arXiv subjects

Manindra Agrawal

Publications and source records attributed to Manindra Agrawal.

7 recordsLinked to original sources

arXiv2022

SUTRA: A Novel Approach to Modelling Pandemics with Applications to COVID-19

The Covid-19 pandemic has two key properties: (i) asymptomatic cases (both detected and undetected) that can result in new infections, and (ii) time-varying characteristics due to new variants, Non-Pharmaceutical Interventions etc. We develop a model called SUTRA (Susceptible, Undetected though infected, Tested positive, and Removed Analysis) that takes into account both of these two key properties. While applying the model to a region, two parameters of the model can be learnt from the number of daily new cases found in the region. Using the learnt values of the parameters the model can predict the number of daily new cases so long as the learnt parameters do not change substantially. Whenever any of the two parameters changes due to the key property (ii) above, the SUTRA model can detect that the values of one or both of the parameters have changed. Further, the model has the capability to relearn the changed parameter values, and then use these to carry out the prediction of the trajectory of the pandemic for the region of concern. The SUTRA approach can be applied at various levels of granularity, from an entire country to a district, more specifically, to any large enough region for which the data of daily new cases are available. We have applied the SUTRA model to thirty-two countries, covering more than half of the world's population. Our conclusions are: (i) The model is able to capture the past trajectories very well. Moreover, the parameter values, which we can estimate robustly, help quantify the impact of changes in the pandemic characteristics. (ii) Unless the pandemic characteristics change significantly, the model has good predictive capability. (iii) Natural immunity provides significantly better protection against infection than the currently available vaccines.

q-bio.PE↗

arXiv2018

The Query Complexity of a Permutation-Based Variant of Mastermind

We study the query complexity of a permutation-based variant of the guessing game Mastermind. In this variant, the secret is a pair $(z,π)$ which consists of a binary string $z \in \{0,1\}^n$ and a permutation $π$ of $[n]$. The secret must be unveiled by asking queries of the form $x \in \{0,1\}^n$. For each such query, we are returned the score \[ f_{z,π}(x):= \max \{ i \in [0..n]\mid \forall j \leq i: z_{π(j)} = x_{π(j)}\}\,;\] i.e., the score of $x$ is the length of the longest common prefix of $x$ and $z$ with respect to the order imposed by $π$. The goal is to minimize the number of queries needed to identify $(z,π)$. This problem originates from the study of black-box optimization heuristics, where it is known as the \textsc{LeadingOnes} problem. In this work, we prove matching upper and lower bounds for the deterministic and randomized query complexity of this game, which are $Θ(n \log n)$ and $Θ(n \log \log n)$, respectively.

cs.DS↗

arXiv2017

Small hitting-sets for tiny arithmetic circuits or: How to turn bad designs into good

We show that if we can design poly($s$)-time hitting-sets for $Σ\wedge^aΣΠ^{O(\log s)}$ circuits of size $s$, where $a=ω(1)$ is arbitrarily small and the number of variables, or arity $n$, is $O(\log s)$, then we can derandomize blackbox PIT for general circuits in quasipolynomial time. This also establishes that either E$\not\subseteq$\#P/poly or that VP$\ne$VNP. In fact, we show that one only needs a poly($s$)-time hitting-set against individual-degree $a'=ω(1)$ polynomials that are computable by a size-$s$ arity-$(\log s)$ $ΣΠΣ$ circuit (note: $Π$ fanin may be $s$). Alternatively, we claim that, to understand VP one only needs to find hitting-sets, for depth-$3$, that have a small parameterized complexity. Another tiny family of interest is when we restrict the arity $n=ω(1)$ to be arbitrarily small. We show that if we can design poly($s,μ(n)$)-time hitting-sets for size-$s$ arity-$n$ $ΣΠΣ\wedge$ circuits (resp.~$Σ\wedge^aΣΠ$), where function $μ$ is arbitrary, then we can solve PIT for VP in quasipoly-time, and prove the corresponding lower bounds. Our methods are strong enough to prove a surprising {\em arity reduction} for PIT-- to solve the general problem completely it suffices to find a blackbox PIT with time-complexity $sd2^{O(n)}$. We give several examples of ($\log s$)-variate circuits where a new measure (called cone-size) helps in devising poly-time hitting-sets, but the same question for their $s$-variate versions is open till date: For eg., diagonal depth-$3$ circuits, and in general, models that have a {\em small} partial derivative space. We also introduce a new concept, called cone-closed basis isolation, and provide example models where it occurs, or can be achieved by a small shift.

