightest yet identified, fit specifically for consistency with high redshift AGN. We fit a similarly constrained relation for CIV, resolving a tension with the low luminosity literature AGN by accounting for selection effects arising from finite survey length. We also examine the impact of emission line width and luminosity (related to accretion rate) in reducing the scatter of these scaling relationships and find no significant improvement over the lag-only approach for any of the three lines. Using these relations, we further estimate the masses and accretion rates of 246 AGN with single epoch methods. We also use these relations to estimate the relative sizes of the H\b{eta}, MgII and CIV emitting regions. In short, we provide a comprehensive benchmark of high redshift AGN reverberation mapping at the close of this most recent generation of surveys, including light curves, time-delays, and a set of significantly improved radius-luminosity relations for use with high-redshift populations.

astro-ph.GA↗
arXiv2026

Dark Energy Survey: DESI-Independent Angular BAO Measurement

We present a measurement of the angular baryon acoustic oscillation (BAO) scale from the completed Dark Energy Survey (DES) dataset excluding the area of overlap with the Dark Energy Spectroscopic Instrument (DESI). We follow the same methodology and validation process as in the DES year 6 (Y6) BAO analysis. We interpret the impact of this measurement in the context of the statistical preference for $w_0w_a$ cold dark matter (CDM) over $Λ$CDM when combined with DES Y5 Type Ia supernovae (SN), Planck Cosmic Microwave Background (CMB) and DESI BAO. Based on our previous work, using the full Y6 DES BAO sample, in combination with SN, CMB and DESI data release 1 (DR1) BAO, added $0.3σ$ in this preference (from $3.7σ$ to $4.0σ$), but this ignored possible correlations between datasets. Using our new DESI-independent DES BAO likelihood instead, we find a smaller increase in the statistical preference for $w_0w_a$CDM, from $3.7σ$ to $3.8σ$ when using DESI DR1 BAO, and from $4.0σ$ to $4.1σ$ when updating to the more recent DESI data release 2 (DR2) BAO. These significances reduce to $3.1σ$ when using the new calibrated DES SN-Dovekie. Alongside this work, we publicly release \texttt{BAOfit\_wtheta}, the BAO fitting code for the angular correlation function used in the DES Y6 BAO analysis.

astro-ph.CO↗
arXiv2026

Constraints on the normal branch of DGP gravity from SPT galaxy clusters with DES and HST weak-lensing mass calibration and from Planck PR4 CMB anisotropies

We present constraints on the normal branch of the Dvali-Gabadadze-Porrati (nDGP) braneworld gravity model from the abundance of massive galaxy clusters. On scales below the nDGP crossover scale $r_{\rm c}$, the nDGP model features an effective gravity-like fifth force that alters the growth of structure, leading to an enhancement of the halo mass function (HMF) on cluster scales. The enhanced cluster abundance allows for constraints on the nDGP model using cluster samples. We employ the SPT cluster sample, selected through the thermal Sunyaev-Zel`dovich effect (tSZE) with the South Pole Telescope (SPT) and with mass calibration using weak-lensing data from the Dark Energy Survey (DES) and the Hubble Space Telescope (HST). The cluster sample contains 1,005 clusters with redshifts $0.25 < z < 1.78$, which are confirmed with the Multi-Component Matched Filter (MCMF) algorithm using optical and near-infrared data. Weak-lensing data from DES and HST enable a robust mass measurement of the cluster sample. We use DES Year 3 data for 688 clusters with redshifts $z < 0.95$, and HST data for 39 clusters with redshifts $ 0.6 < z <1.7$. We account for the enhancement in the HMF through a semi-analytic correction factor to the standard cosmology HMF derived from the spherical collapse model in the nDGP model. We then further calibrate this model using $N$-body simulations. In addition, for the first time, we analyze the primary cosmic microwave background (CMB) temperature and polarization anisotropy measurements from Planck PR4 within the nDGP model. We obtain a competitive constraint from the joint analysis of the SPT cluster abundance with the Planck PR4 data, and report an upper bound of $1/\sqrt{(H_0r_{\rm c})}< 1.41$ at $95\,\%$ when assuming a cosmology with massive neutrinos.

