SearcharxivSearch

arXiv subjects

Majed Dodin

Publications and source records attributed to Majed Dodin.

2 recordsLinked to original sources

YEAST: Yet Another Sequential Test

Online evaluation of machine learning models is typically conducted through A/B experiments. Sequential statistical tests are valuable tools for analysing these experiments, as they enable researchers to stop data collection early without increasing the risk of false discoveries. However, existing sequential tests either limit the number of interim analyses or suffer from low statistical power. In this paper, we introduce a novel sequential test designed for continuous monitoring of A/B experiments. We validate our method using semi-synthetic simulations and demonstrate that it outperforms current state-of-the-art sequential testing approaches. Our method is derived using a new technique that inverts a bound on the probability of threshold crossing, based on a classical maximal inequality.

stat.ME

Optimized Inference in Regression Kink Designs

We propose a method to remedy finite sample coverage problems and improve upon the efficiency of commonly employed procedures for the construction of nonparametric confidence intervals in regression kink designs. The proposed interval is centered at the half-length optimal, numerically obtained linear minimax estimator over distributions with Lipschitz constrained conditional mean function. Its construction ensures excellent finite sample coverage and length properties which are demonstrated in a simulation study and an empirical illustration. Given the Lipschitz constant that governs how much curvature one plausibly allows for, the procedure is fully data driven, computationally inexpensive, incorporates shape constraints and is valid irrespective of the distribution of the assignment variable.

econ.EM