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M. Stoelinga

Publications and source records attributed to M. Stoelinga.

2 recordsLinked to original sources

Fault Trees, Decision Trees, And Binary Decision Diagrams: A Systematic Comparison

In reliability engineering, we need to understand system dependencies, cause-effect relations, identify critical components, and analyze how they trigger failures. Three prominent graph models commonly used for these purposes are fault trees (FTs), decision trees (DTs), and binary decision diagrams (BDDs). These models are popular because they are easy to interpret, serve as a communication tool between stakeholders of various backgrounds, and support decision-making processes. Moreover, these models help to understand real-world problems by computing reliability metrics, minimum cut sets, logic rules, and displaying dependencies. Nevertheless, it is unclear how these graph models compare. Thus, the goal of this paper is to understand the similarities and differences through a systematic comparison based on their (i) purpose and application, (ii) structural representation, (iii) analysis methods, (iv) construction, and (v) benefits & limitations. Furthermore, we use a running example based on a Container Seal Design to showcase the models in practice. Our results show that, given that FTs, DTs and BDDs have different purposes and application domains, they adopt different structural representations and analysis methodologies that entail a variety of benefits and limitations, the latter can be addressed via conversion methods or extensions. Specific remarks are that BDDs can be considered as a compact representation of binary DTs, since the former allows sub-node sharing, which makes BDDs more efficient at representing logical rules than binary DTs. It is possible to obtain cut sets from BDDs and DTs and construct a FT using the (con/dis)junctive normal form, although this may result in a sub-optimal FT structure.

cs.OH

Deterioration modeling of sewer pipes via discrete-time Markov chains: A large-scale case study in the Netherlands

Sewer pipe network systems are an important part of civil infrastructure, and in order to find a good trade-off between maintenance costs and system performance, reliable sewer pipe degradation models are essential. In this paper, we present a large-scale case study in the city of Breda in the Netherlands. Our dataset has information on sewer pipes built since the 1920s and contains information on different covariates. We also have several types of damage, but we focus our attention on infiltrations, surface damage, and cracks. Each damage has an associated severity index ranging from 1 to 5. To account for the characteristics of sewer pipes, we defined 6 cohorts of interest. Two types of discrete-time Markov chains (DTMC), which we called Chain `Multi' and `Single' (where Chain `Multi' contains additional transitions compared to Chain `Single'), are commonly used to model sewer pipe degradation at the pipeline level, and we want to evaluate which suits better our case study. To calibrate the DTMCs, we define an optimization process using Sequential Least-Squares Programming to find the DTMC parameter that best minimizes the root mean weighted square error. Our results show that for our case study, there is no substantial difference between Chain `Multi' and `Single', but the latter has fewer parameters and can be easily trained. Our DTMCs are useful to compare the cohorts via the expected values, e.g., concrete pipes carrying mixed and waste content reach severe levels of surface damage more quickly compared to concrete pipes carrying rainwater, which is a phenomenon typically identified in practice.

stat.AP