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Malia Barker

Publications and source records attributed to Malia Barker.

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Testing LLM Arithmetic Reasoning Generalization with Automatic Numeric-Remapping Attacks

Large language models achieve strong performance on arithmetic reasoning benchmarks, and one common response to arithmetic brittleness is to delegate computation to code. Yet models are still often used in settings where they must reason directly from natural language, and trustworthy models should solve small-number arithmetic word problems without external tools. Prior work shows that LLMs are sensitive to numerical variation: a model may solve an original problem but fail on structurally similar variants requiring the same reasoning procedure with different numbers. We ask whether this fragility persists under a stricter setting involving small, schema-preserving numeric changes that retain the original reasoning program and avoid large-number stress tests. We introduce an automatic algorithm for generating numeric-remapping attacks on arithmetic word problems. Unlike template-based perturbation methods requiring manual schemas or constraints, our approach derives problem-specific symbolic representations, generates constrained numeric remappings, recomputes gold answers, and realizes transformed questions through deterministic edits guided by LLM-generated edit plans. Stage-wise validation and a high-confidence audit retain reliable attacks, making the pipeline scalable with limited human intervention. We evaluate DeepSeek-R1 (70B), Gemma4 (31B), and GPT-OSS (120B) on GSM8K, MAWPS, and MultiArith. On GSM8K, completed runs show conditional accuracy drops of 12.16 to 25.82 percentage points. MAWPS and MultiArith are far more stable, with most attacked accuracies near or above 98%. These results show that numeric-remapping robustness depends strongly on dataset structure: GSM8K remains sensitive even when reasoning programs are preserved and answers are recomputed, while shorter, more regular datasets are more robust.

cs.CR

Doomed Worlds II: Reassessing Suggestions of Orbital Decay for TrES-5 b

TrES-5b is one of only three ultra-hot Jupiters (UHJs) with suggestions of a possibly decreasing orbital period that have persisted through multiple independent analyses (G. Maciejewski et al. 2021; S. R. Hagey et al. 2022; E. S. Ivshina & J. N. Winn 2022; W. Wang et al. 2024; L. C. Yeh et al. 2024). While WASP-12 b's decreasing period is well-explained by tidally induced orbital decay (K. C. Patra et al. 2017), and stellar acceleration has been proposed for WASP-4 b (L. G. Bouma et al. 2020), the cause of the apparent trend for TrES-5 b has not been satisfactorily explained. This work extends the previous observations with 14 new ground-based transits from 2016-2024 and two newly-published midtimes for data from 2007 and 2009. Four TESS sectors (75, 77, 82, and 84) have also been included for the first time. With the new data, the case for a decreasing orbital period is much weaker than before. The revised rate of period change, dP/dt=-5.3 +/- 2.2 ms yr^-1, is less than half that was found in previous work and the preference for a quadratic over a linear model, as measured through Delta BIC_LQ, has been falling since 2020, with a current value of 11. Furthermore, these results are not robust to outliers; removing a single early transit midtime causes the effect to vanish (Delta BIC_LQ = -1). Additionally, no significant periodic signals in the transit timing data are identified. The current data are well explained by a linear ephemeris.

astro-ph.EP

Metrics for Optimizing Searches for Orbital Precession and Tidal Decay via Transit- and Occultation-Timing

Short-period exoplanets may exhibit orbital precession driven by several different processes, including tidal interactions with their host stars and secular interactions with additional planets. This motion manifests as periodic shifts in the timing between transits which may be detectable via high-precision and long-baseline transit- and occultation-timing measurements. Detecting precession and attributing it to a particular process may constrain the tidal responses of planets and point to the presence of otherwise undetected perturbers. However, over relatively short timescales, orbital decay driven by the same tidal interactions can induce transit-timing signals similar to the precession signal, and distinguishing between the two processes requires robust assessment of the model statistics. In this context, occultation observations can help distinguish the two signals, but determining the precision and scheduling of observations sufficient to meaningfully contribute can be complicated. In this study, we expand on earlier work focused on searches for tidal decay to map out simple metrics that facilitate detection of precession and how to distinguish it from tidal decay. We discuss properties for a short-period exoplanet system that can maximize the likelihood for detecting such signals and prospects for contributions from citizen-science observations.

astro-ph.EP