cs.CC↗

arXiv2014

Hitting-sets for ROABP and Sum of Set-Multilinear circuits

We give a $n^{O(\log n)}$-time ($n$ is the input size) blackbox polynomial identity testing algorithm for unknown-order read-once oblivious algebraic branching programs (ROABP). The best result known for this class was $n^{O(\log^2 n)}$ due to Forbes-Saptharishi-Shpilka (STOC 2014), and that too only for multilinear ROABP. We get rid of their exponential dependence on the individual degree. With this, we match the time-complexity for the unknown order ROABP with the known order ROABP (due to Forbes-Shpilka (FOCS 2013)) and also with the depth-$3$ set-multilinear circuits (due to Agrawal-Saha-Saxena (STOC 2013)). Our proof is simpler and involves a new technique called basis isolation. The depth-$3$ model has recently gained much importance, as it has become a stepping-stone to understanding general arithmetic circuits. Its restriction to multilinearity has known exponential lower bounds but no nontrivial blackbox identity tests. In this paper, we take a step towards designing such hitting-sets. We give the first subexponential whitebox PIT for the sum of constantly many set-multilinear depth-$3$ circuits. To achieve this, we define notions of distance and base sets. Distance, for a multilinear depth-$3$ circuit, measures how far are the partitions from a mere refinement. We design a hitting-set in time $n^{O(d \log n)}$ for $d$-distance. Further, we give an extension of our result to models where the distance is large but it is small when restricted to certain base sets (of variables). We also explore a new model of ROABP where the factor-matrices are invertible (called invertible-factor ROABP). We design a hitting-set in time poly($n^{w^2}$) for width-$w$ invertible-factor ROABP. Further, we could do without the invertibility restriction when $w=2$. Previously, the best result for width-$2$ ROABP was quasi-polynomial time (Forbes-Saptharishi-Shpilka, STOC 2014).

cs.CC↗

arXiv2013

Hitting-sets for low-distance multilinear depth-3

The depth-$3$ model has recently gained much importance, as it has become a stepping-stone to understanding general arithmetic circuits. Its restriction to multilinearity has known exponential lower bounds but no nontrivial blackbox identity tests. In this paper we take a step towards designing such hitting-sets. We define a notion of distance for multilinear depth-$3$ circuits (say, in $n$ variables and $k$ product gates) that measures how far are the partitions from a mere refinement. The $1$-distance strictly subsumes the set-multilinear model, while $n$-distance captures general multilinear depth-$3$. We design a hitting-set in time poly($n^{δ\log k}$) for $δ$-distance. Further, we give an extension of our result to models where the distance is large (close to $n$) but it is small when restricted to certain variables. This implies the first subexponential whitebox PIT for the sum of constantly many set-multilinear depth-$3$ circuits. We also explore a new model of read-once algebraic branching programs (ROABP) where the factor-matrices are invertible (called invertible-factor ROABP). We design a hitting-set in time poly($\text{size}^{w^2}$) for width-$w$ invertible-factor ROABP. Further, we could do without the invertibility restriction when $w=2$. Previously, the best result for width-$2$ ROABP was quasi-polynomial time (Forbes-Saptharishi-Shpilka, arXiv 2013). The common thread in all these results is the phenomenon of low-support `rank concentration'. We exploit the structure of these models to prove rank-concentration after a `small shift' in the variables. Our proof techniques are stronger than the results of Agrawal-Saha-Saxena (STOC 2013) and Forbes-Saptharishi-Shpilka (arXiv 2013); giving us quasi-polynomial-time hitting-sets for models where no subexponential whitebox algorithms were known before.

