arXiv subjects

Madeline L. Cross-Parkin

Publications and source records attributed to Madeline L. Cross-Parkin.

3 recordsLinked to original sources

arXiv2026

Skipping the rungs! Calibrating distance indicators through their clustering with galaxies

We show that angular cross-correlations between distance indicators and galaxy redshift catalogues, when interpreted within an assumed cosmological model, can constrain potential biases in distance measurements induced by calibration systematics. As a test case, we consider a simple scenario in which a constant calibration offset $ΔM$ shifts all observed distances by a multiplicative factor, and we produce Fisher forecasts for the constraining power on $ΔM$ and $H_0$ from existing and upcoming surveys. In our most optimistic scenario, based on the expected number of SN Ia observed by LSST and the DESI final data release, we find $σ_{ΔM} \approx 0.05$ and $σ_{H_0} \approx 1.81~\mathrm{km~s^{-1}~Mpc^{-1}}$. This has important implications for the Hubble tension, since explaining the discrepancy purely as a calibration systematic in low-$z$ measurements would require $ΔM \approx 0.13$.

astro-ph.CO↗

arXiv2026

Dark siren cross-correlations and the sensitivity of $H_0$ to methodological choices

Gravitational wave sources act as absolute distance indicators, making them powerful probes of the present-day expansion rate of the Universe, $H_0$. The cross-correlation method combines gravitational wave events with galaxy catalogues to constrain cosmological parameters through their shared large-scale structure. In this work, we investigate how key methodological choices -- including covariance treatment, bias parametrisation for galaxies and gravitational wave events, and distance and redshift binning width -- affect the inferred value of $H_0$. We also study catalogue incompleteness, showing that selection effects can be incorporated directly into the theoretical prediction, without the need to model the missing population explicitly, a key advantage over the standard galaxy catalogue approach. Our results indicate that, with appropriate modelling choices and a sufficiently large sample of precise gravitational wave events, the systematic biases considered here can be effectively mitigated, highlighting the potential of the cross-correlation method for future dark siren precision cosmology.

astro-ph.CO↗

arXiv2025

Dark sirens and the impact of redshift precision

With the growing number of gravitational wave detections, achieving a competitive measurement of $H_0$ with dark sirens is becoming increasingly feasible. The expansion of the Ligo-Virgo-KAGRA Collaboration into a four detector network will reduce both the localisation area and the luminosity distance uncertainty associated with each gravitational wave event. It is therefore essential to identify and mitigate other major sources of error that could increase the uncertainty in $H_0$. In this work, we explore three scenarios relevant to the dark siren method in future observing runs. First, we demonstrate that there is a precision gain offered by a catalogue of spectroscopic-like redshifts compared to photometric-like redshifts, with the greatest improvements observed in smaller localisation areas. Second, we show that redshift outliers (as occur in realistic photometric redshift catalogues), do not introduce bias into the measurement of $H_0$. Finally, we find that uniformly sub-sampling spectroscopic-like redshift catalogues increases the uncertainty in $H_0$ as the completeness fraction is decreased; at a completeness of 50% the benefit of spectroscopic redshift precision is outweighed by the degradation from incompleteness. In all three scenarios, we obtain unbiased estimates of $H_0$. We conclude that a competitive measurement of $H_0$ using the dark siren method will require a hybrid catalogue of both photometric and spectroscopic redshifts, at least until highly complete spectroscopic catalogues become available. This, however, will come at the cost of a more complex selection function.

astro-ph.CO↗