astro-ph.CO↗
arXiv2026

Modeling strained Cd$_3$As$_2$ thin films and their behavior in magnetic fields

We present a systematic analysis of the behavior of thin films of Cd$_3$As$_2$ under different strain profiles and in magnetic fields. In each case, we construct effective $k \cdot p$ models by considering the reduction of symmetry and all constraints imposed by the remaining symmetries. Our analysis naturally describes both in-plane biaxial and uniaxial strain. Biaxial strain is expected to preserve in-plane $C_4$ rotational symmetry while breaking inversion, allowing for a description in terms of the $4mm$ point group. Uniaxial strain, on the other hand, breaks $C_4$ symmetry. For this case, we consider two scenarios: one preserving inversion, described by the $mmm$ group, and one breaking it, leading to $2mm$ symmetry. After deriving the models, we examine the effects of out-of-plane magnetic fields, identifying two possible microscopic mechanisms that can account for the experimental results reported in Ahadi et al. (2025). Importantly, our analysis proposes a new method for differentiating between them. By incorporating the effects of multiple subbands along the confinement direction, we show that the opening of a gap in the lowest Landau level requires either reducing the symmetry down to $2mm$, breaking both inversion and $C_4$ rotations, or a topological transition of the band structure due to strain-induced band renormalization. Furthermore, we demonstrate that a two-dimensional Dirac semimetal phase can be induced by sufficiently large in-plane magnetic fields. This phase is highly sensitive to different strain profiles, with band touchings occurring when the field is applied perpendicular to preserved mirror planes, serving as a powerful probe of the material's strain profile.

cond-mat.str-el↗
arXiv2026

skysurvey: a pure python package to simulate the transient sky

Accurate simulation of astronomical observations is a critical element for any modern analyses, be it to measure event rates, analyses population properties, validate or train pipelines, account for selection effects, or correct biases. We present a novel pure python package named skysurvey made to enable the user to quickly simulate astrophysical transients as observed by a survey. The package is structured to make the implementation of any complex population modeling fast and easy. The skysurvey package relies on three core objects: a Target, that models how an astrophysical target exists in nature, a Survey, that specifies how the sky has been observed and, a DataSet that combine these two to generate data as they would have been acquired. In addition, we present a side stand-alone package named modeldag that contains the core structure that simplifies the parameter modeling. We present in this paper how skysurvey is structured and we clearly illustrate how the code can straightforwardly be used to simulate complex populations, such as Type Ia Supernovae with varying color-brightness $β$ term. We also illustrate how the package can be made to replicate the rate and redshift distribution of the ZTF SNe Ia DR2 dataset. The skysurvey package, already used in recent scientific publications, is now ready for general usage and paves the way for future use of simulations such as simulation based inference.

astro-ph.IM↗
arXiv2026

Robust Measurement of Stellar Streams Around the Milky Way: Correcting Spatially Variable Observational Selection Effects in Optical Imaging Surveys

Observations of density variations in stellar streams are a promising probe of low-mass dark matter substructure in the Milky Way. However, survey systematics such as variations in seeing and sky brightness can also induce artificial fluctuations in the observed densities of known stellar streams. These variations arise because survey conditions affect both object detection and star--galaxy misclassification rates. To mitigate these effects, we use Balrog synthetic source injections in the Dark Energy Survey (DES) Y3 data to calculate detection rate variations and classification rates as functions of survey properties. We show that these rates are nearly separable with respect to survey properties and can be estimated with sufficient statistics from the synthetic catalogs. Applying these corrections reduces the standard deviation of relative detection rates across the DES footprint by a factor of five, and our corrections significantly change the inferred linear density of the Phoenix stream when including faint objects. Additionally, for artificial streams with DES like survey properties we are able to recover density power spectra with reduced bias. We also find that uncorrected power-spectrum results for LSST-like data can be around five times more biased, highlighting the need for such corrections in future ground based surveys.

astro-ph.GA↗
arXiv2026

The Dark Energy Survey Supernova Program: A Reanalysis Of Cosmology Results And Evidence For Evolving Dark Energy With An Updated Type Ia Supernova Calibration

We present improved cosmological constraints from a re-analysis of the Dark Energy Survey (DES) 5-year sample of Type Ia supernovae (DES-SN5YR). This re-analysis includes an improved photometric cross-calibration, recent white dwarf observations to cross-calibrate between DES and low redshift surveys, retraining the SALT3 light curve model and fixing a numerical approximation in the host galaxy colour law. Our fully recalibrated sample, which we call DES-Dovekie, comprises $\sim$1600 likely Type Ia SNe from DES and $\sim$200 low-redshift SNe from other surveys. With DES-Dovekie, we obtain $Ω_{\rm m} = 0.330 \pm 0.015$ in Flat $Λ$CDM which changes $Ω_{\rm m}$ by $-0.022$ compared to DES-SN5YR. Combining DES-Dovekie with CMB data from Planck, ACT and SPT and the DESI DR2 measurements in a Flat $w_0 w_a$CDM cosmology, we find $w_0 = -0.803 \pm 0.054$, $w_a = -0.72 \pm 0.21$. Our results hold a significance of $3.2σ$, reduced from $4.2σ$ for DES-SN5YR, to reject the null hypothesis that the data are compatible with the cosmological constant. This significance is equivalent to a Bayesian model preference odds of approximately 5:1 in favour of the Flat $w_0 w_a$CDM model. Using generally accepted thresholds for model preference, our updated data exhibits only a weak preference for evolving dark energy.

astro-ph.CO↗