cs.CC↗

arXiv2012

Quasi-polynomial Hitting-set for Set-depth-Delta Formulas

We call a depth-4 formula C set-depth-4 if there exists a (unknown) partition (X_1,...,X_d) of the variable indices [n] that the top product layer respects, i.e. C(x) = \sum_{i=1}^k \prod_{j=1}^{d} f_{i,j}(x_{X_j}), where f_{i,j} is a sparse polynomial in F[x_{X_j}]. Extending this definition to any depth - we call a depth-Delta formula C (consisting of alternating layers of Sigma and Pi gates, with a Sigma-gate on top) a set-depth-Delta formula if every Pi-layer in C respects a (unknown) partition on the variables; if Delta is even then the product gates of the bottom-most Pi-layer are allowed to compute arbitrary monomials. In this work, we give a hitting-set generator for set-depth-Delta formulas (over any field) with running time polynomial in exp(({Delta}^2 log s)^{Delta - 1}), where s is the size bound on the input set-depth-Delta formula. In other words, we give a quasi-polynomial time blackbox polynomial identity test for such constant-depth formulas. Previously, the very special case of Delta=3 (also known as set-multilinear depth-3 circuits) had no known sub-exponential time hitting-set generator. This was declared as an open problem by Shpilka & Yehudayoff (FnT-TCS 2010); the model being first studied by Nisan & Wigderson (FOCS 1995). Our work settles this question, not only for depth-3 but, up to depth epsilon.log s / loglog s, for a fixed constant epsilon < 1. The technique is to investigate depth-Delta formulas via depth-(Delta-1) formulas over a Hadamard algebra, after applying a `shift' on the variables. We propose a new algebraic conjecture about the low-support rank-concentration in the latter formulas, and manage to prove it in the case of set-depth-Delta formulas.

cs.CC↗

arXiv2011

Jacobian hits circuits: Hitting-sets, lower bounds for depth-D occur-k formulas & depth-3 transcendence degree-k circuits

We present a single, common tool to strictly subsume all known cases of polynomial time blackbox polynomial identity testing (PIT) that have been hitherto solved using diverse tools and techniques. In particular, we show that polynomial time hitting-set generators for identity testing of the two seemingly different and well studied models - depth-3 circuits with bounded top fanin, and constant-depth constant-read multilinear formulas - can be constructed using one common algebraic-geometry theme: Jacobian captures algebraic independence. By exploiting the Jacobian, we design the first efficient hitting-set generators for broad generalizations of the above-mentioned models, namely: (1) depth-3 (Sigma-Pi-Sigma) circuits with constant transcendence degree of the polynomials computed by the product gates (no bounded top fanin restriction), and (2) constant-depth constant-occur formulas (no multilinear restriction). Constant-occur of a variable, as we define it, is a much more general concept than constant-read. Also, earlier work on the latter model assumed that the formula is multilinear. Thus, our work goes further beyond the results obtained by Saxena & Seshadhri (STOC 2011), Saraf & Volkovich (STOC 2011), Anderson et al. (CCC 2011), Beecken et al. (ICALP 2011) and Grenet et al. (FSTTCS 2011), and brings them under one unifying technique. In addition, using the same Jacobian based approach, we prove exponential lower bounds for the immanant (which includes permanent and determinant) on the same depth-3 and depth-4 models for which we give efficient PIT algorithms. Our results reinforce the intimate connection between identity testing and lower bounds by exhibiting a concrete mathematical tool - the Jacobian - that is equally effective in solving both the problems on certain interesting and previously well-investigated (but not well understood) models of computation.

cs.CC↗