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Maike Bestehorn

Publications and source records attributed to Maike Bestehorn.

2 recordsLinked to original sources

A deterministic matching method for exact matchings to compare the outcome of different interventions

Statistical matching methods are widely used in the social and health sciences to estimate causal effects using observational data. Often the objective is to find comparable groups with similar covariate distributions in a dataset, with the aim to reduce bias in a random experiment. We aim to develop a foundation for deterministic methods which provide results with low bias, while retaining interpretability. The proposed method matches on the covariates and calculates all possible maximal exact matchesfor a given dataset without adding numerical errors. Notable advantages of our method over existing matching algorithms are that all available information for exact matches is used, no additional bias is introduced, it can be combined with other matching methods for inexact matching to reduce pruning and that the result is calculated in a fast and deterministic way. For a given dataset the result is therefore provably unique for exact matches in the mathematical sense. We provide proofs, instructions for implementation as well as a numerical example calculated for comparison on a complete survey.

stat.AP

A deterministic balancing score algorithm to avoid common pitfalls of propensity score matching

Propensity score matching (PSM) is the de-facto standard for estimating causal effects in observational studies. We show that PSM and its implementations are susceptible to several major drawbacks and illustrate these findings using a case study with $17,427$ patients. We derive four formal properties an optimal statistical matching algorithm should meet, and propose Deterministic Balancing Score exact Matching (DBSeM) which meets the aforementioned properties for an exact matching. Furthermore, we investigate one of the main problems of PSM, that is that common PSM results in one valid set of matched pairs or a bootstrapped PSM in a selection of possible valid sets of matched pairs. For exact matchings we provide the mathematical proof, that DBSeM, as a result, delivers the expected value of all valid sets of matched pairs for the investigated dataset.

stat.AP