arXiv subjects

Mar Avila

Publications and source records attributed to Mar Avila.

3 recordsLinked to original sources

arXiv2026

Graph Attention Networks with Physical Constraints for Anomaly Detection

Water distribution systems (WDSs) face increasing cyber-physical risks, which make reliable anomaly detection essential. Many data-driven models ignore network topology and are hard to interpret, while model-based ones depend strongly on parameter accuracy. This work proposes a hydraulic-aware graph attention network using normalized conservation law violations as features. It combines mass and energy balance residuals with graph attention and bidirectional LSTM to learn spatio-temporal patterns. A multi-scale module aggregates detection scores from node to network level. On the BATADAL dataset, it reaches $F1=0.979$, showing $3.3$pp gain and high robustness under $15\%$ parameter noise.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2025

Conformal Prediction-Driven Adaptive Sampling for Digital Water Twins

Digital Twins (DTs) for Water Distribution Networks (WDNs) require accurate state estimation with limited sensors. Uniform sampling often wastes resources across nodes with different uncertainty. We propose an adaptive framework combining LSTM forecasting and Conformal Prediction (CP) to estimate node-wise uncertainty and focus sensing on the most uncertain points. Marginal CP is used for its low computational cost, suitable for real-time DTs. Experiments on Hanoi, Net3, and CTOWN show 33--34\% lower demand error than uniform sampling at 40\% coverage and maintain 89.4--90.2\% empirical coverage with only 5--10\% extra computation.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2025

Causal Digital Twins for Cyber-Physical Security: A Framework for Robust Anomaly Detection in Industrial Control Systems

Industrial Control Systems (ICS) in water distribution and treatment face cyber-physical attacks exploiting network and physical vulnerabilities. Current water system anomaly detection methods rely on correlations, yielding high false alarms and poor root cause analysis. We propose a Causal Digital Twin (CDT) framework for water infrastructures, combining causal inference with digital twin modeling. CDT supports association for pattern detection, intervention for system response, and counterfactual analysis for water attack prevention. Evaluated on water-related datasets SWaT, WADI, and HAI, CDT shows 90.8\% compliance with physical constraints and structural Hamming distance 0.133 $\pm$ 0.02. F1-scores are $0.944 \pm 0.014$ (SWaT), $0.902 \pm 0.021$ (WADI), $0.923 \pm 0.018$ (HAI, $p<0.0024$). CDT reduces false positives by 74\%, achieves 78.4\% root cause accuracy, and enables counterfactual defenses reducing attack success by 73.2\%. Real-time performance at 3.2 ms latency ensures safe and interpretable operation for medium-scale water systems.

cs.CR↗